las vegas raiders

Against the Spread: NFL Week 2

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So the Jaguars… aren’t… tanking? Welcome to sports betting, where a team that has jettisoned off all of its talent somehow overcomes all odds to beat a team that went all-in on 2020. I’m sure I’m not the only one that got burned by Minshew Magic if my survivor pools are any indication. But, it still doesn’t take the sting out of it. At least we had a nice rebound with Washington pulling off the upset over a banged-up Eagles team. They’re not done yet, with defensive end Vinny Curry also suffering a significant injury. This will be a year to forget for Philadelphia. Overall we went 9-7-0, which isn’t the best but certainly not the worst. We will try to build on that this week.

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2020 AFC Win Totals

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Finally, the 2020 NFL Season is less than one week away! While there were doubts that the season would occur due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, we are officially set to begin the season on September 10. For those of you wishing to sneak in some last-minute season-long plays, below are my predictions for AFC team win totals heading into this new year. A full disclaimer that these predictions are predicated on the belief that the season proceeds as planned with limited interruptions due to the pandemic.

All lines are provided by our friends at DraftKings. Deposit $20 into DraftKings today and receive not only a FREE DFF Membership, but also an extra $10 in DraftKings credit! It’s a no brainer!

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Against the Spread: NFL Week 1 2020

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Let’s start this year off spicy. Not only do I think the Redskins cover, I think they pull off the upset and beat the Eagles outright (+225 ML). I am firmly planting my flag that the Eagles will not be a good team this year. They have been absolutely ravaged by injuries and the season hasn’t even begun. The Eagles have lost their starting left tackle, right guard, and a whole host of receivers. Down two starters on their offensive line, who do the Eagles draw Week One? Just a Washington team boasting five first-round picks in their front seven. Couple this with the reported accuracy issues Carson Wentz is experiencing so far in camp, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Washington pull off the upset in this one.

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Lynn Bowden trade

Lynn Bowden Jr. Trade Reaction

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Considering the Raiders selected Bowden Jr. in the third round of the 2020 NFL Draft, taking an immediate loss is a stunning admission of a bad selection. The Raiders likely traded Bowden Jr. for a few reasons. First, the team already had receiving back Jalen Richard on the roster, who they recently signed to a contract extension. Bowden Jr. was unlikely to contribute significantly in 2020, if at all, behind Richard and workhorse running back Josh Jacobs.

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Vegas Receivers Smart Bet

#TomBomb: Las Vegas Raiders

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You know, it’s funny. I remember lounging in my La-Z-Boy recliner almost one year ago, to the day, and seeing Darren Waller’s name amongst 2020s predicted top 10 TE’s, by some of the very best in the industry. My initial reaction was to scoop him up, wherever possible. After this happened though, I immediately found myself wanting to trade him for a lofty return. However, bad luck hit when I found myself as the lone believer, in most of my leagues. Eventually, I concluded that Waller was just another dart throw and I wanted to invest in a much higher-ceilinged asset. Oh, the folly of man. Well, as luck would have it, Mr. Waller not only lived up to his lofty expectations, he surpassed them by clocking in as your 2019 TE3 (PPR). 

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Sleeper Series: DeAndre Washington

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After writing my redraft team breakdown series, I decided to start a new series as we approach the 2020 fantasy season. Every week, or probably more often than that, I’m going to bring you one fantasy sleeper representing a massive value in 2020 redraft leagues. All the links to previous articles are at the bottom of the article. In the first article, I detailed my methodology behind this series, so go back and read that piece if you haven’t yet! This time, we’re digging deep. DeAndre Washington is barely on most redraft owners’ draft boards, but I think he provides excellent handcuff value in 2020. Let’s jump into why I’d love to select Washington with one of my final picks in 2020 redraft leagues.

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2nd Year Breakout Wide Receivers: Part 2

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The consensus used to be that it took wide receivers three years to breakout into fantasy relevance. But, the NFL is turning more pass-happy and players are being utilized in various ways. So, it isn’t out of the question that there are a few second-year breakouts that can boost production for your dynasty team. Similar to last year, if your teams had Courtland Sutton, DJ Chark, or D.J. Moore on your roster before the start of the season, you more than likely felt comfortable with your team’s outlook. In this 3-part series of articles, I’ll look at six wide receivers that need to be considered.  If you didn’t draft some of these second-year wideouts, it’ll be almost impossible for you to acquire them going forward. But, if you’re given the chance, don’t be afraid to overpay.

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Vegas Receivers Smart Bet

Vegas Receivers: Where’s the Smart Bet?

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The Raiders have one of the muddiest receiving groups in the NFL, with a quagmire of options. Based on their dynasty values, I’ll take a look at all the receiving options and give you the smart bet for 2020 and beyond. I already broke down the entire Raiders’ offense for redraft purposes, but I want to take more of a dynasty slant, focusing on the receiving group.

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DFF Rookie Round Table, Part 6: Bryan Edwards

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We debated the rankings on Jalen Reagor, Henry Ruggs, Tee Higgins, Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa, AJ Dillon, Bryan Edwards, Antonio Gandy-Golden, Zack Moss, and Joshua Kelley. We also touched upon players in their range, and who should be ascending or descending. I want to give a big thanks to everyone who contributed to this series of articles. I urge you to go follow them on twitter.  Read the whole series for a number of opinions on players who could win you fantasy championships for years to come. This is Part 6 of the series, where @ff_spaceman and I discuss rookie Bryan Edwards.

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Rookie Redraft Update Part 4

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Back in March, I did a four-part series on the incoming rookie class. Now, it’s time to go back through my takes and examine how they’ve changed in the past few months. I’ve included my four original articles, and my live post-draft takes as links at the bottom of this article. In part one, I looked at the progression of top rookie quarterbacks from March until now. Then, in part two, I covered how the consensus top-three running backs pre-NFL Draft have progressed in redraft value. I then moved into part three, where I discussed the next tier of players, including two more running backs and two more wide receivers. It’s time for part four, where I will talk about the final four wide receivers I broke down in March.

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DFF Rookie Round Table Part 2: Henry Ruggs

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After recently releasing my rookie rankings, I wanted to open up the floor to constructive criticism.  I also wanted to see where I was not aligned with other DFF analysts. So, we conducted a round table discussion. This discussion is now a 10-part series of informal articles. In these articles, analysts debate why some of their favorite rookie(s) should be moved up. And in one case, moved down!

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Superflex Dynasty Backup QBs: Tier 3

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In this series, I’m looking at the backup quarterback landscape with a focus on dynasty superflex formats. In those leagues, having a starting quarterback is extremely valuable, and backups are one step away. Therefore, depending on league size, anywhere from a few to all the backup quarterbacks in the league are rostered. Keep in mind that these backups are the backup in dynasty value, not necessarily the backup on the NFL depth chart. 

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A Look Back: Rookie Targets

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Continuing my “A Look Back” series, I wanted to go back even further than the 2019 regular season and reference some of my 2019 pre-draft content. In this two-part article, I’m going to take a look at two articles I published in mid-to-late August 2019 about rookies in redraft. Let’s start with the three targets.

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Landing Spot Ramifications

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It should be noted that Kingsbury’s offense wouldn’t be able to do the same things without a player like Murray. Josh Rosen wouldn’t be breaking off big runs and creating a ton of separation for his receivers with his legs. Murray allows the team to play an entirely different style than they could with other quarterbacks. Would Murray have been on track to be so successful if he had landed with another team? Who knows, but we can be sure he probably wouldn’t have gotten the same opportunity in such a strong situation.  

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IDP Change of Scenery: Cleveland to Las Vegas

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One of the bigger names left on the market, Damarious Randall, just agreed to terms with the Las Vegas Raiders a few days ago. Unhappy with their veteran leadership and play at the safety position, they signed Randall to a one-year prove-it deal. There are no official numbers yet, but I would expect them to be team-friendly, and it’s been reported at $3.25 million.

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