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DFF Expert Devy Rankings 20-11

Devy / By /

Just like that, we’ve made it to Part 4 of 5 in our Expert Devy Rankings series. If you missed any of the first three editions, you can view those by clicking any of the links below: 

These consensus ranks are an average between me and @Evan_Kerr_, and are a snapshot as of April 7, 2026. As a reminder, all of these values are based on a Superflex, Tight End Premium league format. Time to see who came in at the 20th overall spot. 

20. Dante Moore (QB – Oregon)

  • Jim’s rank – 13th
  • Evan’s rank – 25th
  • QB7 overall

Dante Moore is headed back to Eugene for one final season after a surprising decision not to declare for the 2026 NFL Draft. I know he’ll be earning a lucrative NIL deal this coming season, but he seemingly passed up on a guaranteed $50 million, assuming he would have gone 2nd overall to the Jets or 3rd overall to the Cardinals. 

He now puts himself in a difficult spot, where the 2027 class has the potential to be absolutely loaded at the quarterback position. Still, Moore displays several NFL-level traits, including accuracy to all three levels, a quick release, and the ability to feel pressure in the pocket and adjust. His lack of rushing upside limits his fantasy ceiling, but it feels likely he’ll at least get a shot to prove he’s starting material in the NFL. 

19. Justice Haynes (RB – Georgia Tech)

  • Jim’s rank – 10th
  • Evan’s rank – 27th
  • RB3 overall

Another prospect who shocked us by electing to stay in the college ranks is Justice Haynes, who recently transferred from Michigan to Georgia State. Similar to Moore, this decision was a head-scratcher, given the lack of talent at his position in this draft class. 

Haynes was off to a blazing start in the 2025 season, surpassing 100 rush yards and finding the endzone in six of seven contests. He was averaging a robust 7.1 yards per attempt (YPA) and a 50% breakaway rate before suffering a foot injury that sidelined him for the remainder of the season. Haynes underwent tightrope surgery and is reportedly ready for spring ball now. I’m eager to see how this Georgia Tech offense looks without Haynes King. It appears Fernando’s little brother, Alberto Mendoza, will be under center in 2026 for the Yellow Jackets. I’m hoping Haynes can expand his role as a pass catcher, with only 30 career receptions to his name. 

Henry jr

18. Chris Henry Jr. (WR – Ohio State)

  • Jim’s rank – 20th
  • Evan’s rank – 17th
  • WR10 overall

Chris Henry Jr. comes in as our Devy WR10 overall and my WR1 of the freshman class. He heads to “Wide Receiver U” where he’ll have an opportunity to make an immediate impact and learn from Jeremiah Smith, arguably the greatest college wide receiver prospect we’ve ever seen. 

Henry is a natural athlete with a fluid running motion, almost gliding across the field at times. At 6’5” and 210 pounds, he’s a massive guy who projects to be purely a boundary receiver at the NFL level. He shows excellent burst and acceleration, and strong, confident hands at the catch point. And if you think the name sounds familiar, yes, Henry Jr. is the son of

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Denzel Boston

2026 Rookie WR1 Analytical Model, Version 1.0: Rankings 5 to 1

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

The Prospect Analytical Model Rankings are one of our members’ favorite series each year at Dynasty Football Factory. Years of refining and enhancing the models to accurately predict future fantasy value have brought us to today.  These WR1 model rankings are your ultimate guide to predicting which prospects will produce the most fantasy points in their NFL career.  You can find the wide receivers ranked 15 to 11 in the WR1 model here. You can find the wide receivers ranked 10 to 6 here. You can find the running back RB1 model here. For those new to the WR1 rating, it is a proprietary formula I developed in 2019 that provides a data-driven forecast of future fantasy production for incoming rookie wide receivers. There are many advanced metrics available today; we at DFF know it can be difficult to determine which ones matter and how much each matters. The WR1 model distills all that hard work into a single, easy-to-understand number. The model evaluates rookies across 13 of the most predictive metrics and combines their individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating. It was a pioneer in the fantasy analysis industry, being the first to incorporate a film-grade into the model. The goal is to provide an easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend hundreds of hours dissecting different metrics. Based on the prospect’s model score, I provide their probability of achieving at least one top-24 NFL Fantasy Points Per Game Season, using historical prospects with similar score ranges. The WR1 model consistently outperforms NFL draft capital

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hardy

2026 DFF Expert Devy Rankings 30-21

Devy / By /

We’ve made it to Part 3 of our five-part Devy rankings series, covering our Top 50 consensus Devy prospects as we head into the 2026 college football season. If you missed the first two editions of this series, you can check them out below: 

These rankings are based on Superflex and Tight End Premium scoring settings, and are a snapshot of our consensus ranks as of April 7, 2026. Let’s take a look at who came in at number 30! 

30. Jayce Brown (WR – LSU)

  • Jim’s ranking – 38th
  • Evan’s ranking – 23rd
  • WR12 overall 

Jayce Brown is headed to Baton Rouge after three productive seasons at Kansas State, where he compiled nearly 2,000 receiving yards and 13 total touchdowns. He’s a versatile weapon who can play X, Z, or slot, and has the burst and long speed to take the top off of defenses. He was frequently utilized as a deep threat for the Wildcats, with a career aDOT of 14.0 and 17.1 yards per reception (Y/REC). Brown is a smooth route runner, and his athleticism makes him a highlight reel waiting to happen. The biggest concerns here are size, physicality, and consistency. Brown is listed at around 180 lbs and has 14 career drops, for a drop rate of 10.9%. He needs to clean up the concentration drops to establish himself as a top-tier wide receiver in the 2027 class. 

29. Ousmane Kromah (RB – Florida State) 

  • Jim’s ranking – 28th
  • Evan’s ranking – 28th
  • RB8 overall

Ousmane is coming off a fairly underwhelming true freshman campaign for the Seminoles, relative to expectations. Kromah was (and still is) my RB1 in the 2025 freshmen class, with tons of elite traits evident on his high school tape. I assumed he would be the Day 1 starter for Florida State, but he was stuck behind Gavin Sawchuk on the depth chart. Kromah was efficient per rush, but saw just 72 attempts all season. He now heads into 2026 competing for touches alongside Texas transfer Tre Wisner, who projects to be the 1A in this backfield. As you can see, Evan and I are still very much “in” on Kromah for Devy purposes, but have to consider the possibility he isn’t quite the prospect we thought he would be.

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2026 DFF Expert Devy Rankings 40-31

Devy / By /

The Devy rankings series rolls on! This time, we’re covering the prospects ranked 40-31 in our consensus ranks. As a quick reminder, these are an average of my own and @Evan_Kerr_’s rankings, and are a snapshot of our list as of April 7, 2026. Our Devy rankings are updated year-round, and members can access the full list of 200+ prospects by clicking here. We also offer Dynasty and Campus 2 Canton rankings, helping you build championship rosters for all league formats.  If you missed my prior article covering the players ranked 50-41, you can click here to read it. For reference, our rankings are based on Superflex and Tight End Premium settings. Let’s take a look at who came in at number 40.  40. Waymond Jordan (RB – USC)  Jim’s ranking – 44th  Evan’s ranking – 39th  RB11 overall  Waymond Jordan started his career at a JUCO in 2023, breaking out as a sophomore and winning Offensive Player of the Year in 2024. That season, he rushed for over 1,600 yards and 20 touchdowns for Hutchinson Community College in Kansas, averaging a robust 7.4 yards per attempt (YPA). He made the jump to the Power 4 in 2025, playing for the USC Trojans, where he quickly found success, but missed the second half of the year with an ankle injury.  It was a small sample size (88 rush attempts), but Jordan put up some incredible per-rush numbers in 2025, averaging 6.5 YPA and 5.15 yards after contact per attempt (YCO/A). The most impressive number was his 33% juke rate, forcing

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Eli Stowers

Is Eli Stowers the Best Tight End in the 2026 Dynasty Rookie Class?

Dynasty, Rookie, Rookie Player Profiles / By /

Eli Stowers is a high-upside fantasy prospect and should be considered the premier receiving tight end in the 2026 rookie class, with borderline TE1 potential. His value stems from “WR-type” athleticism: a 4.51 40-yard dash and an all-time NFL Combine record for tight ends with a 45.5-inch vertical jump. Stowers now owns that record, and it wasn’t close. He didn’t just break it, he shattered it.

Whatever team selects him in the 2026 NFL Draft will likely deploy him as an explosive “move” TE or big slot option, with a projected landing spot in the second round. He did line up and play WR at times in college. Now, I know the NFL isn’t college, but that nugget alone speaks for itself. Ask yourself: What other tight end can say that?

The Con

Stowers isn’t a George Kittle type who’ll get it done in the trenches. He profiles more like Travis Kelce, Tyler Warren, or Brock Bowers: below-average blockers, or perhaps worse. But all of them are legitimate receiving tight ends, and nobody questions their fantasy value.

The Pro

No team drafting Stowers is taking him for his blocking. That’s exactly what creates the discount in your rookie drafts, and make no mistake, he’ll be drafted with the intent of being a lethal weapon. Organizations don’t spend Day 2 capital on someone they view as a JAG. As long as Stowers is designated as a TE and not a WR, we’re essentially looking at
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Marvin Harrison Jr.

Dynasty Trade Disasters: The Moves DFF Analysts Still Regret – Volume 1

Dynasty / By /

Make no mistake, the game we play is fueled in many ways. It’s difficult to argue that winning championships doesn’t lord over all, but as someone who’s played in fantasy football leagues for money since 2003, I’ll attest that the closest high is often accompanied by a monumental trade. As players, we have to understand that we’re not going to win every transaction, and when we do lose, it’s best to limit the damage. But now and then, and we’re all guilty, we make a move so heinous that years later you can pinpoint the exact day and time the transaction occurred, sort of like a natural disaster or a painful surgery. Being accountable is key as an analyst, so here are a few of the DFF Crew’s most regrettable moves, starting with my own.  Sent Ja’Marr Chase for Marvin Harrison Jr. – 2024 @DFF_MR In a 2024 Dynasty Football Factory League Startup, I traded away Ja’Marr Chase for Marvin Harrison straight up. My initial offer of Chase for Marv plus Zach Charbonnet had been rejected, and since MHJ was selected a mere four slots after Chase, this unraveled into a scenario where Rookie Fever got the best of me. I opted to sacrifice value in favor of the shiny toy.  It was Marv’s rookie season, and expectations were high as the “generational prospect” hype was generating steam via the Dynasty Community as a potential future Dynasty 1.01 selection. Conversely, Chase was coming off a somewhat mediocre 2023 campaign (by his standards), posting 16.8 FPPG, much of it fueled by

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Adam Randall

2026 RB1 Analytical Model Rookie Rankings: Running Backs 10 to 6

Dynasty, Ranking, Rookie / By /

After years of proven success with my WR1 Analytical Model outperforming NFL Draft Capital at predicting future fantasy success of rookie wide receiver prospects, I unveiled the RB1 Analytical Model last year.  Similar to my long-running WR1 model, which you can find here, this RB1 model was developed using a recipe of the most predictive advanced college statistics that prior NFL fantasy superstars exhibited.  The goal of these analytical models is to outperform draft capital, as it should. After all, fantasy managers are trying to accumulate the most fantasy points. NFL teams are trying to win football games. For example, in 2024, Bucky Irving and Tyrone Tracy were drafted 6th and 12th in the NFL draft among running backs. The model ranked them 4th and 6th, respectively.  You can find last year’s 2025 RB1 post-draft published model here. Our model was largely in line with draft capital, with seven of the first eight players selected in the NFL draft also in the model’s top 7. A big outlier came a little later. Our model ranked Jacory Croskey-Merritt 11th overall, despite the NFL drafting him 26th among all running backs.  Now on to the 2026 class.  This 2026 running back draft class isn’t good. It isn’t bad. No. It is downright atrocious. In these model series, I can typically find 15 “draftable” running backs and wide receivers with ease. Last year, 26 running backs were drafted. This year, even with a terrible overall 2026 class, I don’t have 15 running backs with a “draft-worthy” grade. You can find the rankings for

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Skyler Bell

Dynasty Wide Receiver Hit Rates By Rounds

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

I wanted to see if the NFL has improved at drafting based on rounds over the past 14 seasons. I split it into the first seven years and the last seven years, but I did not include 2025 because rookies typically take a couple of years to produce. More wide receivers have been drafted in Round 1 recently, and the success rates have increased, as have opportunities via bet365 bonus information. It has become easier to identify elite first round wide receivers in recent years.

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Omar Cooper Jr.

Wide Receivers to Target in Your 2026 Rookie Drafts

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

I wanted to do a deep dive into wide receivers. I have struggled in years past with my wide receiver model. I am happy with my other models for fantasy purposes. As I just wrote in my rookie draft hit rate article, after the top 6 wide receivers in each class, the hit rate is not good, so I wanted to find out who to target in those top 6. Some of the people that I have dug deeper into their stuff from Twitter were @NoFilm_Analysis, @DynoDayTraders, and @DynastyZoltanFF. I want to combine what I have read from the three of them and apply it to the first and second round wide receivers since 2019.

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Kaytron Allen

Kaytron Allen: The Rookie Running Back Who Wins the Boring Way

Dynasty, Rookie, Rookie Player Profiles / By /

Kaytron Allen is the type of running back I fall in love with. Not because he’s going to run away from everyone. Not because he’s going to give you 60-yard highlights every week. But because he’s the kind of back that keeps drives alive. He finds the hole, stays square, and gets you what’s there. Over and over. At ~5’11” and 220-225 pounds, Allen is built like a real NFL runner. Compact. Strong. Low center of gravity. He’s hard to stop once he gets moving, and when contact shows up, he’s still finishing forward. Production That Actually Means Something Allen’s 2025 season was the best version of himself. He ran for 1,303 yards and 15 total touchdowns while averaging 6.2 yards per carry. He had five 100-yard games, and his biggest outings were loud: 226 yards at Rutgers, 160 yards and two scores against Nebraska, and 181 yards with two touchdowns at Michigan State. But the real headline is simple. He became Penn State’s all-time leading rusher with 4,180 career rushing yards, passing Evan Royster’s record. He also finished with 769 career carries, and that kind of workload tells you what Penn State thought of him. Trust. Durability. Give him the ball again. How Allen Wins Allen’s game starts with vision and patience. He’s not dancing behind the line, trying to bounce every run outside. He presses the line, lets defenders show their hand, and then makes one clean decision and goes. That one cut style is what makes him steady. It keeps him on schedule and keeps the offense

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Carnell Tate

What to Do After 1.01 and 1.02 in 2026 Superflex Rookie Drafts

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

In 2026 rookie drafts, Jeremiyah Love is the clear 1.01, and Fernando Mendoza sits right behind him at 1.02 in Superflex, PPR, and Tight End Premium formats. After those two, my next pick starts with Carnell Tate, then Makai Lemon, then Kenyon Sadiq, and then Jordyn Tyson. That order comes down to a mix of safety, upside, positional value, and how clean the path feels to early fantasy relevance. Tate is the safest wide receiver in the group. Lemon brings the most explosive upside. Sadiq gets a real bump in tight end premium because the athletic ceiling is different at that position. Tyson has the talent, but the risk profile is heavier than the other three.

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