DFS with Doug Week 5
Need your Week 5 DFS fix? Fear not as @DougHarrelson lays out all his ~FREE~ prime plays for Sunday’s slate of games.
DFS with Doug Week 5 Read More »
ja’marr chase
DFS With Doug: Week 2
Our resident DFS Dominator @DougHarrelson is back with his ~FREE~ Week 2 plays to earn you a little extra cheddar during Sunday’s slate.
DFS With Doug: Week 2 Read More »
Breaking Down the Dynasty WR Landscape: Part 1
Hello, fellow Dynasty leaguers! In this series I will be going through the top-48 WRs in Dynasty, providing stats and insight on them. The WR market can be hard to pick apart because there are so many players in so many situations and so many factors in play. Here I will try to help make it easier by giving my thoughts on some players I find interesting and maybe it can help you navigate the market and find some values. When considering WR Dynasty value there are three main things I look at: a path to accruing value, immediate projectable production, and value insulation. These three things can be applied to every player and I use them often to compare who I value more. To do this I will be using BulletProof ADP and separating the players into tiers. Let’s dive right in with the first tier.
Breaking Down the Dynasty WR Landscape: Part 1 Read More »
Dynasty Football for Beginners: Trading
Welcome, everybody, to part two of my “Dynasty Fantasy Football for Beginners” series. Dynasty fantasy football is a unique and exciting format requiring a different approach to trading than redraft leagues. In a dynasty league, you are building a team for the long haul, and strategic trading can make all the difference in creating a championship-caliber squad. Each strategy will benefit different roster constructions. So take a good look at your roster, decide which direction you want to take your team, and consider these strategies. Before we jump right in, don’t forget to check out my first article, discussing pre-draft prep for your Dynasty startup.
Dynasty Football for Beginners: Trading Read More »
Who Ya Got? Tee Higgins vs. Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. Garrett Wilson
As the newest ranking team member here at DFF, I have asked myself this question quite a bit over the past couple of weeks: Who should I rank higher? These lead to fantastic conversations in league, text, and social media chats. The back and forth is where some of the richest discussions of fantasy football can occur. In particular, in the Dynasty space where a player’s value could vary depending on if the team is a contender or rebuilding, and also on positional need. Today’s discussion is not easily solved by either of those metrics though. All three of these guys are talented young WRs that work well whether you are contending now or looking at the long-term picture. I would be happy to have a roster with any one of them or even better all three of them but in a startup, where would I go? Let’s dig into these incredibly talented WRs.
Who Ya Got? Tee Higgins vs. Amon-Ra St. Brown vs. Garrett Wilson Read More »
The WR1 Wide Receiver Prospect Model Ratings
For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a highly accurate proprietary forecasting formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a single WR1 rating. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics.
To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.
The WR1 Wide Receiver Prospect Model Ratings Read More »
Positional Hot Spots in Pre-Draft Best Ball
At this time of year, the NFL Fantasy Football space is dominated by Dynasty content. Everybody is talking about free agency, The Combine, and NFL Mock Drafts while Redraft season is a million miles away. Don’t get me wrong, I love rookie hype and lopsided trade offers as much as the next guy, but I also love to draft. And I assume you feel the same way; otherwise, you wouldn’t have clicked on this article. In my opinion, the best way to scratch that itch is with pre-draft Best Ball.
Positional Hot Spots in Pre-Draft Best Ball Read More »
Comparing ADP, Dynasty to Redraft: AFC North
A much-overlooked aspect of dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of dynasty players to redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking “well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in dynasty than redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in redraft or dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in dynasty he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over nine parts (one part for each division and a rookie roundup after the draft), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to redraft, or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.
Comparing ADP, Dynasty to Redraft: AFC North Read More »
The DFF Dynasty Start-Up Mock Draft
As the dynasty league offseason is now in full swing, there are many upcoming NFL events to anticipate. Coming up on the calendar we have the likes of the NFL Scouting Combine, Free Agency, and the NFL Draft. In the fantasy football world, there is ample opportunity for value shifts for individual players and entire position groups. What better time to test the water than the end of February with a mock draft?
The DFF Dynasty Start-Up Mock Draft Read More »
’23 Rookie WR Analytics Spotlight Series: Don’t Overthink JSN
At this point in the off-season, I prefer to write articles on prospects that aren’t in that elite tier so that DFF members have a value-added when reading. After all most have likely heard quite enough about the top prospects in the class to make their decision one way or the other. For that reason, I haven’t done a deep profile on Jaxon Smith-Njigba. In my mind, he is a no-brainer prospect.
’23 Rookie WR Analytics Spotlight Series: Don’t Overthink JSN Read More »
Dynasty Debate: Tee Higgins vs. Chris Olave
I’ve heard a ton of buzz recently about Chris Olave and where he ranks among the dynasty wide receivers after his incredibly productive and efficient rookie season. There is one debate I just can’t let slide. Chris Olave or Tee Higgins?
Dynasty Debate: Tee Higgins vs. Chris Olave Read More »
Dynasty Fact or Cap: Mid-Season Mayhem
Welcome back to Fantasy Fact or Cap for Dynasty Football Factory, the article with hot questions and even hotter answers. I’m your host, Matt Ward (@PsychWardFF), and I have a laundry list of trending narratives to break down for you today. Without further ado, let’s look at some of the most talked-about topics in fantasy football and decipher whether they are fact or cap.
To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.
Dynasty Fact or Cap: Mid-Season Mayhem Read More »
Adjusting for Joe Mixon
To put it lightly, this is not the season fantasy managers hoped for when drafting Joe Mixon (RB – CIN) at his Round One ADP in fantasy drafts this year. 2021’s overall RB4 is quickly falling out of favor and slowly falling out of starting fantasy lineups. Over the last month, he’s been the RB18 and averaged just 11.8 fantasy points per game. So why is this happening and what can we do about it? There are several angles so let’s dive in.
To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.
Adjusting for Joe Mixon Read More »
Tee Higgins is a Top-5 Dynasty Wide Receiver
Tee Higgins is amongst the most polarizing young stars in dynasty football circles. Dynasty Football Factory Staff SF/TEP Dynasty Rankings have Higgins as the consensus WR5, equating to the 18th player overall or 2.06 in a 12-team startup. Today, we make a case for Tee Higgins’ stability and future as a top-5 dynasty wide receiver.
To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.
Tee Higgins is a Top-5 Dynasty Wide Receiver Read More »
Training Camp Takes: How Training Camps Impact Dynasty
The long football drought is finally over. A torrential downpour of offseason hype is flooding timelines as mandatory training camps are in full swing in the latter summer months. Preseason is fast approaching as teams ramp up in-house drills in preparation for the new campaign. Training camp reports can have a tangible effect on player value and, subsequently, the dynasty market as a whole. Today, we will analyze several recurring trends we see during the height of hype season and the impact those trends have in your Dynasty Leagues.
To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.
Training Camp Takes: How Training Camps Impact Dynasty Read More »
John Metchie III: 2022 Dynasty Profile
A four-star high school recruit who was born in Taiwan, moved to Ghana, and later emigrated to Canada, John Metchie III played his high school ball in the state of Maryland. He logged some game time as a freshman at Alabama, but behind so many NFL talents at WR he didn’t log enough snaps to impress statistically. In 2020 he filled in for an injured Jaylen Waddle and recorded his breakout season. This past season, he earned second-team All-SEC honors with a team-high 96 receptions before suffering a torn ACL in the conference title game and missing the team’s playoff run.
To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.
John Metchie III: 2022 Dynasty Profile Read More »
2022 Projections: Cincinnati Bengals
When we loosely compare players, most people feel they have a good idea of what kind of production to expect. We may think “Can Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase both really be top 12 wide receivers in fantasy this year?.” But, there may just not be room for that kind of production. I make projections to ground myself and help to understand what is actually possible, probable, or realistic. So, in this series, I will be going through each NFL team and making median projections for their 2022 seasons with their most fantasy-relevant players. I may be able to discern if certain players are being undervalued immediately but in most cases, I will need to finish more teams to get a good idea.
To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.
2022 Projections: Cincinnati Bengals Read More »
The WR1 Rating: Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings Countdown (15-11)
Over the next few weeks, I will be revealing my annual WR1 prospect model ratings to help prepare DFF readers for their dynasty rookie drafts. This article covers the prospects ranked 15-11 in the model. For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating score. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. You may find an in-depth explanation of the model’s process and a glossary of what the metrics mean here. Before we get into the 2022 prospects, here are the top 20 all-time prospects in the model so you can see how effective it is at forecasting future fantasy value.
To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.
The WR1 Rating: Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings Countdown (15-11) Read More »
State of FFPC Dynasty: Cut Trade Keep
Hello FFPC fans! It has been a while since I wrote about the state of the Dynasty landscape. I took my lumps in the championship round, failing to win a single ship out of 12 teams that made the dance. All in all, I did just a little better than break-even, which I consider a loss considering the amount of time I put in. I also had Ja’Marr Chase (WR – CIN) on only two of those teams, where his Week 17 performance swung many league titles across the hobby. But c’est la vie as I always say.
To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.
State of FFPC Dynasty: Cut Trade Keep Read More »
The Pre-Draft WR1: Prospect Model Ratings
For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a single WR1 rating. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. If data-driven rankings are not for you, I suggest my colleague @DocFFFN’s wide receiver review from a film perspective.
To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.
The Pre-Draft WR1: Prospect Model Ratings Read More »