Devonta Smith

Rookie Stock Report: Week 9

No touchdowns despite a decent rushing game that resulted in a flex-like game for Khalil Herbert. The Chicago offense looked much better while Matt Nagy was out (more on this later) and Justin Fields vultured opportunities after a healthy uptick in rushing usage.  It’s obviously disappointing to those hoping to have another RB2 performance before Montgomery’s return but consider this encouraging for all of our Chicago shares in the future. Herbert should have Tony Pollard-like upside in the future and is a hold no matter what.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Rookie Stock Report: Week 9 Read More »

Paul’s Picks – Week 9

I whiffed on a lot of “starts” in Week 8. Truthfully, I’m still reeling from Kenny Gainwell’s usage, or lack thereof, and the duds we saw from Mike Williams and Emmanuel Sanders. But at least the “sits” were spot on. Now it’s time to take a look at Week 9. As always, I’ll be bringing you names at every position that I believe will exceed expectations or fall flat.

Let’s get into the picks.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Paul’s Picks – Week 9 Read More »

Rookie Stock Report: Week 8

Elijah Mitchell continues to dominate the 49ers ‘backfield and is running as efficiently as any player should in this system. Trey Sermon has been relegated to a special teams player and doesn’t seem to be a threat, however, JaMycal Hasty has returned and received 34% of the snaps as the third-down back. This will cap Mitchell’s receiving production but the 49ers have a running scheme that gives its players a chance to score anytime they touch the ball. Mitchell lacks size but has the burst to replicate Raheem Mostert’s production and can actually stay on the field. So far anyway. Mitchell should be considered the second-ranked rookie running back behind only Najee Harris.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Rookie Stock Report: Week 8 Read More »

Rookie Stock Report: Week 7

Philadelphia’s game against Tampa Bay was strange all-around and DeVonta Smith had one of his worst games of the season. The Eagles have a banged-up offensive line and all but abandoned the run game and pass inefficiently without it complimenting the play-action. It should also be noted that Zack Ertz, who lead the team in targets for the game, is now gone. DeVonta Smith should arguably be in the ‘To the Moon’ category, but the rookie’s value may be cheaper as we head into byes and his bad game. Teams will be evaluating if they’re ready to win or not and may want to sell for something more certain.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Rookie Stock Report: Week 7 Read More »

Rookie Stock Report: Week 6

Khalil Herbert is set to be Chicago’s RB1 for Week 6 after an injury to David Montgomery and Damien Williams being placed on the Covid list. Fortunately enough Herbert has looked like a better prospect than his draft stock would indicate and has made the most of his touches. Herbert is an explosive downhill runner that is a better backup to Montgomery than Williams. If I could get him for cheap he’s a stash I’d love to have stashed on my roster.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Rookie Stock Report: Week 6 Read More »

DFF Redraft Recap – Weeks 1-4

We are four weeks into the fantasy football season, and already the NFL looks a lot different than it did heading into Week 1. Devastating injuries, big breakouts, and shocking busts have likely reshaped the landscape of your fantasy league, as well. At this point, we’ll begin to see which teams are contenders and which teams are just pretenders.

In this article, I’ll be giving you a behind-the-scenes look at the DFF Redraft Championship league standings. I’ll provide a brief overview of each team and make a prediction about their rest-of-season performance. Ready for the tour? Let’s start in the basement.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

DFF Redraft Recap – Weeks 1-4 Read More »

Rookie Stock Report: Week 5

Kenneth Gainwell is going to be annoying for everyone, but now is not the time to sell him. The Eagles are clearly running with a two-headed approach like most of the NFL and any week can be huge with his high receiving floor and red zone usage. Gainwell is a flexy starter that will be a boom or bust option every week but the receiving work has him already ranked ahead of “starter” Miles Sanders in all formats. Sanders was a product of the old regime and it appears the new staff has more trust in Gainwell to handle two-minute drill and scoring work. Running back is too thin for you to give up a young rookie with upside.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Rookie Stock Report: Week 5 Read More »

Paul’s Picks – Week 4

I whiffed on A.J. Brown and Rondale Moore in Week 3, but Clyde Edwards-Helaire and Saquon Barkley were big hits. And if you benched Damien Harris, Devin Singletary, Laviska Shenault, Corey Davis, or Robert Tonyan, your team was probably better for it. But now we’re on to Week 3. As always, I’ll be bringing you names at every position that I believe will exceed expectations or fall flat.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Paul’s Picks – Week 4 Read More »

Rookie Stock Report: Week 2

Nothing has changed for Justin Fields since last week. He got his own package to get a few plays just like Trey Lance, and completed two for two passing for 10 yards, and running it in for his first real touchdown. The current Bears starter still looks like a competent backup and not the guy you want starting when you’re an HC on the hot seat. Chicago’s rushing attack looks fantastic and will relieve pressure off the rookie once he takes the reins. I can’t wait to see more RPO play-calls with him and David Montgomery. The time for Fields to start is any day now, so buy now before he gets even more expensive than he is.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Rookie Stock Report: Week 2 Read More »

Week 1: Start These Rookie Wide Receivers

It is hard to feel safe starting a rookie, especially in week 1. There are too many question marks. Will they pick up the playbook? What is their talent level compared to their teammates and opponents? Will they be eased in or heavily relied on immediately?, Etcetera, etcetera… Well, I am here to put your mind at ease and show you who the truly reliable assets are from this 2021 rookie class. Because believe it or not, there ARE some studs from this class who will produce right away and throughout this season.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Week 1: Start These Rookie Wide Receivers Read More »

Rookie Stock Report: Week 1

Wilson has looked confident and in control the entire preseason and has a clear rapport with expected WR1 Corey Davis. He’s flashed not only the ability to make every throw but the savvy to know when to make the throw. I expect him to have lots of support with this running game straight from the Shanahan coaching tree, and we haven’t yet seen the explosive playmaking from Elijah Moore in a real game. Wilson has a blend of underrated mobility and Rodgers-Esque arm talent that can make him every bit worth the draft capital. I’m buying into the fact that the Jets want to change the culture and want pieces of this team before they boom next season.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Rookie Stock Report: Week 1 Read More »

Joe Burrow. Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

Countdown to Kickoff: Day 1

This will be the final article of twelve, counting down the days until we can once again sit and watch this sport that we love (and dominate our fantasy leagues in the process). Each article will have a numeric theme, which will also count down as each day ticks the calendar. In this piece, I’ll be discussing the top-10 players who will increase their dynasty value in the 2021 NFL season. So, without further ado, I am thrilled to bring you DFF’s 2021 “Kickoff Countdown”!

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Countdown to Kickoff: Day 1 Read More »

Kickoff Countdown Day 7: Seven Players to Fade at ADP

Here at Dynasty Football Factory, we’re ecstatic for NFL Week 1. We’ve been working hard all offseason to break down all 32 teams and provide the best analysis to help you navigate your drafts and manage your teams. However, we aren’t done yet. With our “Kickoff Countdown” series we’re bringing you great content 12 days in a row! I’ve got you covered today, 7 days till kickoff. Every season there are players that “bust” or fail to meet expectations set by their ADP. In celebration of our “Kickoff Countdown” I will be giving you seven players to fade at their Redraft ADP, as we are seven days away from kickoff. Let’s get into it!

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Kickoff Countdown Day 7: Seven Players to Fade at ADP Read More »

DeVonta Smith Sprains MCL: Is Smith too Small to Play in the NFL?

Well, it happened. Eagles rookie wide receiver DeVonta Smith left practice on Monday with an apparent knee injury. Smith had an MRI which helped diagnose him with a sprained MCL in his knee. According to reports, the injury is considered minor and he is only supposed to be out “a couple of weeks” per Ian Rapoport. 

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

DeVonta Smith Sprains MCL: Is Smith too Small to Play in the NFL? Read More »

DFF Redraft League: Drafting from the Two Spot

Welcome, #DFFArmy to Dynasty Football Factory’s Redraft season kickoff! This year looks to be even more competitive than last year as we added two teams to the league, bringing the total number to 14. Not only did we grow the league size, but we expanded rosters by adding a flex position as well, which makes hitting in the mid to late rounds even more important than normal.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

DFF Redraft League: Drafting from the Two Spot Read More »

DFF Draft Coverage: DeVonta Smith to the Eagles

In his four years at Alabama, Smith accumulated 235 receptions for 46 total TDs and nearly 4000 yards (3965). He was extremely productive in college and surpassed even Ja’Marr Chase’s impressive 2019 season this past year. Even with two first-rounders on the team in 2019, Smith was able to post a 1000-yard season, giving him a breakout age of 20.8. He had a college dominator of 51.3%, good enough to place him in the 96th percentile. Add that to a target share of 34.6% which put him in the 95th percentile. His catch rate over the last two seasons was nearly 80% (79.1, 79.6). DeVonta Smith was a beast in college, and he has the  production to back it up.

DFF Draft Coverage: DeVonta Smith to the Eagles Read More »

pitts te vs wr

2021 Rookie Pass Catcher Comparison Countdown: Part 5

In this series, we are going to do a deep dive into the top 2021 NFL Draft Class’s wide receivers, and see who they compare to historically. We are going to build them out from the standpoint of their physical acumen, their athletic abilities, and then bring it full circle by looking into their college production. Combining these three components we will settle on a final comparison that I believe most accurately outlines each player’s potential range of outcomes in the NFL. We will count down the top-15 pass-catchers with their comparable players as our countdown to the NFL Draft on Thursday, April 29th.

2021 Rookie Pass Catcher Comparison Countdown: Part 5 Read More »

Dominating Your Rookie Draft: 2021 Rookie Tiers

The Rookie 1.01 Draft pick always holds a premium in dynasty fantasy football. Rookie draft picks also vary in value based on the current time of the year that we are in. In the second part of this article, we are going to explore how to dominate the 2021 Rookie Drafts and revisit the value of how rookie pick values change at different parts of the season.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Dominating Your Rookie Draft: 2021 Rookie Tiers Read More »

draft stock week seven

DFF Way Too Early Mock Draft 1.0: First Round

Yes, some of us are still nursing Super Bowl hangovers or regretting watching Tom Brady walk out of the organization he called home for the last two decades, but there are three things we love in Fantasy Football: Start-Up Drafting, Trading & Rookie Drafts. So the team at DFF got on board and jumped the gun on a 2021 way too early Rookie Mock, and the results will surprise you in just how deep this class is on the back of a stellar 2020 class. 

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

DFF Way Too Early Mock Draft 1.0: First Round Read More »