Dynasty Analysis

DFF TV: DFF Film Room – Evan Hull

By Billy Beaman | February 13, 2023 | 0 Comments

Join @WillieBeamanDFF for this Factory Quick Take featuring Evan Hull, RB Northwestern!

jalin hyatt

Jalin Hyatt: Where Fantasy and Reality Diverge

By Chris Museezer | February 10, 2023 | 0 Comments

One of the most respected draft experts, Lance Zierlein, set off a Twitter firestorm this week when he placed Jalin Hyatt as his first wide receiver off the board, 12th overall, in his first mock draft.

He states:

“Let me first start off by saying I believe this draft is very similar to the 2016 draft in terms of wideouts. I didn’t see any WR as a true WR1 for a team. Here was how I graded them. Obviously, Mike Thomas ended up being a dude but the rest? Here is how I had it (old scale)”

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Isiah Pacheco

Super Bowl DFS Preview

By Doug Harrelson | February 10, 2023 | 0 Comments

Here I am writing my first article for Dynasty Football Factory and I am not even writing about dynasty fantasy football. Instead today we are going to discuss another love of mine, daily fantasy. Specifically, for the Super Bowl LVII Draft Kings Showdown slate. For those that are not familiar with the single-game showdown slate format, it is pretty easy to learn and fun to play as well. Instead of the usual classic lineup starting a QB, two RBs, three WRs, a TE, a FLEX, and a D/ST, we have a captain and five flex spots. Whoever you choose in your captain role will cost 1.5 times their salary and their points will be multiplied by 1.5. Note that these are not traditional flex spots, these can also be quarterbacks, kickers, or defense/special teams. Then just build the best lineup you can with a $50,000 budget.

Xavier Hutchinson

’23 Rookie WR Early Rankings: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly Truth

By Jagger May | February 9, 2023 | 0 Comments

The Senior Bowl has come and gone and we move one step further in our off-season process. Thankfully, I’m one step closer in my own rookie evaluations with my first look at the 2023 rookie receiver class. We’ll use film analysis numerical data from the regular season and look at using KPIs based on DFF’s very own Chris Miles. Using the points from his model and tales from the tape, I’ll break down this highly touted rookie class by discussing The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly of each prospect.

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2023 DFF SF Rookie Mock Draft – Pre NFL Draft: Round 3

By Chris Miles | February 8, 2023 | 0 Comments

The DFF Army got together for its first analyst-only mock draft of the 2023 off-season. Here we randomly selected spots and then ran the draft in a linear order; the settings are Superflex and PPR. Hopefully, this can help give you an early sense of the players you should be considering at the top of your draft and the gems you will want to target later. Check out every second-round selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick.  Click here to see the previous round. Rounds three and four are publishing soon! 

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velus jones jr

Overlooked Gems: NFC North Edition

By Ike Dirrim | February 7, 2023 | 0 Comments

In this new fantasy offseason series, we will break down one player from each NFL team who is currently being overlooked. At the same time, that player could provide great depth/potential to a deep dynasty league roster. These players are worth picking up if they are in your free agency. They are also players you may want to reconsider keeping if they are fringe roster cut options. I will be trying to convince you as to why they are worth a roster spot for now. Of course, the NFL Draft and free agency period could diminish each player’s value, but we need to be making sure we bolster our roster(s) as much as we can. Each week, one division will be broken down, and today is all about the NFC North.

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Devon Achane

2023 DFF SF Rookie Mock Draft – Pre NFL Draft: Round 2

By Chris Miles | February 6, 2023 | 0 Comments

The DFF Army got together for its first analyst-only mock draft of the 2023 off-season. Here we randomly selected spots and then ran the draft in a linear order; the settings are Superflex and PPR. Hopefully, this can help give you an early sense of the players you should be considering at the top of your draft and the gems you will want to target later. Check out every second-round selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick.  Click here to see the previous round. Rounds three and four are publishing soon! 

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Jerick McKinnon

Super Bowl Prop Bets

By Chris Miles | February 6, 2023 | 0 Comments

Are you a fellow better looking for extra action during this glorious Super Bowl weekend? Look no further than this article as I will list my favorite props and my picks for the 57th Super Bowl this weekend. So take a seat, log into your favorite sportsbook, and let’s win some money whether you have Kansas City Chiefs or Philadelphia Eagles odds.

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2023 Rookie Wide Receiver Analytics Spotlight: Nathaniel “Tank” Dell

By Chris Museezer | February 4, 2023 | 0 Comments

Nathaniel “Tank” Dell is consistent with the new wave of undersized wide receivers recently ushered into the NFL. Jaylen Waddle, DeVonta Smith, Justin Jefferson, Chris Olave, Rondale Moore, and Elijah Moore are redefining what it means to be a “prototype” wide receiver. Route running and the ability to create separation are being prioritized over physical size.

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Tyjae Spears

2023 Rookie RB Analytics: Tyjae Spears

By Chris Miles | February 2, 2023 | 0 Comments

Rookie scouting season is here and everyone is starting to research and prep for their rookie drafts. In this series, I will go through my process and scout different players for the incoming 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Tulane running back, Tyjae Spears.

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2023 DFF SF Rookie Mock Draft – Pre NFL Draft: Round 1

By Chris Miles | February 1, 2023 | 0 Comments

The DFF Army got together for its first analyst-only mock draft of the 2023 off-season. Here we randomly selected spots and then ran the draft in linear order, the settings are Superflex and PPR. Hopefully, this can help give you an early sense of the players you should be considering at the top of your draft and the gems you will want to target later. Check out every first-round selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick. With more rounds to come later!

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Dynasty Outlook: Travis Etienne

By Malcolm Schultz | January 31, 2023 | 0 Comments

After being injured during the preseason of his rookie season and sitting out his entire first year, Travis Etienne (RB – JAX) had a troubled beginning to his sophomore season. After beginning the season losing touches to third-year veteran James Robinson (RB – NYJ), he finally broke out in Game 5 and following that he posted stellar rushing performances, having a notable 25-yard + rush in seemingly every game. Ending his season as RB17 and having 12 ppg vaulted his value to RB five on KTC, placing him just between Christian McCaffrey (RB – SFO) and Saquon Barkley (RB – NYG) in the RB category, and Kyler Murray (QB – ARZ) and Chris Olave (WR – NO) overall.

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stocks

Roster Building Strategy: Positional Values as Stock Investments

By Jagger May | January 30, 2023 | 0 Comments

We move deeper into Dynasty Non-Points-Scoring Season as the NFL Post Season nears a close which means trading, startups, and loading up for the rookie draft will be the only thing to do for a few months. But it’s important to understand that building a competitive roster for multiple seasons means correctly valuing players by position and individuals. Whether or not you’re new to Dynasty or a seasoned vet you can use my helpful “Stock Market” analogy when investing assets into trades or drafting in startups.

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Predicting the 2023 RB Carousel: AFC West

By Ben Winkler | January 28, 2023 | 0 Comments

The 2023 offseason promises big changes to the running back landscape in the NFL. Over the next couple weeks, I’ll go over my predictions for the running back situations of each team, as well as the corresponding fantasy implications. You can check out Part 2 of this series, where I looked at the NFC East.

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George Kittle

Championship Round Prop Bets

By Chris Miles | January 26, 2023 | 0 Comments

Are you a fellow better looking for good action this weekend? Look no further than this article as I will list my favorite props and my picks for both of the championship games this weekend. So take a seat, log into your favorite sportsbook app and let’s win some money!

2023 Rookie Wide Receiver Analytics Spotlight: Zay Flowers

By Chris Museezer | January 25, 2023 | 0 Comments

Each year I use an established analytical process (The WR1 Model) to forecast who the future dynasty elite wide receivers will be. You can find a detailed explanation of the process here. While some of the nine metrics utilized in the model (relative athletic score, film grade, and draft capital) are not yet finalized, we can begin to get a picture of who the players you want to target are. 

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Revisiting Redraft Predictions: AFC Edition

By Paul Patterson | January 22, 2023 | 0 Comments

Since August 25th, I’ve had a thread pinned to my Twitter profile containing one Redraft prediction for each NFL team. Now that the fantasy football season is over, it’s time to look back at those predictions and see which ones were spot on and which were laughably wrong.

Hendon Hooker

Early ’23 Rookie QB Rankings: The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly – Pt. 3

By Jagger May | January 19, 2023 | 0 Comments

We’ve officially passed the NFL draft declaration date and we know who exactly our fresh batch of rookie picks will be. That means no more Twitter speculation and narratives about who will declare. (Looking at you Stroud.) Sure it’s a little early to rank without draft capital. Luckily, we have plenty of numerical data from the regular season we can look at using KPIs based from DFF’s very own Chris Miles. Using the points from his model and tales from the tape, I’ll break down this highly touted rookie class by discussing The Good, The Bad, and The Ugly of each prospect.

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Divisional Round Prop Bets

By Chris Miles | January 19, 2023 | 0 Comments

Are you a fellow better looking for good action this weekend? Look no further than this article as I will list my favorite props and my picks for each game this weekend. So take a seat, check NFL betting lines, log into your favorite sportsbook app and let’s win some money!

Predicting the 2023 RB Carousel: NFC East

By Ben Winkler | January 18, 2023 | 0 Comments

The 2023 offseason promises big changes to the running back landscape in the NFL. Over the next couple of weeks, I’ll go over my predictions for the running back situations of each team, as well as the corresponding fantasy implications.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Chase Brown

Never Too Early 2023 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: Round 2

By Chris Museezer | January 18, 2023 | 0 Comments

We at DFF hope all your 2022 dynasty football league dreams came true. But the grind never stops. We have a saying at DFF #AlwaysBeBuilding. So if your season is over it’s time to start looking at your approach to the 2023 Rookie Draft. Where is the strength of this class and what spots do you need to be at to get your guy? In this article, I will provide my initial view of how I see the draft playing out and what spots the value is at. I will do deeper dives into some of these players as the off-season wears on. This is version 1.0.

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Anthony Richardson

2023 Rookie QB Analytics: Anthony Richardson

By Chris Miles | January 17, 2023 | 0 Comments

Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Florida quarterback, Anthony Richardson.

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JSN & The Slot Receiver

By Billy Beaman | January 14, 2023 | 0 Comments

The fantasy community has adopted a strange tradition – hyping up a draft class a few years down the road, only to completely discredit them the year they’re to be drafted. Maybe not ‘completely’, but it certainly feels that way. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is one of the most recent victims of our yearly tradition. I want to discuss why that is and see if we can draw any significant conclusions about our views on slot usage and production.

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2023 Rookie QB Analytics: Bryce Young

By Chris Miles | January 13, 2023 | 0 Comments

Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Alabama quarterback, Bryce Young.

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Allen Robinson

Revisiting Redraft Predictions: NFC Edition

By Paul Patterson | January 13, 2023 | 0 Comments

Since August 25th, I’ve had a thread pinned to my Twitter profile containing one Redraft prediction for each NFL team. Now that the fantasy football season is over, it’s time to look back at those predictions and see which ones were spot on and which were laughably wrong.