Nick Chubb: 2020 Dynasty Profile

PAST PRODUCTION

Nick Chubb has had excellent success in his two NFL seasons.

 Year  Games   Carries   Rushing Yards   YPC   Rushing TDs   Fantasy Rank   Fantasy PPG   PPG Rank 
 2018   16  192  996  5.2  8  RB17  12.2  25th
 2019  16  298  1,494  5.0  8  RB8  16.0  11th

Once he took over from Carlos Hyde in 2018, Chubb began dominating the carries in the Browns’ backfield. From Weeks 7-17, Chubb was the RB8 and averaged 16.5 PPR points per game. He had 17.6 rushing attempts per game over that span, sharing only minimal touches with the Browns’ other running backs.

Then in 2019, Chubb took a whopping 298 carries and gained 1,494, second in the NFL behind only Derrick Henry in both categories. Even once Kareem Hunt rejoined the Browns, Chubb still paced for over 1,350 yards across a full season. While Chubb lost passing-game work to Hunt, he was the Browns’ primary back and would have been a fantasy star if he’d been more successful in the red zone.

Inside the 10-yard line, Chubb had 32 carries for 12 yards and only four touchdowns. Given Chubb’s excellence over the rest of the field, I refuse to believe that Chubb is a bad goal-line back. The Browns’ offensive line was horrible in 2019, and I look at Chubb’s extreme opportunity in the red zone as a positive sign. Chubb tied with Christian McCaffrey and Dalvin Cook for the most carries inside the 10-yard line, meaning that Chubb gets opportunity commensurate with the NFL’s top running backs.

2020 OUTLOOK

Some people are fading Chubb in 2020 due to the presence of Kareem Hunt. While Hunt might steal some passing-game stats, Chubb is a monster on the ground. To me, Chubb is a far more talented version of Derrick Henry. Chubb can also succeed as a receiver, as he had 36 receptions in 2019, double Henry’s career-high.

The Browns also upgraded their offensive line, as they signed right tackle Jack Conklin in free agency and drafted left tackle Jedrick Wills in the first round. Also, new head coach Kevin Stefanski ran the Vikings’ run-heavy offense in 2019, and he should bring the same style to Cleveland. I think Chubb will have a monster year in 2020, and he ranks as my RB8 and 12th overall player.

DYNASTY ANALYSIS

Chubb is one of my favorite dynasty running back buys right now. Many dynasty owners are afraid of Hunt, but Hunt’s contract expires after 2020. Chubb will be eligible for an extension simultaneously, and the Browns will undoubtedly move on from Hunt in favor of extending Chubb. Once that happens, Chubb will skyrocket in value. Considering that he both can produce in 2020 and has the potential to rise in value, Chubb is a must-buy. Chubb ranks as my RB6 in dynasty formats and as my eighth overall player. I see him as a cornerstone asset that dynasty owners should build around.

Thanks for reading this article. You can find me on Twitter at @DFF_Karp. I love to interact with anyone in the community, so reach out at any time! I take fantasy questions and help with all formats, so keep sending those questions my way.

jkarp

Columbia SPS Sports Management graduate. Director of content, writer, and ranker for @DFF_Redraft and writer for @DFF_Dynasty. #DFFArmy #FantasyFootball You can find me on Twitter @DFF_Karp.

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