It was touch-and-go at times, but I am happy to be one of many to welcome you to the 2020 NFL Season! I’m sure you all are just as excited as I am to have football back this Fall.
For those of you checking us out for the first time, I’m @DFF_Biscuits. My role at Dynasty Football Factory is to embrace our inner degenerate by covering all things sportsbook related. Each week I’ll be writing two pieces; one will be my weekly picks against the spread. The second article will focus on specific player props.
For the ATS (against the spread) articles, I will provide analysis on three bets that I feel have the best chance at netting you a nice payday. Whether it be due to matchups, injuries, or other factors, these are the three bets I feel the most confident in placing.
I will also make predictions on the rest of the week’s spreads. To keep myself accountable, I’ll be keeping track of my wins and losses on the three bets I provide analysis on. These predictions are more “gut feel”, but you should still feel free to use them to help you place your wagers!
Betting lines were provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. Deposit $20 into DraftKings today and receive not only a FREE DFF Membership but also $10 in extra DraftKings credit! It’s a no brainer!
I’m so excited to be back covering another season! Let’s get started.
In-depth picks: 0-0-0
Overall: 0-0-0
Eagles at Washington (+6)
Let’s start this year off spicy. Not only do I think the Redskins cover, I think they pull off the upset and beat the Eagles outright (+225 ML).
I am firmly planting my flag that the Eagles will not be a good team this year. They have been absolutely ravaged by injuries and the season hasn’t even begun. The Eagles have lost their starting left tackle, right guard, and a whole host of receivers.
Down two starters on their offensive line, who do the Eagles draw Week One? Just a Washington team boasting five first-round picks in their front seven. Couple this with the reported accuracy issues Carson Wentz is experiencing so far in camp, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Washington pull off the upset in this one.
Colts (-8) at Jaguars
Is it even fair to pile on at this point? As I wrote in my last piece, take a look at the names that the Jaguars have jettisoned since their 2017 season: Jalen Ramsey, A.J. Bouye, Calais Campbell, Dante Fowler, Marcell Dareus, Malik Jackson, Aaron Colvin, Tashaun Gipson, Barry Church, Yannick Ngakoue, and most recently Leonard Fournette. This is a team that has been bleeding talent for a long time and, by all accounts, looks to be punting on 2020 early.
The Colts, meanwhile, are a team on the exact opposite trend. They brought on new signal-caller Philip Rivers. They boast the best offensive line in the league according to Pro Football Focus. They traded their first-round pick in the 2020 draft to shore up their defensive line. Unlike Jacksonville, this is a team built to contend.
Eight points is certainly a large spread to bet on in Week One. But, with the way these two teams are trending, I would not be surprised to see Indianapolis win this one by 10 or more. Give me the Colts.
Dolphins (+6.5) at Patriots
Call me suspicious, but I’m not buying the Patriots hype. While Cam Newton is always an exciting player to watch, the Patriots playbook has a reputation for being incredibly difficult to master. Cam has only had a few months to learn it and there is always a chance for early mistakes.
The Patriots also boast a young and unproven receiving corps which leads me to believe that this offense is not going to come out firing on all cylinders. In addition, the Patriots lost numerous starters on their defense that seem to have been swept under the rug. I’d feel more comfortable if this line were (+7), but I feel fairly confident taking on this spread.
The Rest…
You can find all the NFL game odds right here, and my picks in bold below.
Texans (+9) at Chiefs
Jets at Bills (-6.5)
Browns (+8) at Ravens
Seahawks at Falcons (+1.5)
Bears at Lions (-3)
Packers (+2.5) at Vikings
Raiders (-3.5) at Panthers
Chargers (-3.5) at Bengals
Cardinals (+7) at 49’ers
Buccaneers at Saints (-3.5)
Cowboys at Rams (+3)
Steelers (-5.5) at Giants
Titans (PK) at Broncos
Disagree with my picks? Have any more information that I should be looking at? Feel free to DM me on Twitter at @DFF_Biscuits!
For more from Stephen, check out his archive.
