Dynasty Analysis
A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking, “Well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty, he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over eight parts (one part for each division), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.
There’s no doubt that narratives can take on a life of their own in the Twitter Dynasty community. And while some narratives do have merit, others can be exaggerated or aren’t as grounded in fact. Dynasty owners must think for themselves and evaluate players based on analytics, talent, and situation. Don’t blindly follow the narratives you see on Twitter because they’re popular. Do your research, trust your process, and #PlantYourFlag on the players you believe in. With that said, I’m here to dispel a few of these claims and show you another side of the story. So, let’s dive in and “crush” our first narrative!
A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking, “Well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty, he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over eight parts (one part for each division), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.
In this ~FREE~ edition of DFF TV, @WillieBeamanDFF dives into how much RBs/WRS matter in the middle rounds.
DFF TV presents “Always Be Building” featuring @bwinknfl and @puma_drew. This ~FREE~ edition features 2024 Dynasty/Devy Trades.
I am a massive fan of veterans in Dynasty Fantasy Football, thanks to their discounted price. A brief glance through my previous writing will reveal this. One downside of these players is that they are nearing a drop in value, and you may not be able to get a return on your initial investment. If we look at Dynasty as a purely stock market game, this is a complete disaster. However, Dynasty Fantasy Football is not a stock market despite having some elements of a stock market within it. The way you win in your Dynasty league is ultimately by scoring more points than your opponents. Players hold value based on their potential to score fantasy points for us in the future. But after those points are scored, a player will often not return to their previous value. When should we ignore conventional stock market strategy and hold on to an asset even if we know it will depreciate in value? What players should we take the loss on?
In the fantasy football Twitter space, different and new stats and metrics are thrown out constantly by people talking about their favorite and least favorite players. My job as a numbers-based analyst is to understand which statistics best project fantasy success. In this mini-series, I will go through each position and tell you some of my favorite stats, how much they matter, and stats I often see that do not matter as much as someone might want you to think. Let’s dive right in with our first position: wide receiver.
We here at Dynasty Football Factory pride ourselves on giving you true actionable content with real substance instead of halfway stances and positions on players. The hashtag #plantyourflag speaks to this. Our writers and rankers pride themselves on being willing to stand up and declare something that you, our readers, can take something from. When this happens, though, sometimes our rankers will disagree on players. Instead of seeing this as a negative, we see this as a positive.
Every year in fantasy football, we see a handful of players that far exceed their projected fantasy output and help carry fantasy owners to a league championship. Last year, Josh Jacobs, Amari Cooper, and Jamaal Williams were a few names that outperformed expectations and were integral to many fantasy championship rosters. As Dynasty owners, we are always looking for market inefficiencies, trying to acquire that asset that could skyrocket in value. At the same time, we have to find a balance between immediate production and longevity. In this article, I’m giving you one name from each skill position that is currently being undervalued and could become that “league-winner” for your team, either in 2023 or in the future. I will also discuss each player’s outlook from a dynasty perspective and whether it makes sense for you to buy based on roster construction.
DFF TV is always ~FREE~ and @WillieBeamanDFF drops this Rapid Reaction featuring DeAndre Hopkins and his release from Arizona.
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @ChrisMiles1017!
It’s been some time since I put pen to paper per se, but I’ve been playing actor and director, focusing most of my energy on building up the Dynasty Football Factory YouTube page. So I’m dusting off the keyboard and dropping a few film-based dynasty rookie sleepers and fades.
It has become common knowledge in the Dynasty community that one should either compete for a championship or try to acquire future assets and secure a higher draft spot. While many can tell when it is time to “blow it up” and begin rebuilding on a team that was once a contender, the part often unmentioned is when to go from a rebuilding team to winning the championship. I have experienced the joy of earning the 1.01 as my rookie pick and winning a championship the following season, but I have also seen many teams stuck in the perpetual rebuild. Their roster and assets look great in any roster evaluation tool, but we aren’t here to have good-looking rosters. We are here to win championships. So how do we turn the corner?
Typically, draft capital provides prospects a great degree of insulation for playing time and job security. If there is one thing we know about the Shanahans and running backs, they will give anyone a chance if they can play.
Welcome back, Dynasty family! Today, I wanted to switch it up and talk about Dynasty startup strategy. There’s no reset button in Dynasty formats, so it’s crucial to come out of your startup draft feeling confident about your roster and plan. In this article, I’m giving you a list of fundamental principles to keep in mind when drafting your Dynasty team and during the season in Year 1. So, without further ado, let’s jump right in!
Welcome in, everybody. The Dynasty startup season is now in full swing, and I wanted to look at some sleepers for the upcoming season. For one reason or another, the players we will look at today have fallen under the consensus radar. I will use our own DFF AccuRankings to highlight a few guys I believe will significantly outperform current rankings.
With the recent departure of DeAndre Hopkins, the Arizona Cardinals are looking toward a rebuild. What they do over the next 12 months will be pivotal for the team’s future in competing for the divisional crown in the NFC West and returning to the playoffs. With the 49ers and Seahawks set up very well for both the immediate and long-term future, it is imperative that the Cardinals get this transition correct. In this article, I assess this transition period’s impact on the viable fantasy options within the Cardinals’ offense.
Join @WillieBeamanDFF for this always ~FREE~ DFF TV featuring Travis Etienne and Jahmyr Gibbs!
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @WillieBeamanDFF!
Welcome back, Dynasty family! Today, I’ll be discussing expectations for the Baltimore Ravens offense in 2023 with Todd Monken as the Offensive Coordinator. Monken replaced Greg Roman this offseason after Roman decided to pursue other coaching opportunities. Roman had one year left on his contract, but the Baltimore fanbase was growing impatient with the lack of results on the offensive end. So before we look at Monken’s resume and discuss future projections, I want to dig into Greg Roman’s offensive numbers at Baltimore.
DFF TV presents “Always Be Building” featuring @bwinknfl and @puma_drew. This ~FREE~ edition features a Way Too Early 2024 Draft Class Preview.
Even the most talented of NFL players can see their fantasy production fall victim to horrid offenses. We’ve seen great football players like D.J. Moore, Jonathan Taylor, or the entire 2022 Broncos’ offense who enter year after year with loads of hype, but ultimately fail to meet our expectations in fantasy football due to the situation of their offense as a whole. Today, we’ll project which NFL offenses could spawn fantasy disappointment in 2023.
A much-overlooked aspect of Dynasty is value comparison, or comparing the values of Dynasty players to Redraft players and seeing which is worth more or less. You might be thinking “well, duh! Of course, older players are worth less in Dynasty than Redraft!” to which I agree. But what about Daniel Jones (QB – NYJ), who is only 25 years old? Should he be worth more in Redraft or Dynasty? Or how about Amon-Ra St. Brown (WR – DEN), who in Redraft has an ADP of WR10, but in Dynasty he’s valued as WR6. Which side more appropriately values players? In this series, which will take place over nine parts (one part for each division and a rookie roundup after the draft), I’ll be evaluating every skill position player on every team and giving my thoughts on their value, whether they are overvalued compared to Redraft or undervalued. Usually, the appropriate value will be somewhere in the middle.
@WillieBeamanDFF reviews two recent Dynasty Startup Drafts and details his strategy based on the 2023 Dynasty Fantasy Football landscape.
DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @bwinknfl!