davante adams

Comparing ADP, Dynasty to Redraft: AFC West

A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking โ€œwell, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!โ€ to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty heโ€™s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over nine parts (one part for each division and a rookie roundup after the draft), Iโ€™ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.

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Aaron Rodgers

Aaron Rodgers to the Jets

I speak for everyone when I say, it took long enough. This was a move that felt inevitable at one point and then doubtful at another but eventually, the deal was done. I must give credit to the Packers’ front office for the stones it took to hold fast waiting for a deal that had to happen. Their ability to hold got them the best possible return they were ever going to get for Rodgers. The Jets needed that deal to go through as well, given their roster is ready to compete with only Zach Wilson in the quarterback room prior to the trade. Alas, we are not here to pour praise upon Brian Gutekunst (Packers GM), we are here to understand the impact this move has on all of our Dynasty assets.

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tigh end adp gains

Free Agency Dynasty Impact: AFC Roundup

The annual ramp-up to dynasty rookie draft season continues. First, itโ€™s the Combine. Next comes free agency. Then the NFL Draft. We just wrapped up the second day of free agency and below I take you through the biggest impacts on dynasty players from signings in the AFC. We will also be doing a wrap-up of the NFC signing impact on dynasty shortly.

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What To Do At Picks 1-3 In Your Dynasty Start-Up?

So youโ€™ve got an early pick in your start-up draft this off-season and youโ€™re not sure what to do? Iโ€™m going to be continuing this series to help you out. Unlike in myย last article, I have yet to do a start-up from an early draft slot, so Iโ€™m going to be taking a look at a couple of teams whose draft strategy I love and break down their picks, then discuss other players I like at different rounds of the draft.

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stocks

Roster Building Strategy: Positional Values as Stock Investments

We move deeper into Dynasty Non-Points-Scoring Season as the NFL Post Season nears a close which means trading, startups, and loading up for the rookie draft will be the only thing to do for a few months. But itโ€™s important to understand that building a competitive roster for multiple seasons means correctly valuing players by position and individuals. Whether or not youโ€™re new to Dynasty or a seasoned vet you can use my helpful โ€œStock Marketโ€ analogy when investing assets into trades or drafting in startups.

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Kyle Pitts

Kyle Pitts: A Unicorn Without Its Horn

A unicorn without its horn is still a very special horse. Its defining characteristic is lost, but itโ€™s easy to see that the magic is still there. When I think of magic (and more importantly, unicorns), I donโ€™t imagine white manes, rainbows, or holographic elementary school backpacks. I think of Kyle Pitts. His โ€œmagicโ€ comes in the form of ridiculous workout metrics, delectable college production, and tantalizing size. His โ€œhornโ€ is his TE designation. Come with me on a different type of fantasy journey as we explore the fate of Kyle Pittsโ€™ dynasty value if he were to lose his TE designation.

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Paid In Full: Evaluating the Past and Present Wide Receiver Market

A basic understanding of NFL contracts can significantly improve your strengths as a dynasty football manager. Knowing when players are due for extensions or about to hit free agency can give you a head start on future market evaluations. Job security is an essential factor in the stability of player values. However, big pay days do not always equate to increased production. In this article, we will highlight a few of the NFLโ€™s biggest contracts at the wide receiver position while looking back on previous major extensions and the production that followed thereafter. First, letโ€™s dive into the current wide receiver contract market and the massive shifts made this offseason.

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Training Camp Takes: How Training Camps Impact Dynasty

The long football drought is finally over. A torrential downpour of offseason hype is flooding timelines as mandatory training camps are in full swing in the latter summer months. Preseason is fast approaching as teams ramp up in-house drills in preparation for the new campaign. Training camp reports can have a tangible effect on player value and, subsequently, the dynasty market as a whole.ย Today, we will analyze several recurring trends we see during the height of hype season and the impact those trends have in your Dynasty Leagues.

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Dynasty Market Sweep: Veteran TE Evaluation

Welcome to the Dynasty Market Sweep, a weekly recurring offseason article focusing on substantial value disparities in the dynasty market consensus. The very nature of the instantaneous fantasy news feed has made the dynasty market more reactionary and volatile than ever before. Once the proverbial petrol is poured and Twitter fingers snap to ignite, player values can burn to the ground overnight. Value changes of this nature cause a ripple effect across the market. For every step up the ladder, someone must move down and vice versa.

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Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: Las Vegas Raiders

Thereโ€™s only one obvious fantasy player that sees a decent fantasy boost going into the 2022 season. โ€œBring in the Carr.โ€ What most fantasy managers donโ€™t realize is that he has improved steadily throughout his career. His completion percentage has improved mightily since entering the league. He smashed his career-high in passing yards this past season. Sure, heโ€™s turned the ball over a little more as of late, but whatโ€™s most important is that Carr finished as the QB13 in 2021, which is tied for the second-best finish (2016 was his best) during his eight-year career. Barring injuries, he should have no problem serving as the QB12 or better going forward now that his former college teammate, Davante Adams, is hauling in passes from him once again.ย 

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Top 10 Fantasy Football Myths Busted: #1-5

There is no shortage of annual narratives that develop within the hive mind of the fantasy football (FF) community. Some narratives last for several seasons, and some attach themselves to specific players. That is not to say that the hive mind canโ€™t be useful, or that narratives that form are necessarily wrong. Quite the opposite happens a lot of the time. The wisdom of the crowd is something that can be leveraged to improve oneโ€™s fantasy performance. But following the groupthink mindset can be treacherous, and has led to what I think are some systemic misunderstandings within the hobby.

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Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: Jacksonville Jaguars

Welcome back to the โ€œFantasy Stock Up, Stock Downโ€ series (off-season edition). The big free agency splash moments are all but over at this point, and the NFL Draft is approaching quickly. We as Dynasty Managers need to be evaluating these off-season transactions and thinking about our roster adjustments every day. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? Thereโ€™s so much to think about before September. The โ€œoff-season editionโ€ of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the Jacksonville Jaguars.ย 

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Dynasty Market Sweep: Quarterback Carousel Part 1

Welcome to the Dynasty Market Sweep, a weekly recurring offseason article focusing on substantial value disparities in the dynasty market consensus. The very nature of the instantaneous fantasy news feed has made the dynasty market more reactionary and volatile than ever before. Once the proverbial petrol is poured and Twitter fingers snap to ignite, player values can burn to the ground overnight. Value changes of this nature cause a ripple effect across the market. For every step up the ladder, someone must move down and vice versa.

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Look Whoโ€™s Back!

The drama that is the Aaron Rodgers Saga has now ended and Packer Nation can now breathe a lot easier this off-season. It is done. While the contract isnโ€™t officially signed, sealed, and delivered, when there is this much smoke, itโ€™s a safe bet that the ink will be drying shortly on this deal. So letโ€™s take a look at the redraft implications of this on everyone involved in this offense.

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Dynasty Market Sweep: Addressing the Age Cliff

Welcome to the Dynasty Market Sweep, a weekly recurring offseason article focusing on substantial value disparities in the dynasty market consensus. The very nature of the instantaneous fantasy news feed has made the dynasty market more reactionary and volatile than ever before. Once the proverbial petrol is poured and Twitter fingers snap to ignite, player values can burn to the ground overnight.

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Dynasty Market Sweep

Welcome to the Dynasty Market Sweep, a weekly recurring offseason article focusing on substantial value disparities in the dynasty market consensus. The very nature of the instantaneous fantasy news feed has made the dynasty market more reactionary and volatile than ever before. Once the proverbial petrol is poured, and Twitter fingers snap to ignite, player values can burn to the ground overnight.

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Week 15 Dynasty Buy/Sell

Hello, fellow fantasy managers. I am Chris Miles, The Draft Director, and welcome to the first installment of my Dynasty Buy/Sells. I will be helping you determine what players value you should be taking advantage of in your dynasty leagues as we approach the fantasy playoffs and offseason. If someoneโ€™s value is too high I might tell you to sell. If I think their value will decrease soon, he could also be a sell. I will give my reasoning for why each player falls in a certain category. There will be advice for both contenders and rebuilders so whichever boat youโ€™re in you can get information from these articles. I will attempt to have the format consistently be two buys and two sells for both rebuilds and contenders, but that may increase or decrease depending on the week.ย 

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DFS Week 11 Recap

We’re now through Week 11 in the NFL and things are still never as they seem. A game that was a predicted shootout in Kansas City vs Dallas showed to be a complete bust. Josh Allen once again failed to exploit a weak secondary, and Ryan Tannehill threw four interceptions against the Texans. With that being said, letโ€™s see how my weekly DFS picks played out!

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DFS Week 10 Recap

We’re now through Week 10 in the NFL. Things certainly haven’t gone as expected this year and this week is proof of that. The Patriots blew out the Browns, the Steelers tied the Lions, Washington topped the Buccaneers, and the Cardinals lost to the Panthers. If this keeps continuing, my pockets will be dry sooner than later! With that being said, letโ€™s see how my weekly DFS picks played out!

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