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lane

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Ja’Kobi Lane

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Catch Radius & Size: At 6’4″, Lane uses his long frame to excel at high-pointing the ball and shielding defenders.

Contested Catch Specialist: He has strong hands and demonstrates elite focus to secure catches in traffic, often acting as a reliable red-zone threat.

Body Control & Tracking: Lane possesses excellent body control to adjust to inaccurate passes, often relying on “basketball player” style leaping ability.

Route Running Nuance: He shows “suddenness” and cleverness in his routes, specifically on double moves.

Football Intelligence: He understands how to find voids in zone coverage and is considered a highly coachable, high-effort player.

WEAKNESSES 

Separation and Speed: Lane lacks true, blazing vertical speed, which may limit his ability to create consistent separation against top-tier NFL cornerbacks.

Yards After Catch (YAC): He is not a dynamic playmaker with the ball in his hands, often failing to create extra yardage after the initial catch.

Press Coverage Issues: His leaner frame can lead to struggles against physical cornerbacks who get hands on him at the line of scrimmage.

Consistency: He has had issues with concentration drops.

Route Tree Limitations: Earlier in his career, he operated in a limited route tree, which sometimes forced him to rely on contested catches rather than open space. 

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ATHLETIC TESTING

Lane tested fairly well at the NFL Combine. He ran a 4.47 40, had a vertical jump of 40 inches, and had a broad jump of 129 inches.

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2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Germie Bernard

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Germie Bernard was drafted by the Pittsburgh Steelers, becoming the 8th wide receiver and 47th overall player in the 2026 NFL Draft.

COLLEGE PRODUCTION

Germie Bernard became a big part of the Alabama passing game in 2025 and showed he could handle real volume in a loaded offense.

He finished with 64 catches for 862 yards and 7 touchdowns, while averaging 13.5 yards per catch. His 21.2% target share also stands out because it shows he was not just a role player. He was someone the offense leaned on.

That matters at Alabama because you are not getting fed unless you earn it.

He may not have the biggest raw numbers in the class, but the production is strong when you factor in the level of competition and the offense he was playing in.

FILM

Germie Bernard wins with polish.

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2026 NFL Draft Coverage: De’Zhaun Stribling

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De’Zhaun Stribling was drafted by the San Francisco 49ers, becoming the 6th wide receiver and 33rd overall player in the 2026 NFL Draft.

COLLEGE PRODUCTION

Stribling was a five-year player in college, starting his career at Washington State, where he played his first two seasons. Stribling was a Year 1 producer, nearly hitting 500 receiving yards and five touchdowns as a true freshman. 

He failed to take that next step forward with the Cougars in his sophomore season, transferring to Oklahoma State for the 2023-24 season. He suffered a wrist injury in his first year at Stillwater and missed all but four games that season, ultimately electing to redshirt. 

Stribling broke out in Year 4 as a redshirt junior for the Cowboys, hauling in 52 receptions for 882 yards and six touchdowns. He posted an impressive 25.5% target rate and 2.44 yards per route run that season, both career bests for the young man. 

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cooper

Dynasty Football Factory’s 2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Omar Cooper Jr.

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Omar Cooper Jr. |Indiana |6’0, 199 lbs | 22 Years Old

Omar Cooper Jr. was drafted by the N.Y. Jets, becoming the 5th wide receiver and 30th overall player in the 2026 NFL Draft.

COLLEGE PRODUCTION

Omar Cooper Jr. took a real jump in 2025 and showed he could be more than just a piece of the offense. He became a true go-to target for Indiana and produced like it.

He finished with 69 catches for 937 yards and 13 touchdowns, and what really stands out is how efficiently he was doing it. His 81.4% catch rate is strong, and his 21.3% target share shows the offense trusted him in a big way.

This was not just a guy catching a few schemed-up touches. He was a major part of the passing game and delivered week after week.

The touchdown jump also matters. Finding the end zone 13 times tells you he knows how to get open when the field gets tight and the windows get smaller.

FILM

Omar Cooper Jr. is a big, powerful athlete who plays with a “bully” mentality.

The first thing that jumps out is his initial burst. He has a serious gear right at the start of the play that catches defenders off guard, helping him get downfield in a hurry. While he’s explosive in a straight line, he can look a bit “clunky” or stiff when he has to make sharp turns. He doesn’t always have that smooth, fluid movement you see from smaller guys, but he makes up for it with raw strength.

He plays much bigger than his 6’0″ frame. He’s an explosive leaper who loves to go up and grab the ball out of the air at its highest point. He is extremely comfortable catching the ball while being hit, using his strong hands and sturdy frame to shield defenders away. For a quarterback, he’s a great target because he makes the “throwing window” feel much larger than it actually is.

After the catch, he’s a handful. He runs like a rugged ball carrier, often bouncing off multiple tacklers and fighting for every extra inch. He isn’t just looking to get out of bounds; he’s looking to punish defenders in the open field.

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simpson

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Ty Simpson

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Ty Simpson enters the NFL as a developmental quarterback prospect after being selected with the 13th overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft by the Los Angeles Rams.

COLLEGE PRODUCTION

Prior to 2025, Simpson did not see much meaningful game action, mostly playing mop-up or relief duties. 

In his 2025 season, his first as Alabama’s starter, Simpson completed 305-of-473 passes (64.5%) for 3,567 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions across 15 games. He added 93 rushing yards and 2 scores on the ground, but does not profile as a dual-threat for the pros. 

FILM

Simpson operates with excellent rhythm and shows the ability to throw with anticipation, particularly on intermediate routes over the middle. He displays a high football IQ, comfortable navigating complex protections and identifying blitzers pre-snap. While not a dynamic run-threat, he is athletic enough to extend plays and maneuver the pocket to create passing lanes. Despite his strong start to the 2025 season, Simpson’s play toward the end of the season revealed developmental hurdles that NFL coaching will need to address. He displayed a tendency to hold the ball too long, leading to an 18.3% pressure-to-sack rate, which resulted in him taking unnecessary hits rather than utilizing his check-downs or throwing the ball away, and led to overall decreased efficiency. Additionally, his deep-ball accuracy remained inconsistent, and he will need to improve his ability to scan the entire field when his primary progression is taken away by sophisticated zone coverages.

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Carnell Tate

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Carnell Tate

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Carnell Tate was a 3-year player for The Ohio State Buckeyes and was a starter in both 2024 and 2025. He steadily improved his production with each passing season. His freshman season saw him catch 18 passes for 264 yards and 1 touchdown. His most productive season came as a senior, where he caught 51 balls for 875 yards and 9 touchdowns. He played alongside multiple highly-touted receivers throughout his time at Ohio State, including Marvin Harrison Jr., Emeka Egbuka and Jeremiah Smith, which meant that he was never the primary target for the Buckeyes. Even still, it should be noted that he managed to produce great numbers despite being the team’s secondary target which could indicate that he can take on a larger role at the next level.

 

FILM

 

Carnell Tate might be the most fluid mover at the wide receiver position in this draft class. He is not an elite athlete, nor is he going to blow you away with speed, but he is an extremely polished route runner and technically sound receiver who wins with body control, precision and an adept understanding of the opposing defensive coverages. He has a knack for winning 50/50 scenarios and will allow his quarterback to trust him even if he isn’t creating obvious separation. His game at the next level will largely be predicated on scheme. If he is deployed on the outside to win deep or is asked to win consistently against press coverage he will struggle. His strengths are in finding the soft spots in zone coverages and in the short and intermediate sections of the field. 

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sadiq

Dynasty Football Factory’s 2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Kenyon Sadiq

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h2>Kenyon Sadiq | Oregon | 6’3”, 241 lbs | Mar 4, 2005 (21 years)

Kenyon Sadiq was drafted by the New York Jets, becoming the 1st tight end and 16th overall player in the 2026 NFL Draft.

COLLEGE PRODUCTION

Year Games Played Receptions Receiving Yards Yards/Catch TD’s
2023 (Oregon) 14 5 24 4.80 1
2024 (Oregon) 14 24 308 12.80 2
2025 (Oregon) 14 51 560 11.00 8

*Statistics Pulled from Sports Reference*
In 2025, Sadiq won many accolades. Notably, he was a Second-team Associated Press All-American, Big Ten Conference TE of the Year, and first-team All-Big Ten. Most impressively, he was a finalist for the John Mackey Award (nation’s top TE). Statistically, Sadiq led FBS TE’s with 8 receiving touchdowns and set an Oregon school record for TEs with 51 receptions. Sadiq is projected to be a 1st-round selection by NFL Mock Draft Database, and Lance Zierlein has a player comparison of Trey McBride. 

FILM

STRENGTHS
Sadiq wows you with his athletics, but he’s also a very versatile tight end with a polished and robust route tree. He gets in and out of his breaks with very good snap and separation and owns man coverage. Sadiq is also very agile and has great acceleration after the catch, as showcased by his 4.29 40-yard time during the NFL Combine. Most impressively, he’s handled his run blocks with proper positioning and base width. Overall, he’s able to make things easier for play-callers and quarterbacks moving the ball downfield. He has the body control and impressive hand strength to win contested catches.

WEAKNESSES

The first noticeable red flag with Sadiq is that even though he has the frame to be a very solid blocker, he’s just adequate, as he gives good effort. He will occasionally also allow balls to hit the ground on lower difficulty plays and shows inconsistent catch focus on throws above his numbers. Edge rushers also play across his face when he’s based up, and he needs to avoid leaning as a point-of-attack blocker. All of these are things he can clean up with further commitment and development. 

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kc

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: KC Concepcion

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KC Concepcion began his career playing for the North Carolina State Wolfpack, where he quickly showed off his talent with 71 catches for 839 yards and 10 touchdowns while also running the ball 41 times for 320 yards. It was one of the more impressive freshman seasons that we have seen in recent memory, though much of his production was manufactured closer to the line of scrimmage. He saw considerable regression in 2024 during his sophomore season, catching only 53 balls for 460 yards and 6 touchdowns in nearly an equivalent amount of games. There are some questions as to whether the offense and quarterback were simply too poor to get him the ball that season, or if he was experiencing a sophomore slump after teams had some film on him.

Concepcion bet on himself, however, and transferred to Texas A&M for his third and final season of college football. He put together arguably his best season with the Aggies and showed improvements in his skill set that were encouraging, leading up to his jump to the NFL. He caught 61 balls for 919 yards and 9 touchdowns, which led the SEC. His 15.1 Y/R was also the best of his college career. 

FILM

The first thing that jumps off the screen when you turn on the tape for KC Concepcion is his natural explosive ability and knack for creating separation in the short and intermediate parts of the field. He is a friendly target for his quarterback due to the ease with which he gains separation at the break point of his routes. Between his time with NC State and Texas A&M, he showed versatility in lining up both outside and in the slot, along with out of the backfield. He is a player who you just put the ball in his hands and watch him go to work, and a creative offensive playcaller will have a field day. 

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Makai Lemon

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Makai Lemon

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Lemon began his college career as a highly touted recruit who had the ability on both sides of the ball. After an underwhelming Freshman year, questions were raised if he would be converted to CB full time. Lemon took a major step forward with a productive Sophomore year.

A Biletnikoff Award winner, Lemon finished his 2025 campaign with 79 receptions for 1,156 yards and 11 touchdowns. He was arguably the most efficient receiver in the Big Ten, particularly against zone coverage, where he posted an elite 90.1 PFF grade. 

FILM

Lemon wins with nuanced footwork and a “fearless” approach between the hashes and excels in yards after the catch. He is highly skilled at manipulating defensive leverage, using subtle cuts to create separation that his long speed alone would not generate. His soft hands and ability to fight for the ball in contested situations make him a reliable chain-mover on 3rd downs and a safety net for his QB.

Makai Lemon | USC Football Career Highlights

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ATHLETIC TESTING

Lemon did not participate in the NFL Scouting Combine, but reportedly ran a 4.46-4.53 forty yard dash during his Pro Day.

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Chris Brazzell

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Chris Brazzell

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In 2025, Brazzell led the SEC in receiving yards (1,017) and receiving touchdowns (9). He recorded four 100-yard games, including an impressive 177-yard, 3-touchdown performance against Georgia. Brazell was a Third-team Associated Press All-American and First-team All-SEC and was a semifinalist for both the Biletnikoff Award (top WR) and Earl Campbell Tyler Rose Award. Brazzell is projected to be a 2nd-round selection by NFL Mock Draft Database, and Lance Zierlein has a player comparison of Christian Watson. 

 

FILM

STRENGTHS
Brazzell is a “Z” receiver with the ability to create downfield and create more explosive plays outside. In 2025, you can see on tape that the game slowed down for him, and he’s very good at using his length and body control to capture air space against defenders. He builds up speed extremely well with his long strides and dominates on jump balls with his size and body control. On the field, he looks like a quarterback’s best friend with his big hands and wide catch radius. His intermediate breaks became more disguised and crisp this past season as he showed adequate hip drop and footwork for this tall center of gravity. His footwork on boundary catches is polished and is pro-ready. He adds an immediate vertical dimension that can loosen defenses, and his dynamic playmaking ability is a real threat.

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price

Dynasty Football Factory’s 2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Jadarian Price

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Jadarian Price |Notre Dame |5’11, 203 lbs | 22 Years Old

Jadarian Price was drafted by the Seattle Seahawks, becoming the 2nd running back and 32nd overall player in the 2026 NFL Draft.

COLLEGE PRODUCTION

Jadarian Price stepped into a bigger role for Notre Dame in 2025 and made the most of it.

He finished with 674 rushing yards on 113 carries (6.0 YPC) and 13 total touchdowns, which tells you one thing right away — he knows how to find the end zone.

Even with a smaller workload, the efficiency stands out. He made the most of his touches and consistently picked up positive yardage.

He wasn’t heavily used in the passing game with just 6 receptions, but when he was targeted, he looked comfortable catching the ball.

This is a player who didn’t need a ton of volume to produce.

price stats

FILM

Jadarian Price is a clean, no-nonsense runner.

It starts with his vision and patience. He lets blocks develop and doesn’t rush the play. He’s not dancing around in the backfield trying to bounce everything outside. He stays controlled, finds the lane, and hits it.

Once he sees it, he goes. He’s a true north-south runner, and that shows up every time he touches the ball. He’s always looking to get upfield and pick up yards.

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Fernando Mendoza

Dynasty Football Factory’s 2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Fernando Mendoza

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Fernando Mendoza | Indiana | 6’5”, 236 lbs | Age 23

Fernando Mendoza enters the 2026 NFL Draft as a high-IQ, pro-ready quarterback prospect, poised to step in and lead an NFL offense with confidence and poise.  

COLLEGE PRODUCTION

In his 2025 season at Indiana, Mendoza completed 273-of-379 passes (72.0%) for 3,535 yards, 41 touchdowns, and only 6 interceptions. He also added 276 rushing yards and seven touchdowns on the ground. Mendoza has a prolific Junior season, leading his team to a National Championship to pair with his Heisman trophy.

unnamed

FILM

Mendoza is a highly effective pocket passer who identifies defenses rapidly, particularly when operating out of RPO-heavy schemes. He displays elite touch, specifically on seam routes and back-shoulder fades, placing the ball in areas where only his receivers can make plays. While not a dual-threat runner, he shows toughness in the pocket and enough mobility to pick up critical yardage when the play breaks down. 

Fernando Mendoza | 2025 Highlights

unnamed

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ATHLETIC TESTING

Mendoza did not participate in the NFL Scouting Combine and opted against testing during his Pro Day.

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Love

Dynasty Football Factory’s 2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Jeremiyah Love

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Jeremiyah Love | Notre Dame | 6’0 , 212 lbs | May 31, 2005 (20 years)

Jeremiyah Love was drafted by the Arizona Cardinals, becoming the 1st running back and 3rd overall player in the 2026 NFL Draft.

COLLEGE PRODUCTION

Jeremiyah Love was a three-year player and an early-declare out of Notre Dame. After a promising freshman campaign, Love broke out as a sophomore in 2024, amassing over 1,300 scrimmage yards and 19 total touchdowns. 

In 2025, Love improved upon his previous year’s raw stats in four fewer games, averaging over 114 yards and nearly two touchdowns per game. His elite production earned him the 2025 Doak Walker award and a third-place finish in the Heisman race. 

Love has always been a highly efficient rusher, averaging 4.35 yards after contact per attempt (YCO/A) and .31 missed tackles forced per attempt (MTF/A) in his career. His 1.60 career yards per route run (YPRR) also suggests he’s a very competent receiving back. 

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tyson

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: Jordyn Tyson

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Jordyn Tyson was a four-year college player who began with the Colorado Buffaloes in 2022 and transferred to finish his career with the Arizona State Sun Devils from 2023 to 2025. As a freshman, Tyson showed some flashes in the nine games that he played, catching 22 passes for 470 yards and 4 touchdowns prior to tearing his ACL, MCL, and PCL. After an injury-plagued 2023 season where he never saw the field, Tyson truly broke out in a Sun Devils uniform in 2024, catching 75 passes for 1,101 yards and 10 touchdowns. His 2025 season saw him take a significant step back in raw numbers, however. He caught only 61 balls for 711 yards and 8 touchdowns, but it is well known that he was limited by a hamstring injury for a couple of games. 

FILM

If you ignore the injury history and only pay attention to his on-field work, Jordyn Tyson was one of the most dominant wide receivers in all of college football. He possesses a versatile skill set that allows him to thrive at all levels of the field. He has produced on the outside, in the slot, and in motion, which makes him a movable chess piece for any offensive coordinator. He is an elite athlete with exceptional body control and soft hands that can reel in any ball thrown his way. He lacks elite speed, but wins with an excellent release package and savvy route running. He also has a basketball background that shows up frequently on tape, particularly in the red zone. 

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ATHLETIC TESTING

Though Tyson did not do any on-field drills at the NFL Scouting Combine, he did host a pro day that left many NFL scouts salivating. He showed off his twitch, athleticism, explosiveness, and leaping ability that helped him to be successful throughout his college career. He did not do any athletic testing during his pro day, but he has been previously clocked around a 4.5s 40-yard dash and was able to bench press 26 times at the combine. 

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mcgowan

2026 Dynasty Rookie RB1 Analytical Model: Rankings 5 to 1

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After years of proven success with my WR1 Analytical Model outperforming NFL Draft Capital at predicting future fantasy success of rookie wide receiver prospects, I unveiled the RB1 Analytical Model last year.  Similar to my long-running WR1 model, which you can find here, this RB1 model was developed using a recipe of the most predictive advanced college statistics that prior NFL fantasy superstars exhibited. 

The goal of these analytical models is to outperform draft capital, as it should. After all, fantasy managers are trying to accumulate the most fantasy points. NFL teams are trying to win football games. For example, in 2024, Bucky Irving and Tyrone Tracy were drafted 6th and 12th in the NFL draft among running backs. The model ranked them 4th and 6th, respectively. 

You can find last year’s 2025 RB1 post-draft published model here. Our model was largely in line with draft capital, with 7 of the first 8 players selected in the NFL draft also in the model’s top 7. A big outlier came a little later. Our model ranked Jacory Croskey-Merritt 11th overall, despite the NFL drafting him 26th among all running backs. 

Now on to the 2026 class. 

This 2026 running back draft class isn’t good. It isn’t bad. No. It is downright atrocious. In these model series, I can typically find 15 “draftable” running backs and wide receivers with ease. Last year, 26 running backs were drafted. This year, even with a terrible overall 2026 class, I don’t have 15 running backs with a “draft-worthy” grade.

You can find the rankings for players 15 to 11 here. 

You can find the rankings for players 10 to 6 here. 

5. Emmett Johnson, Nebraska | RB1 Model Score: 38.0

Based on historical comps, Emmett Johnson’s RB1 Model score of 38.0 gives him a 34.1% chance of having at least one top-24 fantasy season in his career.

Historical Players With Similar RB1 Model Scores:

emmett johnson

The Good

Outside of Jeremiyah Love, Emmett Johnson seems the most likely to secure a role for an NFL team. Why? He is an excellent receiving back. He led all running backs in this class with 30.8 receiving yards per game and 3.8 receptions per game. This earned him 25 points towards his overall RB1 score. 

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tlaw

My First Dynasty Startup of 2026: Draft Review

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Today, I’ll be walking you through my most recent dynasty startup draft that just wrapped up. If you know me or listen to the Always Be Scouting podcast, you know I’m always in a draft somewhere. This was my first dynasty startup of the year, and I wanted to break it down and walk through how I built this roster.

This is a 1QB, 16-team league, and the rookie draft is separate. The scoring setup matters a lot. Tight ends get a boost with 1.5 PPR, and first down points; wide receivers get full PPR, and running backs only get half. Passing touchdowns are also worth 7 points. So going in, I already knew wide receiver was going to be a big focus for me.

Draft Strategy / Team Build

I didn’t go in locked into one plan, but I knew I wanted to build around wide receivers and keep long-term value in mind. At the same time, I didn’t want to punt the season. I wanted a team that could compete now.

Quarterbacks

In a 1QB league, I didn’t feel the need to force the position early. Lawrence ended up being my QB1, and I felt good getting him there. Lawrence had his best year under Liam Coen last year. I feel like he’s finally starting to live up to that #1 overall status from 2021. With passing touchdowns worth 7 points, that’s a solid value. After that, I waited and added depth. Sanders is more of a long-term bet, and Leonard and Pickett are just depth pieces.

Running Backs

I took Jeanty early to lock in a top option. That gave me a foundation at running back. Under new HC Kubiak, Jeanty is poised for a breakout year, especially with the Raiders addressing their QB situation with the Cousins signing, possibly drafting Mendoza with the #1 overall pick, and improving the O-line in the 2026 draft. 

Henderson brings upside, but there’s some risk there. I think in 2026, we’ll see more of him in the backfield after coming off one of the most productive rookie seasons in a Josh McDaniels offense. 

Kyle Monangai had an impressive rookie season and is pushing for more opportunities in 2026. 

Make no mistake, Gainwell has shown he can still produce as part of a one-two punch. Now heading to Tampa Bay, he should continue to fill that passing-down role even with Bucky Irving there. 

After that, I didn’t chase the position too hard. With only .5 PPR for RBs, I was fine adding depth and upside later instead of forcing picks.

Wide Receivers

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dak

Projecting Top Fantasy QBs for 2026

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In this article, I’ll be reviewing data from the past four seasons to predict the next top 12 fantasy football quarterbacks. I started by analyzing the top 12 quarterbacks by points per game in each season for the past 4 seasons, identifying a total of 26 players.

Next, I focused on quarterbacks who achieved multiple top 12 seasons — not just one-hit wonders. This narrowed the list to 15 total quarterbacks.

Josh Allen Patrick Mahomes Brock Purdy Jalen Hurts
Lamar Jackson Dak Prescott Trevor Lawrence Bo Nix
Daniel Jones Joe Burrow Baker Mayfield Jared Goff
Kyler Murray Jordan Love Tua Tagovailoa

These are the 15 guys I will be looking at closely in this article. 

    • 15/15 averaged more than 23 PPR in their best college season
    • 15/15 threw for more than 5000 yards in their college career
    • 15/15 threw for more than 40 touchdowns in their college career
    • 14/15 passed for more than 175 yards a game (Hurts)
    • 14/15 rushed for more than 10 yards a game (Goff)

  • 14/15 averaged more than 20 PPR a game in their college career (Love)
  • 14/15 had more than 2 touchdowns to interceptions ratio (Jones)
  • 14/15 had more than 300 rushing yards in college (Goff)

    • Description.

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Denzel Boston

2026 Rookie WR1 Analytical Model, Version 1.0: Rankings 5 to 1

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The Prospect Analytical Model Rankings are one of our members’ favorite series each year at Dynasty Football Factory. Years of refining and enhancing the models to accurately predict future fantasy value have brought us to today.  These WR1 model rankings are your ultimate guide to predicting which prospects will produce the most fantasy points in their NFL career.  You can find the wide receivers ranked 15 to 11 in the WR1 model here. You can find the wide receivers ranked 10 to 6 here. You can find the running back RB1 model here. For those new to the WR1 rating, it is a proprietary formula I developed in 2019 that provides a data-driven forecast of future fantasy production for incoming rookie wide receivers. There are many advanced metrics available today; we at DFF know it can be difficult to determine which ones matter and how much each matters. The WR1 model distills all that hard work into a single, easy-to-understand number. The model evaluates rookies across 13 of the most predictive metrics and combines their individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating. It was a pioneer in the fantasy analysis industry, being the first to incorporate a film-grade into the model. The goal is to provide an easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend hundreds of hours dissecting different metrics. Based on the prospect’s model score, I provide their probability of achieving at least one top-24 NFL Fantasy Points Per Game Season, using historical prospects with similar score ranges. The WR1 model consistently outperforms NFL draft capital

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emmett

Finding 2026 Fantasy RB1 Value Before the Draft

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In this article, I’ll be reviewing data from the past four seasons to predict the next top 12 fantasy football running backs. I started by analyzing the top 24 running backs by points per game in each season, identifying a total of 49 players. Next, I focused on running backs who achieved multiple top 24 seasons — not just one-hit wonders. This narrowed the list to 26 total running backs. Lastly, I wanted to break it down one more time to get only the elite running backs. So I broke the list down into guys who had multiple top 12 finishes in points per game over the last four seasons and came up with a list of 15 guys. Saquon Barkley Derrick Henry Jahmyr Gibbs Joe Mixon Christian McCaffrey Bijan Robinson Kyren Williams De’Von Achane Breece Hall James Conner Alvin Kamara James Cook Josh Jacobs Jonathan Taylor Aaron Jones These are the 15 guys I will be looking at closely in this article.  15/15 averaged more than 5.0 yards per carry. 14/15 were Power 5 running backs (not Aaron Jones). 14/15 were graded 6.0 or higher for NFL.com grades (not James Conner). 13/15 were drafted in the top 3 rounds (not Aaron Jones or Kyren Williams). 13/15 had more than 30 career catches in college (not Derrick Henry or James Conner). 13/15 had more than .7 touchdowns per game (not James Cook or Josh Jacobs). 13/15 had more than 16 fantasy points per game (not James Cook or Josh Jacobs). 12/15 had more than 95 yards per game (not James

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