Justin Herbert

Herbert

The Injury Roundup: Week 4

Injuries are inevitable in Fantasy Football. How you prepare and react to them can make or break your fantasy team. Did you build a bench with sufficient depth to withstand the running back injury carousel? How do you pivot if a key player goes on injured reserve? Each week, we will look at the most impactful injuries in the Fantasy world and what players will step up their Fantasy production. 

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kincaid

DFS with Doug: Week 4

Welcome back to some DFS with Doug. By now, we have hit our stride and our routine for the NFL season. Every Sunday, we handle the juggling act of getting all of our Dynasty and Redraft lineups in shape while trying to make bets and, of course, submit our DFS lineups to land that big payday. That Sunday morning sweat is my favorite feeling during football season. This week, we will benefit from a football game while doing that with our first international game of the season. Or perhaps you are crazy like me and will be waking up at 5:30 MT to set some Showdown lineups for that game, too!

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minshew

DFS with Doug: Week 3

The season continues moving along, and another DFS main slate comes this Sunday. This slate is a very different animal to tackle with one game with a significantly higher total, a Monday Night Football misprice (I will explain), and even a tropical cyclone moving through the eastern United States. 

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fields

Factory AccuRankings Analysis #4: Week 1 Overreactions

Welcome back to Factory AccuRankings Analysis, the series where I will give you guys a closer look into our member-exclusive DFF consensus rankings. The full rankings are available on our website at dynastyfootballfactory.com. By purchasing our annual membership, you’ll get full access to our entire staff of creators and editors in the DFF discord on top of all the member-exclusive articles and, of course, the centerpiece of this series, the DFF AccuRankings. We also have highly comprehensive Devy rankings, which I can attest are extremely hard to come by online. 

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tutu atwell

DFS with Doug

Welcome to Week 1 DFS, and congrats once again for making it through the offseason. Week 1 DFS is one of the most fun slates of the year for many reasons. Firstly, we have a lot of people playing DFS that will not be in future weeks. These people are putting in lineups without correlations or because they like this guy or that guy, and their lineups are dead on arrival. They are doing us all a favor by paying the rake for us. Secondly, the slate is made so far in advance of Week 1 that there are a bunch of silly good values. So many so that none of them become too chalky. You can build any lineups you want. Let’s build some GPP-winning lineups, shall we?

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Reviewing Dynasty Trades

Welcome back, Dynasty family! I wanted to mix it up today and review a few real trades in my Dynasty leagues this off-season. I’ll show you the trade results and give you my thoughts, breaking down each trade, and letting you know who I think came out on top. I’ll also provide you with the basic league format for each trade, which helps us to see the complete picture. So let’s jump right into our first trade!

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Comparing ADP, Dynasty to Redraft: AFC West

A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking “well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over nine parts (one part for each division and a rookie roundup after the draft), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.

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What to Do at Picks 4-6?

So you’ve got an early-mid pick in your start-up draft this off-season and are unsure what to do? I’m going to be continuing this series to help you out. Unlike in my last article where I hadn’t done a startup from an early slot, I’ve done one startup from an early-mid draft slot, so I’m going to be taking a look at my draft and my good friend @PaulDFF’s draft, both of which are from the same startup. Afterward, I’ll discuss other players I like at different rounds of the draft. Both of the upcoming teams I’m highlighting were not from a third-round reversal, or 3RR draft, but in continuing with the fashion of my last article, later I’ll be discussing players I like in 3RR and non-3RR. Let’s hop in.

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Keenan Allen: Buy or Sell

Since entering the league in 2013, Keenan Allen has been one of the most reliable wide receivers in football from a real and a fantasy football perspective. His savvy route-running and soft hands make him a trusted target for the various signal callers he has worked with, and a weekly starter for your dynasty team. He has spent his entire career up to this point with one team but the rumor mill suggests that he could become a cap casualty for the Los Angeles Chargers. This uncertainty going into the offseason has made his value difficult to gauge from a dynasty football perspective. Where there is uncertainty can be scary for some dynasty managers but clever managers know this can also create buying windows. So with the case of Keenan Allen, should we be buying? Or should we be selling? Let’s take a deeper look.

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The DFF Dynasty Start-Up Mock Draft

As the dynasty league offseason is now in full swing, there are many upcoming NFL events to anticipate. Coming up on the calendar we have the likes of the NFL Scouting Combine, Free Agency, and the NFL Draft. In the fantasy football world, there is ample opportunity for value shifts for individual players and entire position groups. What better time to test the water than the end of February with a mock draft? 

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What To Do At Picks 1-3 In Your Dynasty Start-Up?

So you’ve got an early pick in your start-up draft this off-season and you’re not sure what to do? I’m going to be continuing this series to help you out. Unlike in my last article, I have yet to do a start-up from an early draft slot, so I’m going to be taking a look at a couple of teams whose draft strategy I love and break down their picks, then discuss other players I like at different rounds of the draft.

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Hendon Hooker

Early ’23 Rookie QB Rankings: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly – Pt. 3

We’ve officially passed the NFL draft declaration date and we know who exactly our fresh batch of rookie picks will be. That means no more Twitter speculation and narratives about who will declare. (Looking at you Stroud.) Sure it’s a little early to rank without draft capital. Luckily, we have plenty of numerical data from the regular season we can look at using KPIs based from DFF’s very own Chris Miles. Using the points from his model and tales from the tape, I’ll break down this highly touted rookie class by discussing The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly of each prospect.

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2023 Rookie QB Analytics: Bryce Young

Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Alabama quarterback, Bryce Young.

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Rashod Bateman

Rationalizing Lingering Injuries

I had a thought today – why do we as Dynasty players not value injuries enough? Let me explain – players who we know are good or marginally good see their production fall after being injured. Instead of simply understanding that human bodies do not perform at their best when injured, the analytics community cites advanced or semi-advanced metrics as the explanation for the decreased production instead of the decreased production as simply a byproduct of injury.

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