Dynasty Analysis
Quentin Johnston was drafted by the Los Angeles Chargers, becoming the second wide receiver and 21st overall player in the 2022 NFL Draft.
The KOP rankings will help you understand why a person struggles in the NFL or why a particular player isn’t receiving more playing time. It will allow you to move off a specific player earlier than most people in the Dynasty Fantasy Football space. For example, while most managers hoped O.J. Howard would produce as a TE1 in his sophomore or third season; you have already traded him away.
Today I’m highlighting some rookies from the 2023 NFL Draft class that I am out on for fantasy purposes. The landing spot doesn’t matter, the situation doesn’t matter, I’m out, no matter what.
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @FantasyBlueChip!
As the newest ranking team member here at DFF, I have asked myself this question quite a bit over the past couple of weeks: Who should I rank higher? These lead to fantastic conversations in league, text, and social media chats. The back and forth is where some of the richest discussions of fantasy football can occur. In particular, in the Dynasty space where a player’s value could vary depending on if the team is a contender or rebuilding, and also on positional need. Today’s discussion is not easily solved by either of those metrics though. All three of these guys are talented young WRs that work well whether you are contending now or looking at the long-term picture. I would be happy to have a roster with any one of them or even better all three of them but in a startup, where would I go? Let’s dig into these incredibly talented WRs.
With the 2023 NFL Draft tonight, for some reason CJ Stroud’s name is being dragged through the mud, by either claims that are proven incorrect or just outright odd things. This is reminiscent of what happened to Bo Ridley Callahan in the movie Draft Day. In the words of Dick Moore, Wisconsin, and Bo Callahan’s college coach, “You kidding me with this? You trying to tear this kid down our what?”
In this ~FREE~ edition of DFF TV, @DynastyPatrolHQ reviews selecting from the 1.02 in a 12-team Dynasty Football Superflex Rookie Mock Draft with TEP!
In this ~FREE~ edition of DFF TV, @WillieBeamanDFF breaks down a 10-team Dynasty Football Superflex Rookie Mock Draft!
Over the last few weeks, I revealed wide receivers 15-6 in my annual WR1 prospect model ratings to help prepare DFF readers for their dynasty rookie drafts. You can find 15-11 here and 10-6 here. This article covers the top five prospects before draft capital is figured in. I will publish a final version of the WR1 after the draft is complete so be on the lookout for that.
As Dynasty Fantasy Football Managers, this time of year is one of the most exciting. The NFL Draft is upon us and we finally get to have landing spots for the rookies we have spent the last few months evaluating and debating. For handicappers, this week also provides a golden opportunity, betting on the NFL Draft. The sportsbooks are working with all the same information we are this week and this week is notoriously bad for the sportsbooks. As Dynasty managers, we have a massive edge in this market thanks to our time spent studying film and analytics. This market is also extremely volatile to news and reporting so be prepared for lines to have massive swings much more so than typical in-season wagers. Line changes can occur for several different reasons but a bet I may like here at one price may not apply if the juice (gambling odds) changes. All of our odds for today will be provided by FanDuel Sportsbook from April 24th and 12:00 PM EST.
Prescott was drafted in the fourth round of the 2016 NFL Draft, picked 135th overall. Expectations for the Louisiana native were to compete for the backup role in Dallas. However, Dak was quickly thrust into the spotlight when Tony Romo suffered a compression fracture in Week 3 of the Preseason.
Today I want to discuss one of the most polarizing Superflex prospects of the 2023 incoming rookie class – Anthony Richardson (QB-Florida). There appears to be no in-between with how the fantasy community views AR15, he’s either the best QB of this rookie class or will be a total bust. I have planted my flag on the latter side, and am here to explain why.
DFF TV presents “Always Be Building” featuring @bwinknfl and @puma_drew. This ~FREE~ edition expands the discussion to Will Levis vs. Anthony Richardson.
The revolution is here, and it is being led by WRs. In the last several years, the young WRs in particular, have changed the way many Dynasty managers have gone about building out their rosters for future success. We have seen numerous rookie wideouts make immediate impacts and become the foundation teams are now built around. The NFL has recently changed in more ways than one. We are in the “Air Raid” era that has allowed rookie WRs to come in and make an immediate impact.
For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating score. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics.
The DFF Army got together again after the NFL Scouting Combine for its third analyst-only Rookie Mock Draft of the 2023 off-season. Here we randomly selected spots and ran the draft in a linear order; the settings are Superflex, TEP, and PPR. Hopefully, this can help give you an earlier sense of the players you should be considering at the top of your draft and the gems you will want to target later. Check out every selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick.
Spring is one of my favorite times of year but not for the same reasons as most people. Spring is the climax of rookie draft research season. As the snow begins to subside, it means the Senior Bowl is upon us. When we put the heavy down jacket into storage, it marks the calendar for the NFL Combine. Blades of glass emerge from the ground as NFL Free Agency ramps up. As we see Zay Flowers in full bloom, we have all the pomp and circumstance of the NFL Draft.
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @PsychWardFF!
Over the next few weeks, I will be revealing my annual WR1 prospect model ratings to help prepare DFF readers for their dynasty rookie drafts. This article covers the prospects ranked 15-11 in the model.
For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating score. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics.
You may find an in-depth explanation of the model’s process and a glossary of what the metrics mean here.
Before we get into the 2023 prospects, here are the top 20 all-time prospects in the model so you can see how effective it is at forecasting future fantasy value. As you can see this is a highly accurate predictor of future fantasy success. 17 of the top 20 prospect scores have gone on to have a top 24 fantasy PPG season. 14 of those 20 have had a top 12 fantasy PPG season.
If you’ve been in the Dynasty community long enough, I’m sure you’ve heard people refer to the tight end position as a wasteland. Across nearly every fantasy football platform, the top tier of TEs consists of three names: Kyle Pitts, Travis Kelce, and Mark Andrews (in no particular order). Since the talent pool is so sparse at the position, these Tier 1 guys can provide a significant advantage for your roster every week and ultimately carry you to a league championship. But with this value comes a hefty price tag. If you’re unwilling or unable to give up the necessary pieces to acquire one of these three studs, where can we look for consistent production?
DFF TV presents “Always Be Building” featuring @bwinknfl and @puma_drew. This ~FREE~ edition dives into the Bryce Young vs. CJ Stroud debate.
It is time to rethink how to approach “buy or sell” articles. The simple reasons to buy and reasons to sell are followed by a verdict that ignores roster construction. It becomes a stock market, which in theory there is a lot of that to Dynasty Fantasy Football. Still, I also want to win championships, and poorly constructed rosters that have won all these trades but still have massive holes on their roster are not the ones that pull that off. The season gets messy, we need depth, and we players across all position groups to be successful. Not just winning a bunch of trades to have seven startable WRs while we are rolling out some 3rd down back as our RB1 while my WR5 scores all these points on the bench. Our subject today Brock Purdy, feels more nuanced discussion than a simple buy or sell discussion would provide. Context is important and for our purposes, roster construction is our context.
It has been just over a year since we had last seen Odell Beckham Jr. playing football, and we finally learned about his new home, the Baltimore Ravens. In this article, I will be talking about what we should expect from Odell in Baltimore as well as how this move affects the Ravens’ current pieces, and what we should do with Odell on our teams and in startups. Let us not waste any time and just get right into it.
In this ~FREE~ edition of DFF TV, @WillieBeamanDFF breaks down a 10-team Dynasty Football Superflex Rookie Mock Draft!
I’ve either played or coached football for over 20 years, and my experience enters how I evaluate NFL Draft prospects. What can I trust him to do? In general, the number one thing a coach values the most in a person/player is trust. It isn’t athleticism or size. The KOP rankings will help you understand why a person struggles in the NFL or why a particular player isn’t receiving more playing time. It will allow you to move off a specific player earlier than most people in the Dynasty Fantasy Football space. For example, while most managers hoped for O.J. Howard to produce as a TE1 in his sophomore or third season; you have already traded him away.