Jacksonville Jaguars

Comparing ADP, Dynasty to Redraft: AFC South

A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking “well, duh! Of course older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over nine parts (one part for each division and a rookie roundup after the draft), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.

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Dynasty Risers and Fallers Week 3

Top 5 Dynasty Sleeper Buys

I’ll be honest, I’ve always been a HUGE Gardner Minshew fan. He came into the NFL severely underrated as a QB coming out of Mike Leach’s WSU offense where anyone could pass for 5,000 yards. However, Minshew was given his chance to play for the Jaguars, and he played well!  replaced him with generational talent Trevor Lawrence, which is understandable, but how this guy hasn’t been given another shot by a different team after what he showed is beyond me. Minshew had to step in for an injured Jalen Hurts for a couple of spot starts last year, and again, looked impressive.  Everything I’m hearing draft buzz-wise is that Indy may pass on a first-round QB and hand the reigns over to Minshew, making the mustachioed miracle an interesting buy low.

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Predicting and Analyzing the 2023 RB Carousel: AFC & NFC South

The 2023 offseason promises big changes to the running back landscape in the NFL. Over the next couple of weeks, I’ll go over my predictions for the running back situations of each team, as well as the corresponding fantasy implications. Check out Part 6 of this series, where I looked at the NFC North. Today, in a 2-for-1 special, we’ll take a quick look at the AFC and NFC South divisions.

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Dynasty Outlook: Travis Etienne

After being injured during the preseason of his rookie season and sitting out his entire first year, Travis Etienne (RB – JAX) had a troubled beginning to his sophomore season. After beginning the season losing touches to third-year veteran James Robinson (RB – NYJ), he finally broke out in Game 5 and following that he posted stellar rushing performances, having a notable 25-yard + rush in seemingly every game. Ending his season as RB17 and having 12 ppg vaulted his value to RB five on KTC, placing him just between Christian McCaffrey (RB – SFO) and Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG) in the RB category, and Kyler Murray (QB – ARZ) and Chris Olave (WR – NO) overall.

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Divisional Round Prop Bets

Are you a fellow better looking for good action this weekend? Look no further than this article as I will list my favorite props and my picks for each game this weekend. So take a seat, check NFL betting lines, log into your favorite sportsbook app and let’s win some money!

Tyler Conklin

Week 17 Streamers

It’s championship week here in the fantasy football community. Streaming options are getting worse and worse as the season goes on. Although there are a decent amount of solid streamers at quarterback this week, the tight ends are a different story.

Garrett Wilson

NFL Player Props: Thursday Night Football Preview

Thursday Night Football is here to showcase an AFC playoff matchup with unexpected playoff implications. The 6-8 Jaguars are visiting the 7-7 Jets in a game that could really boost the odds of making the playoffs for one of these teams. The betting lines favor the Jets by only 2.5 points with the Over/Under scoring total set at 37.

Marcus Mariota

Week 7 Streamers

We’re now inching toward the halfway point of the season. Your league standings are starting to shape up, as we get into the pivotal time of the year for your week-to-week matchups. Week 7 brings some repetitive (but decent) streaming options. We will always provide the best players to stream at quarterback, tight end, and D/ST. Remember that each streaming option will be below 60% owned, according to ESPN.

Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: AFC South

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (preseason edition). We have officially made it to Week 3 of the preseason. Positional battles are ramping up. Injuries are opening up opportunities for players looking to earn significant roles and/or roster spots. And the time to be the most active in dynasty leagues is NOW. We are going to hear “hype” reports from beat reporters. And we are going to hear some reports that make us feel a little uneasy about our player investments. Us Dynasty Managers must constantly research ways to bolster our rosters. In this continuation series, we will dive deep into one player whose dynasty stock is increasing and one player whose dynasty stock is decreasing from each team in every division. Today, we will break down the AFC South. 

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Fantasy Hits and Misses

NFL Fantasy Futures and Bold Bets

The start of the 2022 NFL season is merely days away, with teams wrapping up their final exhibition matchups. The electric hype of preseason is shifting to a fevered height as managers begin to paint a clearer picture of their projections. Now that we have an arsenal of information at our disposal, let’s dive into some bold predictions for the 2022 season with some potentially profitable betting lines should these outcomes ring true.

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Laviska Shenault to the Panthers: Rapid Reaction

The fantasy community was hit with its first NFL trade in a while as we approach the start of the NFL season. The Panthers have acquired Laviska Shenault from the Jaguars in exchange for “undisclosed draft capital”. This trade not only has fantasy implications for Laviska himself but also for the players on the Panthers and the Jaguars. So without further delay let us break down the impact of this move.

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Two Unsexy Picks to Bolster Your WR3/Flex Slot

With the NFL Draft in the rear-view mirror and Rookie minicamps underway, Redraft season is soon approaching. While the average draft position of many players will fluctuate as the summer rolls along, here are two names I’m currently targeting in Redraft leagues. 

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2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Kevin Austin Jr.

Kevin Austin Jr. had a quiet collegiate career before the 2021 season. He missed time with a broken foot and a team suspension that was due to violating team rules. The violations were never disclosed. He then broke out during the 2021 season, as he hauled in 48 receptions for 888 yards and seven touchdowns, leading the Fighting Irish in nearly every receiving category. 

draft stock week 16

2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Devin Lloyd

While at first, you may wonder about the landing spot, since Jacksonville just signed Foye Oluokun to a big deal, let us consider the entire picture. Foye is an undersized weakside LB, where he excelled in Atlanta the past two years. Devin Lloyd fills the prototypical three-down middle Linebacker role. Also, remember that Jacksonville traded up to make this selection, which tells how highly they think of Lloyd. The Jaguars project to play a lot of snaps on defense in the coming seasons, so Lloyd can really pay dividends as an IDP investment. Expect to see him drafted in the early-to-mid second round of IDP dynasty rookie drafts.

2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Travon Walker

Travon Walker was a five-star recruit coming out in 2019. He was named to the Freshman All-SEC Team in his first year at Georgia with 15 tackles, 3.5 TFLs, and 2.5 sacks as a true freshman. He played as a reserve in 2020 with decent numbers before becoming a lynchpin on the edge for the National Champion Georgia Bulldogs in 2021. He recorded 37 stops, 7.5 TFLs with six sacks, and two pass breakups.

Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: Jacksonville Jaguars

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (off-season edition). The big free agency splash moments are all but over at this point, and the NFL Draft is approaching quickly. We as Dynasty Managers need to be evaluating these off-season transactions and thinking about our roster adjustments every day. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “off-season edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the Jacksonville Jaguars. 

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Dynasty Market Sweep: Rookie QB Value Review

Welcome to the Dynasty Market Sweep, a weekly recurring offseason article focusing on substantial value disparities in the dynasty market consensus. The very nature of the instantaneous fantasy news feed has made the dynasty market more reactionary and volatile than ever before. Once the proverbial petrol is poured, and Twitter fingers snap to ignite, player values can burn to the ground overnight. Value changes of this nature cause a ripple effect across the market. For every step up the ladder, someone must move down and vice versa.

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Redraft Waiver Wire Grind: Week 13

We’re officially just two weeks away from one of the best times of the year; fantasy football playoffs. By this time of the year, the waivers are looking as dry as ever. This means it is time for us to get a little sneakier and find some deep depth to stock the end of our benches with. We, as you know, are always on the hunt for running backs with a path to opportunity. But this week there’s not any to be found sitting on waivers, meaning it’s time to pivot; pivot from running backs to some sneaky late-week receivers.

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DFF: Fantasy Fact or Cap

Welcome back to this week’s edition of Fantasy Fact or Cap for Dynasty Football Factory, the article with hot questions and even hotter answers. I’m your host, Matt Ward, and I have a laundry list of trending narratives to break down for you today. Without further ado, let’s look at some of the most talked-about topics in fantasy football and decipher whether they are fact or straight cap.

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