Dynasty Analysis
Rookie scouting season is here and everyone is starting to research and prep for their rookie drafts. In this series, I will go through my process and scout different players for the incoming 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Tulane running back, Tyjae Spears.
The DFF Army got together for its first analyst-only mock draft of the 2023 off-season. Here we randomly selected spots and then ran the draft in linear order, the settings are Superflex and PPR. Hopefully, this can help give you an early sense of the players you should be considering at the top of your draft and the gems you will want to target later. Check out every first-round selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick. With more rounds to come later!
After being injured during the preseason of his rookie season and sitting out his entire first year, Travis Etienne (RB – JAX) had a troubled beginning to his sophomore season. After beginning the season losing touches to third-year veteran James Robinson (RB – NYJ), he finally broke out in Game 5 and following that he posted stellar rushing performances, having a notable 25-yard + rush in seemingly every game. Ending his season as RB17 and having 12 ppg vaulted his value to RB five on KTC, placing him just between Christian McCaffrey (RB – SFO) and Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG) in the RB category, and Kyler Murray (QB – ARZ) and Chris Olave (WR – NO) overall.
We move deeper into Dynasty Non-Points-Scoring Season as the NFL Post Season nears a close which means trading, startups, and loading up for the rookie draft will be the only thing to do for a few months. But it’s important to understand that building a competitive roster for multiple seasons means correctly valuing players by position and individuals. Whether or not you’re new to Dynasty or a seasoned vet you can use my helpful “Stock Market” analogy when investing assets into trades or drafting in startups.
The 2023 offseason promises big changes to the running back landscape in the NFL. Over the next couple weeks, I’ll go over my predictions for the running back situations of each team, as well as the corresponding fantasy implications. You can check out Part 2 of this series, where I looked at the NFC East.
Are you a fellow better looking for good action this weekend? Look no further than this article as I will list my favorite props and my picks for both of the championship games this weekend. So take a seat, log into your favorite sportsbook app and let’s win some money!
Each year I use an established analytical process (The WR1 Model) to forecast who the future dynasty elite wide receivers will be. You can find a detailed explanation of the process here. While some of the nine metrics utilized in the model (relative athletic score, film grade, and draft capital) are not yet finalized, we can begin to get a picture of who the players you want to target are.
Since August 25th, I’ve had a thread pinned to my Twitter profile containing one Redraft prediction for each NFL team. Now that the fantasy football season is over, it’s time to look back at those predictions and see which ones were spot on and which were laughably wrong.
We’ve officially passed the NFL draft declaration date and we know who exactly our fresh batch of rookie picks will be. That means no more Twitter speculation and narratives about who will declare. (Looking at you Stroud.) Sure it’s a little early to rank without draft capital. Luckily, we have plenty of numerical data from the regular season we can look at using KPIs based from DFF’s very own Chris Miles. Using the points from his model and tales from the tape, I’ll break down this highly touted rookie class by discussing The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly of each prospect.
Are you a fellow better looking for good action this weekend? Look no further than this article as I will list my favorite props and my picks for each game this weekend. So take a seat, check NFL betting lines, log into your favorite sportsbook app and let’s win some money!
The 2023 offseason promises big changes to the running back landscape in the NFL. Over the next couple of weeks, I’ll go over my predictions for the running back situations of each team, as well as the corresponding fantasy implications.
We at DFF hope all your 2022 dynasty football league dreams came true. But the grind never stops. We have a saying at DFF #AlwaysBeBuilding. So if your season is over it’s time to start looking at your approach to the 2023 Rookie Draft. Where is the strength of this class and what spots do you need to be at to get your guy? In this article, I will provide my initial view of how I see the draft playing out and what spots the value is at. I will do deeper dives into some of these players as the off-season wears on. This is version 1.0.
Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Florida quarterback, Anthony Richardson.
The fantasy community has adopted a strange tradition – hyping up a draft class a few years down the road, only to completely discredit them the year they’re to be drafted. Maybe not ‘completely’, but it certainly feels that way. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is one of the most recent victims of our yearly tradition. I want to discuss why that is and see if we can draw any significant conclusions about our views on slot usage and production.
Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Alabama quarterback, Bryce Young.
Since August 25th, I’ve had a thread pinned to my Twitter profile containing one Redraft prediction for each NFL team. Now that the fantasy football season is over, it’s time to look back at those predictions and see which ones were spot on and which were laughably wrong.
Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through my first rookie, Stetson Bennett.
I’ve heard a ton of buzz recently about Chris Olave and where he ranks among the dynasty wide receivers after his incredibly productive and efficient rookie season. There is one debate I just can’t let slide. Chris Olave or Tee Higgins?
Welcome back from yesterday’s article and the 2023 rookie RB ranking countdown. We still have plenty of numerical data from the regular season we can look at using KPIs based from DFF’s very own Chris Miles.
As the 2022 Fantasy Season comes to a close we get to shift to off-season Twitter topics that leave us arguing with strangers about a likely UDFA QB until our feet go numb on the toilet. Yes, folks, it’s time for rookie talk before we even have draft capital!
We at DFF hope all your 2022 dynasty football league dreams came true. But the grind never stops. We have a saying at DFF #AlwaysBeBuilding. It’s time to beckon in the new year by strategizing your approach to the 2023 rookie draft.
The 2023 offseason promises significant changes to the running back landscape in the NFL. Over the next couple of weeks, I’ll go over my predictions for the running back situations of each team, as well as the corresponding fantasy implications.
Thursday Night Football is back with the final midweek showcase of the 2022 season. The Cowboys (11-4) hit the road for a cross-conference matchup against the Titans (7-8) who will be without starting quarterback Ryan Tannehill and franchise running back Derrick Henry while also resting most of their starters on defense as they look towards the AFC South winner-takes-all match against the Jaguars in Week 18.
It’s championship week here in the fantasy football community. Streaming options are getting worse and worse as the season goes on. Although there are a decent amount of solid streamers at quarterback this week, the tight ends are a different story.
Opportunity is king in fantasy football. Tracking player volume and snaps each season helps managers get ahead of coaching trends while making advanced moves on the trade market and waiver wires. In this recurring weekly series, we will look at all 32 teams’ most notable market shares (percentage of team output) in targets, opportunities, and rushing/receiving production. One game remains in the fantasy football season, so let’s dive into some exciting usage data around the NFL as we prepare for the final slate of games.