Justin Herbert

2021 Redraft: Carl’s Positional “My Guys”

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In Redraft 1QB leagues I always try to fade QB and hunt upside “late”, knowing I can more than likely pick up a solid and serviceable QB off waivers if needed. The QB that fits the “late” pick with lots of upside is the Eagles QB Jalen Hurts. The sophomore QB is currently going off the board as the QB12, but his upside is much higher than that. In the three games that Hurts started and completed in 2020, he averaged 22.45 PPG. That slots in just below Lamar Jackson’s 22.71 PPG, (Redraft QB4), and Justin Hebert’s 22.55 PPG (Redraft QB7).

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DFF Redraft League: Drafting from the Two Spot

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Welcome, #DFFArmy to Dynasty Football Factory’s Redraft season kickoff! This year looks to be even more competitive than last year as we added two teams to the league, bringing the total number to 14. Not only did we grow the league size, but we expanded rosters by adding a flex position as well, which makes hitting in the mid to late rounds even more important than normal.

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Entertain Offers for Justin Herbert

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Justin Herbert’s rookie season was a veritable perfect storm for the rookie QB. Everything fell into place, and it allowed him the opportunity to break the rookie passing touchdown record. Coming off the incredible season, Herbert currently has an average draft position (ADP) of 6.6 in Superflex dynasty leagues. Only four QBs are coming off the board before him. Even if you’re a Justin Herbert truther, I think now is the time to trade him, as his value could never be higher. Let’s explore what happened last year, and hypothesize how “Big Herbs” could be looking at a different situation moving forward.

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2021 Projections: LA Chargers

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In this series, I am diving into each NFL team and putting forth my predictions on what I think they will do in the 2021 season. I think having a set of reasonable or expected projections can help us during our drafts. They can help differentiate between closely ranked players, not only by comparing floor but also by comparing potential upside. I will be showing a set of realistic or expected projections and telling you if I think anyone is being under or overvalued in best ball/redraft drafts right now. These can also be used in a dynasty mindset, especially if you are a contending team. But, even if you are in a rebuild these projections could outline a young, cheap player who may get more work than a lot of people think. Let’s dig in.

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2021 Projections: Baltimore Ravens

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In this coming series, I will be diving into each NFL team and putting forth my predictions on what I think they will do in the 2021 season. I think having a set of reasonable or expected projections can help us during our drafts. They can help differentiate between closely ranked players, not only by comparing floor but also by comparing potential upside. I will be showing a set of realistic or expected projections and telling you if I think anyone is being under or overvalued in best ball/redraft drafts right now. These can also be used in a dynasty mindset, especially if you are a contending team. But, even if you are in a rebuild these projections could outline a young, cheap player who may get more work than a lot of people think. Let’s dig in.

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Rookie Quarterback Record Breakers

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With the 2021 NFL Draft in the books and teams beginning their offseason mini camps, the NFL offseason is approaching a lull. We will overreact to one-on-one videos of a wide receiver breaking a defensive back’s ankles on a route when the receiver knows the play and the defensive back does not. Or it might be in the form of a running back making a decent-looking body catch against air. We may even see more statistics about Zach Wilson being 0-5 against teams with 10 or more wins in that respective season and posting just one passing touchdown in those five games.

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When Is It Time to Rebuild?

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As an Eagles fan, I know how fickle NFL success can be. One minute you’re high off your first Super Bowl win. Your head coach and young quarterback are rising stars in the NFL. Then you whiff on a few draft picks, retain a few players past their prime, and a couple of years later you’re dead last in the worst division in football. Your coach is fired, your quarterback is traded, and the once talent-rich roster is almost unrecognizable.

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It’s Rayne-ing Dollars in Dallas

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The Rayne Dakota Prescott contract saga in Dallas is finally over. After months of “will they, won’t they?”, sanity has prevailed and Prescott has signed a four-year contract to remain the franchise quarterback of America’s Team. Adam Schefter announced the details of the contract which includes $126million in guaranteed money and Dak will earn an eye-watering $75M in his first year which includes a record-breaking $66M (!) signing bonus.

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New NFL Coaching Hires: Where The Dust Settled (Part 2)

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Your author covered the first three coaching hires in a previous article, so it’s time to cover the remaining four new head coaches here. Each team needed enough time and attention and a fair rundown of where their franchise currently stands. Let’s continue the break down! 

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Early Offseason Dynasty Stashes

Early Offseason Dynasty Stashes

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I just wanted to give you all a quick look at some of my favorite early offseason dynasty stashes. If your league allows transactions at this time of year, I recommend picking up some of these players. Every player I’m listing here is likely on your dynasty waiver wire, or they at least could be there. On the other hand, if your league doesn’t allow add/drops right now, talk to your leaguemates. The best dynasty leagues have year-round activity. Having action all year keeps everyone engaged 100% of the time. With that said, let’s jump into the stash candidates.

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Rookie Stock Market: Week 14

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The first week of the fantasy football playoffs is now behind, and I hope you still have a horse in the race. There were lots of rookies in Week 14 that performed well and could have really helped your teams. One top-five QB in Tua, two top 10 WRs in KJ Hamler and Brandon Aiyuk, two top 10 RBs in Jonathan Taylor and Cam Akers, and plenty of others like Lynn Bowden, and J.K. Dobbins who could have been worthy Flex plays. I will not dive into all of these players, but like last week I will be giving you a quick Week 15 playoff spin on the players I do touch on this week. 3,2,1… it’s go time!

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Dynasty Sleeper of the Week: Donald Parham

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Week 14 has come to a close, and hopefully, everyone is still chugging along in the playoffs. Whether or not you are, you can keep an eye on this week’s sleeper of the week as you get primed for years to come. This week’s sleeper is definitely in the “stash and wait” category, as his 2020 usage isn’t going to wow anyone. He is paired with a good young quarterback in Justin Herbert. If you haven’t guessed it yet, our sleeper is Donald Parham, the young 6’8 athletic tight end that set the XFL on fire. Let’s take a look at Parham’s road to fantasy relevance.

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Dynasty Risers and Fallers Week 14

Dynasty Risers and Fallers Week 14

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In this weekly piece, I will bring you some risers and fallers from a dynasty lens. Whether it’s injuries, performance, or value, I want to discuss how players have moved around. Based on the week’s events, I’ll give some advice on how to act on the market’s movement, whether it’s buying, selling, or holding. 

I won’t limit myself to talking about any specific players or teams because I want to have the freedom to discuss whatever is most relevant. Also, of course, there are more risers and fallers than those I’m listing. However, it’s impossible to cover every single one of them, as dynasty values change weekly for many players. With that said, let’s jump into the risers first, followed by the fallers.

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Dynasty Risers and Fallers Week 13

Dynasty Risers and Fallers Week 13

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In this weekly piece, I will bring you some risers and fallers from a dynasty lens. Whether it’s injuries, performance, or value, I want to discuss how players have moved around. Based on the week’s events, I’ll give some advice on how to act on the market’s movement, whether it’s buying, selling, or holding. 

I won’t limit myself to talking about any specific players or teams because I want to have the freedom to discuss whatever is most relevant. Also, of course, there are more risers and fallers than those I’m listing. However, it’s impossible to cover every single one of them, as dynasty values change weekly for many players. With that said, let’s jump into the risers first, followed by the fallers.

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Difference Makers by Position: QB

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In this series, I am going to list difference makers at each position for your dynasty teams. These are the players that simply separate themselves from the rest of the pack in fantasy scoring one way or another. If your team has one of these players on it, more than likely you have been pleasantly surprised or are receiving exactly what you expected. More than likely these players are outperforming their ADP and may even be unrecognized due to the teams they are on underperforming.

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Dynasty Sleeper of the Week: Jalen Guyton

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What a week for this column! We saw some of my previous sleepers come to life in Week Seven. Nelson Agholor looked like the wide receiver one for the Raiders. Deonte Harris caught a touchdown for the Saints. Even Jakobi Meyers looked like the best WR on an abysmal Patriots offense. While all these situations can be a bit tenuous, especially this year and beyond, hopefully, we can keep it going by adding value to the end of your rosters. This week we have a guy that was one of my honorable mentions a couple of weeks back. He flashed again, and this kid is a big-play threat. Jalen Guyton, an undrafted FA from 2019, has made quite a bit of noise this year with limited opportunities. He is currently owned in 15% of leagues according to MyFantasyLeague data, and that will surely creep up, even more, this week after his 84 yards and a touchdown game against the Jaguars.

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Start/Sit Week 7

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Each and every week, I’ll be covering a handful of players that I believe will either exceed expectations or let your team down in a major way. Here’s who you should be looking at for Week 7. In terms of points per game, Justin Herbert is the QB8. Through four games, Herbert has 10 total TDs, and he’s averaging nearly 300 passing yards per game. You can trust the rookie against Jacksonville’s atrocious defense in Week 7.

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Week 7 Streamers

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Herbert has been nothing short of spectacular, averaging 21.8 fantasy points/game as the Chargers’ starting quarterback. In Week 5 against the Saints, Herbert threw for 264 yards and four touchdowns, finishing with 27.4 fantasy points on the week. Herbert also adds a bit of value with his legs, although he only averages 13.8 rushing yards/game. However, even a few rushing yards can make the difference at the quarterback positions, as QB scoring is tight outside of the top options. In Week 7, Herbert draws a dream matchup against the Jaguars’ porous defense. They’ve given up 30 or more points in every game since Week 1 in five straight losses. Opposing quarterbacks average two touchdowns, 274 passing yards, and a 106.8 passer rating versus the Jaguars. I expect Herbert to carve up the Jaguars in this game, and I have Herbert ranked as a borderline QB1 for the week.

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