dynasty quarterbacks

simpson

Projecting Quarterback Success for Dynasty

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

I am trying to help us find ways to avoid the bust at quarterback, especially in rookie drafts. This is the cheapest most of these quarterbacks will ever be, but if you miss on one and spend a first-round pick on them, it could set you back even further.

I am looking at quarterbacks drafted in the first round of the NFL Draft and breaking them down into 4 tiers from 2015 to 2025.

I call the 1st tier the “green tier”. These are the quarterbacks who score a 90 or higher in my model and went to a Power 5 school. My model includes a film grade from Lance Zierlein, fantasy points per game in college, and their passing touchdowns-to-interceptions ratio.

There have been 37 quarterbacks drafted since 2015 in the first round, but only 13 ended up in tier 1, the green tier.

Below are the names of those 13 guys.

To access the rest of this article, login or become a member. control room correct size

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Projecting Quarterback Success for Dynasty Read More »

dak

Projecting Top Fantasy QBs for 2026

Dynasty / By /

In this article, I’ll be reviewing data from the past four seasons to predict the next top 12 fantasy football quarterbacks. I started by analyzing the top 12 quarterbacks by points per game in each season for the past 4 seasons, identifying a total of 26 players.

Next, I focused on quarterbacks who achieved multiple top 12 seasons — not just one-hit wonders. This narrowed the list to 15 total quarterbacks.

Josh Allen Patrick Mahomes Brock Purdy Jalen Hurts
Lamar Jackson Dak Prescott Trevor Lawrence Bo Nix
Daniel Jones Joe Burrow Baker Mayfield Jared Goff
Kyler Murray Jordan Love Tua Tagovailoa

These are the 15 guys I will be looking at closely in this article. 

    • 15/15 averaged more than 23 PPR in their best college season
    • 15/15 threw for more than 5000 yards in their college career
    • 15/15 threw for more than 40 touchdowns in their college career
    • 14/15 passed for more than 175 yards a game (Hurts)
    • 14/15 rushed for more than 10 yards a game (Goff)

  • 14/15 averaged more than 20 PPR a game in their college career (Love)
  • 14/15 had more than 2 touchdowns to interceptions ratio (Jones)
  • 14/15 had more than 300 rushing yards in college (Goff)

    • Description.

    To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Projecting Top Fantasy QBs for 2026 Read More »

Malik Willis

The Superflex Cheat Code: Stashing Backup Quarterbacks

Dynasty / By /

In Superflex leagues, your quarterback room is absolutely vital. It can make or break your season. In 2024, 59 signal-callers started at least one NFL game. In 2025, that number grew to 63. Every year, more and more, we’re seeing Dynasty contenders have their campaigns derailed by injuries or benchings. Having a stash of QBs at your disposal could help you get through those rough patches. The reality is a backup QB who gets even a start or two is almost always more useful — and valuable — than a WR9 or TE5 rotting away on your bench. You can either plug them into your lineup as needed or flip them for picks or an upgrade at another position. Those fringe skill players will rarely ever crack your lineup. Get those roster cloggers out of there. Instead of keeping them, use those precious spots on backup QBs who can become instant difference-makers should they get thrust into a starting gig. With that in mind, here is a list of backup QBs I believe you should be trying to acquire for 2026. 

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

The Superflex Cheat Code: Stashing Backup Quarterbacks Read More »

Drake Maye

Why You Should Fade Quarterbacks (Including Drake Maye) in Dynasty Startup Drafts

Dynasty, Strategy Content / By /

Dynasty startup drafts are where leagues are won or lost. Not because of flashy picks. Not because you landed a superstar quarterback. They’re won through positional leverage — understanding where real weekly edges exist and where managers are paying for name recognition instead of production. After reviewing five Dynasty startup drafts and comparing positional scoring, one conclusion became impossible to ignore: Quarterbacks are being massively overdrafted in early rounds.

To access the rest of this post, you must login or purchase a DFF Membership.

Why You Should Fade Quarterbacks (Including Drake Maye) in Dynasty Startup Drafts Read More »

Bo Nix

Projecting 2027 Dynasty Ranks: Quarterback

All Access, Dynasty / By /

In Dynasty Fantasy Football, there’s an added layer of strategy that Redraft formats can’t provide. Creating a team with longevity that can compete year in and year out is the ultimate goal. It’s essential to look beyond the current season and understand where our assets are trending in the long run. Dynasty is very much a player-value game; if you can master the art of buying low and selling high, you can accrue roster value consistently. With the concept of longevity in mind, I wanted to project what the Dynasty landscape will look like two years from today. Which players will make up the Top 12 from each position as we head into the 2027 season? This exercise should help us identify the top ascending assets in college and the NFL today. It should also tell us which players we may want to consider moving in the next year or two. This series will be broken into four parts for each fantasy position. All my rankings will be based on a Dynasty, Superflex, Tight End Premium format with four-point passing touchdowns. We’ll start with the quarterback position for this article. 

Projecting 2027 Dynasty Ranks: Quarterback Read More »

Sam Howell Touchdown

Washington Commanders: Offseason Update

Dynasty / By /

We may have thought this was coming but it is now official, the Commanders have cut Carson Wentz. This coming shortly after former Chiefs offensive coordinator, Eric Bieniemy, joined the team to run their offense means we should see some big changes in dynasty value for some of these players. Let’s not waste time and get right into the trickle-down of these moves.

Washington Commanders: Offseason Update Read More »

Sam Howell

The Case for Sam Howell

Rookie / By /

What if I told you that the QB1 of my rookie QB model for the 2022 class was now one mistake away from becoming a starter? What if I also told you that this QB would have been QB4 of the 2021 class, ahead of Zach Wilson, despite being drafted in the 5th round of the NFL draft and not the first? These statements should cause excitement for the Washington Commanders rookie QB, Sam Howell.

The Case for Sam Howell Read More »

Buy Low/Sell High QB: Week 1

Dynasty / By /

Ryan Tannehill is just not that good. Simple as that. The lack of weapons in the passing game does not help that statement either. Tannehill somehow ended up as the QB11 in week 1 and I am not sure how that happened. He looked to have no rapport with any of the receivers on Sunday and I believe that will be a consistent theme this season. Malik Willis, a 2022 third-round selection, is the apparent successor to an overpaid, underproducing Tannehill. I don’t see Willis overtaking the throne from Tannehill this season, but I do expect this to happen in a season or so.

Buy Low/Sell High QB: Week 1 Read More »

The Case For Kenny Pickett

Dynasty / By /

Reports are posturing that Kenny Pickett is merely an afterthought at the Steelers’ mandatory training camp. Mitchell Trubisky and Mason Rudolph appear locked in a battle for the starting gig, with the newly-minted 20th overall pick riding the pine. Today, we open up the case file on the Steelers’ 2022 first-round draft pick to hyper-analyze his future as an NFL quarterback and, ultimately, an effective dynasty asset.

The Case For Kenny Pickett Read More »

Rapid Reaction: Baker Mayfield to the Panthers

Dynasty / By /

For my money, I think both Mayfield and Darnold are better than people give them credit for. Mayfield is much better, though. He played under incredibly painful and difficult conditions for most of last year with a torn labrum in his left shoulder. People that say “but who cares, it wasn’t his throwing shoulder” are people you shouldn’t listen to. He also showed a lot of improvement the year prior, in my opinion, in a season that included three monsoon-type games. Look at his splits after the weather cleared. He has 92 TDs and 56 INTs in his career so far, compared to 54 and 52, respectively, for Darnold. I think he wins the job easily and I would approach drafts with that assumption.

Rapid Reaction: Baker Mayfield to the Panthers Read More »

2022 Projections: Cincinnati Bengals

Dynasty / By /

When we loosely compare players, most people feel they have a good idea of what kind of production to expect. We may think “Can Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase both really be top 12 wide receivers in fantasy this year?.” But, there may just not be room for that kind of production. I make projections to ground myself and help to understand what is actually possible, probable, or realistic. So, in this series, I will be going through each NFL team and making median projections for their 2022 seasons with their most fantasy-relevant players. I may be able to discern if certain players are being undervalued immediately but in most cases, I will need to finish more teams to get a good idea. 

2022 Projections: Cincinnati Bengals Read More »

Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: Detroit Lions

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (offseason edition). The big free agency splash moments are all but over, and the NFL Draft is approaching quickly. We, as dynasty managers, need to be evaluating these offseason transactions and thinking about our roster adjustments every day. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “offseason edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the Detroit Lions. 

Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: Detroit Lions Read More »

Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: New York Jets

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (offseason edition). The big free agency splash moments are all but over at this point, and the NFL Draft is approaching quickly. We, as dynasty managers, need to be evaluating these offseason transactions and thinking about our roster adjustments every day. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “offseason edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the New York Jets. 

Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: New York Jets Read More »

Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: San Francisco 49ers

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (off-season edition). I don’t know if we’ve seen a crazier free agency than the one we are currently witnessing! We as Dynasty Managers need to be evaluating the off-season transactions and thinking about our roster adjustments every day. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “off-season edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the San Francisco 49ers.

Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: San Francisco 49ers Read More »

Dynasty Trading Psychology: It Pays To Advertise

Dynasty / By /

Trading is the lifeblood of Dynasty Fantasy Football. Most of us would prefer to be in a league full of active and attentive owners where lots of trades go down. Unfortunately, that is often not the case, and even in some of the best leagues, there are usually at least one or two owners that are hard to reach (for any number of reasons) and that are hard to make deals with. I don’t know if I have ever gone through a startup draft or a rookie draft where there wasn’t at least one instance of someone reaching out to me and saying.

Dynasty Trading Psychology: It Pays To Advertise Read More »

Rapid Reaction: Russell Wilson Blockbuster Trade

Dynasty / By /

Wow! The signs were there for the past year Denver would be making a big splash in the quarterback market. Denver suffered through poor quarterback play the last few years with Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater manning the helm. Then the Broncos signed Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick to contract extensions to make it an attractive destination for a potential new quarterback. Rumors were everywhere Aaron Rodgers was on his way to Denver. Then Rodgers announced he is staying in Green Bay and signing a new deal with the Packers. Hours later we get hit with the news from Adam Schefter on the blockbuster trade for Russell Wilson.

Rapid Reaction: Russell Wilson Blockbuster Trade Read More »