Dynasty Analysis
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @WillieBeamanDFF!
Hello DFF members, today I will be continuing my series where I break down the current wide receiver market in Dynasty one ADP tier at a time. If you did not read part one, you can find it here. I recommend reading that first as it introduces and explains all the stats I will reference in this article. But, without further ado, let’s dive into where I left off.
Being a late bloomer, Watson was not heavily recruited in high school. He graduated at 6’2″, growing another two inches in college. Watson had a significant growth spurt between his junior and senior seasons, gaining 20 lbs. Because of this, he didn’t get significant playing time until his senior year, where he posted modest numbers of 23 receptions, 393 yards, and eight TDs. North Dakota State offered Watson a scholarship, and Watson stayed in the FCS program for all four years. His most impressive campaign was his senior season, posting 43 receptions, 801 yards, and 7 TDs. As a senior, he also tacked on 15 rush attempts for 114 yards and one TD. Watson was consistently used in the running game for the Bisons since his sophomore season.
DFF TV presents: Buy-Low Dynasty WR Trade Targets | A ~FREE~ Factory Tour BONUS CLIP with @Paul_DFF and @ChrisMiles1017!
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @ChrisMiles1017!
Hello, fellow Dynasty leaguers! In this series I will be going through the top-48 WRs in Dynasty, providing stats and insight on them. The WR market can be hard to pick apart because there are so many players in so many situations and so many factors in play. Here I will try to help make it easier by giving my thoughts on some players I find interesting and maybe it can help you navigate the market and find some values. When considering WR Dynasty value there are three main things I look at: a path to accruing value, immediate projectable production, and value insulation. These three things can be applied to every player and I use them often to compare who I value more. To do this I will be using BulletProof ADP and separating the players into tiers. Let’s dive right in with the first tier.
Brenton Strange was a four-star recruit coming out of high school who redshirted for Penn State in 2019, after playing in two games and making one catch (a four-yard touchdown pass from Will Levis, who later transferred to Kentucky). Strange earned five starts in nine games played during the 2020 Covid-season, catching 17 passes for 164 yards and two TDs. He started all 13 games for the Nittany Lions in 2021, grabbing 20 receptions for 225 yards and three TDs. Strange earned third-team All-Big Ten Conference honors as a junior, recording 32 receptions for 362 yards and scoring five times in 13 starts.
A crucial component to Dynasty football success is your ability to win trades and put your team in a better position to compete now or in the future. The “art of trading” is often overlooked by Dynasty owners, which can lead to frustrating experiences during negotiation. Taking the time to master the art of trading could pay dividends in your Dynasty league, and I’m here to provide you with a few tips to help hone those skills. So sit tight, enjoy, and let’s get ready to win some fantasy football leagues.
DFF TV presents: Predicting Next Year’s Dynasty RB Rankings | A ~FREE~ Factory Tour BONUS CLIP with @Paul_DFF and @DynastyZoltanFF!
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @DynastyZoltanFF!
Welcome back, Dynasty family! I wanted to mix it up today and review a few real trades in my Dynasty leagues this off-season. I’ll show you the trade results and give you my thoughts, breaking down each trade, and letting you know who I think came out on top. I’ll also provide you with the basic league format for each trade, which helps us to see the complete picture. So let’s jump right into our first trade!
The off-season is a great time to garner expectations for players entering the new season. There is plenty of data available to tell us what we might be able to expect from most players each season. With rookies, however, it can be much more challenging. We have much less to go off of, and having zero NFL information makes it especially difficult. But we should not get discouraged and give up. We must use what we have to formulate reasonable opinions on what might happen! This way, we can efficiently evaluate these players in both Dynasty and Redraft leagues. Today, I will cover Jordan Addison and what to do with him in Dynasty and upcoming Redraft leagues.
As we inch closer to training camp, the fantasy hive-mind begins sorting out how they feel rosters and depth charts will settle by the time we get the regular season. Some spots are easy. Patrick Mahomes will be the QB1 for the Kansas City Chiefs. Some spots are much trickier. The New York Giants WR room is one of the trickiest in the league. A combination of middling veterans and unproven youth cause this group to be underwhelming. Despite no true superstars, someone will have to catch passes from Daniel Jones. Who will it be? Knowing the answer now will give you a massive edge over your league mates.
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @FF_Reez!
As fantasy football has grown, so have the ways it can be played. For most people, the only option when they first started was your standard ten-team redraft league. Then you discover the keeper league, where you keep one or more players from your previous season’s team to your next season’s team. Then, if you are lucky, you discover the world of Dynasty, which begins to bring exponentially new challenges. You have Devy leagues, IDP, Superflex, Campus to Canton, Vampire leagues, Guillotine leagues, Empire leagues… The list goes on and on.
In Dynasty fantasy football, every player has a trade value and an internal value. Trade value refers to how the market (your leaguemates) view a particular asset and what kind of return you could get on said asset if you sell them. Internal value refers to the return on investment you could get by keeping a player on your roster rather than trading them away. In today’s article, I want to discuss a few players in Dynasty today that have a higher internal value than trade value; in other words, it makes more sense to hold onto these assets until the market becomes more bullish on these guys.
An important aspect of Dynasty is being able to identify players with the most likely path to accruing value. Asset value alone doesn’t win you championships, but it gets you into a position where you can acquire players that bring with them the necessary production to compete for a title. There are two primary tools I use to determine player value. The first is Keep Trade Cut which crowdsources Dynasty managers’ player evaluation data by asking them to keep, trade, or cut three closely ranked players. The second is Bulletproof ADP which utilizes actual Dynasty startup draft position data from Sleeper.
Welcome, everybody, to part two of my “Dynasty Fantasy Football for Beginners” series. Dynasty fantasy football is a unique and exciting format requiring a different approach to trading than redraft leagues. In a dynasty league, you are building a team for the long haul, and strategic trading can make all the difference in creating a championship-caliber squad. Each strategy will benefit different roster constructions. So take a good look at your roster, decide which direction you want to take your team, and consider these strategies. Before we jump right in, don’t forget to check out my first article, discussing pre-draft prep for your Dynasty startup.
The NFL Draft is one of the more polarizing events during the NFL offseason. Rookies are coming into the league for a chance at prominent roles right out of the gate for NFL teams looking to upgrade their positions in order to strengthen their squads. This is also important for fantasy managers. As we get closer and closer to league drafts or rookie drafts in Dynasty leagues, new rookies impact the fantasy value of veteran players on football rosters across the league. This can also make offseason trades more difficult.
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest Jakob Sanderson!
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @bwinknfl!
A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking, “Well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty, he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over eight parts (one part for each division), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.
There’s no doubt that narratives can take on a life of their own in the Twitter Dynasty community. And while some narratives do have merit, others can be exaggerated or aren’t as grounded in fact. Dynasty owners must think for themselves and evaluate players based on analytics, talent, and situation. Don’t blindly follow the narratives you see on Twitter because they’re popular. Do your research, trust your process, and #PlantYourFlag on the players you believe in. With that said, I’m here to dispel a few of these claims and show you another side of the story. So, let’s dive in and “crush” our first narrative!
A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking, “Well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty, he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over eight parts (one part for each division), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.
In this ~FREE~ edition of DFF TV, @WillieBeamanDFF dives into how much RBs/WRS matter in the middle rounds.