How appropriate that as winter arrives my picks go on a cold streak. While we went an abysmal 5-9 on the week, the in-depth picks went 2-1 (almost 3-0 were it not for some Luton Magic) bringing those to 17-10 on the year. With 14 more games on the slate for Week 10, we’ll look to turn up the heat and get these picks cooking!
Against the Spread: NFL Week 10 Read More »
Each and every week, I’ll be covering a handful of players that I believe will either exceed expectations or let your team down in a major way. Here’s who you should be looking at for Week 10.
The last time we saw Carson Wentz, he didn’t look great. He turned the ball over four times against the Cowboys and threw for less than 150 yards. However, Wentz topped 21 fantasy points four times from Weeks 3 to 7. He already has 5 rushing TDs this season, and with Fulgham, Reagor, Jeffery, Goedert, and Sanders all expected to play in Week 10, he’ll have his best supporting cast of the season.
We’re getting down to it. For most leagues, there are only four weeks left in the regular season. Some of your leagues may have trade deadlines coming up, so it’s time to start taking extra time to look into remaining matchups for your key contributors. If you’ve locked in your playoff spot, now is the time to lock in those handcuffs and start thinking about matchups in those crucial playoff weeks. If you’re still on the bubble, you may need to swing big for a player who can produce now. You can’t win it all if you don’t even make the dance. Here are some players to buy and sell this week who could get you in, and maybe take you all the way.
This weekly article is focused on identifying players who are owned in less than 40% of redraft leagues. These players are going to help your team win this week and every week to come! We are looking for guys you should be able to plug into your starting lineup without hesitation. Be sure to check out all of our in-season content right here.
The Redraft Wire: Week 9 Read More »
It’s a wonderful time of the year! Young players have absorbed playbooks, have worked themselves into rotations, and have begun to show out. Maxx Crosby burst onto the scene in Week 9 of 2019, his rookie season, with 10 pressures of QB Philip Rivers on national television. Grady Jarrett emerged in Week 9 of his sophomore season on national television in Tampa, helping his Falcons to a Super Bowl berth following the 2016 season.
Raiding the IDP Waiver Wire: Week 10 Read More »
In this streaming article, I will provide you the best weekly options to stream quarterback, tight end, and D/ST. In each section, I’ll break down two streamers in detail, both of which will be under 50% owned, according to ESPN’s ownership percentage at the time of writing. Playing the matchups is a crucial feature of redraft fantasy football, and especially in a crazy 2020 season, active fantasy owners will have a massive advantage.
Earlier in the season, I wrote a piece on the projected win totals for both the AFC and NFC teams. With Week 8 behind us, I wanted to take some time to review our season-long win total bets and offer some opinions on where I believe each team is headed moving forward. This article will focus on the AFC teams.
While most books do not have updated win total bets, there are still plenty of season-long options to take including division winner, conference winner, and whether a team will make the playoffs. Hopefully, this article can give you some guidance on making these mid-season bets!
AFC Mid-Season Check-in Read More »
Earlier in the season, I wrote a piece on the projected win totals for both the AFC and NFC teams. With Week 8 behind us, I wanted to take some time to review our season-long win total bets and offer some opinions on where I believe each team is headed moving forward. This article will focus on the NFC teams.
While most books do not have updated win total bets, there are still plenty of season-long options to take including division winner, conference winner, and whether a team will make the playoffs. Hopefully, this article can give you some guidance on making these mid-season bets!
NFC Mid-Season Check-in Read More »
In this article, I’ll be breaking down all eleven matchups*, sharing my thoughts on player prices** and stacking opportunities. As you read, please note that the player names in bold are what I consider my “core” players or guys that I’m sliding into a large percentage of my lineups. Oh, and if you’re new to DFS, you should check out my DFS Tips and Tricks article here.
*At the time of this writing, there are still a number of injury situations that have yet to be resolved.
**All player prices referenced are from FanDuel.
Paul’s Picks: DFS Week 9 Read More »
Welcome to part two of my weekly publication! As always, part one of this publication is my weekly picks against the spread, with a deep dive into three picks that I feel will provide a nice payout to bettors. In part two, I look at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense. In addition, I will also make one “Longshot Pick of the Week”. This pick will always feature a more difficult bet that has a greater than 2:1 payout. The odds may be tougher, but if you’re into some fun player props take a peek!
NFL Player Props: Week 9 Read More »
In this weekly article, I’m going to look ahead to the following week. I’ll point out a few players below 40% owned on ESPN who have strong matchups next week that you can pick up ahead of time to beat the waiver run. I’ll also try and get ahead of breakouts that could happen in the current week, as predicting breakouts is the best way to save your FAAB budget. With added IR spots in most leagues, you can also shift injured players there, opening up a roster spot for these options. Since most of these additions will occur on the weekend, I’ll exclude any players from the Thursday night game, as you won’t be able to add them to your rosters. This season more than any other, it’s essential to remain active and stay ahead of your league mates. I hope you find value in this column and that it helps you succeed on a week-to-week basis.
Looking Ahead to Week 10 Read More »
WHAT WE LEARNED THIS WEEK The Miami Dolphins did it again. A few weeks after dominating the 49ers, the Dolphins destroyed Jared Goff and company to beat the Rams 28-17. The defense and special teams produced two interceptions, two fumble recoveries, two sacks, and two touchdowns to lead Miami to victory. Players who made important IDP
IDP Wrap Up: Week 8 Read More »
We sometimes talk too much in hypotheticals in this piece, so let’s talk about a real trade that went down this week. I dealt David Montgomery and CeeDee Lamb for Tyler Boyd and Le’Veon Bell. My point here is not to talk about myself, but to discuss the process of how the trade came together. Montgomery was a solid if uninspiring piece who was burning a hole on my bench. After losing OBJ to injury and taking hits on both Lamb and DeVante Parker due to quarterback changes, I needed a solid WR to complement my RB-heavy team. I looked up a number of rest-of-season rankings to see what WRs were in the Montgomery area and found that Boyd was right there. This is where I had to read the room.
Each and every week, I’ll be covering a handful of players that I believe will either exceed expectations or let your team down in a major way. Here’s who you should be looking at for Week 9. Sterling Shepard immediately became Daniel Jones’ favorite target when he returned to the lineup in Week 7. In the past two weeks, he’s been targeted 8 and 10 times, respectively, for 133 yards and a TD. Shepard will be a flex-worthy option in all PPR formats for as long as he can maintain this volume.
Wow. That’s all I have to say about the absolute disaster of a season for the reigning NFC champions. While the Packers are dealing with some COVID-related absences of their own, their issues seem largely relegated to their running back room. Even though the team will miss Aaron Jones, Jamaal Williams, and AJ Dillon, those absences pale in comparison to the mess that is the 49ers. Provided that the virus does not spread further (and the game actually goes ahead as scheduled) give me the Packers with confidence.
Against the Spread: NFL Week 9 Read More »
Wilkins’ offensive snap share spiked to 51% in Week 8 as he led the team in rushing attempts over Nyheim Hines and rookie darling Jonathan Taylor. He took 20 carries for 89 yards. Wilkins didn’t have a breakout game or anything but proved he could be more effective than Taylor who everyone expected to overtake the lead role at some point this season. That simply hasn’t happened and Wilkins could be in line for a whole bunch of work going forward.
The Redraft Wire: Week 8 Read More »
If you follow this column, then you know I didn’t have my best week weeding out pretenders in the box scores of Week 7. In Week 8, Chiefs safety Daniel Sorensen played more snaps than fellow safety Juan Thornhill for the first time since opening day when Thornhill was returning from injury. Is 30-year-old Sorensen just now turning into a good player? He now has nine tackles and a turnover in each of his last two games. More importantly, he tied for the team lead in snaps.
Raiding the IDP Waiver Wire: Week 9 Read More »
In this streaming article, I will provide you the best weekly options to stream quarterback, tight end, and D/ST. In each section, I’ll break down two streamers in detail, both of which will be under 50% owned, according to ESPN’s ownership percentage at the time of writing. Playing the matchups is a crucial feature of redraft fantasy football, and especially in a crazy 2020 season, active fantasy owners will have a massive advantage. I also want to provide added value for each type of streamer this season. I’ll highlight any players from 50-60% owned in each section if they’re superior options to both of my streaming candidates at that specific position. Those players are “probably owned,” but they could be out there in 10-team or shallower formats. I won’t offer analysis on these players, just the names and matchups.
If neither of my two suggested streamers is under 25% ownership percentage, I will give a “super-deep” option. That feature should help those owners playing in deeper leagues with few waiver-wire options. Like the “probably owned” players, I’ll list the players without analysis. I realize that all leagues are different, and I want to accommodate all of my readers.
As always, part one of this publication is my weekly picks against the spread, with a deep dive into three picks that I feel will provide a nice payout to bettors. In part two, I look at three player props that I feel have a strong chance of paying out. This article will run the gamut and will include bets such as ‘passing yard totals’, ‘first player to score’, and even ‘total tackles’ for those who love defense.
In addition, I will also make one “Longshot Pick of the Week”. This pick will always feature a more difficult bet that has a greater than 2:1 payout. The odds may be tougher, but if you’re into some fun player props take a peek!
NFL Player Props – Week 8 Read More »
In this article, I’ll be breaking down all eleven matchups* from Week 8, sharing my thoughts on player prices** and stacking opportunities. As you read, please note that the player names in bold are what I consider my “core” players or guys that I’m sliding into a large percentage of my lineups. Oh, and if you’re new to DFS, you should check out my DFS Tips and Tricks article here.
*At the time of this writing, there are still a number of injury situations that have yet to be resolved.
**All player prices referenced are from FanDuel.
Paul’s Picks: DFS Week 8 Read More »
