For those of you checking us out for the first time, I’m @DFF_Biscuits. My role at Dynasty Football Factory is to embrace our inner degenerate by covering all things sportsbook related. Each week I’ll be writing two pieces; one will be my weekly picks against the spread. The second article will focus on specific player props.
For the ATS (against the spread) articles, I will provide analysis on three bets that I feel have the best chance at netting you a nice payday. Whether it be due to matchups, injuries, or other factors, these are the three bets I feel the most confident in placing. I will also make predictions on the rest of the week’s spreads.
To keep me accountable, I’ll be keeping track of my wins and losses on the three bets I provide analysis on. These predictions are more “gut feel”, but you should still feel free to use them to help you place your wagers!
Betting lines were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Deposit $20 into DraftKings today and receive not only a FREE DFF Membership but also $10 in extra DraftKings credit! It’s a no brainer!
I’m so excited to be back covering another season! Let’s get started.
Week 10 Recap
Well… that was unfortunate. Even though the past few weeks have not been kind to our overall record, our in-depth picks were chugging along nicely. Unfortunately, even our in-depth picks were unsafe from the bad juju this week as we went an abysmal 0-3. Yuck.
What’s even worse is that even Biscuits was not immune to our bad luck as she suffered her first loss since Week 3. Sorry girl.
Last Week: 6-7-1
In-depth picks: 17-13-0
Overall: 77-68-1
Bengals at Washington (-1.5)
Weird game to start off on, I know, but I think Washington is not getting anywhere near enough love in this game. The Bengals do not match up well against the Washington Football Team.
Washington’s defense ranks near the top of the league in sacks, while the Bengals give up the second-most sacks in the NFL. Cincinnati passes the second-most out of any team in the league, but Washington (somewhat surprisingly) boasts the number one pass-defense in the league in terms of yards allowed. Lastly, Alex Smith appears to be rounding into form while the Bengals possess one of the league’s worst defenses against the pass.
On paper, it seems like a matchup nightmare for the Bengals and a game which Washington should comfortably win.
Packers (+2.5) at Colts
I’ll admit before I researched both of these teams I thought the Colts were a lot worse than they actually are. Still, the Packers sit atop the NFC Standings with a 7-2 record. While the Colts sit at 6-3, their victories have largely come against some of the worst teams in the league including the Jets, Bengals, and Lions. The Colts have not fared as well when playing against winning teams, and I expect them to run into another wall when they host the Packers this week. Take the Packers money line (+118) and don’t look back.
Cowboys (+7.5) at Vikings
Last week, the 2-7 Cowboys nearly upset the last undefeated team in the NFL. This week, they are more than a touchdown underdog to one of the worst defenses in the league? I’m not predicting an upset, but I don’t think the Vikings are good enough to beat anyone by more than a touchdown.
The Rest…
You can find all the NFL game odds right here, and my picks in bold below. Any games that do not currently have lines due to COVID postponements will be supplemented before kickoff.
Cardinals at Seahawks (-3.5)
Steelers (-10) at Jaguars
Falcons (+5) at Saints
Titans at Ravens (-6.5)
Eagles at Browns (-3)
Patriots (-2) at Texans
Lions (+1.5) at Panthers
Dolphins (-3.5) at Broncos
Jets (+8.5) at Chargers
Chiefs (-6.5) at Raiders
Rams at Buccaneers (-3.5)
Disagree with my picks? Have any more information that I should be looking at? Feel free to DM me on Twitter at @DFF_Biscuits!
For more from Stephen, check out his archive.
