The 2023 offseason promises big changes to the running back landscape in the NFL. Over the next couple of weeks, I’ll go over my predictions for the running back situations of each team, as well as the corresponding fantasy implications.
Predicting the 2023 RB Carousel: NFC East Read More »
We at DFF hope all your 2022 dynasty football league dreams came true. But the grind never stops. We have a saying at DFF #AlwaysBeBuilding. So if your season is over it’s time to start looking at your approach to the 2023 Rookie Draft. Where is the strength of this class and what spots do you need to be at to get your guy? In this article, I will provide my initial view of how I see the draft playing out and what spots the value is at. I will do deeper dives into some of these players as the off-season wears on. This is version 1.0.
Never Too Early 2023 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: Round 2 Read More »
Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Florida quarterback, Anthony Richardson.
2023 Rookie QB Analytics: Anthony Richardson Read More »
The fantasy community has adopted a strange tradition – hyping up a draft class a few years down the road, only to completely discredit them the year they’re to be drafted. Maybe not ‘completely’, but it certainly feels that way. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is one of the most recent victims of our yearly tradition. I want to discuss why that is and see if we can draw any significant conclusions about our views on slot usage and production.
JSN & The Slot Receiver Read More »
Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Alabama quarterback, Bryce Young.
2023 Rookie QB Analytics: Bryce Young Read More »
Rookie scouting season is approaching and what better way to prepare than to get a head start on your league mates and get to work before the NFL season ends? In this series, I will go through my process and scout each of the potential incoming rookie QBs for the 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through my first rookie, Stetson Bennett.
2023 Rookie QB Analytics: Stetson Bennett Read More »
I’ve heard a ton of buzz recently about Chris Olave and where he ranks among the dynasty wide receivers after his incredibly productive and efficient rookie season. There is one debate I just can’t let slide. Chris Olave or Tee Higgins?
Dynasty Debate: Tee Higgins vs. Chris Olave Read More »
Opportunity is king in fantasy football. Tracking player volume and snaps each season helps managers get ahead of coaching trends while making advanced moves on the trade market and waiver wires. In this recurring weekly series, we will look at all 32 teams’ most notable market shares (percentage of team output) in targets, opportunities, and rushing/receiving production. One game remains in the fantasy football season, so let’s dive into some exciting usage data around the NFL as we prepare for the final slate of games.
Opportunity Knocks: NFL Shares to Watch – Week 17 FF Finals Read More »
Injuries are inevitable in fantasy football. How you prepare and react to them can make or break your fantasy team. Did you build a bench with sufficient depth to withstand the running back carousel? How do you pivot if a key player goes on injured reserve? Each week we will look at the most impactful injuries in the fantasy world and what players will step up their fantasy production as a result.
Injury Roundup Week 16 Read More »
I had a thought today – why do we as Dynasty players not value injuries enough? Let me explain – players who we know are good or marginally good see their production fall after being injured. Instead of simply understanding that human bodies do not perform at their best when injured, the analytics community cites advanced or semi-advanced metrics as the explanation for the decreased production instead of the decreased production as simply a byproduct of injury.
Rationalizing Lingering Injuries Read More »
Opportunity is king in fantasy football. Tracking player volume and snaps each season helps managers get ahead of coaching trends while making advanced moves on the trade market and waiver wires. In this recurring weekly series, we will look at all 32 teams’ most notable market shares (percentage of team output) in targets, opportunities, and rushing/receiving production. With Week 15 in the rearview, let’s dive into some exciting usage data around the NFL as we prepare for the upcoming slate of games.
Opportunity Knocks: NFL Shares to Watch – Week 16 Read More »
This article will be a small case study on QB rushing post-fractured ankles. I’m looking only at bone breaks here, as the recovery time and/or the treatments available for them have not seemed to change drastically in the last couple of decades, compared with ACL injuries, Achilles tendon injuries, or soft tissue injuries. Investigating these injuries further and how they pertain to this case study would require a medical degree, and I am simply not qualified. Another thing I will avoid looking too deeply at is future value change in relation to bone breaks, as this article would be a lot shorter if I investigated that. Spoiler alert: buy injured players – their value almost always goes back up after the initial dip, but that’s an article for another time.
What to Do With Trey Lance? Read More »
Thursday Night Football is back with an NFC West showcase as the 49ers (9-4) make a short trip to face the Seahawks (7-6) in a must-win game for the hometown team. Betting lines favor the visiting 49ers by a slim 3.0 points with the projected Over/Under scoring total set at 43.5.
NFL Player Props: Thursday Night Football Preview Read More »
Opportunity is king in fantasy football. Tracking player volume and snaps each season helps managers get ahead of coaching trends while making advanced moves on the trade market and waiver wires. In this recurring weekly series, we will look at all 32 teams’ most notable market shares (percentage of team output) in targets, opportunities, and rushing/receiving production. With Week 14 in the rearview, let’s dive into some exciting usage data around the NFL as we prepare for the upcoming slate of games.
Opportunity Knocks: NFL Shares to Watch – Week 15 Read More »
We don’t just approach the holidays and the end of the year, but the close to another Fantasy season. Playoffs begin for the winners and losers are probably playing their way out of league punishments. But if you’re like me and staring at a few rosters that definitely won’t make the cut and wondering what happened. This gives us the perfect opportunity for a little autopsy of the 2022 Fantasy landscape.
The 2022 Fantasy Autopsy Report Read More »
Injuries are inevitable in fantasy football. How you prepare and react to them can make or break your fantasy team. Did you build a bench with sufficient depth to withstand the running back carousel? How do you pivot if a key player goes on injured reserve? Each week we will look at the most impactful injuries in the fantasy world and what players will step up their fantasy production as a result.
Injury Roundup Week 14 Read More »
The Falcons selected Ridder with the 10th pick of the 3rd round, making him the second quarterback selected in the 2022 NFL Draft behind Kenny Pickett. Ridder’s mid-round draft capital and middling collegiate profile leave much to be desired but his other-worldly athleticism is more than enough to warrant interest for fantasy purposes. Quarterbacks in Ridder’s tier of career trajectories rarely outperform their supposed hit rates. Managers should tread with caution when placing investments into the stock of third-round developmental prospects that could be replaced as early as the first round in the 2023 NFL draft.
Fantasy Football Fallout: Falcons Bench Mariota – Desmond Ridder Named Starter Read More »
Opportunity is king in fantasy football. Tracking player volume and snaps each season helps managers get ahead of coaching trends while making advanced moves on the trade market and waiver wires. In this recurring weekly series, we will look at all 32 teams’ most notable market shares (percentage of team output) in targets, opportunities, and rushing/receiving production. With Week 13 in the rearview, let’s dive into some exciting usage data around the NFL as we prepare for the upcoming slate of games.
Opportunity Knocks: NFL Shares to Watch – Week 14 Read More »
Injuries are inevitable in fantasy football. How you prepare and react to them is what can make or break your fantasy team. Did you build a bench with sufficient depth to withstand the running back carousel? How do you pivot if a key player goes on injured reserve? Each week we will look at the most impactful injuries in the fantasy world and what players will step up their fantasy production as a result.
Injury Roundup Week 13 Read More »
Opportunity is king in fantasy football. Tracking player volume and snaps each season helps managers get ahead of coaching trends while making advanced moves on the trade market and waiver wires. In this recurring weekly series, we will look at all 32 teams’ most notable market shares (percentage of team output) in targets, opportunities, and rushing/receiving production. With Week 11 in the rearview, let’s dive into some exciting usage data around the NFL as we prepare for the upcoming slate of games.
Opportunity Knocks: NFL Shares to Watch – Week 13 Read More »
