Ranking Reviews
After years of proven success with my WR1 Analytical Model outperforming NFL Draft Capital at predicting future fantasy success of rookie wide receiver prospects, I unveiled the RB1 Analytical Model last year. Similar to my long-running WR1 model, which you can find here, this RB1 model was developed using a recipe of the most predictive advanced college statistics that prior NFL fantasy superstars exhibited. The goal of these analytical models is to outperform draft capital, as it should. After all, fantasy managers are trying to accumulate the most fantasy points. NFL teams are trying to win football games. For example, in 2024, Bucky Irving and Tyrone Tracy were drafted 6th and 12th in the NFL draft among running backs. The model ranked them 4th and 6th, respectively. You can find last year’s 2025 RB1 post-draft published model here. Our model was largely in line with draft capital, with seven of the first eight players selected in the NFL draft also in the model’s top 7. A big outlier came a little later. Our model ranked Jacory Croskey-Merritt 11th overall, despite the NFL drafting him 26th among all running backs. Now on to the 2026 class. This 2026 running back draft class isn’t good. It isn’t bad. No. It is downright atrocious. In these model series, I can typically find 15 “draftable” running backs and wide receivers with ease. Last year, 26 running backs were drafted. This year, even with a terrible overall 2026 class, I don’t have 15 running backs with a “draft-worthy” grade. You can find the rankings for […]
Using his proprietary ranking model, @force_fantasy reveals the rookie RBs ranked 15 through 11 for dynasty fantasy football purposes.
Gain an edge in dynasty with @force_fantasy’s WR1 model. We reveal the data-driven rankings for WR 11-15 in the 2026 rookie class.
The Prospect Analytical Model Rankings are one of our members’ favorite series each year at Dynasty Football Factory. Years of refining and enhancing the models to accurately predict future fantasy value have brought us to today.
These WR1 model rankings are your ultimate guide to predicting which prospects will produce the most fantasy points in their NFL career.
You can find the wide receivers ranked 15 to 11 in the WR1 model here.
You can find the running back RB1 model here.
For those new to the WR1 rating, it is a proprietary formula I developed in 2019 that provides a data-driven forecast of future fantasy production for incoming rookie wide receivers. There are many advanced metrics available today; we at DFF know it can be difficult to determine which ones matter and how much each matters. The WR1 model distills all that hard work into a single, easy-to-understand number. The model evaluates rookies across 13 of the most predictive metrics and combines their individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating. It was a pioneer in the fantasy analysis industry, being the first to incorporate a film-grade into the model. The goal is to provide an easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend hundreds of hours dissecting different metrics. Based on the prospect’s model score, I provide their probability of achieving at least one top-24 NFL Fantasy Points Per Game Season, using historical prospects with similar score ranges.
The WR1 model consistently outperforms NFL draft capital in predicting the future fantasy success of incoming prospects. For a full breakdown of the model’s past performance, click this link. You can also find the 2025 model here and the 2024 model here, where we were one of the very few publications to have Malik Nabers as the top wide receiver overall instead of Marvin Harrison Jr. Even the NFL had Harrison higher, as Nabers was drafted behind Harrison in the NFL Draft. Here is the WR1 model I published in 2023, featuring Jaxon Smith-Njigba as the WR1. The WR1 model is exceptional at identifying the true elite wide receivers. 17 of the 20 top-scoring prospects with at least three years in the NFL have had a top-24 PPR PPG NFL fantasy season.
Fourteen of the 20 have also had a top-12 PPR PPG NFL fantasy season. Nine have had multiple top 12 seasons, including perennial top-5 studs like Julio Jones, Calvin Johnson, Odell Beckham Jr., Ja’Marr Chase, and Justin Jefferson.
So let’s dive into the 2026 class overall WR1 Model Score.
10. Chris Bell, Louisville | WR1 Model Score: 24.0
Based on historical comps, Chris Bell’s WR1 Model score of 24.0 gives him an 35.8% chance of having at least one top-24 fantasy season in his career.
Historical Players With Similar WR1 Model Scores:
Adonai Mitchell
Malik Washington
Kyle Williams
The Good
Bell posted a very impressive weighted dominator (team share of receiving yards and touchdowns) of 38.2%. This ranked 3rd among wide receivers in this draft class. Louisville was not a prolific passing offense
Published January 2026 Welcome to players 11 to 20 in my Dynasty rankings series. Players 10 to 1 can be found here. Players 21 to 30 can be found here. Those who follow my work know I approach all of my rankings from an analytical foundation and then layer in additional context on top of that. This series is no different. The foundation of my Dynasty rankings is a proprietary model that utilizes a combination of predictive metrics with an emphasis on prior season fantasy points per game and then combines that with a position-specific age multiplier, flattening of TD luck, and position adjustment. This is the Dynasty 1 Score. From there, I layer on situational adjustments that pure statistics can not identify. I also prioritize consistency in my rankings. How likely are the players to be able to repeat their prior season performances based on their archetype? With that introduction, let me introduce you to my Dynasty rankings series. Note these are a snapshot in time vs. the always-evolving rankings you can find on our rankings site. But in this article series, you get the context and thinking behind the ranking that is not supplied by the pure ranking. Rankings are always fluid, and at DFF, we update them continuously here. These are a snapshot with the thought process behind each that you don’t see in simple rankings. These ranks are a snapshot as of January 2026. Superflex, Full PPR, TE Premium *Data sources: PFF, Pro Football Reference, Player Profiler, NFL+ Premium The rest of this rankings article series […]
Which Superflex stars landed in the 21–30 range? See how @force_fantasy uses the Dynasty1 Score model to rank the most valuable assets in Dynasty.
Who sits at the top of the Dynasty1 Score? @force_fantasy reveals his Top 10 Superflex assets in this ~FREE~ preview. See the algorithm’s surprising results and get the edge on your league mates today!
@force_fantasy continues his Definitive Dynasty Rankings series, covering the players ranked 11-20 in his Dynasty model.
@force_fantasy begins his Dynasty rankings series with a ~FREE~ sneak peak at his “Dynasty1” model, as well as his Top 10 ranked players in Dynasty, Superflex, PPR formats.
The creator of the WR1 Analytical Model, @force_fantasy, unveils his TE1 Analytical Model in this DFF exclusive article. Find out which rookie tight ends project best for Dynasty purposes here!
@force_fantasy brings you the top 15 graded rookie RBs from his Analytical model following the NFL draft. Find out which prospects project best for Dynasty purposes in this DFF exclusive article!
The 2025 WR1 Analytical Model, created by @force_fantasy, is now live! Check out this ~FREE~ sneak peek of the model’s findings, which has proven to beat draft capital in projecting future fantasy success for the wide receiver rookie class.
@force_fantasy releases his post-draft WR1 Analytical Rankings for the 2025 rookie class. Find out which rookie prospects project best for Dynasty purposes in this DFF exclusive article!
@force_fantasy wraps up his WR1 Analytical Model Pre-Draft rankings. Find out which wide receivers project best for Dynasty purposes in this DFF exclusive article!
@force_fantasy reveals his 2025 WR1 Analytical Model scores, covering WR10-6 in this article. Find out which wide receivers to target in your upcoming Dynasty rookie drafts!
@jim_DFF finishes his Devy RB series by giving you his fourth and fifth tiers of 2025 Draft-eligible prospects.
Continuing his 2025 Devy RB Series, @jim_DFF covers his second and third tiers of 2025 Draft eligible RBs for Devy and Dynasty formats.
DFF gives you a ~FREE~ preview of @force_fantasy ‘s WR1 Analytical Model. Find out how each 2024 rookie WR projects out for your Dynasty team here!
@force_fantasy is here with his top-20 rookie WRs in this WR1 Analytical Model Megadoc, giving you the analytics behind the rookies you need to draft
In Part 1 of this series, @jim_DFF gives you his top tier of RBs eligible for the 2025 NFL Draft, discussing devy value and future dynasty value.
