Dynasty

Jalen coker

My Early-Season Fantasy Football Misses

Dynasty / By /

Nobody has a perfect hit rate in fantasy, and anyone who claims they do is lying. At DFF, we believe being transparent about our misses is important. It’s the first step in learning from mistakes and improving our process. 

That’s why, in today’s article, I’ll be diving into my early-season misses and the lessons I’ve learned (if any) through a dynasty lens. Dynasty calls for more patience than redraft; just because someone has failed to produce through three weeks or dominated early doesn’t mean they’ll be the same player for years to come. So let’s figure out whether it’s time to hit the panic button.

Colston Loveland (TE – CHI)

I’ve been part of the Loveland hive since his early days at Michigan. He displays the play strength to play in-line, has velcro hands, and moves like a wide receiver. There’s a reason I have 33% Loveland ownership across all my fantasy leagues; I took him over Tyler Warren in every single rookie draft I was in last year.

Well, it’s been a nightmare start to the season for the former Wolverine, sitting with only one reception in two games. His 2026 per-route numbers include a 6.3% target rate and 0.05 yards per route run. (How is that even possible?) To everyone’s surprise, Kalif Raymond is leading the charge at wide receiver, and HC Ben Johnson is even drawing up plays for Sam Rousch. Odd. 

While my Loveland teams have gotten off to a slow start, I’m not panicking yet. Loveland is the TE4 overall in snap rate and TE6 in route participation. He’s a full-time player with real receiving skills, and the big games are coming. I’ve dropped Loveland a bit in my overall dynasty ranks, but he does remain as my TE3 overall. 

Jalen Coker (WR – CAR)

I specifically remember saying in our DFF Discord this offseason that Jalen Coker was a JAG, and that it was tough to envision a scenario where your team is a true contender and Coker is an every-week starter. Boy was I wrong. Shout-out to DFF analyst @Paul_Ryan15, who was bullish on Coker since this summer. 

In Coker’s last four games (dating back to last year), he’s averaging 9 targets, 8 receptions, 85 receiving yards, and 1 touchdown per game. That’s about 22 PPR points per game. Bryce Young appears to be the real deal, and this passing offense is consolidated between two guys: Coker and Tetairoa McMillan. 

I’ve been trying to buy Coker recently, but nobody is selling. And frankly, I don’t blame them. A four-game sample isn’t massive, but it also suggests this is no fluke. He’s moved up to my WR31 overall in dynasty. I’m not sure there was a major lesson to be learned here, other than that a clear top-two option in an offense trending upwards deserved more of my attention, even if Coker was a UDFA and a modest producer in the past. I’ll be interested to see how this passing offense fares against some better defense as the season progresses. 

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dak prescott

Last Week In Fantasy: Week 2

Dynasty / By /

Week 2 was dominated by injuries, and unfortunately, that comes with the territory. But with Week 3 just a day away (or already here, depending on when this finds you), let’s dig into some Week 2 stats and see if we can find an edge on our leaguemates.

Arizona Cardinals: Marvin Harrison Jr. has a combined four targets through two games and has scored fewer than five fantasy points. Among 103 receivers with 25 or more routes, he ranks 100th in target rate. I’m sitting Harrison until further notice.

Stash! Really, I’d be selling low at this point, but his price is too low for what he could be if he ever reaches his potential.

Atlanta Falcons: Drake London must have Drake London on his fantasy team, because he was not happy on Sunday. Just ask the fan he got into it with. Michael Penix Jr. takes over the offense this week, and things can only go up from here. In 2025, with Penix at QB, Bijan Robinson averaged 22.7 PPG, London averaged 19.5 PPG, and Kyle Pitts averaged 13 PPG. New coaching staff, sure, but the talent hasn’t gone anywhere.

Buy Atlanta players before they blow up.

Baltimore Ravens: Mark Andrews has six or more targets in back-to-back games, and with Isaiah Likely and Charlie Kolar gone, the tight end room is all his. Zay Flowers already missed Week 2 and could miss again this week. Rashod Bateman is Andrews’ only real competition for targets, and Andrews will continue to eat.

Buy Andrews in every format if you’re contending.

Buffalo Bills: Josh Allen looks like he’s going to break fantasy this year, and Dalton Kincaid looks to be the main beneficiary. Kincaid has 225 receiving yards through two games and is currently the TE2 on an offense that has scored 35 or more points in back-to-back weeks.

Buy all the Kincaid you can, and grab Dawson Knox too. He’s a formidable backup in case of injury.

Carolina Panthers: Bryce Young has back-to-back games with three touchdown passes, but the real story is Chuba Hubbard. With Jonathon Brooks headed for core muscle surgery and at least six weeks on IR, Hubbard is in line for even more work. He’s averaging 17.5 PPG. Keep an eye on Austin Ekeler, who’s working out for Carolina this week.

Buy HIGH on Hubbard and this much-improved Panthers offense.

Chicago Bears: Colston Loveland continues to disappoint, and with Caleb Williams out, who knows what to make of the Bears’ skill players. I’m still starting Loveland one more week in hopes of a big game.

Stash! Everyone is probably trying to buy low, so holding is the way to go for now.

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mhj

4 Biggest Dynasty Storylines in Week 3

Dynasty / By /

After a high-scoring Week 1, Week 2 was defined by defenses bouncing back and Caleb Williams memes. Week 3 sees the NFL return to Brazil, the return of Michael Penix, and the Browns’ home opener. Oh, and Deshaun Watson will still be the starter. 

Let’s dive into the biggest dynasty storylines in Week 3. 

Quarterback Injury Crisis 

The dynasty superflex quarterback streets are grim. It’s tough out here. Case Keenum has been picked up from the waiver wire. In Week 2, Jaxson Dart, Jayden Daniels, and Caleb Williams went down with injuries. At the time of writing, Jaxson Dart could miss the entire season with a knee injury, Jayden Daniels is seeking specialist advice on how to stop falling to pieces (200g protein and 5g creatine could be a start); and Caleb Williams has replaced JJ McCarthy as the meme du jour. 

With Kyler Murray and Michael Penix set to return to action, we will have four backup quarterbacks starting in Week 3. In one of my leagues, I had to start Deshaun Watson. I know. I had to take a long shower afterwards. I ended up losing to a Davante Adams 40 piece which, at least as far as I’m concerned, is proof of karma.

A backup quarterback is typically a harbinger of doom for your fantasy studs.  

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emanuel wilson

Dynasty Stashes – Week 3

Dynasty / By /

Emanuel Wilson (RB – SEA)

I looked at the box score, and my jaw nearly dropped when I saw how many carries Emanuel Wilson had in Week 2. In just his second game with the Seahawks, he carried the rock 21 times, a number that Kenneth Walker — you know, the reigning Super Bowl MVP — hadn’t reached in a regular-season game with Seattle since Week 6 of 2023. Wild stuff. 

Now, most of Wilson’s work came in garbage time with Seattle blowing out a hapless Arizona team. Still, that type of workload warrants attention, especially with rookie Jadarian Price dealing with a shoulder injury. If he can’t go this week, Wilson could be a sneak RB2 start against a Washington defense that currently ranks 26th in EPA/play (0.09), per SumerSports data.

If you are dealing with injuries at the running back position, grab Wilson, who’s available in roughly 60% of leagues on Sleeper. Seattle is a team that wants to win with tough defense and a physical rushing attack. Against an 0-2 Commanders team missing their starting quarterback, we could see a similar game script to last week. 

That could mean another 15-plus carries for Wilson in a next-man-up role. 

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mariota

Dynasty Data Trendz: Week 2

Dynasty / By /

Fantasy point production is not always the best predictor of future fantasy point production. One blown coverage or short touchdown can instantly make a player’s otherwise pedestrian week look great for fantasy..

This is where usage trends come in. A player’s usage is a better predictor of what kind of future fantasy production we should expect. You can use this to target Dynasty owners who may be otherwise disenchanted with a low macro fantasy output, while you know the underlying factors are healthy. On the other hand, you can also utilize usage trends to see which players may have a concerning trend relative to their historical valuation that you may want to consider trading.

*Data Sources: PFF, Fantasy Pros, NFL Pro, Next Gen Stats*

1. Bryce Young Fantasy PPG by year

2023 – 10.4
2024 – 14.6
2025 – 14.3
2026 – 32.4  !!!!!

2. Target Share Leaders through Week 2

Jaxon Smith-Njigba – 44.0%
Parker Washington – 36.7%
Justin Jefferson – 35.7%
Amon-Ra St. Brown – 35.1%
DeVonta Smith – 33.9%
Davante Adams – 28.1%
CeeDee Lamb – 27.9%
Christian Watson – 27.5%
Chris Olave – 27.4%
Jalen Coker – 27.3%
Tetairoa McMillan – 27.3%

3. Could we see the first-ever 40% target share season from JSN this year? He currently sits at a staggering 44%.

4. From a Dynasty buy standpoint, Christian Watson is very interesting. Watson has always been a premier yards-per-route, run performer. However, he has never been a premier target earner. When you combine those two, you get a WR1. He is priced as the WR27 by the Dynasty community on Keep Trade Cut. 

5. I wrote this in last week’s article: “I would be buying Stefon Diggs as a contender. He is probably the best option you can get for a 3rd that will be a reliable starter. Jayden Daniels was running for his life. Diggs is a reliable quick outlet, whereas McLaurin is a downfield threat.” Diggs obliged with a stout 21.7 fantasy points in Week 2.

6. In case you had any reservations about Parker Washington. Remove them. He is 100% the real deal, Holyfield.

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Jonah Coleman 2

My Name is Jonah Coleman!

Dynasty / By /

Denver Broncos rookie running back Jonah Coleman offers immediate volume upside and a high-floor, three-down upside profile. A real opportunity for playing time opened up for Jonah after hamstring injuries to both J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey. Lightning struck twice in the same week, benefiting the next guy up: Jonah Coleman.

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Indianapolis Colts

Dynasty Buy and Sell: Week 2

Dynasty / By /

It’s that time of year when teams start to show who’s built for the long haul and who’s running on fumes. Bye weeks are hitting hard, injuries are piling up, and depth starts to matter. Every move from here on out counts. That’s where we make our money: finding those buy windows before they slam shut and moving off guys right before the drop comes. With that, let’s dive right into my top four “buys” and “sells” from a Dynasty perspective following Week 2.  

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colston loveland

4 Biggest Dynasty Storylines Heading into Week Two

Dynasty / By /

Week One is officially in the books. After over 200 days of waiting, Week One lived up to expectations as offenses and fantasy stalwarts put up some huge numbers. Of course, there were some duds. The less said about Colston Loveland’s goose egg, the better. Especially on a day the Bears scored 59 points. I’m not bitter, I promise. 

Here are the biggest dynasty storylines heading into Week Two. 

Year Two Quarterbacks 

One of the most intriguing NFL subplots is the 2025 quarterback class. Whilst Cam Ward didn’t have the collegiate equity of a Joe Burrow or Trevor Lawrence, he was a lock at No.1 for a Titans team in desperate need of a quarterback. Ward struggled in Year One, ranking bottom 3 in both EPA/dropback and CPOE, but the offensive environment was bad. In Week One against the Jets, Ward’s struggles continued as the Titans logged under 200 yards of offense. 

Cam Ward’s struggles were highlighted by both Jaxson Dart and Tyler Shough. Both put together strong performances against some admittedly bad defenses. Shough leads the NFL in passing yards, whilst Dart delivered arguably his most accomplished performance. The Giants ranked in the 95th percentile in EPA / play and success rate. 

Heading into Week Two, Ward faces another stern test against the Eagles. Meanwhile, Shough and Dart go on the road to the Ravens and the Rams, respectively. 

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Jeremiyah Love

Last Week In Fantasy: Week 1

Dynasty / By /

Week 1 of the NFL season is in the rearview mirror, but fantasy season is finally back, baby! We’ve made our bets, and while we still have time to see which ones will cash and which ones we hope to parlay into a better one, now is the time to see if we were right, wrong, or just early. To help with that, I’m introducing my new weekly article, “Last Week In Fantasy” — a piece that filters through the data, stats, and news across all 32 teams every week to help you decide if a player is a Buy, Sell, or Stash!

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rocket sanders (1)

Dynasty Stashes – Week 2

Dynasty / By /

Raheim Sanders (RB – CLE)

If Raheim “Rocket” Sanders wasn’t scooped up in your league’s initial waiver run this week, make sure you grab him. With Dylan Sampson now on IR with a knee injury, Sanders steps into the RB2 role behind Quinshon Judkins.

We saw Sanders get some work at the end of last year when Judkins went down with an injury. In the final three games, he toted the rock 24 times for 89 scoreless yards and caught three passes for 21 yards. 

Worst case, Sanders takes over Sampson’s pass-catching role, which is what we saw on Sunday. The second-year back caught all three of his targets for 25 yards against the Jaguars. 

Given Cleveland’s offensive environment, Sanders won’t have much standalone value unless Judkins is sidelined for any reason. But there’s some talent here. He rushed for over 1,400 yards at Arkansas in 2022. As a senior at South Carolina, he amassed 1,197 total yards, caught 27 passes, and found pay dirt 13 times. Sanders also ran a 4.46 40-yard dash at roughly 220 pounds. 

That combination of size and athleticism makes him worth stashing for the contingent upside alone.

Roman Wilson (WR – PIT)

In the future, rookie Germie Bernard might be a stud. But if Sunday’s usage is any indication of how the snaps are going to shake out, then he might not be a thing this season. 

Roman Wilson might be, though. After a couple of years of being an afterthought for the Steelers, it looks like he’s finally involved in the passing attack. 

Wilson played 55% of the snaps and received the most targets he’s ever seen in a game in his young career: six. He finished the day catching three for 26 yards, but his day could’ve been much, much better. 

He beat A.J. Terrell on a go ball that should’ve been a 65-yard touchdown. Wilson had a clean release off the line and stacked Terrell down the field, forcing the corner to interfere and essentially tackle Wilson rather than give up the long score.

Wilson also dropped a 40-plus-yard score at the end of the first half. Granted, he had a defender draped all over him, but the deep ball hit Wilson right in the hands, and he should’ve caught it.

If either of those plays hit, we’re talking about Wilson being a must-roster player in all formats rather than a deep dynasty stash. Funny how small the margins are. 

Go grab him if he’s still out there in the available player pool. Aaron Rodgers talked up Wilson throughout the offseason and backed up that praise in Week 1 with a few deep shots that should’ve resulted in touchdowns.

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Kalif Raymond

Dynasty Data Trendz: Week 1

All Access, Dynasty / By /

Fantasy point production is not always the best predictor of future fantasy point production. One blown coverage or short touchdown can instantly make a player’s otherwise pedestrian week look great for fantasy. This is where usage trends come in. A player’s usage is a better predictor of what kind of future fantasy production we should expect. You can use this to target Dynasty owners who may be otherwise disenchanted with a low macro fantasy output, while you know the underlying factors are healthy. On the other hand, you can also utilize usage trends to see which players may have a concerning trend relative to their historical valuation that you may want to consider trading.

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drake london

Dynasty Buy and Sell: Week 1

Dynasty / By /

It’s that time of year when teams start to show who’s built for the long haul and who’s running on fumes. The bye weeks are hitting hard, injuries are piling up, and depth starts to matter. Every move from here on out counts. That’s where we make our money: finding those buy windows before they slam shut and moving off guys right before the drop comes. With that, let’s dive right into my top four “buys” and “sells” from a dynasty perspective following Week 1. 

Buys

Dak Prescott (QB – DAL) – Not going to be in many low-scoring games this year. The defense doesn’t look any better. Should throw at least 2 touchdowns weekly.

Quinshon Judkins (RB – CLE) – They were getting blown out most of the game, and the Jaguars made sure to stop the run. He has 12 carries for 33 yards and 2 catches for 17 yards. Not great by any means, but the touches will be there in games that are not blowouts.

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Brock Bowers

The Assembly Line, Vol. 4: Dynasty Football Factory Newsletter

All Access, Dynasty / By /

Week 1 is FINALLY here, and with two games already in the books, Sunday can’t get here fast enough! The Game of the Week has to be Western Michigan and Michigan. I mean, a last-second (2nd?) Hail Mary; it doesn’t get any better than that…but did Western Michigan get cheated out of a win? Injuries have taken their toll on some big names already, but it’s too early to panic.

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Cam Ward

4 Biggest Dynasty Story Lines Heading into Week 1

Dynasty / By /

Welcome to a new weekly column where I run through the biggest Dynasty storylines week to week. We’re going to cover a lot of different angles over the next 18 weeks. It won’t always be pretty. But, by God, we have missed it. Without further ado, let’s dive in. 

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5 Dynasty Buy-Low Candidates Before Week 1

All Access, Dynasty / By /

We are a handful of days away from the start of the 2026 NFL Season, and betting on Pro Football Moneylines for those of you who dabble. And, boy, I think we deserve it. No more rumours. No more camp clips. No more rookie hype. It’s time. Now, any diligent dynasty manager would have completed his business a long time ago. But, like an English Premier League Club on Transfer Deadline Day, it’s not too late to get some last-minute deals over the line. Here are some of my favorite buy-low candidates heading into the season.

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