Dynasty advice

When Is It Time to Rebuild?

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As an Eagles fan, I know how fickle NFL success can be. One minute you’re high off your first Super Bowl win. Your head coach and young quarterback are rising stars in the NFL. Then you whiff on a few draft picks, retain a few players past their prime, and a couple of years later you’re dead last in the worst division in football. Your coach is fired, your quarterback is traded, and the once talent-rich roster is almost unrecognizable.

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Bench Churning and Why You Should Be Doing It

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In most dynasty leagues, once the season starts there isn’t always much to be done on the waiver wire. There’s always going to be players that breakout, but if your league has deep benches, they may already be rostered. Churning your bench is a relatively simple strategy that has benefits beyond just keeping you busy on waivers during the season.

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Dominating Your Rookie Draft: 2021 Rookie Tiers

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The Rookie 1.01 Draft pick always holds a premium in dynasty fantasy football. Rookie draft picks also vary in value based on the current time of the year that we are in. In the second part of this article, we are going to explore how to dominate the 2021 Rookie Drafts and revisit the value of how rookie pick values change at different parts of the season.

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Dominating Your Rookie Draft: Rookie Pick Value and Tiers

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There is no time when a draft pick is more valuable than when it is on the clock in your rookie draft. You have the power to select your favorite rookie prospect, but you also have the opportunity to trade the rights to the pick for what you view as more value to a league mate. By the time rookie drafts roll around, the ADP is more or less settled and we are targeting our favorite prospects within their given tier. Being right on one player versus another player is very important, but being in the situation to control your draft is even more crucial to success in your fantasy leagues.

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Kenny Golladay Reaction

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On March 20th, Kenny Golladay signed a four-year, $72 million contract with the New York Giants. Put another way, the biggest receiver in free agency signed the biggest contract to play in the Big Apple. When an elite wide receiver changes teams, as we saw with Stefon Diggs and DeAndre Hopkins in 2020, it’s kind of a big deal. There will be significant fantasy ramifications for each member of the Giants’ offense, from Daniel Jones to Saquon Barkley to Darius Slayton. Let’s zoom in for a closer look!

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Travis Kelce’s Age Is Not a Reason to Sell

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I am fortunate enough to roster Travis Kelce in one of my dynasty leagues. Every offseason I wrestle with the idea of trading him away while I can maximize the value. Every offseason I decide I’ll hold him for just one more year. Playing the age game in a dynasty league is difficult, so I decided to dive into the historical performance of players age 30 or older at the tight end position. Here’s what I found.

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Robby Anderson

Is Robby Anderson for Real?

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If you’re anything like me, you grabbed Robby Anderson every year he was with the Jets expecting a massive breakout. You usually came up empty-handed as Anderson only finished inside the top 24 once (WR18 in 2017). In 2020, he signed with the Panthers and, after a fast start, finished as WR19. The Robby rollercoaster has burned a lot of fantasy managers over the years, so I decided to find out if last season was an outlier or the new normal.

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Creating Your Own Prospect Database

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As we close out the 2020 football season with a Super Bowl matchup between the last generation’s greatest quarterback and the next generation’s greatest quarterback, rookie fever is quickly approaching. Many people like Peter Howard (Twitter handle: @pahowdy) and Dave Wright (@ff_spaceman) have set up prospect databases that are uniquely useful, and I have posted links to each respective database so you can check them out for yourself.

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patriots team needs

Damien Harris: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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The Patriots selected Harris with the 87th overall pick in the third round of the 2019 NFL Draft. They had a relatively crowded backfield at the time, consisting of 2019 first-round pick Sony Michel, pass-catcher James White, and veteran Rex Burkhead. Given Michel’s relatively inefficient performances as a rookie, some people thought that Harris could challenge for the starting role. Even if Harris wouldn’t be the immediate starter, I believed he could compete with Michel for early-down work, alongside White as the third-down back.

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#TomBomb: Los Angeles Chargers

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Is there a more underappreciated WR in the league than Keenan Allen? As far as Old Tom is concerned, that answer is a resounding no. Now, please understand, I’m not saying there aren’t other stud WRs who are also treated poorly, in the fantasy community. What I’m saying is that when you attempt to marry the disrespect with the stat-production, Mr. Keenan takes the cake, in Old Tom’s eyes. One reason, the main reason really, I believe Allen seems to have a tough time knocking off the negative vibes, stems from his year two regression and the following two injury-riddled campaigns. The final straw, unfortunately for many, was the torn ACL suffered in Week 1’s contest back in 2016. What that did was it gave Allen the all so important “injury-prone” tag, that found its justification in the reality of 25 missed games over the course of his team’s previous 34 contests. Ouch! (pun intended)

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Vegas Receivers Smart Bet

#TomBomb: Las Vegas Raiders

Dynasty / By /

You know, it’s funny. I remember lounging in my La-Z-Boy recliner almost one year ago, to the day, and seeing Darren Waller’s name amongst 2020s predicted top 10 TE’s, by some of the very best in the industry. My initial reaction was to scoop him up, wherever possible. After this happened though, I immediately found myself wanting to trade him for a lofty return. However, bad luck hit when I found myself as the lone believer, in most of my leagues. Eventually, I concluded that Waller was just another dart throw and I wanted to invest in a much higher-ceilinged asset. Oh, the folly of man. Well, as luck would have it, Mr. Waller not only lived up to his lofty expectations, he surpassed them by clocking in as your 2019 TE3 (PPR). 

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#TomBomb: Kansas City Chiefs

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Yeah, I knew out of the gate that this was going to be a tough sell to my readers. The very fact I can place so many expert’s 1.01 rookie selection as my top “buy-low” option is probably nothing short of asinine. That’s fair. After all, Old Tom hasn’t been himself since the Stock Exchange Crash of 1873. Regardless, here it is. If you believe the hype… and spoiler Old Tom believes the hype… you also have bought into the prediction that CEH is going to find himself as a top-5 RB in fantasy football very, very soon. 

I will just make this subjective take as simple as I can. Andy Reid wants another Brian Westbrook/Shady McCoy figure in his backfield. We already know how potent this offense is with the RB position void of a true superstar-talent. At this point, this organization had the luxury of drafting for want as opposed to need, and boy oh boy did they ever take full advantage. With a QB like Patrick Mahomes, who has the ability to hide so many flaws with his scrambling ability, this Kansas City Chiefs offense is entirely a Madden-like construction of talent, and it’s just not fair.

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Leonard Fournette Rapid Reaction

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Today, we had some stunning dynasty news when the Jaguars released Leonard Fournette. I’ll break down the dynasty and 2020 impact on all related assets in this rapid reaction piece. I’ve written about Fournette many times throughout the offseason, most recently in a free dynasty profile. In that article, I had the prescient take not to wait on the season to open to sell Fournette. At the time, I believed he would lose significant work to backups Ryquell Armstead and Chris Thompson, even though I didn’t predict an outright release.  I also noted that the Jaguars tried to trade Fournette throughout the offseason, and they didn’t want him on their team. They declined his fifth-year option, and I expected him to be on a new team in 2021. I have never thought of Fournette as a talented running back, so I thought he’d have little market as a free agent. Now, Fournette hits the free agency market a year earlier than I thought. Once again, if the Jaguars couldn’t trade Fournette for any value, I don’t think he has much interest from other teams. Fournette isn’t an incredibly talented running back, but he deserves to have a job in the NFL.

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#TomBomb: Denver Broncos

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What we have happening, at this very moment, is a Courtland Sutton dynasty buying window. If you are looking for the reason behind such an event, you simply have to look no further than my previous two player evaluations. The reality of the situation, currently playing itself out amongst the thin air of Denver, Colorado is an abundance of talent. Given this real-football blessing, but fantasy football-headache, we are gifted with an opportunity to cash-in on something pretty special. Now, don’t get Old Tom wrong here. I’m not about to backpedal on my love for Mr. Hamler and Mr. Jeudy. However, they’ve simply been the build-up for my greatest Denver love, Mr. Sutton. As alluded to in this twitter-take, regardless of the talent – or arguably, lack thereof – that the Broncos ran with under center in 2019, Courtland still delivered. 

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#TomBomb: Tennessee Titans

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The nice thing about some of these takes is that they simply write themselves. Now, I’m sure you’re wondering why in the world I’ve placed a 26-year old RB who has logged 804 professional carries, in four years, as my #1 Tennessee Titans buy-low dynasty asset. That’s fair. However, if that’s the case, then you just simply don’t know Old Tom as well as I’d like. Over and over and over again I’ve continued to pound the table on the reality that my dynasty philosophy is much more win-now oriented than most. Don’t get me wrong, I’m not oblivious to the future and what that entails. But, I will also be damned if I’m ever going to enter a season removed from the possibility of hoisting that championship trophy.

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#TomBomb: Indianapolis Colts

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One of the best moves any dynasty GM can make is to capitalize on rough rookie campaigns. This belief is heightened when said campaigns are derailed by injury, as opposed to simply production. Enter one Parris Campbell. With a 97th-percentile Speed and Burst Score coupled with a 100th-percentile 40-yard-dash time, Mr. Campbell is simply a really fast young man. When the Indianapolis Colts drafted this Ohio State burner with the 59th overall selection, in the 2019 NFL draft, they did so with the intention that he would soon replace TY Hilton as the team’s WR1. In my mind, I’m not sure anything has changed on that front.

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2nd Year Breakout Wide Receivers: Part 3

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The consensus used to be that it took wide receivers three years to breakout into fantasy relevance. But, the NFL is turning more pass-happy and players are being utilized in various ways. So, it isn’t out of the question that there are a few second-year breakouts that can boost production for your dynasty team. Similar to last year, if your teams had Courtland Sutton, DJ Chark, or D.J. Moore on your roster before the start of the season, you more than likely felt comfortable with your team’s outlook. In this 3-part series of articles, I’ll look at six wide receivers that need to be considered.  If you didn’t draft some of these second-year wideouts, it’ll be almost impossible for you to acquire them going forward. But, if you’re given the chance, don’t be afraid to overpay.

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