Cleveland Browns

NFL Player Props – Week One

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In this article, I look at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense. In addition, I will also make one “Longshot Pick of the Week”. This pick will always feature a more difficult bet that has a greater than 2:1 payout. The odds may be tougher, but if you’re into some fun player props take a peek!

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2020 AFC Win Totals

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Finally, the 2020 NFL Season is less than one week away! While there were doubts that the season would occur due to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, we are officially set to begin the season on September 10. For those of you wishing to sneak in some last-minute season-long plays, below are my predictions for AFC team win totals heading into this new year. A full disclaimer that these predictions are predicated on the belief that the season proceeds as planned with limited interruptions due to the pandemic.

All lines are provided by our friends at DraftKings. Deposit $20 into DraftKings today and receive not only a FREE DFF Membership, but also an extra $10 in DraftKings credit! It’s a no brainer!

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Against the Spread: NFL Week 1 2020

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Let’s start this year off spicy. Not only do I think the Redskins cover, I think they pull off the upset and beat the Eagles outright (+225 ML). I am firmly planting my flag that the Eagles will not be a good team this year. They have been absolutely ravaged by injuries and the season hasn’t even begun. The Eagles have lost their starting left tackle, right guard, and a whole host of receivers. Down two starters on their offensive line, who do the Eagles draw Week One? Just a Washington team boasting five first-round picks in their front seven. Couple this with the reported accuracy issues Carson Wentz is experiencing so far in camp, and I wouldn’t be surprised at all to see Washington pull off the upset in this one.

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Josh Gordon Rapid Reaction

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The Seahawks recently signed Josh Gordon to a 1-year, incentive-laden contract to return to the NFL. Gordon is awaiting reinstatement from the NFL due to substance-abuse violations, but I fully expect him to play in 2020. Even though Gordon hasn’t contributed significantly to fantasy football in many years, he was once a hot dynasty name. Therefore, he’ll generate buzz, and it’s crucial to discuss him after this signing. 

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Austin Hooper: 2020 Dynasty Profile

Austin Hooper: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Austin Hooper was drafted by the Atlanta Falcons in the third round of the 2016 NFL draft. Through his first four seasons in the NFL, Hooper has seen his targets, receptions, yards, and touchdowns all increased year over year. His most productive season was in 2019. Hauling in 75 catches, 787 yards, and six scores in only 13 games. This offensive output had Hooper finishing the season at TE6 in PPR formats.

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Kareem Hunt: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Kareem Hunt was drafted by the Kansas City Chiefs in the third round out of the University of Toledo where he put up some significant numbers. Hunt broke out in his freshman year and finished his college career with three straight seasons of 10+ touchdowns. Hunt went into the season as their number two running back but that changed after their starting running back Spencer Ware went down in the pre-season. Hunt was named the starter and never really looked back. Playing in all 16 games, Hunt had 272 rushes for 1,327 yards and 8 rushing touchdowns. Hunt added 53 receptions, 455 yards, and three receiving touchdowns.

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Jarvis Landry: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Jarvis Landry was the WR21 in fantasy points per game in a season where Baker Mayfield experienced a decreased yards-per-attempt, completion rate, and touchdown rate. All signs point toward Mayfield taking a step forward this season and the Browns being a much more efficient offense in general. Expect the offense to still run through Landry and the run game, with Odell Beckham providing the electric plays. All contending fantasy teams should be trading for Landry with a WR2 floor and low WR1 upside.

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#TomBomb: Cleveland Browns

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Potentially more than ever, Jarvis Landry finds his way into any and every conversation revolving around the notion of buying low in a dynasty setting. Just days after the Browns placed the WR on the active/PUP list, Old Tom has a feeling you’re going to find a few owners a little concerned. The good news, however, is that this was always part of the plan. As reported, the team has indicated there have been no setbacks and Jarvis should be ready in time for that week 1 showdown with the high-flying Ravens. With that cleared up, Old Tom has always had a sweet spot for Mr. Landry.

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Nick Chubb: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Nick Chubb has had excellent success in his two NFL seasons. Once he took over from Carlos Hyde in 2018, Chubb began dominating the carries in the Browns’ backfield. From Weeks 7-17, Chubb was the RB8 and averaged 16.5 PPR points per game. He had 17.6 rushing attempts per game over that span, sharing only minimal touches with the Browns’ other running backs. Then in 2019, Chubb took a whopping 298 carries and gained 1,494, second in the NFL behind only Derrick Henry in both categories. Even once Kareem Hunt rejoined the Browns, Chubb still paced for over 1,350 yards across a full season. While Chubb lost passing-game work to Hunt, he was the Browns’ primary back and would have been a fantasy star if he’d been more successful in the red zone.

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David Njoku: A Goliath Rebirth?

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Cleveland Browns tight end David Njoku has requested a trade from the Cleveland Browns via his agent, Drew Rosenhaus. The veteran sports agent and notorious bare-knuckles negotiator has almost certainly taken public a request made to the team shortly after another former first-rounder from the same position, Hayden Hurst demanded a trade from the Ravens to the Falcons earlier this year. Poetically and characteristically, Rosenhaus aired his demand for his client’s freedom from the league’s most unstable franchise on the eve of Independence Day. Timing is also of the essence because training camps open in a mere three weeks’ time.

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Dynasty WR Buys: Mid-Range Part 2

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I’m back to the dynasty side of writing with a series on veteran dynasty buys at the wide receiver position. I started off looking at three buy-high receivers. Then, I moved into the mid-range of dynasty value, beginning with a detailed dive into Tyler Boyd and Michael Gallup. As I referenced in that piece, I believe that the mid-range of dynasty WRs is a value goldmine with so many undervalued players in that group. Let’s jump into two more players that I think are excellent dynasty buys.

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Redraft Team Focus: Browns

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I see Chubb as very similar to Derrick Henry. Chubb had 298 carries in 2018 compared to Henry’s 303, so they were close in carry count. The significant differences were that Chubb had 36 receptions while Henry had only 18, but Henry scored 18 total touchdowns to Chubb’s eight. I think the Browns’ offense will be better overall than the Titans’, so Chubb should improve his touchdown total in 2020. While I do expect Chubb to lose a lot of receiving production, I think he could have around 25 catches in 2019, which isn’t bad. Also, the Browns replaced horrific head coach Freddie Kitchens with Kevin Stefanski, who ran the Vikings’ run-heavy attack behind Dalvin Cook in 2019.

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Free Agency Merry-Go-Round: Hooper Lands in Cleveland with a Thud

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Unrestricted free-agent Austin Hooper signed a four-year, $42M contract to play for the Cleveland Browns last month. The deal makes him the second-highest-paid tight end in the NFL behind only Hunter Henry. He’ll join a team that finished 2019 at 6-10, results that prompted ownership to fire the GM and coaching staff. Hooper leaves a high-volume pass offense in Atlanta for one in Cleveland featuring a duo of strong running backs and a quarterback who’s still developing.

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IDP Change of Scenery: Atlanta to Cleveland

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One of the bigger names left on the market, Adrian Clayborn, just signed with the Cleveland Browns, a few days ago. The Browns signed the former Atlanta Falcon to a two year, $5.75 million deal. Not an expensive signing, but a decent deal for Clayborn, and a team-friendly signing for the Browns. The deal will take the veteran defensive end through his age 33 season.

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Perriman Signs with the Jets

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Here’s a quick-hit reaction to Breshad Perriman signing with the Jets. In my last offseason reactions piece, I looked at Robby Anderson signing with the Panthers. Perriman signed with the Jets on a 1-year, $8 million contract to replace Anderson in the deep-threat role in the Jets’ offense. Since this move has the most significant effect on Perriman himself, let’s take a short dive into Perriman’s career up to this point.

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