Reinventing Devy As We Know It
We go off-script today as @DynastyPatrolHQ offers up an alternative to traditional Devy Dynasty Football formats.
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derrius guice
2023 Rookie RB Analytics: Tyjae Spears
Rookie scouting season is here and everyone is starting to research and prep for their rookie drafts. In this series, I will go through my process and scout different players for the incoming 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Tulane running back, Tyjae Spears.
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Week 1 Streamers
In this streaming article, I will provide you the best weekly options to stream quarterback, tight end, and D/ST. In each section, I’ll break down two streamers in detail, both of which will be under 50% owned, according to ESPN’s ownership percentage at the time of writing. Playing the matchups is a crucial feature of redraft fantasy football and, especially in a crazy 2020 season, active fantasy owners will have a massive advantage. I also want to provide added value for each type of streamer this season. I’ll highlight any players from 50-60% owned in each section if they’re superior options to both of my streaming candidates at that specific position. Those players are “probably owned,” but they could be out there in 10-team or shallower formats. I won’t offer analysis on these players, just the names and matchups. If neither of my two suggested streamers is under 25% ownership percentage, I will give a “super-deep” option. That feature should help those owners playing in deeper leagues with few waiver-wire options. Like the “probably owned” players, I’ll list the players without analysis. I realize that all leagues are different, and I want to accommodate all of my readers.
Even though it’s Week 1, many fantasy drafts happened a while ago, and now fantasy owners are looking for streamers. Let’s jump into it!
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The Post-Guice Washington Dynasty Backfield
Recently, I wrote a quick, free dynasty profile on Derrius Guice. In that article, I covered Guice’s dynasty value after his recent release and how to handle Guice moving forward. Honestly, I’m tired of talking about Guice, since there’s a good chance he never plays another NFL down. However, Guice leaves behind a massive hole in the Washington backfield, which somebody will fill. Let’s go through their depth chart, player-by-player, and discuss each option in dynasty terms.
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Derrius Guice: 2020 Dynasty Profile
At this point, Derrius Guice’s value has little to do with his production. Even so, let’s look at what he’s done as a prospect and in the NFL. Guice played college football at LSU, where he led the backfield in 2016 and 2017. Dynasty owners saw Guice as the clear second-best running back in the 2018 class, behind stud prospect Saquon Barkley.
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Washington Football Team Culture Shock Continues
The moon has not completed a single orbit around the earth since the Washington Football Team scandal broke, as over a dozen female former employees had alleged ‘Football Team’ executives of sexual harassment. New Head Coach, Ron Rivera took the podium and announced his and the team’s displeasure in the findings, and lead the charge to right the ship. Twenty-two days later, on a day where the twitter community believed that the big news of the day was the distasteful comments by an analyst at a prominent company, we were shocked bythe reporting of Derrius Guice’s arrest of domestic violence, assault and battery, and destruction of property. Again, with Ron Rivera at the helm ‘Football Team’ made the swift decision to release the 23-year old running back.
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David Montgomery: 2020 Dynasty Profile
David Montgomery is a polarizing player for fantasy owners. By all accounts, from a production standpoint, Montgomery had a relatively successful inaugural season. His 1,074 yards from scrimmage and 7 TDs were similar to Le’Veon Bell’s rookie season in which he accounted for 1259 scrimmage yards and 8 TDs. The primary difference was that Bell caught 20 more passes as a rookie. But Monty (71.4%) had a higher catch percentage than Bell (68.2%). Montgomery gathered 889 rushing yards on 242 carries for a 3.7-yard average, while Bell in his rookie season mustered 860 rushing yards on 244 carries for a 3.5-yard average.
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Sleeper Series: Sony Michel
After writing my redraft team breakdown series, I decided to start a new series as we approach the 2020 fantasy season. Every week, or probably more often than that, I’m going to bring you one fantasy sleeper representing a massive value in 2020 redraft leagues. In my first article, I wrote about Hayden Hurst and how he represents a value. Additionally, I detailed my methodology behind this series, so go back and read that piece if you haven’t yet! Let’s jump into my second player, Sony Michel. I’ve come a long way on Michel since I buried him in my “Dead to Me” series. Well, that isn’t entirely true, but let’s get into exactly how I feel about Michel since it’s a complicated story.
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Redraft Team Focus: Redskins
n this article series, I’m analyzing every one of the 32 NFL teams and all of their redraft-relevant fantasy assets. It’s a long project, but I want to make sure that you, the reader, have something you can refer to for every team. For each article, I’ll split up the fantasy assets into three categories: high-end assets, usable contributors, and dart throws. Let’s jump into the Redskins.
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The Derrius Guice Debate: Comeback
@DFF_Karp and I are breaking down the Derrius Guice debate for 2020 redraft formats. I’ll be giving you information as to why I believe Guice is a great “bang-for-the-buck” running back to target in your redraft leagues. Meanwhile, @DFF_Karp will be telling you why he will not be drafting Derrius Guice at his current average
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The Derrius Guice Debate: Bust
While I don’t like to call any player “injury-prone,” Guice has been through countless injuries in just two years in the NFL. He’s hurt his ACL, hamstring, meniscus, and MCL so far and cannot seem to stay on the field. In general, I prefer to avoid these types of players; I require them to prove they can stay healthy before I take a chance on them. Unlike other players returning, Guice has never played a long stretch of healthy games in the NFL, so I have no template for what a healthy Guice would be.
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Rookie Fever Antidote: Bottomed-Out Incumbents
While we fantasy gamers rub our hands together in anticipation of a loaded class of prospects, let’s contemplate the whole picture of the draft goals of each team. Equally important, do these teams have the draft picks necessary to bring in impact players to immediately push incumbents?
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In the Scope: Week 9
After another fairly-uninteresting waiver wire class hitting the scene this week, this is the perfect opportunity to save your priority for when one does.And with the fantasy football playoffs now just about a month away, it’s the time to take some big swings and find some potential league-winners that could cost you next-to-nothing to acquire.Without further ado, here are your Week 9 “In the Scope” candidates who have the potential to be tomorrow’s top waiver claims.
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Finding Fantasy Value on Bad Offenses
In the NFL, some offenses are considered to be bad. Some teams employ a subpar quarterback, lack dynamic skill position players or even have both of those issues. No matter the situation, there is still value to be found on these bad offenses. I will provide three examples of these kinds of players.Josh Allen (QB – BUF):Not many expect the Buffalo Bills to be a good real-life offense. I expect them to be one of the worst performing offenses in the league. On top of that, the Bills have four wide receivers expected to get targets: Zay Jones, Robert Foster, Cole Beasley, and John Brown. I doubt any of those receivers will be a usable fantasy option. Also, the Bills boast a crowded and underwhelming running back room consisting of LeSean McCoy, Devin Singletary, T.J. Yeldon, and Frank Gore. All of those players could receive touches, and likely none will be valuable in fantasy.However, Josh Allen could finish as a top-10 quarterback in 2019.
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Five Bold Predictions for the 2019 NFL Season
What fun is fantasy football without prognosticating? Well, I’ve decided to have some fact-based fun and made five bold predictions for the coming 2019 season. Only time will tell how strong my predictive powers are, but I’ll be sure to revisit this article after the season concludes to see how I fared. 1. JuJu Smith-Schuster
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