Author name: Chris Museezer

Marketing Manager, Staff Writer, and Ranker @DFF_Dynasty - Creator of the WR1 Rating model - Positive vibes only.

2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Skyy Moore

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Being paired with Patrick Mahomes is as good as you can ask for with a rookie wide receiver prospect. Tyreek Hill is gone along with his 1239 receiving yards. Moore figures to step in and contribute immediately. I have Moore ranked as the number eight wide receiver in this class for projected future dynasty value. He has the potential to make an impact at the next level but he does not profile as a number one receiver. Moore should go off the board in rookie drafts in the early second-round.

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2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Christian Watson

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Watson was the leading receiver on the 2019 North Dakota State team which featured Trey Lance at quarterback, with 732 yards receiving. He had 43 receptions for 801 yards his senior year. North Dakota was consistently blowing out their opponents, so you will not see eye-popping volume statistics for Watson. He is explosive, garnering 57 plays of 20+ yards over his college career. When you look at his rate stats they are far more impressive. Watson’s dominator rating was 44.0%. This is 90th percentile among prospects and ranked fifth overall.  The receiving yards per team pass attempt was also solid at 3.12.

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2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Treylon Burks

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After a quiet freshman year, Burks elevated his production significantly in his sophomore year. He had 820 yards receiving and seven touchdowns in only nine games. He followed that up with an even better junior year with 1,104 yards receiving and 11 touchdowns. Burks rated highly in two of the more predictive metrics for future success. His receiving yards per team pass attempt (RYPTPA) of 3.52 was the third-best in the class. His dominator rating (share of teams receiving yards and touchdowns) was second-best overall to Jalen Tolbert.

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The WR1 Rating Dynasty Rookie Countdown: Part 2

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For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating score. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. 

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The WR1 Rating: Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings Countdown (15-11)

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Over the next few weeks, I will be revealing my annual WR1 prospect model ratings to help prepare DFF readers for their dynasty rookie drafts. This article covers the prospects ranked 15-11 in the model. For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating score. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. You may find an in-depth explanation of the model’s process and a glossary of what the metrics mean here. Before we get into the 2022 prospects, here are the top 20 all-time prospects in the model so you can see how effective it is at forecasting future fantasy value.

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Free Agency Day 2: Dynasty Winners and Losers

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Zay Jones had a career year last year with 47 receptions and 546 receiving yards. He got a nice payday at up to $10M per year considering his lackluster career to date. They must have plans to incorporate him into the offense given the amount of the contract but he now enters a saturated receiving group. Jacksonville has been on a spending spree to improve the weapons for Trevor Lawrence. Christian Kirk, Evan Engram, and Zay Jones are now added to an offense that is also getting back Travis Etienne. This is not exactly high-end talent but it is an improvement over what they had.

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Free Agency Day 1: Dynasty Winners and Losers

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James Conner is coming off a highly productive season in Arizona last year. He ran for 752 yards and 18 touchdowns in 15 games, good for seventh overall in fantasy points per game. We should expect touchdown regression next season given the rate of over one TD per game last year. He turns 27 in May so the finer details of the contract will be interesting.  Three years seems like a significant commitment but there will be contract outs given the contract is for $13.5 million guaranteed.

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The Pre-Draft WR1: Prospect Model Ratings

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For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a single WR1 rating. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. If data-driven rankings are not for you, I suggest my colleague @DocFFFN’s wide receiver review from a film perspective. 

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Rapid Reaction: Russell Wilson Blockbuster Trade

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Wow! The signs were there for the past year Denver would be making a big splash in the quarterback market. Denver suffered through poor quarterback play the last few years with Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater manning the helm. Then the Broncos signed Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick to contract extensions to make it an attractive destination for a potential new quarterback. Rumors were everywhere Aaron Rodgers was on his way to Denver. Then Rodgers announced he is staying in Green Bay and signing a new deal with the Packers. Hours later we get hit with the news from Adam Schefter on the blockbuster trade for Russell Wilson.

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@Force_Fantasy’s Dynasty “My Guys”

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It is a popular practice on Twitter to present your “my guys” for the upcoming season. These are players you are targeting for your dynasty rosters for one reason or another. At DFF, we want to ensure we are giving you actionable advice that goes beyond the standard fare. For that reason, our “my guys” won’t be among the Top 50 Dynasty Players as voted on by the crowd at KeepTradeCut. These are guys we view as undervalued by the market that we’re looking to acquire for our dynasty teams.

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Dumpster Diving: Lynn Bowden

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“Dumpster Diving” is a new series at Dynasty Football Factory that will help you find late-round hidden gems. These players are far from perfect but they are “free” and who doesn’t love free stuff? If something breaks right these players can have a measurable impact on your team(s) and you’ll be the GM with them stashed on your bench. If not, you cut bait and move on. You want assets on your team that will appreciate in value and that is the goal with this series.  All of these players will be rostered in less than 50% of Sleeper leagues.

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draft stock week 6

Positioning Your Squad(s) for 2022 Dynasty Rookie Drafts

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When you compare the top of this class to 2021 it clarifies the point further. Treylon Burks is a BMW 7 Series while Ja’Marr Chase is an Aston Martin One-77. Trey McBride is the Outback Special while Kyle Pitts is a dry-aged A5 Wagyu Ribeye. Breece Hall is a dart throw from six feet away while Najee Harris is a dart throw from three feet away. Trevor Lawrence, Trey Lance, and Justin Fields were each thought of as top dynasty quarterbacks (QBs) for the next decade. We aren’t sure if any of these QBs from 2022 will be starters after their rookie contracts play out. We also know 2023 has elite prospects in Bryce Young, Bijan Robinson, CJ Stroud, Jaxson Smith-Njigba, and Kayshon Boutte. I would take these four above any of the 2022 prospects.

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