Dynasty Analysis
Each and every week, I’ll be covering a handful of players that I believe will either exceed expectations or let your team down in a major way. Here’s who you should be looking at for Week 3. To start, I’ve determined that Gardner Minshew is good at football. He completed 95% of his passes in Week 1, and he’s thrown for 3 TDs in back-to-back games. Now he’s up against a Dolphins defense that just allowed Josh Allen to throw for over 400 yards and 4 TDs. Roll out Minshew as a QB1 this week.
Get the latest news, including injury information, and stats for IDP players in Week 2 of the NFL.
A perfect 3-0 on our in-depth picks is overshadowed by one of the worst injury days I’ve ever witnessed watching the NFL. While I primarily write on sports betting, I am also an avid fantasy football player. So trust me Barkley and CMC owners, I feel you. This was brutal. Overall we again went 9-7-0 bringing our record to 18-14-0. I suppose a net positive is a good thing but I’m still eager to get that really good week!
Losing Barkley leaves the Giants with Dion Lewis, Wayne Gallman, and Elijah Penny in their running back room. They do not have a running back on their 10-man practice squad so as expected they filled the roster spot with the veteran back Devonta Freeman. As a reminder, the Giants’ starting left tackle Nate Solder had opt-ed out of the 2020 season, leaving their offensive line lacking starting-caliber players across the board. Because of this, Giants’ running backs are averaging only 1.8 yards per attempt on the season. As a team, the Giants are averaging just over 50 yards rushing per game.
Welcome back to this week’s installment. As mentioned in previous renditions, this is not a waiver article, but more of a player that should be on your radar article. In the last couple of weeks, we have targeted the wide receiver position as I searched far and wide for a player at the running back position for everyone to keep an eye on or grab as a speculative add. Gus Edwards is not a sexy name. He is probably someone that you have dabbled with in dynasty, let go, and forgot about. That being said, Gus is still in the Ravens plans always just one play away from an even bigger share of work in an excellent offense.
Aaron Rodgers is starting to look more like his old self. In year two with Matt LaFleur, he appears to be more comfortable in an offense where his only big names are Aaron Jones and Davante Adams. Rodgers will be 37 at the end of the season and he has mentioned that he wants to play until he is 40. In dynasty we tend to look at a 3-year window, if Rodgers can continue to play around this level for a few more years he may actually be a dynasty buy or hold rather than a sell as many (including myself) had proposed pre-season.
Every week, I’m going to break down an entire division, focusing on their play on the field that week. Specifically, I’ll go through each team and focus on their dynasty assets, especially anybody who suffered injuries or a massive value change. I won’t look at any player or team in too much detail. This article is more of a summary piece. With that said, let’s jump right into the AFC North!
Can we have a redo on week two? That was B-R-U-T-A-L! We lost Saquon and Courtland Sutton for the year, and CMC for weeks. Week one waiver wire darling Parris will miss time with a PCL injury. Will Fuller (of course) and Davante Adams are dealing with hamstring issues. Raheem Mostert took it 80 yards to the house with his first carry and then proceeded to sprain his MCL. Who did I miss? It seemed as if fantasy managers were taking one punch to the gut after another on Sunday. Whether or not you survived the injury onslaught in week two, your team could probably use some tinkering. Here are our favorite buys and sells of the week.
A devastating week in the NFL as many teams, real and fantasy, saw their top stars go down. The clear-cut number one overall pick in both dynasty and redraft leagues, Christian McCaffrey was no exception. McCaffrey left fantasy teams a parting gift, one more touchdown in another top 12 week. Unfortunately, we will have to wait 4-6 weeks as he deals with a high ankle sprain.
This weekly article is focused on identifying players who are owned in less than 40% of redraft leagues. These players are going to help your team win this week and every week to come! We are looking for guys you should be able to plug into your starting lineup without hesitation. This week was extra tough on fantasy owners with major injuries all around the NFL.
In light of what we saw in Week 2, Week 1 reminds me of the first scene at the Moscow hospital in the television series “Chernobyl.” Firefighters responded to the explosion of a nuclear reactor at the Chernobyl nuclear reactor in Ukraine. Those that survived were transported to Moscow for treatment for severe radiation exposure. The wife of firefighter Vasily finds her husband playing cards and smoking cigarettes on a hospital bed during a reprieve in symptoms. Week 2 of the 2020 NFL season was the end of that Chernobyl episode, where Vasily and his comrades experienced cellular disintegration turning them into molten lumps of flesh. Shocking and irreversible was the injury carnage of Week 2.
The Broncos’ offense suffered two massive blows in Week 2, losing their quarterback, Drew Lock, and top receiver, Courtland Sutton, to injuries. The team had already lost Phillip Lindsay to turf toe in Week 1, so their offense is now in shambles. Let’s get into the specifics of each injury.
In this streaming article, I will provide you the best weekly options to stream quarterback, tight end, and D/ST. In each section, I’ll break down two streamers in detail, both of which will be under 50% owned, according to ESPN’s ownership percentage at the time of writing. Playing the matchups is a crucial feature of redraft fantasy football, and especially in a crazy 2020 season, active fantasy owners will have a massive advantage. I also want to provide added value for each type of streamer this season. I’ll highlight any players from 50-60% owned in each section if they’re superior options to both of my streaming candidates at that specific position. Those players are “probably owned,” but they could be out there in 10-team or shallower formats. I won’t offer analysis on these players, just the names and matchups.
If neither of my two suggested streamers is under 25% ownership percentage, I will give a “super-deep” option. That feature should help those owners playing in deeper leagues with few waiver-wire options. Like the “probably owned” players, I’ll list the players without analysis. I realize that all leagues are different, and I want to accommodate all of my readers.
David Moore is perfect on the season. He’s received a total of six targets through Week 2 and caught every single one of them. He currently has a 100% catch rate and also scored an impressive touchdown against the Patriots top tier secondary in the Week 2 win. Moore won’t see a ton of targets all year long but with Russell Wilson throwing you the ball you don’t really need too many anyway. Wilson is so accurate and efficient even the fewest amount of targets are still valuable. Moore is on all my dynasty league waivers and seems like a no brainer addition with all the injuries around the league.
Surprisingly, the Bears signed Tarik Cohen to a 3-year extension that grants him $17.25 million in new money. The Bears fully guaranteed Cohen $9.5 million with a possibility of $2.5 million in additional guarantees. Cohen’s deal looks similar to the contract that the Browns gave their backup/third-down back Kareem Hunt, although Hunt’s average annual salary is slightly higher.
The Buccaneers drafted Miller in the sixth round of the 2019 NFL Draft as a deep wide receiver flier. Miller played four years at Bowling Green State University in the MAC conference. Even though he played at a smaller school, he dominated his team in receiving stats, gaining a bit of attention from NFL scouts. However, Miller had little chance to make an impact on the Buccaneers as a rookie in 2019. They had two star wide receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin and a solid WR3 in Breshad Perriman. Additionally, the Buccaneers had two receiving tight ends with Cameron Brate and O.J. Howard and another depth receiver, 2018 fifth-round pick Justin Watson.
First Kupp and now Woods, the Rams have locked up their two most important receiving target. What does this mean for the passing game and the fantasy outlook for everyone involved?
In this article, I look at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense. In addition, I will also make one “Longshot Pick of the Week”. This pick will always feature a more difficult bet that has a greater than 2:1 payout. The odds may be tougher, but if you’re into some fun player props take a peek!
In this weekly article, I’m going to look ahead to the following week. I’ll point out a few players below 50% owned on ESPN who have strong matchups next week that you can pick up ahead of time to beat the waiver run. I’ll also try and get ahead of breakouts that could happen in the current week, as predicting breakouts is the best way to save your FAAB budget.
The time has come to dive into the main slate for Week 2. I’ll be breaking down all thirteen matchups, sharing my thoughts on player prices* and stacking opportunities. As you read, please note that the player names in bold are what I consider my “core” players or guys that I’m sliding into a large percentage of my lineups. Oh, and if you’re new to DFS, you should check out my DFS Tips and Tricks article here.
*All player prices referenced are from FanDuel.
The Raiders drafted Jacobs with the 24th overall pick in the 2019 NFL Draft as the first running back off the board. Jacobs didn’t play as a workhorse back at Alabama, sharing the load with Damien Harris and Najee Harris. However, the Raiders immediately installed Jacobs as their workhorse back, with scatback Jalen Richard and backup DeAndre Washington as depth options.
This article will attempt to identify players who I believe have a chance of becoming dominant forces in fantasy football based on week 1 statistics. As much as I would love to talk about Davante Adams and Josh Jacobs, I will be avoiding the obvious star players who are expected to dominate on a weekly basis.
Stay ahead of the curve with Old Tom’s weekly dynasty stash… and potential redraft gems! After all your league mates cash in on their waiver claims, you can sneak in and pick up next week’s potential hot commodities. Is every one of these moves a dynasty steal? No. However, lest we never forget that Old Tom firmly believes great dynasties are built upon the shoulders of GM’s who never forget the importance of the now. Good luck, friends!
What really sets apart dynasty fantasy football from redraft football is the constant and never-ending ebb and flow of player values, specifically young players and rookies. Increasing the overall value of your team happens when you sell high and buy low, living by the classic stock market analogy. One way to having a truly stacked roster is getting out in front of young players and rookies before they blow up and become a real force in the league and an asset to your dynasty team. The point of this weekly article is to monitor the values of rookies each week identifying risers, fallers, buys, and sells, helping you come out ahead in the “Rookie Stock Market”, setting your team up for long term success.
The Cardinals drafted Kirk with the 47th overall pick in the second round of the 2018 NFL Draft. At the time, they had almost no receivers outside of Larry Fitzgerald, so Kirk practically immediately stepped in as the WR2. Tight end Ricky Seals-Jones and running back David Johnson also contributed in the passing game, but the Josh Rosen-led offense struggled throughout 2018.