Dynasty Analysis
In startup drafts, I believe it’s best to focus on RBs with contingent value in the later rounds, as it’s much more likely that these backups will hit your starting lineup than someone like Alec Pierce or Cedric Tillman. It only takes one injury for handcuff RBs to catapult into bell cow roles and potentially league-winning roles for your fantasy team. The 70th-best WR or 25th-best TE is much less likely to give you viable productivity during the season; too much would have to go right for them. As an example, Cedric Tillman (the current WR69, according to Bulletproofff.com) would need multiple injuries to the Browns’ receiving corps to see consistent targets in 2023. Even then, it would be unreasonable to expect Tillman to replicate the production of Amari Cooper.
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The running back situation for Dynasty is in a state of utter chaos. Dynasty contenders are shaking in their boots as Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs, Austin Ekeler, Tony Pollard and Dalvin Cook are each embroiled in separate contract disputes. There are talks from their camps of hold-outs looming. When in situations like this, I ask myself what would Warren Buffet do if he was in my Dynasty league. Well, I am pretty sure he would be saturating the market with lowball trade offers for Barkley, Ekeler, Pollard, and Jacobs.
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Welcome back, DFF family! On the docket today, I wanted to discuss Dynasty strategy as it pertains to buy-in size. Dynasty leagues have differing annual dues, so strategy should be tailored to the specific buy-in cost of each league. “High stakes” is a relative term. I consider this to be annual dues of $100 or more. For others, this may be $50, $250, $500…you get the point. However you categorize your small buy-in vs. big money leagues is fine. The purpose of this article is simply to get you thinking about how strategy should change depending on the buy-in requirement each season. Many fantasy owners take the same approach for all the leagues they play in, which is not necessarily wrong, but I choose to go about things differently. Let me explain what I mean.
After dreams of DeAndre Hopkins becoming a member of either the Kansas City Chiefs or Buffalo Bills, we must now face the reality that DeAndre Hopkins will be a member of the Tennessee Titans in 2023. Being from Nashville myself, my news feed has tons of photo edits of him wearing the number 10 jersey in the two-tone blue. Opinions are all over the place as this is one player changing teams that is a massive challenge to evaluate on a dime. An offense centered around Derrick Henry doesn’t present itself as the most wide receiver-friendly offense from a fantasy football perspective. We also have the memories of WRs like Randy Moss, Andre Johnson, and Julio Jones coming to the Titans at the end of their careers to put up minimal production. So much to unpack here with this signing. Not only how the Titans impact DeAndre Hopkins but also how Hopkins impacts the rest of the Titans players.
Originally a four-star EDGE defender recruit coming out of high school, Cameron Latu signed with Alabama in 2018 and redshirted. During the latter half of the 2019 season, Latu navigated a position change from EDGE to TE. His first two seasons of statistics are, thus, left out of his collegiate production below. Latu played in 12 games as a reserve for the 2020 National Champion Crimson Tide but did not record any receptions. In 2021, he beat out Jahleel Billingsley and other highly-touted TE recruits to earn the starting TE position for the Tide. He started 14 in 2021, catching 26 passes for 410 yards and eight TDs (Alabama TE record). He started 11 games for Alabama in 2022, grabbing 30 receptions for 377 yards and four TDs.
The Dynasty landscape is ever-changing and shifting depending on rule changes in the NFL, scheme changes around the league, position groups fading out, and then resurging through youth and the NFL Draft. I noticed a fairly drastic shift in the value of running backs while working through a few Dynasty and Devy startups this off-season.
What’s up, DFF Army, and welcome to a brand new series here and on the DFF YouTube channel. For those of you who don’t know, I am part of the DFF rankings team, and in this series, I will be giving you guys a closer look into our member-exclusive DFF consensus rankings.
Decades ago, Neil Diamond wrote a catchy earworm melody that eventually became the song ”I’m a Believer”, and it was subsequently performed by numerous artists over the years. Today, I am here to address one of the more polarizing players in Dynasty as the plaintiff representing Mr. Daniel Jones. You could say, “I’m a believer” and with this article, I will present the facts to hopefully turn you into one as well. After you deliberate, you can be the judge and jury and make your own decision on whether you are in or out on Jones.
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DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @WillieBeamanDFF!
Hello DFF members, today I will be continuing my series where I break down the current wide receiver market in Dynasty one ADP tier at a time. If you did not read part one, you can find it here. I recommend reading that first as it introduces and explains all the stats I will reference in this article. But, without further ado, let’s dive into where I left off.
Being a late bloomer, Watson was not heavily recruited in high school. He graduated at 6’2″, growing another two inches in college. Watson had a significant growth spurt between his junior and senior seasons, gaining 20 lbs. Because of this, he didn’t get significant playing time until his senior year, where he posted modest numbers of 23 receptions, 393 yards, and eight TDs. North Dakota State offered Watson a scholarship, and Watson stayed in the FCS program for all four years. His most impressive campaign was his senior season, posting 43 receptions, 801 yards, and 7 TDs. As a senior, he also tacked on 15 rush attempts for 114 yards and one TD. Watson was consistently used in the running game for the Bisons since his sophomore season.
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DFF TV presents another ~FREE~ episode of “The Factory Tour” with host @Paul_DFF and special guest @ChrisMiles1017!
Hello, fellow Dynasty leaguers! In this series I will be going through the top-48 WRs in Dynasty, providing stats and insight on them. The WR market can be hard to pick apart because there are so many players in so many situations and so many factors in play. Here I will try to help make it easier by giving my thoughts on some players I find interesting and maybe it can help you navigate the market and find some values. When considering WR Dynasty value there are three main things I look at: a path to accruing value, immediate projectable production, and value insulation. These three things can be applied to every player and I use them often to compare who I value more. To do this I will be using BulletProof ADP and separating the players into tiers. Let’s dive right in with the first tier.
Brenton Strange was a four-star recruit coming out of high school who redshirted for Penn State in 2019, after playing in two games and making one catch (a four-yard touchdown pass from Will Levis, who later transferred to Kentucky). Strange earned five starts in nine games played during the 2020 Covid-season, catching 17 passes for 164 yards and two TDs. He started all 13 games for the Nittany Lions in 2021, grabbing 20 receptions for 225 yards and three TDs. Strange earned third-team All-Big Ten Conference honors as a junior, recording 32 receptions for 362 yards and scoring five times in 13 starts.
A crucial component to Dynasty football success is your ability to win trades and put your team in a better position to compete now or in the future. The “art of trading” is often overlooked by Dynasty owners, which can lead to frustrating experiences during negotiation. Taking the time to master the art of trading could pay dividends in your Dynasty league, and I’m here to provide you with a few tips to help hone those skills. So sit tight, enjoy, and let’s get ready to win some fantasy football leagues.
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Welcome back, Dynasty family! I wanted to mix it up today and review a few real trades in my Dynasty leagues this off-season. I’ll show you the trade results and give you my thoughts, breaking down each trade, and letting you know who I think came out on top. I’ll also provide you with the basic league format for each trade, which helps us to see the complete picture. So let’s jump right into our first trade!
The off-season is a great time to garner expectations for players entering the new season. There is plenty of data available to tell us what we might be able to expect from most players each season. With rookies, however, it can be much more challenging. We have much less to go off of, and having zero NFL information makes it especially difficult. But we should not get discouraged and give up. We must use what we have to formulate reasonable opinions on what might happen! This way, we can efficiently evaluate these players in both Dynasty and Redraft leagues. Today, I will cover Jordan Addison and what to do with him in Dynasty and upcoming Redraft leagues.
As we inch closer to training camp, the fantasy hive-mind begins sorting out how they feel rosters and depth charts will settle by the time we get the regular season. Some spots are easy. Patrick Mahomes will be the QB1 for the Kansas City Chiefs. Some spots are much trickier. The New York Giants WR room is one of the trickiest in the league. A combination of middling veterans and unproven youth cause this group to be underwhelming. Despite no true superstars, someone will have to catch passes from Daniel Jones. Who will it be? Knowing the answer now will give you a massive edge over your league mates.
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