chris godwin

Building a Redraft League Winning Roster: Part 2

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Having a consistently high floor allows for a better chance to make the playoffs. But the title of this series is not how to make the playoffs. Our goal is to win. Assuming you read Part 1 of this series, you know that our plan in rounds 3-6 is to go after high upside wide receivers. This doesn’t mean that we are neglecting other positions and only looking at wide receivers, but the value here is tremendous. This is also why solidifying the running back position is so important to do early. It now allows us to chase value in these rounds. 

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DFF Redraft League: Drafting from the Ten Spot

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This past weekend, I had the pleasure of drafting against a number of my colleagues for our 14-team staff league, cleverly named the “DFF Redraft Championship.” The draft was a ton of fun, and I can already tell the competition is going to be stiff. For some additional context, our starting lineups consist of 1 QB, 2 RBs, 2 WRs, 1 TE, 3 W/R/T, 1 K, and 1 DEF. Passing TDs are worth 6 points, while rushing and receiving first downs are worth 0.5 points. There is also a 0.1 point per carry bonus and a 0.5 TE reception bonus.  In this article, I’ll be breaking down the thought process behind each of my picks. 

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Antonio Brown: League Winner

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If you’re in the business of winning, then you should be in the boomin’ AB business in 2021. He is the definition of a potential league winner. After almost 18 months away from football for well-publicized off-the-field issues, he joined Tampa Bay Week 9 and was quickly back to vintage form. He finished in the 88th percentile against man coverage (Reception Perception) and third in fantasy points per snap (PFF). This led to him finishing tied as the WR21 on a point per game basis in Weeks 9 through 17. Considering AB was available in the late rounds of dynasty start-up drafts, and on the waiver wire in redraft leagues, the low-end WR2 production he posted was money in the bank for those fantasy players who took the risk on AB. 

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Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: NFC South

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Tampa Bay made it apparent that they wanted to retain Brady’s pass-catchers by re-signing both Antonio Brown and Chris Godwin. Add them to the mix of Mike Evans, Scotty Miller, Rob Gronkowski, and Cameron Brate, and this group may be the deepest receiving crew in the league. To add more fire to the mix, O.J. Howard will come into the 2021 season fully healthy again. Brady finished as the QB8 last season, but most of his damage came in the second half of the season. From Weeks 7 and 17, he served as the QB6, but what’s more impressive is that he finished as the QB2 during the last three weeks of the season. Why is that the more impressive part? Maybe it’s because those last three weeks are typically the FANTASY PLAYOFFS!

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DFF Draft Coverage: Jaelon Darden to the Buccaneers

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Jaelon Darden is one of your annual small-school stories where an incredible athlete, who was overlooked by large programs, emerges. Darden was a high school QB, so he possesses basic knowledge about reading coverages and finding openings in the defense. He played in all 14 games as a backup WR during his true freshman season compiling 281 yards and three TDs on 32 receptions, while also contributing as a punt and kick returner. While he still returned punts, Darden focused on offense as a sophomore, hauling in 48 receptions for 575 yards and four TDs. 

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How the '21 Salary Cap Changed the NFL

How the ’21 Salary Cap Changes the NFL

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In March the NFL set the salary cap at $182.5 million. Which was a significant drop from 2020’s $198.2 million and even below 2019’s $188.2 million. It was the first time in seven years the cap didn’t increase by at least $10 million. With everything typically trending up, NFL teams faced cap issues heading into the 2021 offseason. We’ve already seen teams cutting veteran players and restructuring contracts. With a few notable free agents still out there and draft day approaching, what other moves could we see as teams maneuver around the cap?

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Good Luck, NFC East Defenses!

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As the great movie “Talladega Nights” informed us all, America is all about speed. Hot, nasty, bad-ass speed. Washington has taken that to heart and signed arguably the most competent and fastest wideout on the free agency market. Curtis Samuel. His signing now makes the college dream of his and Terry McLaurin into reality and nightmares for NFC East defensive coordinators. This one, two, punch is now in my mind, one of the best in the NFC, if not the NFL.

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wr dynasty buys

Dynasty Wide Receivers to Trade for

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With the recent spike in attention towards Wall Street and companies clinging to existence, I am going to give you three wideouts to trade for to save your dynasty roster from the same fate. Something to build on without giving up too much is always how I approach a rebuild, and WR is the perfect position to start at when analyzing your team. Wide receivers last a long time in a world where quarterbacks and running backs come and go frequently. In my very first dynasty league, I traded away Jarvis Landry. It doesn’t matter what I received in return because I can’t remember, and Jarvis is still producing and will continue to do so for years to come. Needless to say, I learned my lesson, and I am here to tell you about some guys to go get.

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Dominator Rating Darlings: Five Wide Receivers To Take A Chance On

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Don’t blink, or you’ll miss it. There are just three games of football remaining in the 2020 NFL season. Before you know it, the NFL draft will have come and gone, and the rookie draft season won’t be far behind. With it, comes the buzz of the incoming class, and roster cutdowns mean some players who have yet to pop, will quickly be forgotten. This article is to remind you about five wideouts who came into the NFL over the past couple of seasons, with strong analytical profiles based on their dominator rating and breakout age. 

If you haven’t heard of these metrics before, they are relatively straightforward and intuitive. 

Dominator rating is the percentage of a team’s total passing offensive output (yards and touchdowns) for which a wide receiver was responsible. It is preferable to simply looking at the raw output due to vast differences in the circumstances of each wide receiver, such as quarterback play, scheme, and play-calling tendencies. It reflects how a player was able to perform relative to their college teammates. If they can’t outperform their peers, how can they be expected to earn targets on an NFL roster?

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Dynasty Risers and Fallers Week 16

Dynasty Risers and Fallers Week 16

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In this weekly piece, I will bring you some risers and fallers from a dynasty lens. Whether it’s injuries, performance, or value, I want to discuss how players have moved around. Based on the week’s events, I’ll give some advice on how to act on the market’s movement, whether it’s buying, selling, or holding. 

I won’t limit myself to talking about any specific players or teams because I want to have the freedom to discuss whatever is most relevant. Also, of course, there are more risers and fallers than those I’m listing. However, it’s impossible to cover every single one of them, as dynasty values change weekly for many players. With that said, let’s jump into the risers first, followed by the fallers.

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Buy Sell: Championship Week

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In lieu of a standard opening this week, we’d just like to say one last thank you for reading our work all year. We hope we’ve helped you make championships, or at least enjoy fantasy football a little more. It’s an incredibly fun and emotionally-taxing game we play. If we’ve helped you have even a tiny bit more fun, we’re quite grateful. Zach and I will raise a glass to you, dear readers, and wish you much luck in this all-important championship week.

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Buy/Sell: Round Two Matchups and Dynasty Targets

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Hockenson is TE3 on the year in half-point PPR and has been a consistent fantasy asset all season. Hockenson’s floor is very high and he has an average ceiling as well. Week 15 brings a matchup against a very mediocre Titans defense. The Titans’ offense, on the other hand, is elite. I envision this game getting a bit ugly early which could lead to even more junk time points for Hockenson. You are never not starting Hockenson, but week 15 projects as a potential monster week for him in your lineup. Additionally, if you play dynasty, Hockenson projects as at worst a top-five option at the position moving forward. He is an elite option both in the 2020 fantasy playoffs and moving forward.

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Week 12 Buy/Sell

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Well, the last week of the fantasy season is finally upon us for the majority of leagues. As such, this is the last week of Buy/Sell as you know it. We’ll be here throughout the playoffs with some matchups we love for each week, just in case your league allows for trades during the playoffs. We’ll also be discussing some players we’re looking forward to drafting (or avoiding) next year, so get ready for that. Before we get into the buys and sells for the final week of the season, we’d just like to say a sincere thank you for reading. Whether this is your first time checking out the article or you’ve been with us all season, thank you! It’s been a blast writing this thing, and we hope we’ve helped you with your transactions this year. On to the final week!

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O.J. Howard’s Torn Achilles

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Howard suffered a devastating torn Achilles injury in the Buccaneers’ Week 4 game. As most of you know, any torn Achilles is a season-ending injury, but it’s also one of the worst injuries in terms of rehab and recovery. Until recently, Achilles injuries were often career-ending, although some players have managed to return from the injury. Emmanuel Sanders is likely the most memorable recent example, and he recovered and returned at relatively full health despite his advanced age.

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Dead to Me: Rob Gronkowski

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I’m taking my dead to me series into the dynasty realm. At least, dynasty leagues will be the primary focus for me in this series in the future. Writing about dynasty makes more sense for a series on burying a player, as we look at the player’s value over time. Now, it’s time to put the final burial on Rob Gronkowski. I mentioned Gronkowski in a short blurb in a risers and fallers article this week, but he deserves his own article. For someone who was once a star, he should get a proper send-off.

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The Dynasty Wire: Week 2

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David Moore is perfect on the season. He’s received a total of six targets through Week 2 and caught every single one of them. He currently has a 100% catch rate and also scored an impressive touchdown against the Patriots top tier secondary in the Week 2 win. Moore won’t see a ton of targets all year long but with Russell Wilson throwing you the ball you don’t really need too many anyway. Wilson is so accurate and efficient even the fewest amount of targets are still valuable. Moore is on all my dynasty league waivers and seems like a no brainer addition with all the injuries around the league.

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Scot Miller

Scott Miller: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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The Buccaneers drafted Miller in the sixth round of the 2019 NFL Draft as a deep wide receiver flier. Miller played four years at Bowling Green State University in the MAC conference. Even though he played at a smaller school, he dominated his team in receiving stats, gaining a bit of attention from NFL scouts. However, Miller had little chance to make an impact on the Buccaneers as a rookie in 2019. They had two star wide receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and a solid WR3 in Breshad Perriman. Additionally, the Buccaneers had two receiving tight ends with Cameron Brate and O.J. Howard and another depth receiver, 2018 fifth-round pick Justin Watson.

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The 2020 Exposure Report

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When it comes to fantasy football, we fall in love every year. During our offseason research, sleepers and favorites emerge. There are guys every season that you just have to have. But how many of those guys actually end up on your team? As buzz grows around your favorite players, ADP becomes your enemy and can end up thwarting your plans. All of a sudden, the guy you were getting in the seventh round of mock drafts all offseason costs you a fourth. You’re not alone. Here is my 2020 exposure report. It contains guys who I have a lot invested in based on where I could get them and some dudes who I wish I could have drafted more often.

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DFF Redraft Championship Draft

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The DFF team recently completed our annual DFF Redraft Championship draft and I was fortunate enough to be granted the first overall pick! We set up a 17-round PPR draft, with 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 2 Flex, 1 TE, 1 D/ST as starters, and a 7-player bench. This was especially fun because it was the first year we implemented a zoom video conference during the draft and had live commentary on each and every selection. It was certainly a tough room but we had a blast. I’m excited about my team and chances against the stout DFF competition this year. Let’s review how my draft unfolded from the 1.01 spot. 

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