Dynasty Analysis
Dede Westbrook ($16) vs. New Orleans – (Cash and GPP).
On Yahoo this week, Westbrook represents the receiver I project as the highest point per dollar value play on the slate. First, I absolutely love D.J. Chark and have been on him nearly every week so far, but against New Orleans, I’m afraid he gets the Marshon Lattimore treatment. And Lattimore looks back to his old self after some early season concerns, limiting Amari Cooper to five catches for 48 yards in Week 4, and completely shutting out Tampa Bay’s Mike Evans on Sunday. While Lattimore is busy following Chark around, Jacksonville should find success exploiting the Saints’ weakness when it comes to slot receivers. Westbrook is running 78.3% of his routes out of the slot according to PlayerProfiler, and this usage profiles similarly to players like Tyler Lockett (61.7% of routes out of the slot) and Cooper Kupp (76.2% of routes out of the slot). In meetings with New Orleans earlier this season, Kupp posted 5 catches for 120 yards in Week 2 and Lockett followed up with 11 catches for 154 yards and a touchdown in Week 3. Even Tampa Bay’s WR2, Chris Godwin, runs a little over 50% of his routes out of the slot on the year, and he torched New Orleans for 125 yards and two touchdowns on seven receptions last week. At just $16, Westbrook is an absolute steal given his usage, role, and highly appealing matchup.
Geronimo Allison (WR-GB)
It’s very clear that Allison is the team’s third-best option when Adams and MVS are both healthy, but if he finds a way to produce before Adams can come back from injury you’ll want to act fast in selling him. He’s only commanding an 11% target share and 11% of the team’s air yards, even with the increased opportunity the last couple games. Those figures are just not something you can reliably start any given week, as 11% of 35 passes is just three targets.
3 – IDP left the game with an injury. Xavier Williams (ankle) left after 10 snaps. Anthony Hitchens (groin) left after 11 snaps. Chris Jones (groin) left after 38 snaps. Ben Nieman replaced Hitchens and played every down. Derrick Nnadi (77%) saw a substantial increase in snaps with both Jones and Williams out. Third-round rookie Khalen Saunders played his first 33 defensive snaps of the season.
Jimmy G is starting to look like the guy the 49ers brought in from the Patriots, who just found ways to win games. You might not think he’s showing flashy numbers on the fantasy stat sheets, but his play is approaching what we believe he can be. You can’t argue the fact that he just wins games! He’s QB7 in completion percentage, at 69%, which is even better than the end of season explosion upon his arrival in Santa Clara. Currently a QB2 in fantasy production, the arrow is pointing up as he continues to build back up his time under center, and his rapport with a relatively inexperienced WR corps. He’s clutch! But can he really be a QB1? I feel he is a high-end QB2, and that is what he is.
Providing analysis on three bets that have the best chance at netting you a nice payday. Whether it be due to matchups, injuries, or other factors, these are the three bets I feel the most confident in placing.
Matt Ryan ($6,400)
According to FantasyData.com, opposing quarterbacks are averaging 24.82 DraftKings points per game against the Cardinals (fourth-most). They also rank seventh-worst in passing yards allowed at nearly 270 yards per game and have already surrendered a dozen touchdowns through the air in the first five games (only the Redskins with 13 are worse). On the flip side, Matt Ryan is averaging over 44 pass attempts per game, has multiple touchdowns in all but one game, and has yet to throw for less than 304 yards in a single week. This matchup is where the rubber meets the road and we roll with the veteran signal-caller carrying his team’s offense.
This series will attempt to bring clarity to the goings-on both on and off the field within each NFL Division so that dynasty owners can make the important roster decisions during the NFL season to help them build toward their championships. Our writers will be grinding the tape and keeping up with the media buzz surrounding players, coaches and front office decision making so that they can keep you equipped with the “nuggets” you need to succeed.
Is Kirk Cousins the problem in Minnesota? Jacoby Brissett is a franchise quarterback? Should you buy Evan Engram as the TE1 or that D.J. Chark is going to outscore JuJu Smith-Schuster this year? All that and more in this week’s Myth vs. reality.
Arizona Cardinals
1 – Game left on Patrick Peterson’s six-game PED suspension.
2 – Snap difference between safeties Jalen Thompson and Deionte Thompson. Supplemental rookie Jalen played 47 snaps, 70%. Fifth-round rookie Deionte (unrelated), played 45 snaps, 64%. Jalen got the start after Arizona released DJ Swearinger but they’re both going to play, capping each other’s value.
CB, Logan Ryan, Tennessee TitansOne of the best defensive backs in the league is off to a hot start this season. Ryan’s stock is on the rise, especially in position-specific leagues that require you to start corners. His ability and the Titan’s willingness to use him as a blitzer makes him so much more valuable. Logan already has 2.5 sacks on the season and is on pace to destroy his record of four, that he just set last season.
Have you ever got to the bottom of a beer that’s been in the sun for too long?It’s not too refreshing, too great-tasting – but hey, it’s still beer.That’s exactly how the free-agent market feels heading into Week 6 of the fantasy football regular season.Not spectacular, nothing that’s going to knock your socks off – but hey, it’s still an opportunity to find that one diamond in the rough that could be a potential league winner down the road.And with that being said, here are your Week 6 “In the Scope” candidates who could soon be the top waiver claims of tomorrow.
This week Connor Horsfield (@Conmans_Content) will guide you through the depths of the redraft waiver wire, featuring all of the best pick-ups and who to leave hanging on the wire. We will identify the guys you should be able to plug into your starting lineup without hesitation, as well as some bench stashes who could […]
This article is published weekly and includes valuable IDP stats, injuries, analysis, and sleeper options to consider as the year progresses. So, without further ado, let’s wrap up the IDP news of NFL Regular Season, Week! We’ll take a look at the standout performances, what we learned and the notable injuries during Week 5 of the NFL season.
Welcome to week six of the 2019 regular season and […]
I’m going to set aside a section just to talk about the combine performance that D.K. Metcalf put on display for everyone. To highlight, in case you’ve been living under a rock, Metcalf produced some of the most elite numbers for a guy his size in a very long time. We truly got to witness history.
Gardner Minshew (JAX) vs Saints, 18.1% owned
While Minshew has not been a star fantasy quarterback thus far in 2019, he has been consistent throughout the entire season. In standard four-point touchdown QB scoring, Minshew has scored at least 16 fantasy points in each game, never busting even once. Against the Panthers in Week 5, Minshew set a career-high of 374 passing yards and 44 passing attempts.
One player many fantasy owners were keeping an eye on heading into the 2019 season was Cardinals wide receiver, Christian Kirk. His promising rookie campaign, in a putrid offense, was cut short by a broken foot suffered in Week 13 of last year. Kirk was placed on Injured Reserve and missed the remaining four games of the season.
Injuries and a few big plays provide us with most of our waiver wire suggestions this week. Bye weeks are now in full swing as well with Buffalo, Indianapolis, Oakland, Chicago all on bye in Week 6. One of these players could be the next big thing or a valuable piece to your playoff run. Make sure you are checking your waiver wires every week and continuing to make moves to improve your rosters. Let’s get to it.
Welcome to part two of my weekly publication! As always, part one of this publication is my weekly picks against the spread, with a deep dive into three picks that I feel will provide a nice payout to bettors. In part two, I’ll be looking at three player props that I feel have a strong […]
Rookie Fever Episode 63 – TOP TEN ROOKS so far with the Madman! Rookie Fever welcomes the Dynasty Madman from Dynasty Trades HQ to talk about the 2019 Rookie Class through the 1st four weeks. We also review WEEK 4’s top 12 and predict out top 12 rookies for week 5. Can anyone stop the […]
This article is meant to be a quick recap of news from the last week, thoughts going into each week’s games, notes on injuries, and others.
Each week I will recap the top performances by this year’s rookie defenders. Some are well-known names, and others may come out of nowhere. Rookies are highly coveted in the dynasty community, but their value can be very volatile. In this series each week, we’ll look at their numbers and what impact they have. I also include their snap counts and percentage of snaps. These snap counts can tell us a lot about how much a player is being used and the opportunities they have to make plays. I like to target rookies that play 80% plus of the team’s defensive snaps. Let’s jump right into this week’s group.
Every week this article identifies and breaks down a variety of players to consider in your Yahoo cash and tournament lineups. While some of the plays are of the safe cash-game variety, I also include several high risk-high reward options as well. In cash-games, we’re looking for a floor based on what is most likely to happen. In GPPs, the goal is always to figure out how to differentiate your lineup just enough to get away from the field and give yourself a chance at a big payday. Remember, more often than not, there’s no need to get super-weird and roster an entire lineup of off-the-board plays. Instead, build a lineup with upside and then identify a low-owned player or two that has a chance to go off and jump you to the top of a large-field GPP.
Deshaun Watson ($6,700)
Of all the games on the Sunday main slate, Vegas has this one pegged with the highest projected total at 48.5 points and the Texans favored by less than a touchdown. Through four weeks Watson has been alternating between being a fantasy monster, with 31.72 DraftKings points in Week 1 and 29.84 in Week 3, and then a fantasy dud, with Week 2 and Week 4 totals of 12.86 and 12.6 DraftKings points respectively.