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DFS week 2

Paul’s Picks: DFS Week 2

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The time has come to dive into the main slate for Week 2. I’ll be breaking down all thirteen matchups, sharing my thoughts on player prices* and stacking opportunities. As you read, please note that the player names in bold are what I consider my “core” players or guys that I’m sliding into a large percentage of my lineups. Oh, and if you’re new to DFS, you should check out my DFS Tips and Tricks article here.

*All player prices referenced are from FanDuel.

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Paul’s DFF Redraft Championship Draft

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On August 31st, I had the pleasure of drafting against eleven brilliant fantasy minds for the DFF Redraft Championship, a PPR league with 1QB, 2RBs, 3WRs, 1TE, 2Flex, and 1D/ST as starters and 7 bench slots. We spent the night sniping one another and trash-talking on Zoom, which was a ton of fun. When all was said and done, I was thrilled with my team, so let’s take a closer look at how the draft played out.

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dfs week 1

Paul’s Picks: DFS Week 1

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Week 1 is finally here! We’ve got 12 games on the main slate (the 1:00 PM and 4:00 PM EST time slots), which means a ton of players to sort through. I’ll be breaking it down one matchup at a time, sharing my thoughts on player prices* and stacking opportunities. As you read, please note that the player names in bold are what I consider my “core” players or guys that I’m sliding into a large percentage of my lineups. Oh, and if you’re new to DFS, you should check out my DFS Tips and Tricks article here. With all of that out of the way, let’s dive in!

*All player prices referenced are from FanDuel.

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dfs week 1

Start/Sit Week 1

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After what feels like the longest offseason in NFL history, football is back! You’ve finished all of your drafts and had some time to bask in the glory of your undoubtedly stacked roster, but now is the time to make tough decisions. Which players can you truly rely on in your crucial Week 1 matchups? Well, that’s where I come in. Each and every week, I’ll be covering a handful of players that I believe will either exceed expectations or let your team down in a major way.

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DFS Tips and Tricks

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Building a DFS lineup can be a daunting task. The salary cap system is vastly different from a typical snake draft, and the potential player combinations are quite literally endless. In this article, I’ll be laying out some of my favorite DFS strategies and tips to help you sift through those difficult decisions and set your lineups with confidence.

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What You Need to Know About DFS

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There has never been a better time to try DFS. Injuries? Holdouts? COVID designations? As a DFS player, nothing can phase you. Instead of rushing out to the waiver wire or frantically trading for the backups of your injured players, you can just sit back and relax while you wait for all the news to come out. You can build your lineup ten minutes before kickoff on Sunday if you want to. And, of course, the best reason to try DFS is… *drumroll please* … you can win a TON of money and have fun doing it. All it takes is the right strategy (keep an eye out for my Tips and Tricks article) and a little bit of luck. 

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Jared Goff: 2020 Dynasty Profile

Jared Goff: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Jared Goff was the number one overall pick in the 2016 NFL Draft. He played poorly in his rookie year after beginning the season on the bench, but his play improved dramatically in 2017 under Head Coach Sean McVay. He led the Rams to an 11-5 record, made the Pro Bowl, and finished as the QB12. In 2018, Goff turned in his best season to date, posting career-highs across the board in completions, completion percentage, yards, and TDs and finishing as the QB7. The 2019 season was a bit of a disappointment, especially in the passing TDs department, but Goff led the league in pass attempts and managed to finish as the QB13. 

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Redraft Values

Redraft Values: Part Two

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In this second edition of “Redraft Values,” I’ll be taking a look at five more players that are poised to outperform their ADPs. In this article, I’m looking at Robert Woods. What does Robert Woods have to do to earn some respect? He finished as the WR11 in 2018 and the WR14 in 2019, receiving 130+ targets in both seasons. Then, this offseason, the Rams traded away Brandin Cooks, opening up even more target opportunities. We should be expecting more of the same from Woods in 2020, yet he’s frequently available at the end of the 4th round.  The most mind-boggling thing about Robert Woods’ ADP is actually his teammate Tyler Higbee’s ADP. Higbee is currently going as the TE8, in the eighth round, due to an incredible five-game stretch to end 2019 in which he put up four 100-yard performances. But did you know that during that same stretch, Robert Woods had a 16-game pace of 125 receptions and over 1,500 receiving yards?

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#TomBomb: Miami Dolphins

Mike Gesicki: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Go out and acquire Mike Gesicki while you still can. He’s an uber-athletic, 24-year-old tight end linked to an improving team and a promising rookie QB. With a strong 2020 season, his value could skyrocket into the top-10 or even top-5 at the position. He’s a top candidate, along with players like T.J. Hockenson and Noah Fant, to become the next George Kittle or Mark Andrews. 

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Redraft Values: Part One

Redraft Values: Part One

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Paying attention to average draft position (ADP) is the easiest way to gain an edge in your fantasy drafts. So, as we get into the heart of draft season, I thought it would be valuable to take a look at a handful of players that are likely to outperform their ADPs.* There are several great values at each position, and I’d like to explain the rationale behind each selection, so this installment of “Redraft Values” will be the first of two parts. 

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Brandin Cooks: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Brandin Cooks was drafted by the New Orleans Saints in the first round of the 2014 NFL Draft. Cooks was a part-time player as a rookie, but he really broke out in his sophomore season, going over 1,100 receiving yards and scoring nine TDs. That 2015 campaign was the beginning of a four-year stretch in which Cooks never finished worse than the WR15. He also topped 115 targets and 1,000 receiving yards in each of those seasons despite playing for three different teams. In 2019, Cooks’ streak of dominance came to an end. He appeared in 14 games for the Rams but finished with career-lows in receptions and TDs as he spent the majority of the season battling concussion issues.

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Redraft Mock Analysis

PPR Redraft Mock Analysis

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I recently took part in a 1QB, PPR redraft mock with eleven other members of the DFF crew. I was very happy with the results, so I’d like to break down my team and my decision-making process throughout the draft. I entered the draft planning to select RBs in the first three rounds before addressing any other positions. This strategy, which I broke down in great detail here, is one I’ve been implementing whenever possible this offseason. I expected to target WR in the middle rounds while waiting to get my QB and TE late, which worked out perfectly.

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Redraft Best Ball Primer

Redraft Best Ball Primer

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Best ball is a fantasy football format that’s all about your favorite part of the fantasy season: the draft. You simply draft an expanded roster, usually somewhere between 18 and 25 players, and that’s it. You will not set weekly lineups, place waiver claims, or send trade offers. Instead, your optimal lineup is generated each week after all the games have been played. You score points based on that optimal lineup, and, at the end of the season, the team with the most points wins. 

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Matthew Stafford: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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Before 2019, Matthew Stafford appeared in every game for the Detroit Lions for eight consecutive seasons. In those seasons, Stafford averaged 4,465 yards and 27.5 TDs. The Lions finished 2nd, 1st, 5th, 10th, 5th, 10th, 10th, and 13th in pass attempts during that span. Stafford was playing some of his best football in 2019 under current OC Darrell Bevell, albeit in a partial season. Through eight games, Stafford was on pace to finish as the fantasy QB2 with 4,998 yards, 38 TDs, and 10 INTs.

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D.J. Chark: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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When the Jacksonville Jaguars selected D.J. Chark in the 2nd round of the 2018 NFL Draft, they knew they were getting, if nothing else, a truly special athlete: an outside receiver standing 6’ 3” tall, with 4.3 speed and a 93rd percentile burst score. After Chark’s disappointing rookie season, in which he accumulated just 14 receptions in 11 games, many wrote him off as another combine warrior in the same vein as Breshad Perriman. In 2019 however, D.J. Chark broke out, turning 117 targets into over 1,000 receiving yards and 8 TDs and finishing as the WR17. 

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The Rookie QB Mousetrap

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Breaking down these results broadly, we find that 4% of our sample QBs supported a WR1,17% supported a WR2, and 47% supported a WR3. In other words, since 2012, there’s been a 53% chance that a rookie QB fails to produce even a single wide receiver in the top 36. Considering there are only 32 teams in the NFL, that’s a pretty shocking revelation.

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