Author name: Tyler Justin Karp

Columbia SPS Sports Management graduate.

Rookie RB Hits and Misses: Part 2

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

Ingram led the way with 202 carries, with Edwards in second with 133 carries. Hill lagged with just 58 carries. Hill also only had eight receptions in all of 2019, a major disappointment for a player with highly touted passing-game skills. Edwards, who has almost no pass-catching ability, finished with seven receptions, just one less than Hill. Hill played in all 16 games, so his poor stats were not due to injury. He also played on only 17% of offensive snaps.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Rookie RB Hits and Misses: Part 2 Read More »

Rookie QB Hits and Misses

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

This series will look back on the 2019 class and explore the biggest hits and misses. Now, since this will be a long series, let’s start with the premise here in part one. For each position, I will examine all the rookies that were selected in a significant number of rookie drafts, or achieved significant production at that position. A hit will generally be a player that produced fantasy points in year one and gained or at least maintained their dynasty value. A miss will be players who didn’t produce or at least who underperformed. I will also have a third category; incomplete. In this category, I’ll discuss those players who did not receive significant playing time and where they can go in 2020 and beyond.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Rookie QB Hits and Misses Read More »

2019 Fake Outs

Dynasty / By /

In this piece, I’ll walk you through three “fake-outs.” These are players that broke out or had strong seasons in 2019 that I do not expect to maintain that level of performance going forward. Therefore, you could call each of these guys a dynasty “sell-high.”

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

2019 Fake Outs Read More »

2019 Redraft Strategy Review: RB vs. WR Heavy

All Access / By /

In part one of this series, I reviewed tight end strategy in 2019 redraft formats. In part two, I looked at the early versus late quarterback strategy. Now in this third and final part, I will look at the early-round running back vs. wide receiver strategy debate. As always, I will use half PPR stats and Yahoo’s ADP data when examining specific players.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

2019 Redraft Strategy Review: RB vs. WR Heavy Read More »

2019 Redraft Strategy Review: Early vs Late QB

All Access / By /

Of the three strategy debates, this is the one where I have by far the strongest opinion. Given that I wrote a weekly streamers article for DFF, it should come as no surprise that I am one of the biggest advocates for a late-round quarterback approach. As an important note, I will be completely excluding Andrew Luck from this study, as he retired before a majority of fantasy drafts. Therefore, the top five quarterbacks drafted were Patrick Mahomes, Deshaun Watson, Aaron Rodgers, Baker Mayfield, and Matt Ryan. Let’s look at these players in table form to illustrate how they performed in 2019.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

2019 Redraft Strategy Review: Early vs Late QB Read More »

2019 Redraft Strategy Review: Tight End

All Access / By /

Most people consider tight end to be a “onesie” position, similar to quarterback. You take one guy and hope he hits, and if he gets hurt or doesn’t work out, you then take a tight end from waivers. However, you can take that tight end at any point in the draft. I have always preferred to either grab a top-tier tight end or wait until the end and grab a high-upside guy. I generally consider the middle of the draft to be a “dead-zone,” where I always prefer to take running back or wide receiver as compared to available tight ends. Take a look at the below tables for what I considered to be the tight end landscape going into 2019.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

2019 Redraft Strategy Review: Tight End Read More »

Late Season Stars: Part Two

All Access / By /

Over Brown’s first eight games, he averaged just 8.0 points in half PPR scoring. This put him outside the top 40 for wide receivers. Over his second eight games, he averaged 15.9 points per game. That was good enough to rank him third among WRs in points per game over that period. His cumulative line in games 1-8 was 22 receptions on 34 targets for 348 yards and three touchdowns. In games 9-16, Brown put up 30 receptions on 50 targets for 703 yards and five touchdowns.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Late Season Stars: Part Two Read More »

Tyler Higbee Dynasty Profile

Late Season Stars

Uncategorized / By /

Higbee is the poster child for this article. In the first eight weeks, he played in seven games, recording just 18 receptions on 23 targets for 170 yards and a touchdown. This made him utterly irrelevant in fantasy. However, over the final eight games, Higbee totaled 51 receptions on 66 targets for 564 yards and two touchdowns. He averaged 11.7 points in half PPR scoring over that stretch, good for sixth-best among all tight ends. Let’s get some more context. Over a full season, Higbee’s second-half pace was 102 receptions, 1128 yards, and four touchdowns. These numbers project him as a dominant TE1.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Late Season Stars Read More »

2019 Half Season All-Stars

All Access / By /

This will be a two-part article that will cover players that had half a good season in 2019. In part one, I’ll talk about players who excelled in the first half of the season but not the second half. In part two, I’ll do the reverse. I’ll also avoid discussing players I touched on in my busts and values article, so these will be all new players for me. Let’s jump right in.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

2019 Half Season All-Stars Read More »

Don’t You Forget About Me

Dynasty / By /

In this article, I’m going to walk you through three players that had a down season in 2019, but who I expect to either bounce back or breakout in 2020. For variety’s sake, I’ve decided to look at a running back, wide receiver, and tight end. Also, I’ve picked three very different types of players to explore the different ways to buy at this time in the offseason. 

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Don’t You Forget About Me Read More »

Post-Season Dynasty Moves

Dynasty / By /

#1: Evaluate Your Current Leagues and Your 2020 Plan
In simple terms, what this means is that before you manage your rosters and conduct trades, you should make sure that you’re committed to the league for the 2020 cycle. There is no shame in leaving a league for any reason. Those reasons can range from being overstretched in too many leagues, to not enjoying the league, to wanting to play leagues at a different level of buy-in, be that lower or higher.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Post-Season Dynasty Moves Read More »

A Look Back and Forward: 10 Biggest Busts Part 2

All Access / By /

In part one of this article, I chose five players from the top 50 in ADP that I considered to be busts in 2019. In part two, I will select five players from ADP between 51-150. When choosing my busts, I will try to avoid players that missed a few games but were otherwise successful when they played, so you haven’t and won’t see Saquon Barkley or Alvin Kamara type players on the list. Injuries are hard to predict, so it’s better to look at guys who flopped even when they were on the field. Similar to the values section, the individual players are important, but general trends and strategy advice will also be included below. As in part one, Yahoo’s final half PPR ADP is the source for the below ADP numbers.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

A Look Back and Forward: 10 Biggest Busts Part 2 Read More »

A Look Back and Forward: 10 Biggest Busts (Part 1)

All Access / By /

In my previous two-part article, I looked at the 10 best draft values from the 2019 redraft season and how much they impacted fantasy teams. Also, I predicted the future and examined whether those players would live up to the same performance in 2020 and whether they would return good value in 2020. However, as most fantasy owners know, identifying busts is just as crucial to success and failure in fantasy football as picking players on the rise. In this two-part article, I will name the 10 biggest busts from the 2019 redraft season. In part one, I will choose five players from the top 50 in ADP, and in part two, I will select five players from ADP between 51-150. 

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

A Look Back and Forward: 10 Biggest Busts (Part 1) Read More »

A Look Back and Forward: 10 Best Values (Part 2)

All Access / By /

In this two-part article, I’m taking a look at the 10 best draft values from the 2019 redraft season. I started by choosing five players from the top 50 in ADP in part one, found here, and now I’ll pick five players from the rest of the draft in part two. As in part one, I will be using Yahoo’s final half PPR ADP. In addition to revisiting how these players performed in 2019, I will also briefly touch on what I expect going forward into 2020. I’ll limit eligible players to the top 150 and might examine the best waiver wire wonders in a future piece.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

A Look Back and Forward: 10 Best Values (Part 2) Read More »