dynasty

Rookie QB Hits and Misses

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

This series will look back on the 2019 class and explore the biggest hits and misses. Now, since this will be a long series, let’s start with the premise here in part one. For each position, I will examine all the rookies that were selected in a significant number of rookie drafts, or achieved significant production at that position. A hit will generally be a player that produced fantasy points in year one and gained or at least maintained their dynasty value. A miss will be players who didn’t produce or at least who underperformed. I will also have a third category; incomplete. In this category, I’ll discuss those players who did not receive significant playing time and where they can go in 2020 and beyond.

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Prediction: Combine Risers

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

Listed at 6’4 220 pounds, Cole McDonald looks like an NFL talent. McDonald has a rocket of an arm and moves very well for his size. As a two year starter at Hawaii, the gunslinger threw for 8,010 yards and 69 touchdowns. Although putting up video game numbers, McDonald is considered a day 3 prospect by most. This is likely due to a funky throwing motion and less than desirable completion percentage of 61.4. However, with a strong performance in Indianapolis, I believe Cole McDonald can make his way into the Day 2 decision. To do this, he will need to run a good 40 time and show off his arm talent. 

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The Untradeables

Dynasty / By /

Julio Jones is only untradable due to age. That’s the only reasonable excuse to not give proper value for a receiver who consistently a top-five or 10 fantasy player in his position. Jones finished 2019 as the WR4 with 99 receptions for 1,394 yards and six touchdowns. 

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Quarterbacks: Rightfully Untouched by the BMI Hysteria

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Historically, there has been a strong narrative in the football community about QB size despite players like Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray balling out on Sundays. The QB size debate begins with how tall a QB is and if it affects their ability to make reads of the defense on passing plays. There has been a lot of discussion around QB hand size and its correlation to QB performance in cold-weather games. Analysts have even studied QB weight and how it translates to their durability in the NFL. So I decided to use my newly released college prospect database and explore BMI and QB performance. Before going any further, there needs to be a brief overview of BMI. BMI compares an individual’s weight to their height and it’s used to describe their level of body fat or thickness. The index was derived from the works of the Belgian thinker, Adolphe Quetelet.

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2019 Fake Outs

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In this piece, I’ll walk you through three “fake-outs.” These are players that broke out or had strong seasons in 2019 that I do not expect to maintain that level of performance going forward. Therefore, you could call each of these guys a dynasty “sell-high.”

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Connor’s Fantasy Awards

Dynasty / By /

Cornerback is usually the worst defensive position in fantasy football, yet Ryan was the highest-scoring non-linebacker in 2019. As the 8th ranked IDP player according to FantasyPros, Ryan was the only non-linebacker in the top-10. Ryan is also one of only three non-linebackers in the top-20 IDP players this season, both of the others being safeties. If you want to go down to where Humphrey is, you’d have to go all the way down to 51st. In other words, when it comes to cornerbacks, Ryan was in a class of his own this season.

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2020 WR Sleepers

Dynasty / By /

While creating my 2020 WR Model, I found a few under the radar players not getting much love currently, but I believe these players 100% deserve your attention leading up to and after the NFL draft. These players all have elements that both analytic nuts and film grinders should be able to appreciate. They all “broke-out” their sophomore year, and have good traits seen on film. When a player checks both of those boxes, I am officially intrigued. Keep reading to see my breakdowns of these potential sleepers.

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The Value of a WR2

Dynasty / By /

My goal for this piece is to lay out my personal experience with building depth at the wide receiver position over the last few seasons. I have come to find that targeting wide receivers who are the second options on certain teams have allowed me to bank up significant depth and afforded me opportunities to make moves for other positions.

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Don’t You Forget About Me

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In this article, I’m going to walk you through three players that had a down season in 2019, but who I expect to either bounce back or breakout in 2020. For variety’s sake, I’ve decided to look at a running back, wide receiver, and tight end. Also, I’ve picked three very different types of players to explore the different ways to buy at this time in the offseason. 

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Post-Season Dynasty Moves

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#1: Evaluate Your Current Leagues and Your 2020 Plan
In simple terms, what this means is that before you manage your rosters and conduct trades, you should make sure that you’re committed to the league for the 2020 cycle. There is no shame in leaving a league for any reason. Those reasons can range from being overstretched in too many leagues, to not enjoying the league, to wanting to play leagues at a different level of buy-in, be that lower or higher.

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Trending Up and Trending Down: Running Backs

Dynasty / By /

Dynasty never ends and that is one of many things that makes it great. Sleeper has a section called “Trending Up and Trending Down”. I find it interesting what people are trending on since we are now at the beginning of the non-scoring season for all players. This is the first part of a series

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2019 Hits and Misses

Dynasty / By /

I’ve been a Hooper fan for a couple of years now. He’s improved every season and 2018 proved to me that he’d broken out. Austin Hooper’s appeal during the draft season was where he was being drafted. Hooper had around 10 ADP which made him the 11th TE taken on average. This was crazy to me considering he finished the 2018 season as the TE6 securing 71 receptions on 81 targets for 660 yards and four touchdowns. Well, he sure didn’t disappoint, Hooper once again finished as the TE6. He caught 75 of 97 targets 787 yards and six touchdowns while starting just 10 games due to a knee injury. 

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Pre-Draft Roster Moves: Part 1

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I am going to touch on a few players that I think you should make moves on, either trading away or trading for, before the NFL Draft. These are players who I believe will have significant value changes once their team completes the draft. Looking ahead and capitalizing on values in the offseason can set your team up for success come next fall.

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Henry Ruggs Declares for the NFL Draft

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While watching film it is easy to see the speed and burst that Ruggs has, but it is another thing to also hear the announcers say “the fastest man on the field” and “the fastest guy on the Alabama team.” This big-play-potential wide receiver has decided to forgo his senior season at Alabama and make a name for himself in the big leagues. Let’s dive into it.

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AFC East Divisional Nuggets: Year End

Dynasty / By /

Josh Allen ends the season as your fantasy QB6 but he only averaged 18.6 FPPG. That’s only significant because you can find quarterbacks later in your drafts who could produce more this year. The good news is he threw for 1,000 more yards than his rookie year and doubled his touchdowns from 10 to 20 this year. He also decreased his interception percentage from 3.8 to 2.0. Allen is only in his second year and has plenty of room for improvement.

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AFC EAST Divisional Nuggets: Championship Edition

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Every week this series will attempt to bring clarity to the goings-on, both on and off the field within each NFL Division so that dynasty owners can make championship level decisions based on our actionable information. Our writers will be digging through data and film for inference on coach/front office decision making so that they can keep you equipped with the “nuggets” you need to succeed.

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