Scott Miller: 2020 Dynasty Profile

Past Production

Here are Scott Miller’s full NFL stats.

Year Games   Targets   Receptions   Yards   TDs   Fantasy Finish   Fantasy PPG   PPG Rank  
2019   10 26 13 200 1 WR120 4.1 N/A

The Buccaneers drafted Miller in the sixth round of the 2019 NFL Draft as a deep wide receiver flier. Miller played four years at Bowling Green State University in the MAC conference. Even though he played at a smaller school, he dominated his team in receiving stats, gaining a bit of attention from NFL scouts.

However, Miller had little chance to make an impact on the Buccaneers as a rookie in 2019. They had two star wide receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and a solid WR3 in Breshad Perriman. Additionally, the Buccaneers had two receiving tight ends with Cameron Brate and O.J. Howard and another depth receiver, 2018 fifth-round pick Justin Watson.

Overall, Miller didn’t do much in 2019. Evans, Godwin, and even Perriman all played as WR1s at points during the season, limiting Miller to little playing time. Even though Evans and Godwin finished the season on injured reserve, Miller also missed time with injuries. Watson and Perriman got their chance to play down the stretch, instead of Miller. However, for a sixth-round rookie, Miller flashed. He managed 200 receiving yards and a touchdown, far better than most rookies with his draft capital.

2020 Performance and Outlook

After 2019, the Buccaneers underwent an extreme change to their offense. They replaced Jameis Winston with Tom Brady, and they brought tight end Rob Gronkowski out of retirement. By adding Gronkowski, head coach Bruce Arians planned to install a 12 personnel base offense, featuring Evans, Godwin, Gronkowski, and Howard as primary receiving weapons.

The Buccaneers also let Perriman leave in free agency, where he signed with the Jets. However, they drafted highly-touted prospect Tyler Johnson in the fifth round of the 2020 NFL Draft. I thought Johnson was a far more talented player than his draft capital represented, and Johnson would challenge, if not win, the Buccaneers’ WR3 position behind Evans and Godwin. Even though the Buccaneers’ WR3 would not be a starter in their base 12 offense, Johnson’s addition seemed to close the door on Miller’s dynasty value.

However, in Week 1, Evans struggled with a hamstring injury, opening the door for Miller to gain additional targets. Evans played 93% of snaps, but he only received four targets, converting them into one reception for two yards and a touchdown. In contrast, Miller caught five of his six targets for 73 yards, tying Howard for the second-most targets on the team behind Godwin.

Now, Godwin will miss Week 2 with a concussion. The Buccaneers utilized three-wide sets more than I expected in Week 1, and Miller will directly replace Godwin in the slot. I also believe that Miller will now play alongside Evans in two-wide sets while Godwin remains out of the lineup. Miller is a borderline WR3 as long as Godwin continues to miss games.

Dynasty Analysis

Unfortunately, both Evans and Godwin will remain in Tampa Bay long-term. Evans recently restructured his contract, tying him to the Buccaneers through 2021 based on his dead cap hits. The Buccaneers have stated that they plan to extend Godwin to a new deal, which they should do shortly. Howard and Gronkowski should also return for 2021, as Howard is under contract, and Gronkowski will likely play for the duration of Brady’s career.

Therefore, Miller’s value is only a blip on the radar for dynasty owners. If you can acquire a future third-round pick, I’d be happy to sell-high on Miller. I don’t think he’s a real asset, and I’d instead take a shot on a rookie pick next year.

Thanks for reading this article. You can find me on Twitter at @DFF_Karp. I love to interact with anyone in the community, so reach out at any time! I take fantasy questions and help with all formats, so keep sending those questions my way.

Be sure to check out the rest of our Dynasty Profile series!

jkarp

Columbia SPS Sports Management graduate. Director of content, writer, and ranker for @DFF_Redraft and writer for @DFF_Dynasty. #DFFArmy #FantasyFootball You can find me on Twitter @DFF_Karp.

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