Author name: Chris Museezer

Marketing Manager, Staff Writer, and Ranker @DFF_Dynasty - Creator of the WR1 Rating model - Positive vibes only.

Players with the Easiest Path to Value Accrual

An important aspect of Dynasty is being able to identify players with the most likely path to accruing value. Asset value alone doesn’t win you championships, but it gets you into a position where you can acquire players that bring with them the necessary production to compete for a title. There are two primary tools I use to determine player value. The first is Keep Trade Cut which crowdsources Dynasty managers’ player evaluation data by asking them to keep, trade, or cut three closely ranked players. The second is Bulletproof ADP which utilizes actual Dynasty startup draft position data from Sleeper.

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Plant Your Flag: DFF Ranker Grilled on Ranking Disparities

We here at Dynasty Football Factory pride ourselves on giving you true actionable content with real substance instead of halfway stances and positions on players. The hashtag #plantyourflag speaks to this. Our writers and rankers pride themselves on being willing to stand up and declare something that you, our readers, can take something from. When this happens, though, sometimes our rankers will disagree on players. Instead of seeing this as a negative, we see this as a positive. 

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Jaxon Smith Njigba

Final WR1 Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Analytical Model Rankings

With another NFL Draft in the books, the final piece of the puzzle is now cemented for the final WR1 analytical model grades. We certainly saw a few surprise names early, “Hello, Jonathan Mingo!” and a few names that fell like once heralded five-star prospect Kayshon Boutte. Draft capital is a significant input into the model so we did see some realignment of the names in the re-draft WR1 model top 15 as well as a couple of new entrants.

Final WR1 Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Analytical Model Rankings Read More »

Tank Dell 5.4.23

2023 DFF Draft Coverage: Nathaniel Dell to the Texans

Nathaniel Dell was drafted by the Houston Texans, becoming the ninth wide receiver and 69th overall player in the 2023 NFL Draft. Nathaniel “Tank” Dell put up video game numbers for the Cougars. In his sophomore year, he posted 1329 yards and 12 touchdowns. In his junior year, he exploded for 1398 yards and 17 touchdowns. His 21.1 career college fantasy points per game were second in this class. He also posted excellent results in key predictive metrics for future fantasy success like receiving yards per team pass attempt (2.90) and college-weighted dominator (36.2%).

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Andrei Iosivas

2023 DFF Draft Coverage: Andrei Iosivas to the Bengals

Andrei Iosivas was drafted by the Cincinnati Bengals, becoming the 26th wide receiver and 206th overall player in the 2023 NFL Draft. Iosivas posted 703 yards and five touchdowns as a junior. He followed that up with 943 yards and seven touchdowns his senior year. Iosivas’s level of competition was poor but he did put up solid predictive metric results. He had a 40.8% college weighted dominator to go along with a 2.70 receiving yard per team pass attempt. Both are in the top 10 in this class.

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Josh Downs

The WR1 Rating: Dynasty Rookie WR Rankings Countdown (5-1)

Over the last few weeks, I revealed wide receivers 15-6 in my annual WR1 prospect model ratings to help prepare DFF readers for their dynasty rookie drafts. You can find 15-11 here and 10-6 here. This article covers the top five prospects before draft capital is figured in. I will publish a final version of the WR1 after the draft is complete so be on the lookout for that.

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Tyler Scott

The WR1 Rating: Dynasty Rookie WR Rankings Countdown (10-6)

For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating score. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics.

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Sean Tucker

2023 Dynasty Rookie Draft Strategy

Spring is one of my favorite times of year but not for the same reasons as most people. Spring is the climax of rookie draft research season. As the snow begins to subside, it means the Senior Bowl is upon us. When we put the heavy down jacket into storage, it marks the calendar for the NFL Combine. Blades of glass emerge from the ground as NFL Free Agency ramps up. As we see Zay Flowers in full bloom, we have all the pomp and circumstance of the NFL Draft.

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2023 Dynasty Rookie Draft Strategy Read More »

Andrei Iosivas

The WR1 Rating: Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings Countdown (15-11)

Over the next few weeks, I will be revealing my annual WR1 prospect model ratings to help prepare DFF readers for their dynasty rookie drafts. This article covers the prospects ranked 15-11 in the model.

For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating score. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. 

You may find an in-depth explanation of the model’s process and a glossary of what the metrics mean here. 

Before we get into the 2023 prospects, here are the top 20 all-time prospects in the model so you can see how effective it is at forecasting future fantasy value. As you can see this is a highly accurate predictor of future fantasy success. 17 of the top 20 prospect scores have gone on to have a top 24 fantasy PPG season. 14 of those 20 have had a top 12 fantasy PPG season.

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The WR1 Wide Receiver Prospect Model Ratings

For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a highly accurate proprietary forecasting formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a single WR1 rating. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. 

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Marvin Mims

23 Rookie Wide Receiver Analytics Spotlight Series: Marvin “Meh”ms

Marvin Mims burst onto the scene as a freshman at Oklahoma with a stellar season of 610 yards and nine touchdowns. This put him squarely into the conversation as one of the top wide receivers in the 2023 draft class. Mims is a big play threat. His 20.1 yards per reception were the third most in the country for 2023. For PPR formats, he is not the most desirable archetype of a wide receiver. His reception totals are relatively low and this can lead to inconsistency in his game-to-game performance. In dynasty best ball formats he is of more interest.

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tigh end adp gains

Free Agency Dynasty Impact: AFC Roundup

The annual ramp-up to dynasty rookie draft season continues. First, it’s the Combine. Next comes free agency. Then the NFL Draft. We just wrapped up the second day of free agency and below I take you through the biggest impacts on dynasty players from signings in the AFC. We will also be doing a wrap-up of the NFC signing impact on dynasty shortly.

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Roschon Johnson

Introducing Dynasty Rookie Draft Average Draft Position

At DFF our motto is #AlwaysBeBuilding. While that pertains to dynasty it also pertains to offering our members more benefits for their subscription.  With that, I introduce you to DFF’s rookie draft Average Draft Position (ADP) resource. This will be available as a quick reference under the resources drop-down menu. You can directly link to it here.

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luke musgrave

Dynasty Prospect Combine Winners

It’s combine week! Time for all of our favorite prospects to compete in the underwear olympics. If you talk to different people, you will get different answers on just how meaningful the combine is. NFL scouts look for traits and this helps them determine that on a comparable scale. Here are the biggest winners from this week in Indianapolis and how it effects your preparation for dynasty rookie drafts.

Throughout this article you will see a tool called the Relative Athletic Score. This is a wonderful tool created by Kent Lee Platte to provide an overall size adjusted athleticism score utilizing inputs from combine results. It runs on a scale from 1 to 10 with 10 being the highest. Give him a follow on Twitter @mathbomb.

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