Now that the 2023 Dynasty season is coming to a close, it’s time to get a jump on the off-season. In this two-part article that I’ll be dividing into the AFC and NFC, I’ll examine the quarterback room of every team and give my opinion on whether to buy or sell. I’ll be using KeepTradeCut to assess value, as no accurate ADP exists to judge value. This is the second position I’ve evaluated, so you can read my analyses of the AFC RBs and NFC RBs by clicking on their respective hyperlinks. Let’s get into it with Prospective Dynasty QBs: AFC.
AFC NORTH
Cleveland Browns
QB1: Deshaun Watson: Unfortunately still a buy. While healthy, Watson dropped 18.2PPG (albeit in a sample size of five games) with 28.4 rushing yards/game, totaling 4PPG on the ground. 5.2 rush attempts/game puts him 9th in the league (minimum: 6 games), so his rushing ability isn’t sapped. While his passing left a lot to be desired, I’m sure his lingering shoulder injury didn’t help that. At the current discount (QB19, can be acquired for an early 2024 2nd-round pick), I’m still buying Deshaun, but I’m ready to be hurt again.
Expect bad juju, though.
Bonus! QB2: Joe Flacco: I hope you sold. However, it’s been an awesome ride.
Baltimore Ravens
QB1: Lamar Jackson: Dynasty QB4. It’s vindicating to see Lamar (presumably) prove everyone wrong this season and win the MVP by passing the ball. Permabuy.
Pittsburgh Steelers
QB1: Kenny Pickett: He’s terrible. Sell for whatever you can.
Cincinnati Bengals
QB1: Joe Burrow: I’d buy now before he gets back to 9500 KTC points. He’s properly priced currently.
AFC SOUTH
Tennessee Titans
QB1: Will Levis: I don’t think he’s it. I’ve never been a fan and I don’t plan to stick around and see if it works out. So far, he’s played like a 2nd-round pick.
Houston Texans
QB1: C.J. Stroud: Dynasty QB5. He’s shown us nothing that warrants being afraid going forward. Buy high.
Indianapolis Colts
QB1: Anthony Richardson: Before his injury, in his three healthy games he averaged 23.1PPG while rushing for 43.6 rushing yards/game and delivering a whopping 12.4PPG on the ground. Of course, these numbers will negatively regress (no one scores a rushing touchdown per game except Christian McCaffrey or Raheem Mostert), but the future is extremely bright for Richardson.
Jacksonville Jaguars
QB1: Trevor Lawrence: According to Filmbros, Lawrence is the ultimate DYKB (do you know ball) test. As an ABK (aspiring ball-knower), I will proclaim that Lawrence is certainly him, but for fantasy, I’m mostly concerned with rushing ability. In 16 games, he delivered 21.2 rushing yards/game and 4 touchdowns total, bringing his rushing PPG to 3.6. This isn’t the greatest, but it gives him a decent enough floor to be a low-end QB1 moving forward. Even in a down year, Lawrence still gave us 17.4PPG and he’s only 24. As a Josh Allen and Dak Prescott fan, the interceptions don’t bother me.
AFC EAST
New England Patriots
QB1: Mac Jones: It’s safe to say the Mac Jones experiment has ended.
Buffalo Bills
QB1: Josh Allen: Him. QB1. Never a doubt.
Miami Dolphins
QB1: Tua Tagovailoa: I’m pretty proud of myself for being in on Tua this year when most were out:
*Click image to see full tweet on X*
But the analysis is pretty much the same. We know exactly what we’re getting from Tua: a hyper-accurate statue who can feed talented wide receivers and game manage. He’s a more talented Brock Purdy in a slightly worse system (no offense Mike McDaniel, you simply will never be Kyle Shanahan). I still think he’s slightly overpriced (according to KTC, he’s worth more than Dak Prescott), but he’s probably a serviceable low-end QB1 going forward. I project a Kirk Cousins-esque career.
New York Jets
QB1: Aaron Rodgers: Priced as QB27, I’m buying Rodgers. At the high-end, this could be a Tom Brady in 2021 and 2022 scenario: cheap Geezer QB scores 20PPG and can be acquired for a future 3rd-round pick.
AFC WEST
Denver Broncos
QB1: Russell Wilson: I’m pretty sad about the fate of Wilson. It’s a damn shame it didn’t work out in Denver (for the Broncos and my 70% Wilson exposure). I think we should hold until his new situation reveals itself. Check back into DFF for a breakdown of his landing spot when he finds one.
Kansas City Chiefs
QB1: Patrick Mahomes: While he’s fallen from QB1, he’s still a top-three dynasty QB. If you can buy at a discount, I’d do it.
Las Vegas Raiders
QB1: ?: This is the only team in the AFC that I can say confidently has no starting QB currently. Aidan O’Connell and Jimmy Garoppolo are not it.
Los Angeles Chargers
QB1: Justin Herbert: Herbert is still him and he’s properly priced at QB7. Even in a down year marred by injury, he still scored 18.7PPG. Please get this man a real head coach.
Thanks so much for reading this series! For other informative Dynasty articles, make sure to stay tuned at Dynastyfootballfactory.com. If you liked this article, follow me on Twitter @716DFF, and the whole DFF team @DFF_Dynasty. Click here for all of my other articles, and have an amazing day! Cheers!
