dynasty

Buy Low Devy Quarterbacks

The science of drafting QBs by NFL teams is suspect at best, thus identifying successful QB prospects has even more difficulties. Even the art of selecting and developing quarterback prospects are questionable to the naked eye. Here we will try to identify quarterback prospects who have gigantic potential returns that are still readily available, across devy fantasy leagues.

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Worst Landing Spots: QB 2020 NFL Draft

The quarterback position is somewhat similar to tight ends in that you’re usually fine with any landing spot affording you a shot at a legitimate and immediately productive fantasy asset. Drafting a starting quarterback is great but ask the Dwayne Haskins or Sam Darnold owners how they feel about it so far. Some teams are not equipped to support or develop a high-level quarterback. These are those organizations. 

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Foles to Chicago: The Meaning for Mitch, Minshew and Franchises

This piece will cover the dynasty impact of the recent trade of Nick Foles from the Jaguars to the Bears. Let’s jump right in.    The Trade After deciding to go forward with Gardner Minshew as their starting quarterback, the Jaguars were looking to trade former starter Nick Foles. After searching for a few weeks, they settled on the Bears as a trade partner. The Jaguars received the 140th overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, a compensatory fourth-rounder, in exchange for Foles.   Foles vs. Trubisky Based on just the money, one would expect Foles to be the Bears’ 2020 starter. Foles will receive $15.625 million from the Bears in 2020, while Trubisky will earn just $9.327 million. However, money is not the only part of the equation.  Bears GM, Ryan Pace, traded significant capital in the 2017 NFL Draft to trade up and select Trubisky second overall. It seems like both Pace, and head coach Matt Nagy, have bet their jobs on Trubisky’s success. Therefore, I believe that whether it’s the correct choice or not, Trubisky will get the first crack to start in 2020. In my opinion, we are heading for the same situation that Marcus Mariota and Ryan Tannehill were in for the 2019 season. Trubisky will get every opportunity to prove himself as the starter, but if he continues to fail, the Bears will not hesitate to make a mid-season quarterback change. Even though Trubisky starting is what I believe will happen, that’s a different question from what should happen. Let’s put Trubisky’s and Foles’

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Receiving Corps vs Receiving Corpse: New Season Fallout

This followup piece serves to address how each receiving corps is impacted by the DeAndre Hopkins trade to Arizona. The previous article on DFF was a quick reaction to the transaction. It mainly focused on the immediate fantasy impact for Hopkins and Arizona’s quarterback Kyler Murray.  

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Dynasty Debate: Josh Jacobs, Is He Elite?

Welcome to the kickoff of a new series of articles I will be starting that will delve deeper into certain debates that are popular within the dynasty community. The purpose of these debates is not to convince you which side of the argument is correct but rather to shed light on a particular player and lay out a convincing counter-argument to their current narrative. Here we will discuss Josh Jacobs, running back for the Las Vegas Raiders. 

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Three Breakout Wide Receivers for 2020

This article aims to identify three wide receivers to buy low on before they break out in 2020. The chart above plots Air Yards on the X-axis and 2019 PPR Fantasy Points on the Y-axis. 18 players in the NFL finished with over 1,400 Air Yards on the season. Of those 18, only three failed to finish with more than 200 fantasy points on the year: Mike Williams, Curtis Samuel, and Robby Anderson.

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Aaron Parker: Dominant Small-School Wide Receiver Target

Aaron Parker checks a lot of boxes. First and foremost, Aaron has impressive age-adjusted college production. He broke out during his true freshman season at age 18 for the Rhody Rams. The Gwynn Park High School product was URI’s primary receiving option. He also had a 34.7% dominator rating (average market share of receiving yards and touchdowns) in his first season. Parker continued to produce at an elite level for Rhode Island. He earned over 35% of their receiving production in each of his final three seasons. He did so with his cousin and fellow NFL Combine invitee, Isaiah Coulter, playing opposite him as well. Parker leaves Rhode Island second all-time in team history with 3,460 career receiving yards and third all-time in touchdowns with 30.

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Dynasty Veteran Buys this Offseason

The offseason is here but in fantasy football, there is no off-season. In this piece I will look at some veteran players I am targeting in dynasty leagues and why. It only takes one of these guys to make or break a season and for their price tag, you may just get the bargain that puts your team over the top.

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Rookie WR Hits and Misses: Part 3

The Steelers selected Johnson with the 66th overall pick in the third round of the 2019 NFL Draft. Coming into the season, Johnson was the fourth receiver on the Steelers’ depth chart. He sat behind Juju Smith-Schuster, Donte Moncrief, and James Washington. However, after Week 1, the Steelers had seen enough of Moncrief. From then on, Johnson and Washington shared the WR2 and WR3 roles behind Smith-Schuster. In that role, Johnson received 92 targets, converting those into 59 receptions for 680 yards and five touchdowns. He led the Steelers in targets, receptions, and receiving touchdowns, and he finished just behind Washington in receiving yards.

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Rookie WR Hits and Misses: Part 2

In Week 1, Samuel led the 49ers’ receivers with an 88% snap share, although he had just three receptions for 17 yards. The 49ers benched Pettis, giving him only two offensive snaps. After Week 1, the 49ers rotated Pettis, Samuel, Goodwin, and Bourne, a rotation that continued through Week 7. In Week 8, the 49ers traded for Emmanuel Sanders. They benched Pettis and Goodwin and used Sanders and Samuel as their two starting receivers, with Bourne as the primary WR3.

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The Dark Side of the Moon: Exploring IDP through the Prism of Offense

In the interest of furthering the inclusion of individual defensive players in redraft and dynasty leagues alike, let’s explore how each of the five defensive positions functions like an offensive position on fantasy football rosters. I can’t tell you which offensive player or even fantasy rookie draft pick you should offer for Aaron Donald without knowing the context of your league. I can, however, explain how to value defensive tackles in fantasy football using tight ends as context. In fact, each defensive position has a close parallel on offense.

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Worst RB Landing Spots: 2020 NFL Draft

The 2020 running back class appears to be deep and filled with talent. David Montgomery may not even make a top-five list among players like D’andre Swift, J.K. Dobbins, Jonathan Taylor, Cam Akers, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, and the list could go on. We love watching these guys in the combine and get excited about the NFL Draft. What we don’t want is for any of them to end up of the following teams. 

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Rookie RB Hits and Misses: Part 2

Ingram led the way with 202 carries, with Edwards in second with 133 carries. Hill lagged with just 58 carries. Hill also only had eight receptions in all of 2019, a major disappointment for a player with highly touted passing-game skills. Edwards, who has almost no pass-catching ability, finished with seven receptions, just one less than Hill. Hill played in all 16 games, so his poor stats were not due to injury. He also played on only 17% of offensive snaps.

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Rookie QB Hits and Misses

This series will look back on the 2019 class and explore the biggest hits and misses. Now, since this will be a long series, let’s start with the premise here in part one. For each position, I will examine all the rookies that were selected in a significant number of rookie drafts, or achieved significant production at that position. A hit will generally be a player that produced fantasy points in year one and gained or at least maintained their dynasty value. A miss will be players who didn’t produce or at least who underperformed. I will also have a third category; incomplete. In this category, I’ll discuss those players who did not receive significant playing time and where they can go in 2020 and beyond.

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Prediction: Combine Risers

Listed at 6’4 220 pounds, Cole McDonald looks like an NFL talent. McDonald has a rocket of an arm and moves very well for his size. As a two year starter at Hawaii, the gunslinger threw for 8,010 yards and 69 touchdowns. Although putting up video game numbers, McDonald is considered a day 3 prospect by most. This is likely due to a funky throwing motion and less than desirable completion percentage of 61.4. However, with a strong performance in Indianapolis, I believe Cole McDonald can make his way into the Day 2 decision. To do this, he will need to run a good 40 time and show off his arm talent. 

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The Untradeables

Julio Jones is only untradable due to age. That’s the only reasonable excuse to not give proper value for a receiver who consistently a top-five or 10 fantasy player in his position. Jones finished 2019 as the WR4 with 99 receptions for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns. 

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