fantasy advice

Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: Green Bay Packers

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (off-season edition). We are so close to The Draft, we can almost taste it here at DFF. As Dynasty Managers, we need to evaluate all of the off-season transactions and think about our roster adjustments every day. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “off-season edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the Green Bay Packers.

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Art of Arbitrage: Part 2

Dynasty fantasy football has often been compared to the stock market. While there are some flaws in this analogy, many of the general principles are the same. We want to “buy low” and “sell high.” We want to diversify our portfolio across multiple leagues to mitigate risk. We want a healthy mixture of upside and safety in our investments. And, we want to look for arbitrage opportunities.

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Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: New York Giants

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (offseason edition). The big free agency splash moments are all but over at this point, and the NFL Draft is approaching quickly. We, as dynasty managers, need to be evaluating these offseason transactions and thinking about our roster adjustments every day. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “offseason edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the New York Giants. 

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Dynasty Trading Psychology: It Pays To Advertise

Trading is the lifeblood of Dynasty Fantasy Football. Most of us would prefer to be in a league full of active and attentive owners where lots of trades go down. Unfortunately, that is often not the case, and even in some of the best leagues, there are usually at least one or two owners that are hard to reach (for any number of reasons) and that are hard to make deals with. I don’t know if I have ever gone through a startup draft or a rookie draft where there wasn’t at least one instance of someone reaching out to me and saying.

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State of FFPC Dynasty: Cut Trade Keep

Hello FFPC fans! It has been a while since I wrote about the state of the Dynasty landscape. I took my lumps in the championship round, failing to win a single ship out of 12 teams that made the dance. All in all, I did just a little better than break-even, which I consider a loss considering the amount of time I put in. I also had Ja’Marr Chase (WR – CIN) on only two of those teams, where his Week 17 performance swung many league titles across the hobby. But c’est la vie as I always say.

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Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: Atlanta Falcons

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (off-season edition). I don’t know if we’ve seen a crazier free agency than the one we are currently witnessing! We as Dynasty Managers need to be evaluating the off-season transactions and thinking about our roster adjustments every day. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “off-season edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the Atlanta Falcons. 

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Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: Philadelphia Eagles

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (off-season edition). Free agency has been absolutely chaotic! We as Dynasty Managers need to be evaluating the off-season transactions and thinking about our roster adjustments. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all-in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “off-season edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the Philadelphia Eagles. 

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Dynasty Market Sweep: Quarterback Carousel Part 1

Welcome to the Dynasty Market Sweep, a weekly recurring offseason article focusing on substantial value disparities in the dynasty market consensus. The very nature of the instantaneous fantasy news feed has made the dynasty market more reactionary and volatile than ever before. Once the proverbial petrol is poured and Twitter fingers snap to ignite, player values can burn to the ground overnight. Value changes of this nature cause a ripple effect across the market. For every step up the ladder, someone must move down and vice versa.

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matt ryan

Rapid Reaction: Matt Ryan Traded to the Colts

The offseason quarterback carousel continues. Matt Ryan’s name has been synonymous with the Falcons franchise for over a decade. That time is no more. After 14 long-tenured years with the same team, Matty Ice is on the move. The Colts are acquiring the veteran services of the former NFL MVP for a third-round pick in the upcoming NFL Draft, per Ian Rapoport. Ryan becomes another name on the long list of quarterback changes occurring around the league. There are colossal fantasy implications for both parties involved. A transaction of this magnitude will have a lasting ripple effect throughout the 2022 season and beyond. Let’s dive in.

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Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: Miami Dolphins

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (off-season edition). Off-season madness has begun, Free Agency has started, and the NFL Draft is approaching. Meanwhile, we as Dynasty Managers need to be preparing as well. Who are we going to target in Rookie Drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “off-season edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we look at free agency moves and approach draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the Miami Dolphins. 

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Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: Dallas Cowboys

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (offseason edition). We are just a few months away from all of the offseason madness, as teams prepare for free agency and the NFL Draft. Meanwhile, we as dynasty managers need to be preparing as well. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “offseason edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into free agency and draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the Dallas Cowboys. 

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Rookie Prospecting Through Data: Tyler Badie

This series of articles will cover the process I use to prospect and filter through each year’s rookie class, with each piece outlining a new player. I like using data to initialize my prospect profiles because it’s easy to examine many players quickly. Another reason is that there are no biases, it is strictly transposing stats from SRCFB and PlayerProfiler to my database. This lets me get a clear view of the player’s overall profile without any outside opinions or flashy highlights swaying my opinions. Once I collect the players and their stats I put them into groupings and then ultimately rank them. The next player of this series is a guy that still feels too low in the market but has a ton to like about him.

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Dynasty Rookie Pick Hit Rates in FFPC: Part 2

Last summer I wrote about my historic FFPC dynasty rookie hit rates, and how those later picks in the third and fourth rounds typically hold at least a couple of gems. If you can find the space on the limited roster in this format, those later picks are worth scrapping for. I spend them just as easily. I never let a third-round pick get in the way of making a bigger deal that I like. Often I will add a third to my offer just to further entice my potential partner.

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Dynasty Market Sweep: Post-Combine Market Report

The NFL Combine has long marked the convergence of a new season for football fans. Over 300 prospects (though not all attend) are invited each offseason to showcase their athletic prowess in front of representatives from all 32 NFL teams. A single slip-up or lapse of focus can cost a young kid millions of dollars in the draft. Alternatively, a strong performance can raise a player’s stock. As real-life NFL scouts adjust their rankings, the dynasty market follows suit. The 2022 NFL Draft class has been perennially undervalued in the dynasty community. Managers are now rushing to adjust after an impressive all-around combine from virtually every position. In this edition of the Dynasty Market Sweep, we will be analyzing the post-combine market adjustments for the upcoming 2022 rookie class.

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Rookie Prospecting Through Data: Rachaad White

This series of articles will cover the process I use to prospect and filter through each year’s rookie class, with each piece outlining a new player. I like using data to initialize my prospect profiles because it’s easy to examine many players quickly. Another reason is that there are no biases, it is strictly transposing stats from SRCFB and PlayerProfiler to my database. This lets me get a clear view of the player’s overall profile without any outside opinions or flashy highlights swaying my opinions. Once I collect the players and their stats I put them into groupings and then ultimately rank them. The next player of this series is a guy that has recently shot up boards and is now in pretty much everyone’s top-10, but that is still too low.

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Rapid Reaction: Russell Wilson Blockbuster Trade

Wow! The signs were there for the past year Denver would be making a big splash in the quarterback market. Denver suffered through poor quarterback play the last few years with Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater manning the helm. Then the Broncos signed Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick to contract extensions to make it an attractive destination for a potential new quarterback. Rumors were everywhere Aaron Rodgers was on his way to Denver. Then Rodgers announced he is staying in Green Bay and signing a new deal with the Packers. Hours later we get hit with the news from Adam Schefter on the blockbuster trade for Russell Wilson.

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Look Who’s Back!

The drama that is the Aaron Rodgers Saga has now ended and Packer Nation can now breathe a lot easier this off-season. It is done. While the contract isn’t officially signed, sealed, and delivered, when there is this much smoke, it’s a safe bet that the ink will be drying shortly on this deal. So let’s take a look at the redraft implications of this on everyone involved in this offense.

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NFL Combine: “Does Size Matter?” Running Back Edition

Each year the NFL Combine hosts about 40 of the top college running backs from around the country who have declared for this year’s NFL draft. They then have these players perform drills, various tests, as well as weigh them and measure their heights. The test and measurements I will be looking at are the 40-yard dash and a back’s height, weight, and BMI.

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NFL Combine: “Does Size Matter?” Quarterback Edition

The NFL Combine officially kicked off this week, beginning with medical testing, team interviews, and of course, in-person measurements. NCAA schools are notorious for exaggerating size (aren’t we all). The combine gives us our first look at true-to-life measurements, including height, weight, wingspan, hand size, and BMI.

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