Author name: Jim Moorman

Editor in Chief for @DFF_Dynasty #DFFArmy #DynastyFootball

pwash

Parker Washington: Buy the Hype or Fade the Noise?

Dynasty / By /

Parker Washington has seen an incredible surge in dynasty value over the past 12 months, climbing from outside the top 100 wide receivers this time last year to WR31 overall today, according to KeepTradeCut. This is due in large part to Washington’s strong end to the 2025 NFL season, racking up 26 receptions, 454 yards, and three touchdowns over Jacksonville’s final four games (regular season + playoffs). Since then, we’ve seen nothing but bullish news out of OTAs and training camp regarding Washington. 

On the other hand, this was a former Day 3 pick who barely cracked 500 receiving yards through his first two NFL seasons. Was he simply reaping the benefit of Travis Hunter landing on IR and Brian Thomas Jr. battling his own set of injuries on the field? Has the Parker Washington hype gone too far, or is he here to stay? Let’s find out. 

College Profile

Parker Washington was a 4-star recruit and a top-50 receiver in the country coming out of high school, according to 247 Sports. He played all three of his college seasons at Penn State, amassing 1,900 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns in Happy Valley. From an analytical perspective, he was pretty underwhelming, posting a career 20.9% target rate and 1.91 yards per route run. 

Washington was an early declare, despite posting relatively pedestrian numbers. He ultimately went in Round 6 of the NFL Draft, which we rarely see from early declares now. Washington technically had two years of eligibility remaining, having played his freshman season during the COVID season. It’s very possible he’d have taken a big step forward had he stayed in college (and transferred to a more pass-friendly environment). NIL deals at this time were not nearly as lucrative as they are today, which surely played into his decision. 

Early NFL Career

Parker Washington began his NFL career as a part-time player, buried on the depth chart behind guys like Calvin Ridley, Evan Engram, and Christian Kirk (all still technically in their prime). Washington had his opportunity to flourish in 2024 with Calvin Ridley gone, plus Christian Kirk and Evan Engram hurt for much of the season. However, rookie Brian Thomas Jr. emerged as the WR1 and dominated target share, leaving Washington as an afterthought. 

Despite running nearly 400 routes in 2024, Washington managed only 32 receptions, 390 yards, and three touchdowns. His 13.3% target rate and 1.02 yards per route run on the season were dismal marks, and ones that typically suggest your time in the NFL is numbered. 

In terms of dynasty value, Washington was a roster clogger at best through two seasons. In most leagues, he went undrafted in dynasty rookie drafts in 2023, bouncing from random rosters to the waiver wire. 

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Flag Planting for the 2026 College Football Season

All Access, C2C, Devy / By /

Long-term success in Devy and C2C formats means planting your flag on college prospects early, before the market catches up. Some player takes that your league mates consider absurd today could be consensus in a couple of months; that’s how fast this landscape moves.

With that in mind, I’m going on record with four of my spiciest Devy/C2C takes for the 2026 CFB season. There will always be swings and misses in these formats, but when I do make contact, I want it to be a home run.

1. Mario Craver will be runner-up for the Biletnikoff and go in Round 1 of the 2027 NFL Draft. 

Mario Craver is one of the more polarizing players in Devy formats today. There are certainly “truthers” (like myself) out there, but most are concerned his playstyle and frame will limit his NFL ceiling. 

I have very few concerns with Craver. Sure, he’s undersized, but he reportedly put on a ton of size this offseason and is up to 180 pounds. He always played bigger than his listed size, but physicality should no longer be an issue. 

Craver is a twitchy, dynamic route runner who can win at all three levels and has the acceleration to take the top off of defenses. He was also outproducing first-round talent KC Concepcion in the early part of the 2025 season, with 440 receiving yards and four touchdowns through the first three games. Craver has his quarterback, Marcel Reed, back, and projects to be the clear WR1 for the Aggies. 1200 yards and eight touchdowns will be his floor in 2026.

2. Jonathan Hatton Jr. will be the Sooners’ clear RB1 by the end of the season. 

I’ll take it a step further: Hatton will be valued as a top 12 running back in Devy by this time next year. He has plenty of backfield competition this year, with Xavier Robinson and Tory Blaylock returning, as well as Colorado State transfer Lloyd Avant. But I think the consensus four-star freshman will ultimately prove to be the most talented of the bunch and be a starter late in the year. 

Hatton has received nothing but rave reviews from the Oklahoma coaching staff this offseason. Reports say he’s around 230 pounds right now, but highly explosive and lightning fast for his size. 

I liked what I saw on his high school tape, displaying a willingness to initiate contact and showing decisiveness behind the line. He’s more of your one-cut, downhill runner, and once he gets momentum, he’s tough to bring down. I think Hatton could be really special.

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Training Camp News and Injuries: Fantasy Impact

Dynasty / By /

Football is back, baby! With training camp officially underway for all 32 NFL teams, our timelines are once again flooded with on-the-field news and highlight plays. It can be tough to keep tabs on everything and decipher what matters vs. what doesn’t in dynasty, which is why I’ve put together this breakdown for you. 

Below, you’ll see the top headlines from training camp as of August 1st, dynasty impact, and my personal take on the news. 

Stock-Up Players

Malik Nabers (WR – NYG) – Last time we saw Nabers, he was limping to first place in a celebrity softball game. We were receiving nothing but ominous news regarding his ACL recovery early this summer, but things have turned around since then. He’s avoided the training camp PUP list and looks to be at full health running routes in camp. If Nabers plays Week 1 and gets off to a hot start, he could easily be back in the conversation for dynasty WR1 overall by midseason. 

Deebo Samuel (WR – SF) – Deebo is back with his former team, following the injury news on Ricky Pearsall. With Pearsall potentially out for the year and Christian Kirk dealing with calf issues, San Francisco needed to shore up this wide receiver room somehow. Add in Jordan James suffering fractured ribs, and Deebo could be back in the classic “Deebo” role in 2026. The question is whether or not he’s completely washed. Either way, 2026 will likely be his last usable season for fantasy. I’ve moved him up, but only marginally. He may be a good sell-high candidate now. 

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Reviewing My Recent Dynasty Trades

C2C, Dynasty / By /

Time for a subscriber favorite, a good old-fashioned trade review! Below, I’ll cover four recent trades I’ve made over the past week and my reasoning behind each trade. These four trades come from three different leagues (two dynasty, one C2C). The ultimate goal of these trade articles (outside of entertainment) is to give you an idea of what to prioritize when deciding whether to hit that “accept” button. 

If you’re looking for a second opinion on your own dynasty trades, check out our AccuTrader in The Dynasty Control Room. Sync your leagues and get a full trade breakdown based on DFF’s Expert Consensus ranks. 

DFF C2C Bragging Rights

This trade was made in a C2C league, which primarily consists of creators from Campus 2 Canton and our team at DFF. I made this trade with @DffFrankPanthro, sending him Alabama RB Ezavier Crowell for Jaylen Waddle. 

With this being Year 1 of the league, there’s plenty of parity from top to bottom. Nobody really sold a ton of Canton picks for Campus picks or vice versa, so it’s anyone’s game on both sides. My weakest position on the Canton side was wide receiver, with my top three WRs being Justin Jefferson, Marvin Harrison Jr., and Romeo Doubs before this trade was made. I wanted to bolster my WR room without sacrificing other areas of my NFL side, so I understood I needed to give up a premier asset on the college side to do so. 

I knew from talking ball with Frank virtually every day that Crowell is his RB1 of the freshman class and one of his favorite overall assets in C2C formats. I won’t deny that the long-term ceiling play in this deal is Crowell, especially in this particular league, where RB scoring is so favorable on the NFL side (0.25 PPC, 0.25 rushing 1st down). It was a lot to give up, but I’m incredibly bullish on Jaylen Waddle now that he’s in Denver. Despite being alpha’d by Tyreek Hill for much of his career, Waddle has always been hyper-efficient from a per-route basis, and now steps into a situation where he should be the WR1 on his team. I’m not too concerned with Courtland Sutton, who is entering his age-31 season and saw a big drop in efficiency in 2025. I feel pretty confident in saying Waddle has WR1 (top 12) upside in fantasy once again. 

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Who is the WR2 of the 2027 Class?

Devy / By /

You might’ve noticed that the title of this article differs slightly from the QB and RB articles I released. That’s because the WR1 of the 2027 class is as set in stone as we’ve ever seen. Barring some sort of traumatic injury, Jeremiah Smith is locked in as the top dog and a top-5 overall pick in the NFL Draft next April. 

We don’t need to go into detail with Smith’s prospect profile; you already know everything there is to know about this generational prospect. Instead, I’m going to try to help answer the question: who is the WR2 overall in the 2027 draft class? 

If you missed the quarterback or running back articles in this series, be sure to click the links here. With that, let’s talk wide receivers. 

Who’s after Jeremiah Smith?

Similar to the quarterback article, I compiled a list of guys I think have at least an outside shot at being the WR2 in this draft class. Unlike the quarterback article, this list will be considerably shorter. 

Cam Coleman
Ryan Coleman-Williams
Jayce Brown
Bryant Wesco
T.J. Moore
Nick Marsh
Mario Craver

I’ll be removing prospects from contention one at a time, starting with my lowest-rated of the group from a devy perspective. 

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Who is the QB1 of the 2027 Class?

Devy / By /

Tier 3 QBs
Jayden Maiava (QB – USC) 

I think that Jayden Maiava is mostly just a product of Lincoln Riley’s quarterback-friendly offense and lacks any real NFL traits. He struggles under pressure, turns the ball over far too much, and lacks creativity when a play breaks down. I won’t deny that he has the size and production profile to be on this list, but he’s not someone I’m targeting in devy formats. 

Drake Lindsey (QB – Minnesota)

I see why Lindsey is getting so much hype in devy circles. He’s a pro-style quarterback with excellent size and elite arm talent, can push the ball down the field with relative ease, and impressed as a processor in his first year as a starter. All that considered, he’s still a projections-based bet, and as a redshirt sophomore, I imagine he’ll spend two more years in college. 

Trinidad Chambliss (QB – Ole Miss)

Chambliss really impressed in his first year at the D1 level, throwing for nearly 4,000 yards with only three interceptions. He can play off-platform, has above-average arm talent, and the rushing upside to be genuinely excited about from a fantasy perspective. My biggest concern is that he fought so hard for a sixth year of college eligibility when the 2025 quarterback class was so weak. Because of that, I question the true NFL ceiling. 

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jayden

How NFL Personnel Tendencies Are Reshaping Fantasy Value

Dynasty, Strategy Content / By /

Over the past couple of years, you’ve probably heard NFL and fantasy analysts discussing a shift in the offensive meta, specifically the rise of 12 and 13-personnel packages. But what does it actually mean, and does it have any real impact on your dynasty teams?

The short answer is yes. In today’s article, I’ll break down the “why” behind it, but first, let’s make sure we’re all speaking the same language.

If you’re unfamiliar, here’s what it means when someone refers to “X-personnel”:

11 personnel — 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
12 personnel — 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
13 personnel — 1 RB, 3 TE, 1 WR
21 personnel — 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
22 personnel — 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR

These five groupings make up the majority of NFL play-calling year over year, and the balance between them is shifting in ways that matter for how you build your roster and prioritize certain fantasy players.

For this article, I pulled NFL leaguewide data dating back to 2022 from sumersports.com, and have confirmed that TE-heavy packages are steadily increasing, while 11 personnel is decreasing across the league. 

Below, you’ll see a graph breaking down how the five most popular formations have trended from 2022 to 2025:

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USATSI 29213158

Biggest Dynasty Ranking Discrepancies

Dynasty / By /

Earlier this offseason, I wrote a similar piece, breaking down the biggest gaps between my devy rankings and those of DFF ranker @Evan_Kerr_. Today, I’m covering the dynasty players where I’m furthest from consensus here at DFF, which averages my rankings with those of Evan and @force_fantasy. Some of these might not seem like huge discrepancies, but keep in mind my rankings make up a third of what consensus spits out, so the value differences are bigger than they may seem.

As always, these rankings are based on dynasty, Superflex, and Tight End Premium scoring. I’ll provide my positional ranking for comparison with the consensus. 

Players I’m Above Consensus On
Luther Burden III – (WR – CHI)
My dynasty rank – WR14
DFF consensus – WR18

Here’s my bull case for Burden, plain and simple. He and Loveland were hand-selected by HC Ben Johnson. Rome Odunze was not. 

It took some time for Burden to get fully acclimated, but we saw his upside in the latter part of his rookie year. Through the final seven weeks of 2025, Burden finished third in the NFL in yards per route run with 2.92 (min. 20 targets). He posted a robust 26.8% target rate during that span, confirming he was a focal point in Chicago’s passing attack. 

Exptrapolate that kind of efficiency over a 17-game sample and a full route share now that D.J. Moore is gone, and you have a guy who could finish top 10 at his position in fantasy. I think there’s a very good chance Burden is a consensus WR1 (top 12) in dynasty by this time next year. 

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kewan

Who is the RB1 of the 2027 Class?

Devy / By /

The 2027 RB class has the potential to be quite strong from a fantasy perspective (or at least miles ahead of the 2026 class), depending on who all declares. As it stands in June of 2026, there are five players I think could conceivably become the RB1 overall in this upcoming draft class: Ahmad Hardy, Jadan Baugh, Justice Haynes, Kewan Lacy, and Isaac Brown. 

Today, I’ll be comparing all five of these prospects from a film and an analytical perspective to give you an idea of strengths, weaknesses, and overall value. (I also plan to use this exercise to pin down exactly how I’d like to range this group of guys in devy, because I’m having one hell of a time doing so.) 

I just wrapped up some All22 film reviews from the 2025 season for each prospect, so we’ll start with my key takeaways. 

Film Takeaways

Below are some notes I made from my film review, with positive attributes in green, neutral or average traits in black, and concerns in red. 

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Navigating the Campus Side: Expert Picks and Draft Strategy (Part 2)

C2C / By /

Welcome back for Part 2 of my C2C startup series, where I give you a behind-the-scenes look at my Campus selections and draft strategy in a league full of expert analysts. If you missed Part 1, where I covered my first ten picks, you can check that out here. I’ll run through picks 11-20 and my reasoning in this article and then wrap it up with a handful of my favorite late-round picks in Round 3. 

As a reminder, this is the Campus draft in a C2C startup, and the league format is start 12, 2QB, and Superflex. No more wasting time; let’s jump right in!

11.04 – Faizon Brandon (QB – TEN) 

I went with an incoming freshman for my QB3 with Faizon Brandon. He’s reportedly winning the QB competition this offseason and is tracking to be the Week 1 starter for the Vols. Brandon boasts above-average arm strength and made some impressive anticipatory throws on his high school film, displaying good footwork and mechanics. He’s not a dual-threat guy by nature but is highly athletic and mobile, amassing 24 rushing touchdowns and nearly hitting 1,500 rushing yards in his high school career. This pick could end up being a smash in the double-digit rounds. 

12.09 – Jai’Den Thomas (RB – UNLV) 

I wrote up Thomas a few weeks ago in another article as my Devy “sleeper” at the RB position. He’s coming off a 1,000-yard, 12-touchdown season where he averaged over 18 FPPG and should be in line for an even larger workload in Year 4. Not only should “Jet” Thomas be an every-week starter for my team, but I think he has some sneaky dynasty value as a potential scat back at the NFL level. He’s a smaller back but highly explosive and unbelievably efficient. 

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Navigating the Campus Side: Expert Picks and Draft Strategy (Part 1)

C2C / By /

We’re well into the DFF C2C Bragging Rights startup draft, a highly competitive C2C league bringing together content creators from Dynasty Football Factory and Campus 2 Canton. After wrapping up the “Canton” draft, the “Campus” draft is now underway. With roughly 20 rounds in the books, we’re approaching the halfway point.

This will be Part 1 of my draft series, where I’ll break down my picks from the first 10 rounds and walk through my macro-level strategy. Keep an eye out for future editions, where I cover my middle and late-round selections.

A few notes for context: this is a managed league (not best ball), with a start-12, 2QB/Superflex lineup, meaning you can start up to three quarterbacks. With that in mind, let’s review my picks and where I’m headed from here.

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My Top-Owned Dynasty Rookies

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

This weekend, we wrapped up my final dynasty rookie draft of the offseason (outside of my home dynasty league, which drafts during the preseason). With rookies now rostered in 17 of my 18 leagues, I thought it was a good time to discuss my top-owned dynasty rookies. 

Using the “exposure” feature in the Dynasty Control Room, I’m able to see my ownership percentage of every single fantasy player. Being a “portfolio manager” in 18 leagues, this feature is especially useful, showing me who I need to invest more heavily in, as well as the guys I should look to lower my exposure on. The tool also shows you which players DFF expert consensus is above and below market on, to give you an idea of whether you’re investing in the right players. 

With that, let’s take a look at my top 5 most-owned rookies right now. 

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Using Redraft to Improve Your Dynasty Team: Vol. 3

Dynasty, Strategy Content / By /

This is one of my favorite series to write every offseason. If you’re new here, the concept is simple: even though redraft and dynasty are two completely different games, there’s still a ton of value in holding them up side by side. If a player is being drafted heavily in redraft but is dirt cheap in dynasty, that’s the market telling you something. And if a veteran player is propped up in dynasty but the redraft market has moved on, that’s your cue to sell while you still can. 

Underdog ADP is about as sharp as it gets in the fantasy space, since every contest has real money on the line, hundreds of thousands of teams are drafted each year, and the ADP updates constantly. When that many people are putting dollars behind their opinions, you pay attention. So while dynasty managers are thinking three years down the road, we can use that redraft signal to find guys who are undervalued right now and identify the ones you should already be moving while their value is still inflated

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Building My Dynasty: A Full Startup Draft Breakdown

Dynasty / By /

In today’s article, I’m breaking down my most recent dynasty startup draft, covering everything from my draft strategy to player values and roster construction. The goal is to leave you with a few ideas you can take into your own startup drafts this offseason. In this particular draft, I was able to construct a team I believe can compete in Year 1 while being built for long-term dominance. With the help of the DFF Dynasty Control Room, I was able to maximize value by reviewing consensus big boards and checking “top players available” with every pick. According to DFF consensus, it paid off, as I finished with the best draft class in the league.

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2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Robert Henry Jr.

All Access, Dynasty, Rookie / By /

Robert Henry Jr. signed with the Washington Commanders after going undrafted in the 2026 NFL Draft. 
COLLEGE PRODUCTION

Robert Henry Jr. began his career at Jones College, a community college in Mississippi. He produced as a true freshman, but his breakout came in 2022 as a sophomore. That season, Henry rushed for over 1,300 yards and 18 touchdowns, earning first-team NJCAA All-American honors. 

Following this noteworthy season, Henry transferred up to D1 football, playing for the Roadrunners of UTSA. He made the jump with no issues, rushing for 11 touchdowns in 2023. This past season was his best one for UTSA, surpassing 1,000 rushing yards and finding the endzone nine times on the ground. He was used minimally in the receiving game, but did have two receiving touchdowns in 2025. 

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coleman

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Kevin Coleman Jr.

All Access, Dynasty, Rookie / By /

Coleman began his college career at Jackson State, finding some success as a true freshman on his way to 475 receiving yards and three touchdowns. 

Coleman transferred up to Louisville for his sophomore season, where he was relegated to a part-time role, running just 222 total routes. He finished that season third on the team in receptions and receiving yards, behind Jamari Thrash and Chris Bell. 

Following the 2023 season, Coleman transferred again to Mississippi State, where he posted the best numbers of his career. He was a focal point in the Bulldogs’ offense, nearly hitting 1,000 receiving yards and finding the endzone six times. 

If you’ve caught on at this point, you probably guessed right. Coleman transferred for a THIRD time, closing out his senior year at Missouri. His numbers took a dip in his final season, posting 66 receptions for 732 yards and just one touchdown. 

As a whole, Coleman finished his career with 1.98 yards per route run (YPRR) and a 21.3% target rate, both fairly pedestrian numbers for an NFL-caliber prospect. He’s purely a slot receiver, running 92% of his routes in the slot in college. 

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koziol

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Tanner Koziol

All Access, Dynasty, Rookie / By /

Koziol began his career at Ball State in 2022, where he was an immediate producer, posting 35 receptions for 379 yards and seven touchdowns as a freshman. After a small regression in his sophomore year, Koziol broke out in Year 3, finishing with 94 receptions for 840 yards and eight touchdowns. 

Following his big junior year, Koziol made the jump to the Power 4, transferring to Houston for his final season. He continued finding success against tougher competition, proving to be one of Conner Weigman’s most reliable targets in 2025. He closed out his senior year with 74 receptions for 727 yards and six touchdowns. He led all FBS tight ends in both targets (94) and receptions in 2025. 

Koziol’s efficiency over his final two seasons indicates he should be a very fantasy-friendly player if he manages to see the NFL field consistently. He averaged 2.12 yards per route run (YPRR) and a 29.4% target rate, both excellent marks for a tight end. 

Screenshot 2026 04 26 5.26.59 PM

FILM

Below is a snippet of my film breakdown for Koziol in our 2026 Dynasty Rookie Draft Guide:

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stribling

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: De’Zhaun Stribling

All Access, Dynasty, Rookie / By /

De’Zhaun Stribling was drafted by the San Francisco 49ers, becoming the 6th wide receiver and 33rd overall player in the 2026 NFL Draft.
COLLEGE PRODUCTION

Stribling was a five-year player in college, starting his career at Washington State, where he played his first two seasons. Stribling was a Year 1 producer, nearly hitting 500 receiving yards and five touchdowns as a true freshman. 

He failed to take that next step forward with the Cougars in his sophomore season, transferring to Oklahoma State for the 2023-24 season. He suffered a wrist injury in his first year at Stillwater and missed all but four games that season, ultimately electing to redshirt. 

Stribling broke out in Year 4 as a redshirt junior for the Cowboys, hauling in 52 receptions for 882 yards and six touchdowns. He posted an impressive 25.5% target rate and 2.44 yards per route run that season, both career bests for the young man. 

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