ezekiel elliott

Christian McCaffrey

The Guide: A Round-by-Round Roadmap to Acing Your 2020 Fantasy Draft

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I get the same email every year. It usually comes in the first couple of days in September. It’s from a friend who I used to work with. This person is extremely competitive; the kind of person who hates losing more than loves winning. The email is a call for help. My friend knows almost nothing about fantasy football, but wants to crush the people in the fantasy league she was invited to a few years back. I love writing the reply because it allows me to finalize my draft strategy after months of mock drafts and research. This year, I’m happy to make that strategy public. Here it is… the guide!

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Tony Pollard: 2020 Dynasty Profile

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The Cowboys selected Pollard in the fourth round of the 2019 NFL Draft out of Memphis. Coming into the NFL, most analysts saw Pollard as a dynamic receiving threat, and as a passing-down complement to starter Ezekiel Elliott. However, during Elliott’s contract holdout before the 2019 season, the Cowboys made it clear that Pollard was Elliott’s direct backup. Pollard’s redraft and dynasty value soared as Elliott was in danger of missing games due to his contract situation.

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Karp's redraft mock

Karp’s DFF Redraft Mock

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Recently, the @DFF_Redraft crew joined up for a redraft mock draft. The format was: start 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 2 Flex, 6 bench spots, and PPR scoring. It was the first time this offseason that we did a mock with three starting wide receivers, so I was curious to see how that small change affected my strategy and the other drafters’ strategy.

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Amari Cooper: Not the Top-10 Receiver You Think

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Amari Cooper has monopolized his team’s target share over his career. He’s seen at least 20% every season since 2015. This is something just 10 other wide receivers have accomplished. The thing is, of the wide receivers who’ve received at least 20% target share over the last three seasons, Cooper is last in average target share (20.2%). He’s received exactly 20% two of the last three seasons and it didn’t get much better in Dallas (20.7%). Cooper is dangerously close to falling below the 20%+ target share threshold. This is a benchmark almost all top-10 fantasy wide receivers reach in a given season. Brandin Cooks is the only receiver to finish in the top 10 since 2015 with below a 20% target share and he finished with 19.4%.

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Redraft Team Focus: Cowboys

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In this article series, I’m analyzing every one of the 32 NFL teams and all of their redraft-relevant fantasy assets. It’s a long project, but I want to make sure that you, the reader, have something you can refer to for every team. For each article, I’ll split up the fantasy assets into three categories: high-end assets, usable contributors, and dart throws. Let’s jump into the Cowboys.

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Rounds 1 and 2 Redraft Rankings Update: Part 2

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In late February and early March, I published a pair of articles about my early redraft Round 1 and Round 2 rankings. If you want to find my full rankings, they are updated continuously and can be found here under the redraft tab. These rankings assume a 1QB, PPR format where there is an equal number of running back and wide receiver starters. The tiers divide players by their position to provide the best possible context for my rankings. I covered the top 13 players in Part 1, so here comes the final 11 players as well as the two who fell out of the top 24.

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Rounds 1 and 2 Redraft Rankings Update: Part 1

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In late February and early March, I published a pair of articles about my early redraft Round 1 and Round 2 rankings. In this piece, I’m going to take a quick look at the top 24 now and compare it to then. If you want to find my full rankings, they are updated continuously and can be found here under the redraft tab. These rankings assume a 1QB, PPR format where there is an equal number of running back and wide receiver starters. The tiers divide players by their position to provide the best possible context for my rankings. I’ll cover the top 13 players in this piece, and I’ll put out a part 2 shortly covering the final 11 players as well as the two who fell out of the top 24.

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The Magnificent Seven: The 2020 Dallas Cowboys

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The Dallas Cowboys are poised to become one of the league’s most explosive offenses in the 2020 NFL season. You might even say their offense will be magnificent (I will see myself out). Despite their middling .500 record, Dallas was one of the best offenses in the NFL last year. It finished 2nd in offensive Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA), 4th in weighted DVOA per Football Outsiders, and 5th in points per game.

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A Look Back: Rookie Targets

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Continuing my “A Look Back” series, I wanted to go back even further than the 2019 regular season and reference some of my 2019 pre-draft content. In this two-part article, I’m going to take a look at two articles I published in mid-to-late August 2019 about rookies in redraft. Let’s start with the three targets.

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Taxi Squad Spring Cleaning Part 2

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In this series of articles, I’m taking a look at rookies from the 2019 class that can be removed from your taxi squads to make room for 2020 rookies. In part one found here, I examined four players that are potential dynasty cuts. These are players that all have little to no dynasty value, but those dynasty owners selected in at least some 2019 rookie drafts. I’ll reference my 2019 rookie rankings from late May to give an idea of where I valued these players. My rankings are for a 1QB, PPR format. Here come four more players that are subject to spring cleaning.

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Dead to Me: Redraft

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Have you ever had that feeling of frustration that you can’t shake? These two players make me feel that way. I will never deal with these players again in redraft formats. They’ve both burned me multiple times, and I want no part of them in 2020. I’m not saying that these players are worthless, but I will look for any way to pick someone else in redraft. All ranks are for a PPR format.

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Startup Draft Strategy: Part 1

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With no sports going on, right now is the perfect time to join a new dynasty league. This article offers advice on different strategies you can use to approach your draft providing you an edge over your competition. These tips are geared toward a traditional fantasy dynasty format with no special rules such as Superflex or TE Premium.

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NFC East Factory Divisional Nuggets 6-7

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Terry McLaurin (WR)Week 6: 4-100-2 (SNP% 97)Week 7: 1-11 (SNP% 98)
Terry McLaurin still proves to be the only wide receiver in Washington that you can put in your lineup with any confidence. He lit up the Dolphins for 100 yards and two touchdowns on only 4 receptions (seven targets). The rain put a damper on his game against San Francisco, where Washington was held scoreless. The Vikings are a middle of the road pass defense while the Bills are a top-five, so you may need to temper expectations. The Redskins should be playing from behind in both games, so McLaurin should have value since they will be needing to throw often.

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NFC EAST Nuggets Weeks 2 and 3

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This series will attempt to bring clarity to the goings-on both on and off the field within each NFL Division so that dynasty owners can make the important roster decisions during the NFL season to help them build toward their championships. Our writers will be grinding the tape and keeping up with the media buzz surrounding players, coaches and front office decision making so that they can keep you equipped with the “nuggets” you need to succeed. Let’s break down what we saw the past two weeks in the NFC East.

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Ezekiel Elliott: Cowboy for life

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That’s right, business is about to pick up in Dallas! Elliott has officially signed a six-year extension for $90m, with approximately half of it guaranteed. As stated in Rapoport’s tweet, this locks up Elliott for the next 8 years at a (Dallas Cowboys) record-setting contract of over $100m, and the highest running back contract ever.

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Sell High Dynasty Assets

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Part of your duty as a dynasty owner is identifying high asset players and moving off of them before their value drops to a point you’re unable to get anything for them. It can be a hard pill to swallow, saying good-bye to a high caliber player who is in the prime of their career. But to sustain your team and remain competitive for years (not to mention avoid the uncertainty of an unknown rebuild), you will have to cut ties and gain maximum value for players. These decisions can be hard, but for Dynasty Football Factory members, they just became a lot easier.

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