It. Finally. Happened! After slogging through a rough streak of negative weeks, we finally went a perfect 3-0 to get within striking distance of .500 once more. What a thing to be thankful for! We’ll keep it going this week with another slate of player props. We’re on three overs this week, so let’s hope for some wild action in Week 12!
NFL Player Props: Week 12 Read More »
A second consecutive negative week, but at least we bounced back with our in-depth picks. We went 2-1 and were a half-point away from going 3-0 on the week. We’ll look to bounce back this week in force. I’m admittedly taking some risks this week on my in-depth picks, siding with two teams that are tied for the second-worst ATS record in the league. Still, I think there’s great value to be had in this full slate on NFL action, so let’s get to it!
Against the Spread: NFL Week 12 Read More »
Well…that was unfortunate. Even though the past few weeks have not been kind to our overall record, our in-depth picks were chugging along nicely. Unfortunately, even our in-depth picks were unsafe from the bad juju this week as we went an abysmal 0-3. Yuck. What’s even worse is that even Biscuits was not immune to our bad luck as she suffered her first loss since Week 3. Sorry girl.
Against the Spread: NFL Week 11 Read More »
I look at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense.
In addition, I will also make one “Longshot Pick of the Week”. This pick will always feature a more difficult bet that has a greater than 2:1 payout. The odds may be tougher, but if you’re into some fun player props take a peek!
NFL Player Props – Week 10 Read More »
How appropriate that as winter arrives my picks go on a cold streak. While we went an abysmal 5-9 on the week, the in-depth picks went 2-1 (almost 3-0 were it not for some Luton Magic) bringing those to 17-10 on the year. With 14 more games on the slate for Week 10, we’ll look to turn up the heat and get these picks cooking!
Against the Spread: NFL Week 10 Read More »
Earlier in the season, I wrote a piece on the projected win totals for both the AFC and NFC teams. With Week 8 behind us, I wanted to take some time to review our season-long win total bets and offer some opinions on where I believe each team is headed moving forward. This article will focus on the AFC teams.
While most books do not have updated win total bets, there are still plenty of season-long options to take including division winner, conference winner, and whether a team will make the playoffs. Hopefully, this article can give you some guidance on making these mid-season bets!
AFC Mid-Season Check-in Read More »
Earlier in the season, I wrote a piece on the projected win totals for both the AFC and NFC teams. With Week 8 behind us, I wanted to take some time to review our season-long win total bets and offer some opinions on where I believe each team is headed moving forward. This article will focus on the NFC teams.
While most books do not have updated win total bets, there are still plenty of season-long options to take including division winner, conference winner, and whether a team will make the playoffs. Hopefully, this article can give you some guidance on making these mid-season bets!
NFC Mid-Season Check-in Read More »
Welcome to part two of my weekly publication! As always, part one of this publication is my weekly picks against the spread, with a deep dive into three picks that I feel will provide a nice payout to bettors. In part two, I look at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense. In addition, I will also make one “Longshot Pick of the Week”. This pick will always feature a more difficult bet that has a greater than 2:1 payout. The odds may be tougher, but if you’re into some fun player props take a peek!
NFL Player Props: Week 9 Read More »
Wow. That’s all I have to say about the absolute disaster of a season for the reigning NFC champions. While the Packers are dealing with some COVID-related absences of their own, their issues seem largely relegated to their running back room. Even though the team will miss Aaron Jones, Jamaal Williams, and AJ Dillon, those absences pale in comparison to the mess that is the 49ers. Provided that the virus does not spread further (and the game actually goes ahead as scheduled) give me the Packers with confidence.
Against the Spread: NFL Week 9 Read More »
As always, part one of this publication is my weekly picks against the spread, with a deep dive into three picks that I feel will provide a nice payout to bettors. In part two, I look at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense.
In addition, I will also make one “Longshot Pick of the Week”. This pick will always feature a more difficult bet that has a greater than 2:1 payout. The odds may be tougher, but if you’re into some fun player props take a peek!
NFL Player Props – Week 8 Read More »
Well, all good things must come to an end. The Jets did it. They finally covered a spread this season bringing an end to a 0-6 record against the spread. I would like to say I’m proud of them, but really this was simply an exercise in the Bills’ ineptitude more than anything. Overall, we went positive on the week again and 2-1 in our in-depth picks! Full disclosure, I have a lot of favorites picked this week which may not bode well as favorites have only covered 44.8% of the time this year. But I’m feeling confident in these picks so, without further ado, let’s roll!
Against the Spread: NFL Week 8 Read More »
Welcome to part two of my weekly publication! As always, part one of this publication is my weekly picks against the spread, with a deep dive into three picks that I feel will provide a nice payout to bettors. In part two, I look at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense. In addition, I will also make one “Longshot Pick of the Week”. This pick will always feature a more difficult bet that has a greater than 2:1 payout. The odds may be tougher, but if you’re into some fun player props take a peek!
NFL Player Props – Week 7 Read More »
Week 6 was not kind. We went a (im)perfect .500 last week and, if I’m not mistaken, went 1-2 on our in-depth picks for the first time since Week 1 of the season. Only the Jets came through for us last week, as they always do. I definitely should have listened to Biscuits who is now 5-1 this season!!!
We are still 52-38 overall and have gone 11-7 with our in-depth picks, however, so our year is still off to a good start. Let’s keep the momentum building with this week’s picks!
Against the Spread: NFL Week 7 Read More »
Welcome to part two of my weekly publication! As always, part one of this publication is my weekly picks against the spread, with a deep dive into three picks that I feel will provide a nice payout to bettors. In part two, I look at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense. In addition, I will also make one “Longshot Pick of the Week”. This pick will always feature a more difficult bet that has a greater than 2:1 payout. The odds may be tougher, but if you’re into some fun player props take a peek!
In a similar vein to last week’s Roethlisberger bet, I’m also taking the under on the Eagles’ Week 6 opponent. I won’t rehash my entire spiel but, basically, the Eagles have not let up many passing yards to their opponents this year. Moreover, Jackson hasn’t cleared this total since Week 1, and hasn’t thrown for over 200 passing yards since Week 2.
NFL Player Props: Week 6 Read More »
For those of you checking us out for the first time, I’m @DFF_Biscuits. My role at Dynasty Football Factory is to embrace our inner degenerate by covering all things sportsbook related. Each week I’ll be writing two pieces; one will be my weekly picks against the spread. The second article will focus on specific player props. For the ATS (against the spread) articles, I will provide analysis on three bets that I feel have the best chance at getting you a nice payday. Whether it be due to matchups, injuries, or other factors, these are the three bets I feel the most confident in placing. I will also make predictions on the rest of the week’s spreads.
Against the Spread: NFL Week 6 Read More »
As much as I have preached my disdain for the Eagles this year, I have to give them credit in one area. They do not let up many passing yards to their opponents. The Eagles currently rank 18th in the league allowing, on average, 243.5 passing yards per game. Now, before you grab your pitchforks, this could be a by-product of many things including poor quarterback play, game script, etc. But consider for one moment that Joe Burrow, who is breaking NFL records left and right, only threw for 312 yards in an overtime tie to Philadelphia.
NFL Player Props: Week 5 Read More »
For the ATS (against the spread) articles, I will provide analysis on three bets that I feel have the best chance at netting you a nice payday. Whether it be due to matchups, injuries, or other factors, these are the three bets I feel the most confident in placing. I will also make predictions on the rest of the week’s spreads. How about a little Thursday night action to get us started?
Against the Spread: NFL Week 5 Read More »
A great week as we went 2-1 on our in-depth picks and 11-5(!) overall! After some average 9-7 starts this was shot in the arm we were looking for. Our strategy of picking against the Jets continues to work to perfection and (spoiler alert) we’re going to roll with it again this week. Unfortunately, Biscuits could not keep her hot streak going and fell to 2-1 on the season. No worries though, she told me she already has her next pick locked and loaded!
Against the Spread: NFL Week 4 Read More »
A perfect 3-0 on our in-depth picks is overshadowed by one of the worst injury days I’ve ever witnessed watching the NFL. While I primarily write on sports betting, I am also an avid fantasy football player. So trust me Barkley and CMC owners, I feel you. This was brutal. Overall we again went 9-7-0 bringing our record to 18-14-0. I suppose a net positive is a good thing but I’m still eager to get that really good week!
Against the Spread: NFL Week 3 Read More »
So the Jaguars… aren’t… tanking? Welcome to sports betting, where a team that has jettisoned off all of its talent somehow overcomes all odds to beat a team that went all-in on 2020. I’m sure I’m not the only one that got burned by Minshew Magic if my survivor pools are any indication. But, it still doesn’t take the sting out of it. At least we had a nice rebound with Washington pulling off the upset over a banged-up Eagles team. They’re not done yet, with defensive end Vinny Curry also suffering a significant injury. This will be a year to forget for Philadelphia. Overall we went 9-7-0, which isn’t the best but certainly not the worst. We will try to build on that this week.
Against the Spread: NFL Week 2 Read More »
