Cheap Dynasty Buys: Impending Free Agent Edition
@DynastyFFWolf makes his DFF debut with 4 affordable dynasty targets to buy this offseason. Read the full analysis in this FREE article!
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Tyler Allgeier
Tyler Allgeier: Grab, Stash, Profit
Let’s talk about Tyler Allgeier, one of the most underrated bench stashes in all of Dynasty and Redraft right now. He’s going late in the double-digit rounds of most startup drafts, if he’s even being drafted at all in shallower formats, and that’s exactly the kind of profile I want to scoop before the rest of the league catches on. If you’re rostering Bijan Robinson he’s a must. But even if you’re not, Allgeier is one of the best handcuff values you can grab and stash right now.
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Rookie Running Back Rewind
A rookie rewind is a way of gauging the value change of rookies from pre-season to post-season. It not only discusses the value change but also examines why the value changed. All of the quarterback value data comes from KeepTradeCut, as it crowdsources information in real time. Many of the statistics are sourced from ProFootballFocus (PFF).
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Week 13 Starts/Sits
It’s “Bye-apocalypse” Part 2. We’re short key stable options this week. It’s officially December and that means updated DFS NFL odds and the final month of the Dynasty Fantasy Football season. So, just like last time, we’re cutting back on the sits and only doing two sits per position. It’s time for our ~FREE~ Week 13 edition of Dynasty Start/Sits!
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Week 10 Starts/Sits
Welcome to your Week 10 edition of Dynasty Starts/Sits. We’re getting into the home stretch of the season. Some teams are still in the hunt, some are completely out of the race, and others are sitting pretty atop the standings. Whatever your needs are, look no further. We’ll get you right for your matchups this week.
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Late-Round RBs Worth Buying
In startup drafts, I believe it’s best to focus on RBs with contingent value in the later rounds, as it’s much more likely that these backups will hit your starting lineup than someone like Alec Pierce or Cedric Tillman. It only takes one injury for handcuff RBs to catapult into bell cow roles and potentially league-winning roles for your fantasy team. The 70th-best WR or 25th-best TE is much less likely to give you viable productivity during the season; too much would have to go right for them. As an example, Cedric Tillman (the current WR69, according to Bulletproofff.com) would need multiple injuries to the Browns’ receiving corps to see consistent targets in 2023. Even then, it would be unreasonable to expect Tillman to replicate the production of Amari Cooper.
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Post NFL Draft: 2023 Dynasty Fantasy Football Risers & Fallers
The NFL Draft is one of the more polarizing events during the NFL offseason. Rookies are coming into the league for a chance at prominent roles right out of the gate for NFL teams looking to upgrade their positions in order to strengthen their squads. This is also important for fantasy managers. As we get closer and closer to league drafts or rookie drafts in Dynasty leagues, new rookies impact the fantasy value of veteran players on football rosters across the league. This can also make offseason trades more difficult.
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2023 Dynasty Fantasy Football: Potential League Winners
Every year in fantasy football, we see a handful of players that far exceed their projected fantasy output and help carry fantasy owners to a league championship. Last year, Josh Jacobs, Amari Cooper, and Jamaal Williams were a few names that outperformed expectations and were integral to many fantasy championship rosters. As Dynasty owners, we are always looking for market inefficiencies, trying to acquire that asset that could skyrocket in value. At the same time, we have to find a balance between immediate production and longevity. In this article, I’m giving you one name from each skill position that is currently being undervalued and could become that “league-winner” for your team, either in 2023 or in the future. I will also discuss each player’s outlook from a dynasty perspective and whether it makes sense for you to buy based on roster construction.
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Fading the Post-Draft Hype
We’ve seen a lot of movement in Dynasty Player Rankings as the dust settles post-NFL Draft. Landing spots and draft capital can completely change the path to success for rookies and veterans alike. As Dynasty owners, we love to project the future production of fantasy players, and the NFL Draft is a big day where we tweak our rankings and decide whether we’re “out” or “all in” on certain guys. In light of this, I want to cover a few names that may be fool’s gold based on their perceived situation. In this article, we will focus on some players that seemingly “won” the NFL Draft but that I am still avoiding at their respective prices.
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Best Mid-Round Values: Players to Target in Rounds 9+
The Dynasty Startup Draft is a pivotal day in your Dynasty career, laying the foundation for your team’s future success. Properly valuing players and making quality picks can immediately create distance between you and your league mates. A successful draft could give you the upper hand, while a poorly constructed team could result in years of rebuilding. To avoid getting off to a slow start, I’m giving you my list of mid-to-late-round players to target in your next startup draft. I’ve based my player values on a Dynasty PPR Superflex, Tight-End Premium League.
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Predicting and Analyzing the 2023 RB Carousel: AFC & NFC South
The 2023 offseason promises big changes to the running back landscape in the NFL. Over the next couple of weeks, I’ll go over my predictions for the running back situations of each team, as well as the corresponding fantasy implications. Check out Part 6 of this series, where I looked at the NFC North. Today, in a 2-for-1 special, we’ll take a quick look at the AFC and NFC South divisions.
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The DFF Dynasty Start-Up Mock Draft: Part 4
As the dynasty league offseason is now in full swing, there are many upcoming NFL events to anticipate. Coming up on the calendar we have the likes of the NFL Scouting Combine, Free Agency, and the NFL Draft. In the fantasy football world, there is ample opportunity for value shifts for individual players and entire position groups. What better time to test the water than the end of February with a mock draft?
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Overlooked Gems: NFC South Edition
In this continued offseason series, we will break down one player from each NFL team who is currently being overlooked. At the same time, that player could provide great depth/potential to a deep dynasty league roster. These players are worth picking up if they are in your free agency.
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2023 Rookie RB Analytics: Tyjae Spears
Rookie scouting season is here and everyone is starting to research and prep for their rookie drafts. In this series, I will go through my process and scout different players for the incoming 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Tulane running back, Tyjae Spears.
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Dynasty Fact or Cap: Mid-Season Mayhem
Welcome back to Fantasy Fact or Cap for Dynasty Football Factory, the article with hot questions and even hotter answers. I’m your host, Matt Ward (@PsychWardFF), and I have a laundry list of trending narratives to break down for you today. Without further ado, let’s look at some of the most talked-about topics in fantasy football and decipher whether they are fact or cap.
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Week 5 Starts and Sits
Goff exploded last week against Seattle throwing for 378 yards and four touchdowns leading him to be the fifth highest scoring QB this year. What a difference a year can make! And in a game where he was missing Amon-Ra St. Brown, DJ Chark, and D’Andre Swift nonetheless. It was an incredible show, but now he must take his Lions into New England, where Bill Belichick is known for making it tough on the opposing team’s best players.
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Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down: NFC South
Welcome back to the “Fantasy Stock Up, Stock Down” series (preseason edition). Week 2 of the preseason is just about over, and we are just over two weeks away from the regular season. Positional battles are ramping up. Injuries are opening up opportunities for players looking to earn significant roles and/or roster spots. And the time to be the most active in dynasty leagues is NOW. We are going to hear “hype” reports from beat reporters. And we are going to hear some reports that make us feel a little uneasy about our player investments. Us dynasty managers must constantly research ways to bolster our rosters. In this continuation series, we will dive deep into one player whose dynasty stock is increasing and one player whose dynasty stock is decreasing from each team in every division. Today, we will break down the NFC South.
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2022 DFF SF Rookie Mock Draft – Post NFL Draft: Round 3
The DFF Army banded together once again for another 2022 DFF Superflex Rookie Mock–post Draft! Now that we have seen where all of the top talent that college football has to offer has landed, it’s time to update those draft rankings. Check out every third-round selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick.
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2022 Projections: Atlanta Falcons
I do not like the Falcons’ offense for fantasy, they will play slow, they will not score many touchdowns, and they will not pass the ball much. The only asset worth spending a high pick on is Kyle Pitts. I could see myself owning some Patterson, Allgeier, and Mariota though as I think they will be fairly cheap options. I do think London may be over-drafted though, given the recent rookie WR production and not thinking about how inept this offense may be. I have Mariota as a mid to high QB2, Patterson as a high RB3, Allgeier as a low RB4, London as a mid WR3, Edwards and Olamide are not on my board, and Pitts as a mid to high TE1. Hopefully, this offense is good and passes a lot in 2022 but I would not bet on it.
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2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Tyler Allgeier
TYLER ALLGEIER | BYU 5’11” 224 lbs. | 04/15/2000 (Age 22) Tyler Allgeier was drafted 151st overall by the Atlanta Falcons, becoming the 12th running back selected in the 2022 NFL Draft. COLLEGE PRODUCTION Tyler Allgeier was an elite producer in college and smashed nearly every threshold that I look at in my rookie model.
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