darren waller

Dynasty Risers and Fallers Week 3

Dynasty Risers and Fallers Week 3

Dynasty / By /

In this weekly piece, I will bring you some risers and fallers from a dynasty lens. Whether it’s injuries, performance, or value, I want to discuss how players have moved around. Based on the week’s events, I’ll give some advice on how to act on the market’s movement, whether it’s buying, selling, or holding. 

I won’t limit myself to talking about any specific players or teams because I want to have the freedom to discuss whatever is most relevant. Also, of course, there are more risers and fallers than those I’m listing. However, it’s impossible to cover every single one of them, as dynasty values change weekly for many players. With that said, let’s jump into the risers first, followed by the fallers.

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Looking Ahead to Week Two

Looking Ahead to Week Two

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In this weekly article, I’m going to look ahead to the following week. I’ll point out a few players below 50% owned on ESPN who have strong matchups next week that you can pick up ahead of time to beat the waiver run. I’ll also try and get ahead of breakouts that could happen in the current week, as predicting breakouts is the best way to save your FAAB budget.

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Vegas Receivers Smart Bet

#TomBomb: Las Vegas Raiders

Dynasty / By /

You know, it’s funny. I remember lounging in my La-Z-Boy recliner almost one year ago, to the day, and seeing Darren Waller’s name amongst 2020s predicted top 10 TE’s, by some of the very best in the industry. My initial reaction was to scoop him up, wherever possible. After this happened though, I immediately found myself wanting to trade him for a lofty return. However, bad luck hit when I found myself as the lone believer, in most of my leagues. Eventually, I concluded that Waller was just another dart throw and I wanted to invest in a much higher-ceilinged asset. Oh, the folly of man. Well, as luck would have it, Mr. Waller not only lived up to his lofty expectations, he surpassed them by clocking in as your 2019 TE3 (PPR). 

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2nd Year Breakout Wide Receivers: Part 2

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The consensus used to be that it took wide receivers three years to breakout into fantasy relevance. But, the NFL is turning more pass-happy and players are being utilized in various ways. So, it isn’t out of the question that there are a few second-year breakouts that can boost production for your dynasty team. Similar to last year, if your teams had Courtland Sutton, DJ Chark, or D.J. Moore on your roster before the start of the season, you more than likely felt comfortable with your team’s outlook. In this 3-part series of articles, I’ll look at six wide receivers that need to be considered.  If you didn’t draft some of these second-year wideouts, it’ll be almost impossible for you to acquire them going forward. But, if you’re given the chance, don’t be afraid to overpay.

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Redraft Impact of PPR Scoring

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The original idea of half and full PPR scoring was to even out the production between running backs and wide receivers. In the past, say 15-20 years ago, running backs significantly outscored wide receivers. But, giving points per reception leveled the playing field. I’ll break down whether that’s still true, but that was the primary purpose behind PPR scoring systems. Also, basing scoring on receptions creates more predictability in projecting fantasy points. As always, fantasy leagues are more fun when they reward skill over luck. Specifically, adding PPR scoring reduces the scoring impact of touchdowns, which are highly unpredictable, in favor of receptions, which are highly predictable.

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Vegas Receivers Smart Bet

Vegas Receivers: Where’s the Smart Bet?

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The Raiders have one of the muddiest receiving groups in the NFL, with a quagmire of options. Based on their dynasty values, I’ll take a look at all the receiving options and give you the smart bet for 2020 and beyond. I already broke down the entire Raiders’ offense for redraft purposes, but I want to take more of a dynasty slant, focusing on the receiving group.

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DFF Rookie Round Table, Part 6: Bryan Edwards

Dynasty, Rookie / By /

We debated the rankings on Jalen Reagor, Henry Ruggs, Tee Higgins, Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa, AJ Dillon, Bryan Edwards, Antonio Gandy-Golden, Zack Moss, and Joshua Kelley. We also touched upon players in their range, and who should be ascending or descending. I want to give a big thanks to everyone who contributed to this series of articles. I urge you to go follow them on twitter.  Read the whole series for a number of opinions on players who could win you fantasy championships for years to come. This is Part 6 of the series, where @ff_spaceman and I discuss rookie Bryan Edwards.

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Redraft Team Focus: Raiders

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Carr wasn’t as bad as some might think in 2019, as he finished as the QB14, ahead of players like Baker Mayfield, Kirk Cousins, and Philip Rivers. However, because he played all 16 games while some other quarterbacks missed games, he only finished 22nd with 15.3 fantasy PPG, which is not impressive. The Raiders also signed Marcus Mariota to a significant contract to back up Carr, which demonstrates that they don’t completely trust him. Carr is only a streamer with no upside, and he’s my QB26. 

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A Look Back: Tight End Avoids

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To continue my “A Look Back” series, I wanted to go back even further than the 2019 regular season and reference some of my pre-draft content. In the summer of 2019, I did a two-part article, looking at tight end targets and avoids for 2019. I already looked at my suggested targets in part one, so now let’s look back at the three players I said to avoid drafting.

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2019 Fake Outs

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In this piece, I’ll walk you through three “fake-outs.” These are players that broke out or had strong seasons in 2019 that I do not expect to maintain that level of performance going forward. Therefore, you could call each of these guys a dynasty “sell-high.”

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A Look Back and Forward: 10 Best Values (Part 2)

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In this two-part article, I’m taking a look at the 10 best draft values from the 2019 redraft season. I started by choosing five players from the top 50 in ADP in part one, found here, and now I’ll pick five players from the rest of the draft in part two. As in part one, I will be using Yahoo’s final half PPR ADP. In addition to revisiting how these players performed in 2019, I will also briefly touch on what I expect going forward into 2020. I’ll limit eligible players to the top 150 and might examine the best waiver wire wonders in a future piece.

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