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Parker Washington

puka nacua

Last Week in Fantasy: Week 6

Week 6 had plenty of drama. The Texans beat the Jaguars in London on a last-second field goal, the Broncos were outgained 353 to 168 and still beat the Seahawks in overtime, Jalen Hurts landed on IR, J.J. McCarthy took Jameis Winston’s job with the Giants, Terry McLaurin was lost for the season, and the Chargers are somehow 0-6.

Same format as last week: I dig through the numbers, snap counts, and news from all 32 teams so you don’t have to, and pull out the stat, trend, or storyline from each one that deserves your attention. Some of it points to a clear move. Some of it is food for thought.

ARIZONA CARDINALS

Jeremiyah Love missed his first game in Week 6, and despite a difficult division matchup with the Rams, the Cardinals running backs had a combined 37 touches. Love is averaging 16 touches per game and has 81 total this season.

Takeaway: With Brissett’s up-and-down play week to week, the Cardinals rely heavily on the run game. Love is in for a big workload, despite being in a committee backfield. The Cardinals’ rest-of-season strength of schedule for running backs is second easiest.

ATLANTA FALCONS

Jahan Dotson has started taking over the WR2 role in Atlanta. He’s scored a touchdown in two of the last three games, has more than 50 receiving yards in every game over his last three, and has double-digit points in two of his last three games.

Takeaway: Dotson is a nice waiver-wire add to help combat injuries and bye weeks. Penix has 30 or more pass attempts the last two weeks, and Dotson is averaging four targets per game over the last three weeks.

BALTIMORE RAVENS

For the first time this season, Derrick Henry failed to score a touchdown or reach 15 points in a game.

Takeaway: In a game where the Ravens offense only mustered 235 total yards against a divisional opponent, this is a one-off type of performance for Henry.

BUFFALO BILLS

Despite not having his alpha receiver in D.J. Moore, Josh Allen has two or more touchdowns in every game and is on pace for 51 touchdowns this season.

Takeaway: Last week I said picking a Bills receiver was a guessing game. In Week 6, Keon Coleman played 85% of the snaps and scored, while Khalil Shakir played about 60%. D.J. Moore was inactive again with his shoulder injury, and the Bills are on bye in Week 7.

CAROLINA PANTHERS

Jalen Coker was a warm welcome back to the Panthers offense. For the second time in the four games Coker and Tetairoa McMillan have played together, Coker has outscored him.

Takeaway: Bryce Young is averaging 40 pass attempts a game, and in Week 6 Coker saw 13 targets to McMillan’s 9. With that much volume, the Panthers passing game has room for both receivers.

CHICAGO BEARS

After a tumultuous start to the season, Luther Burden has found a way to be a top-24 receiver: 20th in receiving yards, 13th in receptions, and 21st in total points.

Takeaway: With the return of Caleb Williams, Luther Burden caught all eight of his targets for 95 yards, and Colston Loveland added six catches and a touchdown. Rome Odunze didn’t put up the fantasy numbers on four targets, but he played 96% of the snaps, his second most all season.

CINCINNATI BENGALS

Despite ranking 20th in the NFL in red zone possessions and scoring only seven touchdowns in the red zone, the Bengals offense was averaging over 25 PPG heading into their bye week, ranking ninth in the NFL.

Takeaway: The Bengals have played one fewer game than most teams, so their 20th-place red zone ranking is partly a product of the bye. Chase Brown has 14 red zone touches this season, and they face the Ravens in Week 7.

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Kyler murray

Last Week in Fantasy: Week 5

Week 5 had a little bit of everything. Josh Allen ran for 121 yards in a Monday night overtime classic; Puka Nacua caught 17 passes (on 24 targets!), Drake Maye threw four touchdowns, Jahmyr Gibbs piled up over 200 total yards, the Giants and Commanders played more than 60 minutes of football to settle absolutely nothing, and Marvin Harrison Jr. is now a Houston Texan.

You might notice things look a little different this week. I’ve moved away from slapping a Buy, Sell, or Stash label on every team, because the most useful stuff doesn’t always fit in one of those boxes.

Here’s how this works. I dig through the numbers, snap counts, and news from all 32 teams so you don’t have to, and pull out the stat, trend, or storyline from each one that deserves your attention. Some of it points to a clear move. Some of it is food for thought. Either way, you’ll walk away with something you can use when you set your lineup, work the waiver wire, or fire off that trade offer.

ARIZONA CARDINALS

Marvin Harrison Jr. was traded to the Houston Texans, but oddly enough, I don’t think any of the other Cardinals receivers should be elevated because of this move. Harrison had just 13 targets on the year and wasn’t a real focal point of the offense.

Takeaway: Kendrick Bourne is third on the team in targets with 22. He’s worth keeping an eye on, but if anyone should rise up the rankings, it’s RB Jeremiyah Love.

ATLANTA FALCONS

Kyle Pitts caught his first touchdown of the season and looks to be finding his place in the Falcons’ offense, and Michael Penix Jr. has three straight games with 200 or more passing yards, something he did only five times in 2025.

Takeaway: Bijan Robinson and Drake London are the stars of the Falcons’ offense, but Pitts and Penix aren’t far behind.

BALTIMORE RAVENS

Even without Lamar Jackson, the Ravens’ offense didn’t skip a beat. Receiver Rashod Bateman is rumored to be on the trade block, and while his stats don’t jump off the screen, he has 30 or more receiving yards in every game this season and has played 75% or more of the snaps in every game but one. He also proved he can handle the WR1 role in Week 2 without Zay Flowers, putting up 21 points.

Takeaway: Bateman is a low-end flex play right now, but depending on where he lands (if he gets traded at all), he could be a WR3 in fantasy lineups.

BUFFALO BILLS

The Buffalo offense is efficient, but if you’re chasing their receivers, I’d temper expectations. The Bills rank 29th in pass attempts at 27 per game. Maybe the return of D.J. Moore will help?

Takeaway: D.J. Moore is the only Bills receiver with double-digit targets in a game this year, and that happened just once. Right now, picking which Bills receiver to start is a guessing game I’m not looking to play.

CAROLINA PANTHERS

Coming off their bye week, nothing has changed for the new and improved passing attack. However, Jalen Coker is expected to return and give Bryce Young another weapon.

Takeaway: In the first three weeks of the season, Jalen Coker had 22 targets (he left in the third quarter of Week 3) and Tetairoa McMillan had 23. Coker’s return doesn’t hurt McMillan as much as it complements him.

CHICAGO BEARS

The trio of Rome Odunze, Luther Burden, and Colston Loveland has started to show signs of life over the last three weeks. Odunze has 24 targets, Burden has 23, and Loveland has 18. The return of Caleb Williams can’t come soon enough.

Takeaway: The injury to RB Kyle Monangai, who is second on the team in red zone touches with 15, should open up more scoring opportunities for Burden, Odunze, and Loveland.

CINCINNATI BENGALS

Fun fact: Chase Brown is second among all RBs with 24 receptions. Brown has been frustrating lately, and Samaje Perine stealing a touchdown from him didn’t help matters. Over the last three games, Brown has 52 total touches and Perine has 26.

Takeaway: Brown is a big part of this offense and leads the team in red zone touches with 12 (Perine has eight). The touchdowns are coming for Brown.

CLEVELAND BROWNS

Quinshon Judkins got hurt in Week 5, and Raheim Sanders is on IR. Dylan Sampson might play on Sunday. Add in Jaleel McLaughlin and Audric Estime, and this backfield is a mess.

Takeaway: Judkins has a chance to play, but if he doesn’t, I like Denzel Boston’s and Harold Fannin Jr.’s chances of scoring a touchdown given the state of the RB room. Maybe Watson finally scores his first rushing touchdown of the season?

DALLAS COWBOYS

With 10 days off, hopefully the Cowboys are well rested after playing three games in 12 days. Javonte Williams heads into the break riding a three-game touchdown streak.

Takeaway: The Packers have allowed nine total touchdowns to RBs this season, which ranks 30th in the NFL. I expect Javonte to have a big game in Week 6.

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Last Week in Fantasy: Week 5 Read More »

Hammer's Hammer

Hammer’s DFS Hammers: NFL Week 5

Welcome to Week 5, which is one of my favorite weeks. Why? We now have four weeks of proof points and data to paint a picture of who a team is, and what players’ roles are becoming. It’s an opportunity to start forming conclusions based on this season rather than heavily relying on data from last year and the summer. That said, it’s shaped up as quite a strange main slate for Sunday. There aren’t many games that scream for points to be scored, and there also aren’t many QB spots that stand out. However, I do see some hidden opportunity in some of the matchups, especially those with smaller totals that some might overlook for DFS. There is also a higher point total game that I will be building my own lineups around.

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mariota

Dynasty Data Trendz: Week 2

Fantasy point production is not always the best predictor of future fantasy point production. One blown coverage or short touchdown can instantly make a player’s otherwise pedestrian week look great for fantasy..

This is where usage trends come in. A player’s usage is a better predictor of what kind of future fantasy production we should expect. You can use this to target Dynasty owners who may be otherwise disenchanted with a low macro fantasy output, while you know the underlying factors are healthy. On the other hand, you can also utilize usage trends to see which players may have a concerning trend relative to their historical valuation that you may want to consider trading.

*Data Sources: PFF, Fantasy Pros, NFL Pro, Next Gen Stats*

1. Bryce Young Fantasy PPG by year

2023 – 10.4
2024 – 14.6
2025 – 14.3
2026 – 32.4  !!!!!

2. Target Share Leaders through Week 2

Jaxon Smith-Njigba – 44.0%
Parker Washington – 36.7%
Justin Jefferson – 35.7%
Amon-Ra St. Brown – 35.1%
DeVonta Smith – 33.9%
Davante Adams – 28.1%
CeeDee Lamb – 27.9%
Christian Watson – 27.5%
Chris Olave – 27.4%
Jalen Coker – 27.3%
Tetairoa McMillan – 27.3%

3. Could we see the first-ever 40% target share season from JSN this year? He currently sits at a staggering 44%.

4. From a Dynasty buy standpoint, Christian Watson is very interesting. Watson has always been a premier yards-per-route, run performer. However, he has never been a premier target earner. When you combine those two, you get a WR1. He is priced as the WR27 by the Dynasty community on Keep Trade Cut. 

5. I wrote this in last week’s article: “I would be buying Stefon Diggs as a contender. He is probably the best option you can get for a 3rd that will be a reliable starter. Jayden Daniels was running for his life. Diggs is a reliable quick outlet, whereas McLaurin is a downfield threat.” Diggs obliged with a stout 21.7 fantasy points in Week 2.

6. In case you had any reservations about Parker Washington. Remove them. He is 100% the real deal, Holyfield.

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Hammer's Hammer

Hammer’s DFS Hammers for NFL Week 1

My last name is Hammer. I’m not going to pretend this article’s name is an accident. This isn’t a weekly column, because most weeks I won’t have enough to say. I write these when a slate actually lines up – when the numbers, the narratives, the beat reports from practice, the under-the-radar role changes, and the injury report all point in the same direction towards players. Week 1 is one of those weeks. Prices were locked in earlier this summer, and a lot of what we’re betting on now is how guys finished the 2025 season, plus whether camp backed it up. That’s a real edge if you’re paying attention. I’ve got five names this week. They aren’t on the same team, and they don’t have the same role. What they share is that the close of 2025 still looks better than their price, their summer backed up what we saw last year, and Sunday’s matchup gives them a reason to eat. That’s the swing. Let’s get into it.

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stribling

Preseason in a Nutshell: Rapid Fire Style

Let’s be honest: We are all busy. We can’t watch every preseason snap, coaches’ press conferences, or injury post on X. For all those who love fantasy football but aren’t complete degenerates like us, this article is for you: Concise nuggets of fantasy-relevant news in an easy-to-digest format.

Here I will wrap up the whole preseason in a neat, tidy article.

1. Kyler Murray is the Vikings’ starting QB. The KOC-era Vikings are perennially one of the top passing teams in the league. Murray is a Konami QB with the rushing upside fantasy managers want. You want him on your roster this year.

2. Jahan Dotson is in line to be the Falcons WR2. He played 100% of the snaps with the starters in their first preseason game.

3. Luther Burden was taking souls in practice. Ben Johnson stated he is destined to be one of the NFL’s best receivers.  He has the work ethic and desire to be the best.  The hype was palpable. Then he got injured. X was abuzz, waiting for an update. There were talks of tendon tears. Then we got notice it was a groin injury, and he may only miss a couple of games.

4. The Jaguars running back room looks like a gross timeshare that you don’t want a part of for fantasy. In practice, it has often been Bhaysul Tuten on 1st and 2nd downs, Lequint Allen on 3rd down. Then, when they get inside the 10, Chris Rodriguez has been seeing the bulk of the carries.

5. Staying in Jacksonville, Parker Washington has continued his momentum from last year and has been the most targeted wide receiver in camp.

6. Jayden Higgins was having a great camp. Unfortunately, he tore his ACL and is now gone for the season.

7. The Cleveland QB battle was a real battle. Todd Monken has not named who the starting QB will be between Deshaun Watson and Shedeur Sanders.  Either way, you do not want either of these starting on your Dynasty roster.

8. Caleb Douglas and Malik Washington appear to have separated themselves from the pack as the top 2 wide receivers for Miami based on pre-season usage with the starters.

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pwash

Parker Washington: Buy the Hype or Fade the Noise?

Parker Washington has seen an incredible surge in dynasty value over the past 12 months, climbing from outside the top 100 wide receivers this time last year to WR31 overall today, according to KeepTradeCut. This is due in large part to Washington’s strong end to the 2025 NFL season, racking up 26 receptions, 454 yards, and three touchdowns over Jacksonville’s final four games (regular season + playoffs). Since then, we’ve seen nothing but bullish news out of OTAs and training camp regarding Washington. 

On the other hand, this was a former Day 3 pick who barely cracked 500 receiving yards through his first two NFL seasons. Was he simply reaping the benefit of Travis Hunter landing on IR and Brian Thomas Jr. battling his own set of injuries on the field? Has the Parker Washington hype gone too far, or is he here to stay? Let’s find out. 

College Profile

Parker Washington was a 4-star recruit and a top-50 receiver in the country coming out of high school, according to 247 Sports. He played all three of his college seasons at Penn State, amassing 1,900 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns in Happy Valley. From an analytical perspective, he was pretty underwhelming, posting a career 20.9% target rate and 1.91 yards per route run. 

Washington was an early declare, despite posting relatively pedestrian numbers. He ultimately went in Round 6 of the NFL Draft, which we rarely see from early declares now. Washington technically had two years of eligibility remaining, having played his freshman season during the COVID season. It’s very possible he’d have taken a big step forward had he stayed in college (and transferred to a more pass-friendly environment). NIL deals at this time were not nearly as lucrative as they are today, which surely played into his decision. 

Early NFL Career

Parker Washington began his NFL career as a part-time player, buried on the depth chart behind guys like Calvin Ridley, Evan Engram, and Christian Kirk (all still technically in their prime). Washington had his opportunity to flourish in 2024 with Calvin Ridley gone, plus Christian Kirk and Evan Engram hurt for much of the season. However, rookie Brian Thomas Jr. emerged as the WR1 and dominated target share, leaving Washington as an afterthought. 

Despite running nearly 400 routes in 2024, Washington managed only 32 receptions, 390 yards, and three touchdowns. His 13.3% target rate and 1.02 yards per route run on the season were dismal marks, and ones that typically suggest your time in the NFL is numbered. 

In terms of dynasty value, Washington was a roster clogger at best through two seasons. In most leagues, he went undrafted in dynasty rookie drafts in 2023, bouncing from random rosters to the waiver wire. 

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C.J. Johnson

Dynasty Football Rookie WR Prospect KOP Rankings

The KOP rankings will help you understand why a person struggles in the NFL or why a particular player isn’t receiving more playing time. It will allow you to move off a specific player earlier than most people in the Dynasty Fantasy Football space. For example, while most managers hoped O.J. Howard would produce as a TE1 in his sophomore or third season; you have already traded him away.

Dynasty Football Rookie WR Prospect KOP Rankings Read More »

Evan Hull

DFF Pre-NFL Draft: Complete Dynasty Football Rookie Mock 3.0

The DFF Army got together again after the NFL Scouting Combine for its third analyst-only Rookie Mock Draft of the 2023 off-season. Here we randomly selected spots and ran the draft in a linear order; the settings are Superflex, TEP, and PPR. Hopefully, this can help give you an earlier sense of the players you should be considering at the top of your draft and the gems you will want to target later. Check out every selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick.

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Kenny McIntosh

23 DFF SF Rookie Mock Draft 2.0 – Pre NFL Draft, Post-Combine: R4

The DFF Army got together again after the NFL Scouting Combine for its second analyst-only rookie mock draft of the 2023 off-season. Here we randomly selected spots and then ran the draft in a linear order; the settings are Superflex and PPR. Hopefully, this can help give you an earlier sense of the players you should be considering at the top of your draft and the gems you will want to target later. Check out every third-round selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick!

23 DFF SF Rookie Mock Draft 2.0 – Pre NFL Draft, Post-Combine: R4 Read More »

The DFF Dynasty Start-Up Mock Draft: Part 5

As the dynasty league offseason is now in full swing, there are many upcoming NFL events to anticipate. Coming up on the calendar we have the likes of the NFL Scouting Combine, Free Agency, and the NFL Draft. In the fantasy football world, there is ample opportunity for value shifts for individual players and entire position groups. What better time to test the water than the end of February with a mock draft?

The DFF Dynasty Start-Up Mock Draft: Part 5 Read More »

2023 DFF SF Rookie Mock Draft – Pre NFL Draft: Round 3

The DFF Army got together for its first analyst-only mock draft of the 2023 off-season. Here we randomly selected spots and then ran the draft in a linear order; the settings are Superflex and PPR. Hopefully, this can help give you an early sense of the players you should be considering at the top of your draft and the gems you will want to target later. Check out every second-round selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick.  Click here to see the previous round. Rounds three and four are publishing soon! 

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JC Johnson’s Undeclared Gems: Jordan Addison

In a new era of the NIL, Jordan Addison is the first player that truly made his decision essentially a free agency tour. He visited multiple schools including USC, Texas, and Alabama, spoke to coaches, spoke to players on the team, and figured out who could provide the most for him both on and off the field. Now the all-important question: what does this mean for Jordan Addison’s devy value going forward?

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Devy Freshman Breakout of the Year Team

In devy leagues, we are all looking for not only the generational talents at the collegiate level that will be NFL stars when they go pro, but we are also looking for the hidden gems that go under the radar but will be league winners someday. While generational talents like Trevor Lawrence, Travis Etienne, and Ja’Marr Chase are all well known in the fantasy community this article will try to determine breakout players who can be attained in future devy drafts based on their on-field play and analytical profiles.

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