Now that the 2023 Dynasty season is coming to a close, it’s time to get a jump on the off-season. In this article, I’ll examine the tight end room of every team and give my opinion on whether to buy or sell. I’ve combined AFC and NFC in this article, as most tight ends aren’t worth a detailed blurb and don’t have much impact on NFL picks in the sports betting arena. I’ll use KeepTradeCut to assess value, as no accurate ADP exists to judge value. This is the final position I’ll be evaluating, so you can read my analyses of the AFC RBs, NFC RBs, AFC QBs, NFC QBs, AFC WRs, and NFC WRs by clicking on their respective hyperlink. Let’s get into it with Prospective Dynasty TEs.
AFC NORTH
Pittsburgh Steelers:
Pat Freiermuth – Muth showed some promise early in his career, but I’m not gonna be moving any serious assets for a year-four player coming off a 6.4PPG season, anemic offense or not. 13.9% TS doesn’t excite me and he was overpriced when he came off his 19% TS season last year. His price never quite made him a desirable asset to hold. I’m selling or holding.
Cincinnati Bengals:
Mike Gesicki – Jag.
Baltimore Ravens:
Mark Andrews – Premium buy as the TE7. His 22.2% TS, while lower than in previous years, is still good for fourth among all tight ends. Capitalize on his injury-ridden season and people being wary about his age—Andrews is one of the best buys in all of Dynasty right now.
Cleveland Browns:
David Njoku – We finally got it—the Njoku breakout season. 21.5% TS and 12.6PPG, Njoku is still quite cheap as the Dynasty TE9. We’ll have to see if Cleveland and Njoku can capitalize on their 37.2 pass attempts/game and convert some of those attempts to completions (they ranked dead last in completion percentage at 58%). Their completion percentage should positively regress, but their pass attempts/game aren’t otherworldly, meaning we shouldn’t expect their rate to drop too much. All of this was to say—expect more high-quality passes coming Njoku’s way this season. Tentatively buy.
AFC SOUTH
Indianapolis Colts:
Kylen Granson – Jag.
Jacksonville Jaguars:
Evan Engram – This was the quietest 13.6PPG, 23.8% TS season I’ve ever seen. Now with a contract extension, Engram is an awesome buy at his price tag of TE13. Nothing seems fluky about this.
Houston Texans:
Dalton Schultz – A pretty middling TE who isn’t ever going to blow the doors off but is priced as the TE15, just below Engram and a few spots above Goedert, whom I’d easily rather have than Schultz.
Tennessee Titans:
Chigoziem Okonkwo – He’s had his chance to show something. Pass.
AFC EAST
Buffalo Bills:
Dalton Kincaid – A great rookie season in a great situation. Don’t overthink it—buy.
New York Jets:
Tyler Conklin – Jag.
Miami Dolphins:
Jonnu Smith – Jag.
New England Patriots:
Hunter Henry – Jag.
AFC WEST
Denver Broncos:
Greg Dulcich – Don’t forget how good Dulcich’s rookie season was just because of his injury-ridden sophomore showing. Nothing has dissuaded me from designating him as a sell—especially not his TE23 price tag. I’m scooping him up on as many teams as I can.
Kansas City Chiefs:
Travis Kelce – Kelce took a noticeable step back this season, so I’m ready to flip him for Andrews or Hockenson, or add a little on top to get to the McBride-LaPorta tier. It was a great run, but I’m not expecting a bounceback.
Las Vegas Raiders:
Michael Mayer – A less-than-stellar rookie season, but I’m not willing to cut him loose just yet given his prospect profile and draft capital (similar to Musgrave). His TE12 price tag makes him hard to stomach, however.
Los Angeles Chargers:
Will Dissly – Jag.
NFC NORTH
Chicago Bears:
Cole Kmet – Kmet finally showed a glimpse with a 19.3% TS season and 10.7PPG, but his price tag of TE14 for those numbers is very unattractive. I’m not designating him as a buy, but I’m keeping my eye on him.
Minnesota Vikings:
T.J. Hockenson – Don’t fall for takelock and fade Hockenson just because you have been for the last three seasons. He’s the TE4 on KTC and just delivered a TE1 overall season with a 24.3% TS (1st) and a 14.6PPG season (T1st with Travis Kelce). Sure, this is a weaker TE1 season than previous seasons and if his price tag was TE1, I’d be fading him too. He’s practically neck-and-neck with Mark Andrews and Travis Kelce on KTC anyway and he only 26. His price tag seems extremely reasonable—buy.
Green Bay Packers:
Luke Musgrave – He had a fine season for a normal rookie tight end, so his price tag of TE16 seems reasonable. I’m not expecting greatness, but with his prospect profile and draft capital, I’m not ready to cut loose just yet.
Detroit Lions:
Sam LaPorta – LaPorta is unquestionably the Dynasty TE1, but should you buy him at his current price (second-round startup value)? I think not. His peripherals and PPG weren’t drastically better than, say, Trey McBride’s to warrant his current price tag. The league’s collective tight end room is stronger than it’s been in recent years, meaning there aren’t just two or three tight ends that you need to be paying a premium for, so you shouldn’t with LaPorta. Surprisingly, I’m going to actually be marking LaPorta as a sell—pivot to McBride for a small plus or Andrews for a large plus.
NFC SOUTH
Atlanta Falcons:
Kyle Pitts – It’s finally happened—Kyle Pitts (and Drake London, for that matter) have a real quarterback and no Arthur Smith. This was Pitts’ worst season by far, but he’s only 23 and gave us a 27% TS season just one season ago. This past season, he was first in air yards, first in ADoT, and first in unrealized air yards. The only hair in the soup is that everyone knows this, as Pitts is back to the TE3 on KTC. I’m still buying, though.
New Orleans Saints:
Juwan Johnson – Mostly a jag, but he has a surprisingly high touchdown rate. In Bestball, I’d draft pick him up off waivers.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers:
Cade Otton – Jag.
Carolina Panthers:
Tommy Tremble – Jag.
NFC EAST
Philadelphia Eagles:
Dallas Goedert – Goedert is going to give you 9-11PPG with just above-average peripherals for the rest of his career. The quintessential low-end TE1. He’s cheaper than he’s been in a while, so I’m ready to dedicate him as a soft-buy/hold. As the TE18, there aren’t too many TEs after him who are younger and have a chance to exceed his production, so Goedert serves as a piece to tier up into the difference-making tight ends.
New York Giants:
Darren Waller – Waller is cooked, but he’s insanely cheap. If you can get him off waivers or in the 20th round of startups, I’d do that.
Washington Commanders:
Zach Ertz – Calling him a jag feels disrespectful to a pretty successful career, so instead I will say that if you’re drafting or trading for Ertz, you’re robbing the grave for 7PPG.
Dallas Cowboys:
Jake Ferguson – He is probably not good and it’s much more reasonable to expect that this year was a fluke rather than the norm. 16.9% TS doesn’t move the needle and his pricing as the TE11 is egregiously high. Sell.
NFC WEST
Arizona Cardinals:
Trey McBride – Buy, especially at his current price which is roughly a round of startup picks after Sam LaPorta. You’re not gonna get a discount on McBride like this again.
Los Angeles Rams:
Tyler Higbee – Jag.
San Francisco 49ers:
George Kittle – Kittle is riding off of name value alone and is almost 31 years old coming off a mere 12.7PPG season with a 21% TS. These would be great numbers if he was five years younger, but unless the 49ers see an injury to one of Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, or Christian McCaffrey, Kittle is going to be stuck playing fourth fiddle. I’d tier up from his TE10 price tag now, while he still retains some modicum of value.
Seattle Seahawks:
Noah Fant – Jag.
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