@force_fantasy

2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Skyy Moore

Being paired with Patrick Mahomes is as good as you can ask for with a rookie wide receiver prospect. Tyreek Hill is gone along with his 1239 receiving yards. Moore figures to step in and contribute immediately. I have Moore ranked as the number eight wide receiver in this class for projected future dynasty value. He has the potential to make an impact at the next level but he does not profile as a number one receiver. Moore should go off the board in rookie drafts in the early second-round.

2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Skyy Moore Read More »

2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Christian Watson

Watson was the leading receiver on the 2019 North Dakota State team which featured Trey Lance at quarterback, with 732 yards receiving. He had 43 receptions for 801 yards his senior year. North Dakota was consistently blowing out their opponents, so you will not see eye-popping volume statistics for Watson. He is explosive, garnering 57 plays of 20+ yards over his college career. When you look at his rate stats they are far more impressive. Watson’s dominator rating was 44.0%. This is 90th percentile among prospects and ranked fifth overall.  The receiving yards per team pass attempt was also solid at 3.12.

2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Christian Watson Read More »

2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Treylon Burks

After a quiet freshman year, Burks elevated his production significantly in his sophomore year. He had 820 yards receiving and seven touchdowns in only nine games. He followed that up with an even better junior year with 1,104 yards receiving and 11 touchdowns. Burks rated highly in two of the more predictive metrics for future success. His receiving yards per team pass attempt (RYPTPA) of 3.52 was the third-best in the class. His dominator rating (share of teams receiving yards and touchdowns) was second-best overall to Jalen Tolbert.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

2022 DFF Draft Coverage: Treylon Burks Read More »

2022 DFF Superflex Rookie Mock 4.0: Round 1

Sports Illustrated reported that over 10 NFL Teams graded Desmond Ridder as a First-Round Talent. Should Ridder meet that expected capital, his dynasty value will skyrocket above 1.12. Landing Ridder anywhere in the second half of your rookie drafts is exceptional value. I would not be surprised to see Ridder valued higher than every quarterback from the 2022 class come this time next season.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

2022 DFF Superflex Rookie Mock 4.0: Round 1 Read More »

The WR1 Rating Dynasty Rookie Countdown: Part 2

For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating score. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. 

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

The WR1 Rating Dynasty Rookie Countdown: Part 2 Read More »

2022 DFF SF Rookie Mock Draft 3.0: Round 2

The DFF Army banded together for another 12-team full PPR Superflex rookie mock draft! This time we are post-combine and pro-day, but pre-NFL Draft. Check out every second-round selection below and each writer’s reasoning behind their pick. Stay tuned for rounds three and four dropping over the next few days. 

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

2022 DFF SF Rookie Mock Draft 3.0: Round 2 Read More »

The WR1 Rating: Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings Countdown (15-11)

Over the next few weeks, I will be revealing my annual WR1 prospect model ratings to help prepare DFF readers for their dynasty rookie drafts. This article covers the prospects ranked 15-11 in the model. For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating score. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. You may find an in-depth explanation of the model’s process and a glossary of what the metrics mean here. Before we get into the 2022 prospects, here are the top 20 all-time prospects in the model so you can see how effective it is at forecasting future fantasy value.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

The WR1 Rating: Dynasty Rookie Wide Receiver Rankings Countdown (15-11) Read More »

Free Agency Day 2: Dynasty Winners and Losers

Zay Jones had a career year last year with 47 receptions and 546 receiving yards. He got a nice payday at up to $10M per year considering his lackluster career to date. They must have plans to incorporate him into the offense given the amount of the contract but he now enters a saturated receiving group. Jacksonville has been on a spending spree to improve the weapons for Trevor Lawrence. Christian Kirk, Evan Engram, and Zay Jones are now added to an offense that is also getting back Travis Etienne. This is not exactly high-end talent but it is an improvement over what they had.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Free Agency Day 2: Dynasty Winners and Losers Read More »

Free Agency Day 1: Dynasty Winners and Losers

James Conner is coming off a highly productive season in Arizona last year. He ran for 752 yards and 18 touchdowns in 15 games, good for seventh overall in fantasy points per game. We should expect touchdown regression next season given the rate of over one TD per game last year. He turns 27 in May so the finer details of the contract will be interesting.  Three years seems like a significant commitment but there will be contract outs given the contract is for $13.5 million guaranteed.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Free Agency Day 1: Dynasty Winners and Losers Read More »

The Pre-Draft WR1: Prospect Model Ratings

For those new to the WR1 rating, this is a proprietary formula I developed to provide a data-driven forecast of future dynasty value for incoming rookie wide receivers. The WR1 model scores rookies on nine predictive metrics and then combines those individual metric scores into a single WR1 rating. The goal is to provide a single easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend all the time dissecting different metrics. If data-driven rankings are not for you, I suggest my colleague @DocFFFN’s wide receiver review from a film perspective. 

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

The Pre-Draft WR1: Prospect Model Ratings Read More »

Rapid Reaction: Russell Wilson Blockbuster Trade

Wow! The signs were there for the past year Denver would be making a big splash in the quarterback market. Denver suffered through poor quarterback play the last few years with Drew Lock and Teddy Bridgewater manning the helm. Then the Broncos signed Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick to contract extensions to make it an attractive destination for a potential new quarterback. Rumors were everywhere Aaron Rodgers was on his way to Denver. Then Rodgers announced he is staying in Green Bay and signing a new deal with the Packers. Hours later we get hit with the news from Adam Schefter on the blockbuster trade for Russell Wilson.

To access this post, you must purchase a DFF Membership.

Rapid Reaction: Russell Wilson Blockbuster Trade Read More »