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Josh Downs

Nico collins

Last Week in Fantasy: Week 4

Week 4 had its moments, but overall it was kind of blah. Drake Maye showed signs of life, Puka Nacua made his triumphant return, CeeDee Lamb reminded everyone who the “real” alpha is in Dallas, Bryce Young’s breakout season rolled on, and Brian Robinson Jr. (NOT Bijan, although he had himself a day) stole the show on Monday night with three touchdowns.

As always, I dug through the numbers and the news from all 32 teams, so you don’t have to. Every team gets a player worth talking about and a verdict: Buy, Sell, or Stash. Let’s make your lineup and trade decisions easier.

ARIZONA CARDINALS

Trey “TE1” McBride has double-digit targets and seven or more receptions in every game this season. But with only two touchdowns, it’s worth kicking the tires to see if someone is willing to part ways with him.

McBride is a Buy High for contenders or teams looking to make a push.

ATLANTA FALCONS

The Robinson duo of Bijan and Brian Jr. has scored eight touchdowns over the last two weeks, including three from Brian in Monday night’s 45-24 rout of the Saints. Bijan is still the lead dog, but Brian has double-digit touches and 50 or more rushing yards in each of his last three games.

Brian Robinson Jr. is a Buy if you need production while your team deals with injuries.

BALTIMORE RAVENS

Lamar Jackson and the Ravens’ new-look offense have been great, but Lamar is now nursing an ankle injury, missed Wednesday’s practice, and could miss time. With only one rushing touchdown on the season, we haven’t seen the blow-up game we’re accustomed to from Lamar.

With Lamar potentially set to miss games, Lamar is a Sell High!

BUFFALO BILLS

D.J. Moore hasn’t done much since his 21-point Week 1 performance. Over his last three games, he’s scored a combined 15.5 points, and now he’s banged up again. I believe in the Bills’ offense, and Moore’s injury isn’t considered long-term. I’d reach out to the Moore manager and see if he’s available.

D.J. Moore is a Buy Low.

CAROLINA PANTHERS

Bryce Young’s breakout season is here, and it’s for real. The fantasy QB3 is on a tear, leading the league in passing yards (1,268) and sitting tied for first in passing touchdowns with nine. The Panthers are on bye this week, so he can’t add to his stats, but Bryce has unlocked this offense.

Bryce Young is a Buy High league winner.

CHICAGO BEARS

Kyle Monangai had a career day, but D’Andre Swift still had 17 touches of his own. Until Caleb Williams returns and the QB play improves, Chicago will lean heavily on the run. Over the last two weeks, Monangai and Swift have NINETY combined touches!

I’m Buying both, and if one gets hurt, you have a league winner on your hands.

CINCINNATI BENGALS

Tee Higgins continues to prove me wrong this year, posting 90 or more receiving yards for the third game in a row. Joe Burrow and the Bengals average 30-plus pass attempts a game; the running game is still a work in progress, and with Ja’Marr Chase in the concussion protocol, Higgins’ target share could climb even higher.

Even though he’s banged up, Tee Higgins is a Buy.

CLEVELAND BROWNS

Deshaun Watson has turned the Browns into a fantasy surprise this year, and he currently sits as the QB12. The biggest surprise so far is his rushing production: 20 or more rushing yards per game. A big game is on the horizon for Watson and the Browns.

Watson is an upside Buy.

DALLAS COWBOYS

CeeDee Lamb stole the show on Sunday, but it was Dak Prescott who led the charge. Dak has thrown for 250 or more yards in three straight games, the Cowboys have scored 30-plus points in each of them, and he’s protecting the ball with just one turnover against eight touchdowns. Until the Dallas defense improves, the Cowboys will be in shootouts more often than not.

Dak Prescott is a Buy High for any contenders out there.

DENVER BRONCOS

The Broncos have been unlucky with their early schedule; it doesn’t get any easier, and everyone’s favorite bounce-back candidate, Jaylen Waddle, has suffered the most. With only two games of 35 or more receiving yards and one touchdown, it’s hard to trust the Denver offense moving forward.

Waddle is a Sell due to the schedule and QB play.

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odunze

2026 Training Camp Injuries & Impacts

All offseason, the drumbeat around second-year wideout Luther Burden has been deafening. Ben Johnson even said in late May that he was “buying Luther Burden stock right now.” When a head coach and playcaller says that, the fantasy community and NFL odds live should probably listen. 

And we did. 

Burden is currently going as the WR24 in FantasyPros’ Real-Time ADP for seasonal leagues. In Dynasty, he’s been steamed up to WR18 on KeepTradeCut. We’re even more aggressive here at DFF, where Burden sits as our WR17 in consensus rankings. 

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fannin

Reviewing My Top Dynasty Exposures

If you’re a portfolio dynasty player (I’d put the threshold at around eight or more leagues), it’s worth periodically checking your overall dynasty exposures to make sure your ownership percentages actually reflect your player takes. Tracking player exposure helps you identify where you’re underweight and looking to add, and who you might want to sell to avoid being over-leveraged. I use Dynasty Data Lab for this, and the dynasty offseason is the perfect window to review your exposures.  In today’s article, I’ll break down my top 10 most-owned players and share my thoughts on each from a dynasty perspective. To keep this article focused solely on impact players, I’ll just be looking at the first 12 rounds of startup ADP. 1. Harold Fannin (TE – CLE) – 41.2% ownership Fannin was a major third-round target for me in last year’s dynasty rookie drafts, coming off the most productive tight end season in college football history. He was overlooked due to his athletic limitations and the poor competition he faced at Bowling Green (both legitimate concerns), but the discount was simply too large, considering his production profile. I’m thrilled to have so many shares of what I believe is a clear Top 5 dynasty TE, and I acquired most of these shares for a fraction of his current price.  2. Colston Loveland (TE – CHI) – 35.3% ownership Another 2025 rookie prospect who was a major target of mine in the latter part of the first round. I loved everything about Loveland’s college profile; he was elite from a per-route perspective, […]

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Derek Carr

Week 13 Starts/Sits

It’s “Bye-apocalypse” Part 2. We’re short key stable options this week. It’s officially December and that means updated DFS NFL odds and the final month of the Dynasty Fantasy Football season. So, just like last time, we’re cutting back on the sits and only doing two sits per position. It’s time for our ~FREE~ Week 13 edition of Dynasty Start/Sits!

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Tank Dell

Rookie WRs Revisited

In dynasty, the WR position is constantly in flux. It changes like the wind. One week, Ceedee Lamb isn’t even a top-five dynasty WR, and the next, he’s knocking on Chase and Jefferson’s door, asking if there’s room for one more in the top tier. With that in mind, it’s important to do some of your own evaluating so that you aren’t constantly blown to and fro by the increasingly volatile market. 

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flowers

Week 5 Starts/Sits

Week 4 is in the books. We’re on to our Week 5 Starts and Sits. I had a few misses last week, like Daniel Jones, Joe Burrow, Steelers RBs, Tank Dell, Christian Kirk, and Cole Kmet. I’m incredibly sorry to those who sat Kmet because of my article last week. I could’ve won a game in a few leagues had I started him, too. However, we cannot relish too much in the past. Moving on to week 5, Starts and Sits!

Week 5 Starts/Sits Read More »

Richardson

Rookie Roundup: Week 1

Hello DFF members, I am Chris, and I will be doing a rookie round-up series for the 2023 season. My primary space in fantasy centers around analytics, rookie models, and early career models, so I should be able to make beneficial content out of this. This will be released every two weeks, and I will keep you updated on how these rookies have been performing and how their values should be changing. Let’s dive right into the week one recap for the prominent rookies.

Rookie Roundup: Week 1 Read More »

jamescook 112022

Bold Predictions for 2023 Dynasty

Bold prediction articles are some of my favorite types of content to research before drafts. In preparing for my drafts, I always have specific players I want to target who I believe are values vs. their average draft position. Bold prediction articles highlight these players that analysts make cases for being better than their ADP. Do I expect the bold prediction to come true? No. But directionally, the goal is for that player to outperform their ADP. If the bold part of it comes true, that is just the proverbial cherry on top. 

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Jaxon Smith Njigba

Final WR1 Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Analytical Model Rankings

With another NFL Draft in the books, the final piece of the puzzle is now cemented for the final WR1 analytical model grades. We certainly saw a few surprise names early, “Hello, Jonathan Mingo!” and a few names that fell like once heralded five-star prospect Kayshon Boutte. Draft capital is a significant input into the model so we did see some realignment of the names in the re-draft WR1 model top 15 as well as a couple of new entrants.

Final WR1 Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Analytical Model Rankings Read More »

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