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Get a FREE preview of the DFF 2026 Dynasty Rookie Draft Guide. Access expert scouting reports and rankings to dominate your dynasty draft.
Gain an edge in dynasty with @force_fantasy’s WR1 model. We reveal the data-driven rankings for WR 11-15 in the 2026 rookie class.
Who sits at the top of the Dynasty1 Score? @force_fantasy reveals his Top 10 Superflex assets in this ~FREE~ preview. See the algorithm’s surprising results and get the edge on your league mates today!
@jim_DFF brings you a ~FREE~ sneak peek at some of the college prospects who made the Top 50 in DFF’s Expert Devy Ranks.
Using his proprietary ranking model, @force_fantasy reveals the rookie RBs ranked 15 through 11 for dynasty fantasy football purposes.
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Over the past couple of years, you’ve probably heard NFL and fantasy analysts discussing a shift in the offensive meta, specifically the rise of 12 and 13-personnel packages. But what does it actually mean, and does it have any real impact on your dynasty teams?
The short answer is yes. In today’s article, I’ll break down the “why” behind it, but first, let’s make sure we’re all speaking the same language.
If you’re unfamiliar, here’s what it means when someone refers to “X-personnel”:
11 personnel — 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
12 personnel — 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
13 personnel — 1 RB, 3 TE, 1 WR
21 personnel — 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
22 personnel — 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR
These five groupings make up the majority of NFL play-calling year over year, and the balance between them is shifting in ways that matter for how you build your roster and prioritize certain fantasy players.
For this article, I pulled NFL leaguewide data dating back to 2022 from sumersports.com, and have confirmed that TE-heavy packages are steadily increasing, while 11 personnel is decreasing across the league.
Below, you’ll see a graph breaking down how the five most popular formations have trended from 2022 to 2025:
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Will someone take Ja’Marr Chase’s crown as the dynasty WR1 overall in 2027? @jim_DFF aims to answer that question in this FREE article.
There may not be a more important position in C2C, Devy, and CFF than quarterback. If you hit on the right quarterback, he can carry your roster for multiple years. If you miss, especially in deeper formats, it can set your build back fast.
This SEC quarterback group is loaded. You have future NFL upside, proven college production, high-end freshmen, dual-threat fantasy ceilings, and quarterbacks who could become major risers once they get the full job.
These rankings are based on my own board. I’m not just ranking these guys by college stats. I’m looking at the full picture: CFF production, C2C value, Devy upside, roster insulation, and how aggressive you should be in supplemental or startup drafts.
The goal is simple. I want to help you know who to target, when to be aggressive, and where the value might be.
Let’s get into my Top 10 SEC quarterbacks for Campus to Canton.
1. Arch Manning, Texas
Why He’s Ranked Here
Arch Manning is my QB1 in the SEC because he gives you the best mix of name value, talent, production path, and long-term insulation.
When you are drafting in C2C or Devy, you are not just drafting what a player is today. You are drafting what he can become. Arch gives you the type of ceiling that can change a fantasy roster. He has the arm, the pedigree, the athletic ability, and the system around him to become one of the most valuable quarterback assets in these formats.
From a fantasy standpoint, the exciting part is that he is not just a statue in the pocket. He can move, extend plays, and add enough with his legs to matter. That matters in C2C, and it matters even more when you are betting on long-term upside.
Verified Stats
In 2025 at Texas, Manning completed 248 of 404 passes for 3,163 yards, 26 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions.
Supplemental Draft Outlook
In almost every supplemental draft, Manning is already going to be on a roster, and you’ll likely have to acquire him through a trade.
Startup Draft Outlook
In startups, he is a cornerstone pick. You can build around him for both Campus and Canton value. He gives you immediate excitement and long-term trade insulation.
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The tight end position is a tough one to pin down in fantasy. You either have one of the elite options who helps you stand above your league mates — just ask anyone who has had Travis Kelce for the past decade — or you’re stuck playing roulette with a bunch of middling options.
Unfortunately, Kelce’s run is over. The top shelf tight ends are now guys like Brock Bowers, who caught 112 passes for 1,194 yards as a rookie in 2024, and Trey McBride, who set an NFL record for tight ends with 126 receptions last year. Those two stand alone at the top, although some are trying to push Colston Loveland up into that tier. I just don’t think he’s there yet. We need to see more from last year’s No. 10 overall pick before we start anointing him.
A little further down the rankings, though, sits a very intriguing player — one who, at 26 years old, should be entering his prime. I’m talking about Dalton Kincaid.
Buffalo took Kincaid in the first round in 2023, and as a rookie, he looked the part. He reeled in 73 catches for 673 yards and two scores in Year 1. The future looked insanely bright. Dynasty managers thought they had the next big thing.
After that promising start, though, things haven’t been quite as rosy. Kincaid has dealt with several injuries, including a troublesome PCL issue that has been lingering since 2024. That has caused Kincaid to miss nine games and limited him in several others over the past two seasons.
Last year, he had just a 38.3% snap share (TE70) and ran only 189 routes (TE47), which resulted in career lows in both targets (49) and receptions (39). He still managed 571 yards and five touchdowns, averaging 10.5 fantasy points per game in PPR scoring, good for TE13.
So why am I talking about this guy?
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Trending
One Question For EVERY NFL Team: New York Giants Edition
When we look at the Giants, it’s easy to get excited, concerned, and confused. When will Malik Nabers (WR – NYG) be back? How good of a season can Jaxson Dart (QB – NYG) have without his number one wide receiver? Is Isaiah Likely (TE – NYG) the best bet to make in the Giants’ offense? Can both Cam Skattebo (RB – NYG) and Tyrone Tracy (RB – NYG) be fantasy viable this season? Is John Harbaugh the missing link to the Giants’ return to glory?
Those are all legitimate questions, concerns, and reasons to be optimistic about the Giants’ offense in fantasy.
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Biggest Dynasty Ranking Discrepancies
Earlier this offseason, I wrote a similar piece, breaking down the biggest gaps between my devy rankings and those of DFF ranker @Evan_Kerr_. Today, I’m covering the dynasty players where I’m furthest from consensus here at DFF, which averages my rankings with those of Evan and @force_fantasy. Some of these might not seem like huge discrepancies, but keep in mind my rankings make up a third of what consensus spits out, so the value differences are bigger than they may seem.
As always, these rankings are based on dynasty, Superflex, and Tight End Premium scoring. I’ll provide my positional ranking for comparison with the consensus.
Players I’m Above Consensus On
Luther Burden III – (WR – CHI)
My dynasty rank – WR14
DFF consensus – WR18
Here’s my bull case for Burden, plain and simple. He and Loveland were hand-selected by HC Ben Johnson. Rome Odunze was not.
It took some time for Burden to get fully acclimated, but we saw his upside in the latter part of his rookie year. Through the final seven weeks of 2025, Burden finished third in the NFL in yards per route run with 2.92 (min. 20 targets). He posted a robust 26.8% target rate during that span, confirming he was a focal point in Chicago’s passing attack.
Exptrapolate that kind of efficiency over a 17-game sample and a full route share now that D.J. Moore is gone, and you have a guy who could finish top 10 at his position in fantasy. I think there’s a very good chance Burden is a consensus WR1 (top 12) in dynasty by this time next year.
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One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Washington Commanders Edition
Welcome back to my One Question series, and thank you to everyone for reading my first installment. I’d love to know what you’ve done or plan to do with George Pickens (WR – DAL) this year. This week, we’re staying in the NFC East.
After a disappointing season following their appearance in the 2024 NFC Championship Game, Jayden Daniels (QB – WAS) and the Commanders didn’t live up to the hype due to an injury-riddled season. After firing offensive coordinator Kliff Kingsbury and promoting David Blough, the offense is headed in a new direction — and there is genuine excitement within the organization about the new offensive style.
My question to the Commanders is: Who is the RB1?
Jacory Croskey-Merritt (RB – WAS)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt — aka “Bob” — was a Twitter darling last offseason with only Brian Robinson Jr. in his way, playing alongside 2024 Offensive Rookie of the Year Jayden Daniels. What’s not to like? He was primed to take over the Commanders’ backfield and be a league-winner, or so we thought.
Daniels got injured early in the season, tried to fight through it, and ultimately played just seven games. However, even on a bad team with a struggling offense, Croskey-Merritt played all 17 games, totaled almost 900 yards from scrimmage, and scored eight touchdowns — all while playing second fiddle to Brian Robinson Jr. and Chris Rodriguez for most of the season.
Robinson is now with the Atlanta Falcons, and Rodriguez took his talents to Jacksonville. Surely Croskey-Merritt is the favorite to finally make good on his promise as the Commanders’ lead back, right?
One would think. But with Washington adding veteran running backs Rachaad White (RB – WAS) and Jerome Ford (RB – WAS), then drafting sixth-round pick Kaytron Allen (RB – WAS), the question becomes: is Croskey-Merritt the running back on this roster we should trust — or should we take a deeper look at the competition?
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Top Dynasty Value for Each AFC East & West Team
*Positional rankings in this article were pulled from Dynasty Football Factory’s Consensus Rankings
AFC East
Buffalo Bills – Dalton Kincaid (TE14)
Dalton Kincaid is a frustrating player to have in fantasy. He’s uber-efficient on a per-route and per-touch basis, yet he gets on the field an exasperatingly low amount due to injuries and a somewhat one-dimensional profile.
Despite a measly 38.3% snap share (TE70) in 2025, Kincaid finished as the TE13 on average, putting up 10.5 fantasy points per game. He accomplished that with some insane per-touch output, ranking first at the position in yards per route (3.02), first downs per route (0.143), yards per target (11.7), and QB rating per target (149.2). If his knee ever allows him to handle a full workload, Kincaid could break fantasy. Sadly, that may never happen.
Miami Dolphins – Caleb Douglas (WR133)
Expected to be a late-round selection, Caleb Douglas was a shocking pick when Miami selected him in Round 3 of the NFL Draft. Looking at his measurables, though, it’s easy to see why the Dolphins liked him. He’s 6’4”, 206 pounds and ran a 4.39 40-yard dash at the combine — numbers that will turn some heads.
Douglas can burn past defenders, and he uses his height effectively to high-point the football. Those skills helped him rack up 845 yards and seven scores at Texas Tech last season. Given his draft capital, Douglas will have a chance to carve out a role in a receiver room bereft of playmakers. Anytime after Round 20 of startups or Round 3 in rookie drafts is a perfect time to take a swing on him.
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Who is the RB1 of the 2027 Class?
The 2027 RB class has the potential to be quite strong from a fantasy perspective (or at least miles ahead of the 2026 class), depending on who all declares. As it stands in June of 2026, there are five players I think could conceivably become the RB1 overall in this upcoming draft class: Ahmad Hardy, Jadan Baugh, Justice Haynes, Kewan Lacy, and Isaac Brown.
Today, I’ll be comparing all five of these prospects from a film and an analytical perspective to give you an idea of strengths, weaknesses, and overall value. (I also plan to use this exercise to pin down exactly how I’d like to range this group of guys in devy, because I’m having one hell of a time doing so.)
I just wrapped up some All22 film reviews from the 2025 season for each prospect, so we’ll start with my key takeaways.
Film Takeaways
Below are some notes I made from my film review, with positive attributes in green, neutral or average traits in black, and concerns in red.
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My Favorite Picks from an Expert C2C Startup
In this ~FREE~ DFF article, @jim_DFF wraps up his C2C startup series by covering his favorite late-round picks, as well as his favorite ADP value from the other 11 teams.
One Fantasy Question For EVERY NFL Team: Dallas Cowboys Edition
As the offseason progresses and news from OTAs enters the echo chamber that is the fantasy community on Twitter (or X, if you’re weird and literal) not all news is good news, unless you’re a Parker Washington stan and more importantly, not all news is relevant for fantasy, and should always be taken with a grain of salt.
We must remember, these guys are running around without pads on, playing seven on seven. We’re all excited for news updates and with the latest trades of A.J. Brown to the New England Patriots and Myles Garrett going to the Los Angeles Rams (my favorite team to win the Super Bowl, fyi) it’s hard not to get excited about any and all NFL news, especially for us fantasy guys.
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Top Dynasty Value for Each AFC North & South Team
*Positional rankings in this article were pulled from Dynasty Football Factory’s Consensus Rankings
AFC North
Baltimore Ravens – Zay Flowers (WR22)
At least here at DFF, we have Zay Flowers priced a little more appropriately. For some reason, last season’s WR7 in total fantasy points is currently sitting at WR27 over at KeepTradeCut. Still, I’m more aggressive than nearly everyone in the industry, with him at WR15 in my personal rankings.
He’s the top target for Lamar Jackson and in his prime as he enters his age-26 season. In addition to the top-notch raw stats, Flowers also posted some elite efficiency metrics in 2025: first in juke rate (22.9%), fourth in explosive plays (21), fifth in yards per route run (2.62), and sixth in target separation (2.15) among all wideouts. As long as I can get him for low-end WR2, high-end WR3 prices, I’m picking Flowers all day long.
Cincinnati Bengals – Tee Higgins (WR25)
While he’s never going to be the first option in Cincinnati’s passing attack, Tee Higgins is still a highly productive fantasy receiver. Even while missing seven games over the past two seasons, he’s racked up back-to-back campaigns with over 800 yards and double-digit touchdowns. Playing second fiddle to Ja’Marr Chase, Higgins ranked second in the league in receiving scores (11) and 13th in fantasy points per game (14.1) last season.
Like Flowers, I’m higher on Higgins than most. He’s my WR16 since he’s tied to Joe Burrow in an offense that loves to sling the rock. As long as he stays healthy, Higgins should flirt with WR1 output once more, making him an attractive add at cost for any manager playing for a championship this season.
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Always Be Scouting Episode 18: Expert C2C Draft Analysis w/Evan & Jim
In this week’s episode of Always Be Scouting, @DffFrankPanthro and @John_mancuso5 invite DFF analysts @jim_DFF and @Evan_Kerr_ back on to break down an expert C2C startup draft.
