We go off-script today as @DynastyPatrolHQ offers up an alternative to traditional Devy Dynasty Football formats.
Reinventing Devy As We Know It Read More »
Rookie scouting season is here and everyone is starting to research and prep for their rookie drafts. In this series, I will go through my process and scout different players for the incoming 2023 class. My process is mainly through an analytical view. This means I am thinking about hit rates, range of outcomes, and probabilities. I favor these things over whether I think the player is talented because that is not only subjective but also difficult. This consistent, numbers-only process allows me to play the odds and hit more than I miss with these rookies. So follow along as I go through Tulane running back, Tyjae Spears.
2023 Rookie RB Analytics: Tyjae Spears Read More »
In this streaming article, I will provide you the best weekly options to stream quarterback, tight end, and D/ST. In each section, I’ll break down two streamers in detail, both of which will be under 50% owned, according to ESPN’s ownership percentage at the time of writing. Playing the matchups is a crucial feature of redraft fantasy football and, especially in a crazy 2020 season, active fantasy owners will have a massive advantage. I also want to provide added value for each type of streamer this season. I’ll highlight any players from 50-60% owned in each section if they’re superior options to both of my streaming candidates at that specific position. Those players are “probably owned,” but they could be out there in 10-team or shallower formats. I won’t offer analysis on these players, just the names and matchups. If neither of my two suggested streamers is under 25% ownership percentage, I will give a “super-deep” option. That feature should help those owners playing in deeper leagues with few waiver-wire options. Like the “probably owned” players, I’ll list the players without analysis. I realize that all leagues are different, and I want to accommodate all of my readers.
Even though it’s Week 1, many fantasy drafts happened a while ago, and now fantasy owners are looking for streamers. Let’s jump into it!
Recently, I wrote a quick, free dynasty profile on Derrius Guice. In that article, I covered Guice’s dynasty value after his recent release and how to handle Guice moving forward. Honestly, I’m tired of talking about Guice, since there’s a good chance he never plays another NFL down. However, Guice leaves behind a massive hole in the Washington backfield, which somebody will fill. Let’s go through their depth chart, player-by-player, and discuss each option in dynasty terms.
The Post-Guice Washington Dynasty Backfield Read More »
At this point, Derrius Guice’s value has little to do with his production. Even so, let’s look at what he’s done as a prospect and in the NFL. Guice played college football at LSU, where he led the backfield in 2016 and 2017. Dynasty owners saw Guice as the clear second-best running back in the 2018 class, behind stud prospect Saquon Barkley.
Derrius Guice: 2020 Dynasty Profile Read More »
The moon has not completed a single orbit around the earth since the Washington Football Team scandal broke, as over a dozen female former employees had alleged ‘Football Team’ executives of sexual harassment. New Head Coach, Ron Rivera took the podium and announced his and the team’s displeasure in the findings, and lead the charge to right the ship. Twenty-two days later, on a day where the twitter community believed that the big news of the day was the distasteful comments by an analyst at a prominent company, we were shocked bythe reporting of Derrius Guice’s arrest of domestic violence, assault and battery, and destruction of property. Again, with Ron Rivera at the helm ‘Football Team’ made the swift decision to release the 23-year old running back.
Washington Football Team Culture Shock Continues Read More »
David Montgomery is a polarizing player for fantasy owners. By all accounts, from a production standpoint, Montgomery had a relatively successful inaugural season. His 1,074 yards from scrimmage and 7 TDs were similar to Le’Veon Bell’s rookie season in which he accounted for 1259 scrimmage yards and 8 TDs. The primary difference was that Bell caught 20 more passes as a rookie. But Monty (71.4%) had a higher catch percentage than Bell (68.2%). Montgomery gathered 889 rushing yards on 242 carries for a 3.7-yard average, while Bell in his rookie season mustered 860 rushing yards on 244 carries for a 3.5-yard average.
David Montgomery: 2020 Dynasty Profile Read More »
After writing my redraft team breakdown series, I decided to start a new series as we approach the 2020 fantasy season. Every week, or probably more often than that, I’m going to bring you one fantasy sleeper representing a massive value in 2020 redraft leagues. In my first article, I wrote about Hayden Hurst and how he represents a value. Additionally, I detailed my methodology behind this series, so go back and read that piece if you haven’t yet! Let’s jump into my second player, Sony Michel. I’ve come a long way on Michel since I buried him in my “Dead to Me” series. Well, that isn’t entirely true, but let’s get into exactly how I feel about Michel since it’s a complicated story.
Sleeper Series: Sony Michel Read More »
n this article series, I’m analyzing every one of the 32 NFL teams and all of their redraft-relevant fantasy assets. It’s a long project, but I want to make sure that you, the reader, have something you can refer to for every team. For each article, I’ll split up the fantasy assets into three categories: high-end assets, usable contributors, and dart throws. Let’s jump into the Redskins.
Redraft Team Focus: Redskins Read More »
@DFF_Karp and I are breaking down the Derrius Guice debate for 2020 redraft formats. I’ll be giving you information as to why I believe Guice is a great “bang-for-the-buck” running back to target in your redraft leagues. Meanwhile, @DFF_Karp will be telling you why he will not be drafting Derrius Guice at his current average draft position. Now, on to the evidence. Pro Derrius Guice Side As you’ll see in this article, Derrius Guice is not a surefire top ten running back this year. He is a breakout candidate that you can find in the middle rounds of redraft leagues. When looking at Guice, it is important to look through the lens of potential value based on where you draft him. If you are looking for safety with your third or fourth running back, look elsewhere. Guice is the ultimate high-ceiling, low-floor player. I propose that at his current draft position, he can only win you a league. Not lose you a championship. College Production At LSU, Derrius Guice gained over 1,300 scrimmage yards in back-to-back seasons. He also had at least 13 touchdowns in both of his final two years. That is an elite level running back production. Enough to make him a top-five Heisman candidate in 2017. Coming out of college, he had elite metrics including a 4.49 40-yard dash time putting him in the 80th percentile and a breakout age of 19. He was dominant enough at LSU to be taken in the 2nd round in the NFL draft with the thought that he would take over
The Derrius Guice Debate: Comeback Read More »
While I don’t like to call any player “injury-prone,” Guice has been through countless injuries in just two years in the NFL. He’s hurt his ACL, hamstring, meniscus, and MCL so far and cannot seem to stay on the field. In general, I prefer to avoid these types of players; I require them to prove they can stay healthy before I take a chance on them. Unlike other players returning, Guice has never played a long stretch of healthy games in the NFL, so I have no template for what a healthy Guice would be.
The Derrius Guice Debate: Bust Read More »
While we fantasy gamers rub our hands together in anticipation of a loaded class of prospects, let’s contemplate the whole picture of the draft goals of each team. Equally important, do these teams have the draft picks necessary to bring in impact players to immediately push incumbents?
Rookie Fever Antidote: Bottomed-Out Incumbents Read More »
