Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (offseason edition). The big free agency splash moments are all but over at this point, and the NFL Draft is approaching quickly. We, as dynasty managers, need to be evaluating these offseason transactions and thinking about our roster adjustments every day. Who are we going to target in rookie drafts? Who are we going to go out and trade for? Who are we willing to give up in return? Will you go all in this season to bring home a championship? Or should you go young and prepare for the future? There’s so much to think about before September. The “offseason edition” of this series is an early look at whose stock is up and whose stock is down as we head into draft season. We will break down each NFL team one by one. Today is all about the New York Jets.
STOCK UP – ZACH WILSON
| Year | Team | Games Played | Completion Percentage | Yards | TDs | INTs | Rushing Yards | Rushing TDs |
| 2021 | NYJ | 13 | 55.6% | 2,334 | 9 | 11 | 185 | 4 |
Wilson is coming off an up-and-down rookie season. He completed 104 of his 181 pass attempts (57.5 percent) and threw for 1,168 yards, four touchdowns, and nine interceptions. The Jets went 1-5, and Wilson served as the QB30 during that span. He then missed four straight weeks due to an injured PCL. When he came back, we witnessed flashes of why he was chosen second overall in the 2021 NFL Draft. In Weeks 12-18, Wilson completed only 109 of his 202 pass attempts (54 percent), but he managed to produce 1,166 yards and five touchdowns with only two interceptions thrown. The Jets went 2-5, but they were a lot more competitive in those matchups. On top of that, Wilson served as the QB12 during that time frame. His season stats don’t look great, but we should be optimistic regarding his future based on his late-season growth and the amount of talent surrounding him now in the offense.
The Jets found some playmakers throughout the 2021 season. Braxton Berrios broke out in a big way (46 receptions, 431 yards, two touchdowns with a 35.91% snap count percentage), and the Jets gave him a contract extension. Elijah Moore showed WR1 flashes at times as a rookie. During Weeks 7-12 (before being shut down the remainder of the season), Moore hauled in 34 receptions for 459 yards and five touchdowns. He served as the WR3 during that span. Corey Davis, when healthy, showcased his elite WR talents. New York also brought in two solid pass-catching tight ends in Tyler Conklin and C.J. Uzomah. And if you don’t think that’s enough for Wilson, the Jets also have a solid offensive line that features young, promising players (Mekhi Becton, Alijah Vera-Tucker). They also have some solid veterans (George Fant, Connor McGovern, and Laken Tomlinson) to add to the mix. Although Becton missed almost the entire 2021 season, the Jets’ offensive line ranked 11th in the league as a unit, according to PFF. With all the weapons surrounding him and an above-average offensive line, Wilson is in good hands to develop into a dynasty gem sooner rather than later.
Other Notables: Michael Carter, Elijah Moore
STOCK DOWN – COREY DAVIS
| Year | Team | Games Played | Targets | Receptions | Yards | Yards/Catch | TDs |
| 2017 | TEN | 11 | 65 | 34 | 375 | 11.0 | 0 |
| 2018 | TEN | 16 | 112 | 65 | 891 | 13.7 | 4 |
| 2019 | TEN | 15 | 69 | 43 | 601 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 2020 | TEN | 14 | 92 | 65 | 984 | 15.1 | 5 |
| 2021 | NYJ | 9 | 59 | 34 | 492 | 14.5 | 4 |
Going into the 2021 season, Davis’s dynasty stock was the highest since he entered the league in 2017. After four solid seasons in Tennessee, the Jets paid him to become the team’s WR1. During the first six weeks of the season, that’s exactly what he was. He was on pace to finish as the WR38, as he hauled in 24 of his 42 targets for 349 yards and four touchdowns. No, these numbers weren’t spectacular, but for a guy to go to a new team and haul in passes from a rookie quarterback, I’d say Davis was performing at an expected rate. He became the go-to guy in the red zone, and at 6’3” and 209 lbs, he will continue to be one of Wilson’s more dependable red-zone targets. Davis ended up missing the next two games, and he ultimately played in three of the remaining 10 games of the season.
Injuries and age are some reasons we need to be cautious with Davis going forward. He missed 10 games last season, and he’s going into his sixth season at 27 years old. No, he’s not old by any means, but the younger talent in the league is getting better each year. We don’t know how a full season of Moore and Berrios looks now that they are expected to see increased roles in 2022. We don’t know if Wilson will take a huge step forward in Year 2. And we don’t know how much the additions of both Conklin and Uzomah affect Davis both in the open field and inside the 20-yard line. Michael Carter could also take a big step forward in his development as a pass-catcher out of the backfield. The bottom line is that there are a ton of young, talented pass-catchers on this team that will dip into Davis’ potential volume. For that reason, we need to be aware that Davis’ stock is slipping, and it’s only a matter of time when it comes to the point that his value has been completely diminished.
Other Notables: Denzel Mims, Tyler Conklin
Teams Broken Down Already: Bears, Bengals, Bills, Broncos, Buccaneers, Cardinals, Chargers, Chiefs, Colts, Cowboys, Dolphins, Eagles, Falcons, 49ers, Giants, Jaguars
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