Jahmyr Gibbs

Richardson

Rookie Roundup: Week 1

Hello DFF members, I am Chris, and I will be doing a rookie round-up series for the 2023 season. My primary space in fantasy centers around analytics, rookie models, and early career models, so I should be able to make beneficial content out of this. This will be released every two weeks, and I will keep you updated on how these rookies have been performing and how their values should be changing. Let’s dive right into the week one recap for the prominent rookies.

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Jahmyr Gibbs

Rookie Recap: Lions’ Rookies Gibbs and LaPorta Show Promise in Season Debut

The anticipation of the very first game of the NFL season was apparent. Me and my kids made sure to have everything done in the house before the game came on and they even got to watch a little before going to bed. But I’m sure that it was the same for many longing for the return of football. We got to see the Super Bowl champion Kansas City Chiefs take on the Detroit Lions on Thursday Night Football. And while that was the main draw, fantasy managers may have had their eyes on a different part of the game as did NFL betting enthusiasts in Michigan.

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Anthony Richardson

Sifting through the Colts’ Chaos: What Should You Do With Your Indianapolis Players?

The Colts managed to make August an extremely stressful month for fantasy managers who roster any of their key offensive position players. Anthony Richardson was named the starter behind an injured offensive line, their starting all-pro running back is in a stand-off with the front office over a new contract, their young tight end was placed on injured reserve, and all but three wide receivers were cut before the deadline.

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amon ra

Dynasty What If? Amon-Ra St. Brown

Hello and welcome to another edition of “Dynasty What If?” In this series, @ChrisMiles1017 and I explore expectations for different players in the upcoming 2023 NFL season. These will include a projected ceiling outcome and a potential floor outcome. After that, we will discuss what we think is most likely. The idea is to lay out and consider what is possible and compare that to what is probable. In addition, we will relay potential effects for every scenario on the player’s dynasty value. Now, let’s dive into our next subject: Amon-Ra St. Brown.

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Miller

Buy or Sell? Dynasty Edition

Finding value within the dynasty landscape can sometimes feel like a daunting task. With all the takes, stats, and data points we have access to now via X (Twitter), it can feel like paralysis by analysis at times. Whether it’s trade calculators, different sets of rankings, or some of your favorite fantasy analysts having completely opposing viewpoints on the same player, defining value can be one of the more difficult avenues a dynasty player has to traverse. Specifically, the art of buying and selling and how to go about it. For the sake of this discussion, I wanted to share a couple of dynasty trades I recently made and discuss the value thought process. In addition, I identified three different options/scenarios involving dynasty running backs that could be buys/sells depending on where your team is in its current lifecycle/league landscape.

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Gibbs

Dynasty What If? Jahmyr Gibbs

Hello and welcome to a new ‘Dynasty What If?’ series. In this series, @paul_dff and I will review two possible expectations for different players for the 2023 NFL season. These will include a projected ceiling outcome and a potential floor outcome. After that, we will discuss what we think is most likely. The idea is to lay out and consider what is possible and then bring it back to Earth and compare that to what is probable. In addition, we will relay potential effects for every scenario on the players’ dynasty values. Now, let’s dive into our first subject: Jahmyr Gibbs.

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Keaontay Ingram

Late-Round RBs Worth Buying

In startup drafts, I believe it’s best to focus on RBs with contingent value in the later rounds, as it’s much more likely that these backups will hit your starting lineup than someone like Alec Pierce or Cedric Tillman. It only takes one injury for handcuff RBs to catapult into bell cow roles and potentially league-winning roles for your fantasy team. The 70th-best WR or 25th-best TE is much less likely to give you viable productivity during the season; too much would have to go right for them. As an example, Cedric Tillman (the current WR69, according to Bulletproofff.com) would need multiple injuries to the Browns’ receiving corps to see consistent targets in 2023. Even then, it would be unreasonable to expect Tillman to replicate the production of Amari Cooper. 

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Comparing ADP, Dynasty to Redraft: NFC North

A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking, “Well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty, he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over eight parts (one part for each division), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.

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Jonathan Mingo

DFF Army: 2023 Post NFL-Draft Dynasty Rookie Mock Rounds 2+1

The DFF Army got together again after the NFL Draft for its analyst-only 2023 Rookie Mock Draft. Here we randomly selected spots and ran the draft in a linear order; the settings are Superflex and PPR. Hopefully, this can help give you an updated sense of the players you should be considering in your draft. Check out every selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick.

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Elijah Higgins

Diamond in the Rough?

In this year’s Draft, pick 197, Elijah Higgins, I want to discuss, what I call, the Gary Kubiak pick. I will describe Mr. Higgins as a potential Diamond in the Rough and the next Darren Waller in this article. I hope you enjoy it and that it is helpful toward your fantasy football success.

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Evan Hull

DFF Pre-NFL Draft: Complete Dynasty Football Rookie Mock 3.0

The DFF Army got together again after the NFL Scouting Combine for its third analyst-only Rookie Mock Draft of the 2023 off-season. Here we randomly selected spots and ran the draft in a linear order; the settings are Superflex, TEP, and PPR. Hopefully, this can help give you an earlier sense of the players you should be considering at the top of your draft and the gems you will want to target later. Check out every selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick.

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Tank Bigsby

Tank Bigsby: 2023 Rookie RB Profile

We’ve all heard the analysis and comps on Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Zach Charbonnet. The consensus in the Dynasty community is that these guys should be the first three running backs off the board in rookie drafts. But where do we go from here? First, the landing spot and draft capital will drastically influence where these prospects should fall in our rankings. But there are still plenty of resources and data points at our disposal now that we can use to determine rookie value: college tape, analytics, NFL Combine results, and plenty more. So, let’s dig into one of my favorite “mid-tier” prospects in this year’s draft, Tank Bigsby.

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Will Levis

Best Rookie Landing Spots

Can’t you feel the excitement as we get closer to the draft? With free agency winding down, we now start to see the core of what each of these NFL teams will look like when we get into the fall. There is still one more piece to the puzzle though and if you play dynasty then it is probably amongst your favorite NFL events of the year—the NFL Draft. While I have learned not to take too much from the landing spot, I think many of us are still hurting from Clyde Edwards-Helaire in 2020. It does have an impact though and we would be foolish to ignore it. I find the best practice is to have everyone divided into tiers before the NFL Draft, then move players within a tier instead of jumping them an entire tier based on landing spot. We also have draft capital to consider but that is beyond the scope of what we will be discussing today. Let’s dig in!

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Predicting and Analyzing the 2023 RB Carousel: NFC North

With NFL Free Agency underway, the stacked running back landscape is shifting more than it has in a long time. Over the past few weeks, I’ve gone over my predictions for the running back situations of each team, as well as the corresponding fantasy implications. Today, we’ll be taking a look at the changes that have already happened in NFC North, as well as what still is to come. Check out Part 5 of this series, where I predicted the AFC North. 

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