Dynasty Analysis
We at DFF hope all your 2022 dynasty football league dreams came true. But the grind never stops. We have a saying at DFF #AlwaysBeBuilding. So if your season is over it’s time to start looking at your approach to the 2023 Rookie Draft. Where is the strength of this class and what spots do you need to be at to get your guy? In this article, I will provide my initial view of how I see the draft playing out and what spots the value is at. I will do deeper dives into some of these players as the off-season wears on. This is version 1.0.
Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Florida quarterback, Anthony Richardson.
The fantasy community has adopted a strange tradition – hyping up a draft class a few years down the road, only to completely discredit them the year they’re to be drafted. Maybe not ‘completely’, but it certainly feels that way. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is one of the most recent victims of our yearly tradition. I want to discuss why that is and see if we can draw any significant conclusions about our views on slot usage and production.
Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Alabama quarterback, Bryce Young.
Since August 25th, I’ve had a thread pinned to my Twitter profile containing one Redraft prediction for each NFL team. Now that the fantasy football season is over, it’s time to look back at those predictions and see which ones were spot on and which were laughably wrong.
Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through my first rookie, Stetson Bennett.
I’ve heard a ton of buzz recently about Chris Olave and where he ranks among the dynasty wide receivers after his incredibly productive and efficient rookie season. There is one debate I just can’t let slide. Chris Olave or Tee Higgins?
Welcome back from yesterday’s article and the 2023 rookie RB ranking countdown. We still have plenty of numerical data from the regular season we can look at using KPIs based from DFF’s very own Chris Miles.
As the 2022 Fantasy Season comes to a close we get to shift to off-season Twitter topics that leave us arguing with strangers about a likely UDFA QB until our feet go numb on the toilet. Yes, folks, it’s time for rookie talk before we even have draft capital!
We at DFF hope all your 2022 dynasty football league dreams came true. But the grind never stops. We have a saying at DFF #AlwaysBeBuilding. It’s time to beckon in the new year by strategizing your approach to the 2023 rookie draft.
The 2023 offseason promises significant changes to the running back landscape in the NFL. Over the next couple of weeks, I’ll go over my predictions for the running back situations of each team, as well as the corresponding fantasy implications.
Thursday Night Football is back with the final midweek showcase of the 2022 season. The Cowboys (11-4) hit the road for a cross-conference matchup against the Titans (7-8) who will be without starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill and franchise running back Derrick Henry while also resting most of their starters on defense as they look towards the AFC South winner-takes-all match against the Jaguars in Week 18.
It’s championship week here in the fantasy football community. Streaming options are getting worse and worse as the season goes on. Although there are a decent amount of solid streamers at quarterback this week, the tight ends are a different story.
Opportunity is king in fantasy football. Tracking player volume and snaps each season helps managers get ahead of coaching trends while making advanced moves on the trade market and waiver wires. In this recurring weekly series, we will look at all 32 teams’ most notable market shares (percentage of team output) in targets, opportunities, and rushing/receiving production. One game remains in the fantasy football season, so let’s dive into some exciting usage data around the NFL as we prepare for the final slate of games.
Injuries are inevitable in fantasy football. How you prepare and react to them can make or break your fantasy team. Did you build a bench with sufficient depth to withstand the running back carousel? How do you pivot if a key player goes on injured reserve? Each week we will look at the most impactful injuries in the fantasy world and what players will step up their fantasy production as a result.
I had a thought today – why do we as Dynasty players not value injuries enough? Let me explain – players who we know are good or marginally good see their production fall after being injured. Instead of simply understanding that human bodies do not perform at their best when injured, the analytics community cites advanced or semi-advanced metrics as the explanation for the decreased production instead of the decreased production as simply a byproduct of injury.
The second round of the playoffs brings great excitement and questionable players to start. For those of you that invested in Jalen Hurts, Lamar Jackson, or Kyler Murray, you’re likely turning to a streaming quarterback to carry you through the postseason. And if you don’t have Travis Kelce, you’re probably entertaining the idea of streaming a tight end as well. It’s do-or-die time, so make sure you take a look at ALL of your options, even if you may have all the answers already on your team. Remember, we always provide the best players to stream at quarterback, tight end, and D/ST. Each streaming option will have ownership under 60%, according to ESPN. Below, you will find two streamers per position and a “deep stream” option (15% or lower). Let’s stream our way into the next round of the fantasy playoffs together!
So, you lost in the fantasy playoffs. Now what? The way I see it, you’ve got two options. You can spend the next month sulking about how Terry McLaurin’s illegal formation penalty cost you a title (I’m totally over it as you can see), or you can get back to doing what you love most: drafting fantasy teams. If the season left a bad taste in your mouth, or you just aren’t ready to emerge from your fantasy football cave and rejoin polite society, you need playoff BestBall.
Thursday Night Football is here to showcase an AFC playoff matchup with unexpected playoff implications. The 6-8 Jaguars are visiting the 7-7 Jets in a game that could really boost the odds of making the playoffs for one of these teams. The betting lines favor the Jets by only 2.5 points with the Over/Under scoring total set at 37.
Opportunity is king in fantasy football. Tracking player volume and snaps each season helps managers get ahead of coaching trends while making advanced moves on the trade market and waiver wires. In this recurring weekly series, we will look at all 32 teams’ most notable market shares (percentage of team output) in targets, opportunities, and rushing/receiving production. With Week 15 in the rearview, let’s dive into some exciting usage data around the NFL as we prepare for the upcoming slate of games.
Injuries are inevitable in fantasy football. How you prepare and react to them is what can make or break your fantasy team. Did you build a bench with sufficient depth to withstand the running back carousel? How do you pivot if a key player goes on injured reserve? Each week we will look at the most impactful injuries in the fantasy world and what players will step up their fantasy production as a result.
This article will be a small case study on QB rushing post-fractured ankles. I’m looking only at bone breaks here, as the recovery time and/or the treatments available for them have not seemed to change drastically in the last couple of decades, compared with ACL injuries, Achilles tendon injuries, or soft tissue injuries. Investigating these injuries further and how they pertain to this case study would require a medical degree, and I am simply not qualified. Another thing I will avoid looking too deeply at is future value change in relation to bone breaks, as this article would be a lot shorter if I investigated that. Spoiler alert: buy injured players – their value almost always goes back up after the initial dip, but that’s an article for another time.
HERE WE GO! It’s Week 1 of the playoffs for most of you! There are a ton of fantasy managers scrambling to find some great streaming options here in Week 14. The quarterback position may be the most important, as players like Lamar Jackson, Kyler Murray, Russell Wilson, Marcus Mariota, Jimmy Garoppolo, Matthew Stafford, and Kenny Pickett are all likely to miss this week. This week features some high-ceiling players, some low-risk/safe players, and some deeper league/shot-in-the-dark, players. Remember, we always provide the best players to stream at quarterback, tight end, and D/ST. Each streaming option will have ownership under 60%, according to ESPN. Below, you will find two streamers per position and a “deep stream” option (15% or lower). Let’s stream our way into Round 2 of the fantasy playoffs together!
Many managers were very disappointed after starting Watson in the last two weeks, expecting the dynamic scrambling quarterback to return close to full form but instead receiving lackluster production. I’m sure we’ve all heard the expression “shaking off the rust,” but was it predictable how poorly Watson performed on his first couple of games back?
Thursday Night Football is back with an NFC West showcase as the 49ers (9-4) make a short trip to face the Seahawks (7-6) in a must-win game for the hometown team. Betting lines favor the visiting 49ers by a slim 3.0 points with the projected Over/Under scoring total set at 43.5.