Dynasty

tucker

One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Las Vegas Raiders Edition

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to my ‘One Question’ series, and as always, thank you to everyone who read last week’s edition — are you buying or selling RJ Harvey? As we round up our final team in the AFC West, we make our way to Las Vegas (fun fact: I’ve never been, have you?). #RaiderNation has a lot to be excited about this season. They drafted their quarterback of the future (hopefully) in Fernando Mendoza (QB – LV), hired a Super Bowl-winning offensive guru as their new head coach in Klint Kubiak, have one of — if not — the best tight end in football in Brock Bowers (TE – LV), and last but certainly not least they have a STUD running back waiting to be unleashed in Ashton Jeanty (RB – LV).

My question to the Raiders: Can we trust any Raiders wide receiver in fantasy?

Although the 2025 season was a disaster for the Raiders, they did attempt to improve their offense for then-quarterback Geno Smith (QB – NYJ) when they drafted running back Ashton Jeanty (RB – LV), used two third-round picks on offensive linemen, and addressed wide receiver by drafting Jack Bech (WR – LV) out of TCU in the second round and Dont’e Thornton Jr. (WR – LV) out of Tennessee in the fourth round. As we know, the Raiders’ offense was one of the worst in the NFL, and it only took 11 games before the Raiders decided to part ways with offensive coordinator Chip Kelly. It’s hard to judge the Raiders’ wide receivers off of last season’s outcome, but the Raiders have signaled how they feel about the position this year.

The Raiders were one of the teams heavily pursuing Alec Pierce (WR – IND), and it was reported that Las Vegas was the most aggressive team seeking his services. Pierce eventually re-signed with Indianapolis, becoming the highest-paid wide receiver free agent in NFL history — and that was after he took less money than he was offered from other teams.

After missing out on Pierce, the Raiders signed veteran wide receiver Jalen Nailor (WR – LV). While Nailor isn’t the most exciting player, the Raiders needed a veteran presence, and he is a professional receiver who showed flashes of potential his last two years in Minnesota, scoring a combined 10 touchdowns in 2024 and 2025 in a limited role (per Sleeper).

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nabers

Training Camp News and Injuries: Fantasy Impact

Dynasty / By /

Football is back, baby! With training camp officially underway for all 32 NFL teams, our timelines are once again flooded with on-the-field news and highlight plays. It can be tough to keep tabs on everything and decipher what matters vs. what doesn’t in dynasty, which is why I’ve put together this breakdown for you. 

Below, you’ll see the top headlines from training camp as of August 1st, dynasty impact, and my personal take on the news. 

Stock-Up Players

Malik Nabers (WR – NYG) – Last time we saw Nabers, he was limping to first place in a celebrity softball game. We were receiving nothing but ominous news regarding his ACL recovery early this summer, but things have turned around since then. He’s avoided the training camp PUP list and looks to be at full health running routes in camp. If Nabers plays Week 1 and gets off to a hot start, he could easily be back in the conversation for dynasty WR1 overall by midseason. 

Deebo Samuel (WR – SF) – Deebo is back with his former team, following the injury news on Ricky Pearsall. With Pearsall potentially out for the year and Christian Kirk dealing with calf issues, San Francisco needed to shore up this wide receiver room somehow. Add in Jordan James suffering fractured ribs, and Deebo could be back in the classic “Deebo” role in 2026. The question is whether or not he’s completely washed. Either way, 2026 will likely be his last usable season for fantasy. I’ve moved him up, but only marginally. He may be a good sell-high candidate now. 

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RJ Harvey

One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Denver Broncos Edition

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to my ‘One Question’ series, and thank you to everyone who read my piece on the Kansas City Chiefs — are you buying or selling Travis Kelce (TE – KC) in 2026? We’re staying in the AFC West, which looks to be a division filled with players that we all want for fantasy, and this week’s team is no different. Let’s take a look at the Denver Broncos, who are fresh off a season in which they made it to the AFC Championship Game and added former Miami Dolphins wide receiver Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) this offseason to bolster their wide receiver room in a blockbuster trade. Even with Bo Nix (QB – DEN) returning from an ankle injury he suffered in the AFC Divisional Game, all arrows are pointing up for Nix and the Broncos offense in 2026.

But, like most teams, the running back is a key component in the success or lack thereof of NFL offenses, and picking the right one on draft day in your fantasy league can be the difference between making the playoffs and being a true contender.

Last year, the Broncos signed J.K. Dobbins (RB – DEN) and drafted RJ Harvey (RB – DEN) with their second-round pick. After a strong start to the season, Dobbins suffered a season-ending injury. Harvey would immediately pay dividends on the Broncos’ second-round investment, scoring 12 touchdowns, catching 47 passes, and totaling nearly 900 yards from scrimmage.

Fast forward to the 2026 offseason, and the Broncos re-signed J.K. Dobbins to a two-year deal and beefed up their running back room by drafting Washington running back Jonah Coleman (RB – DEN), who scored 27 touchdowns his last two years in college.

These moves would imply the Broncos aren’t ready to give RJ Harvey an expanded role in 2026.

But, should they?

My question for the Broncos is: Is RJ Harvey a buy-low in fantasy?

Yes, the Broncos re-signed Dobbins and drafted Jonah Coleman, but do those moves hurt or help Harvey? Of course, adding a running back to the room could potentially cause another running back to lose touches — but is Coleman taking touches away from RJ Harvey or J.K. Dobbins?

When you compare their running styles, body type, and speed, Jonah Coleman is more like J.K. Dobbins and not like RJ Harvey. Broncos assistant GM Reed Burckhardt was quoted as saying this about Jonah Coleman: “a physical, downhill runner” who “fits our style, fits what we have in our running back group right now.” He also said the comparison between Coleman and J.K. Dobbins was “very valid.”

As we know, J.K. Dobbins’ career has been altered by injuries. Since being drafted in 2020, Dobbins has played a total of 47 games, and in two of his six seasons he’s missed 10 or more games. Dobbins hasn’t been healthy for an entire season since his rookie year.

I’m not saying Dobbins is bad, but as the saying goes, “the best ability is availability” — and Dobbins has shown that he’s not always available. That’s why I believe Denver drafted Jonah Coleman not to replace RJ Harvey, but as the future replacement for J.K. Dobbins.

We’ve seen that the age of the workhorse running back isn’t as prominent as it once was, and while having one is nice, the one-two punch running back systems are better for offenses and great for fantasy!

Sean Payton is notorious for using a two-back system. In his 15 years with the New Orleans Saints, a running back had 200 or more rushing attempts just five times. However, he has eight instances where multiple running backs had 150 or more touches (2006-2009, 2011 and 2013, 2017 and 2018, and 2023). Here are some quotes from Sean Payton on running a two-back system:

“I understand the committee. I’m used to having two running backs. We’re going to have more than just one back. We’re going to stack that position group. It’s too hard in our league to play with just one — rarely does a team do it. Occasionally, it happens.” — Sean Payton, end-of-season press conference, 2024

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kyren

Reviewing My Recent Dynasty Trades

C2C, Dynasty / By /

Time for a subscriber favorite, a good old-fashioned trade review! Below, I’ll cover four recent trades I’ve made over the past week and my reasoning behind each trade. These four trades come from three different leagues (two dynasty, one C2C). The ultimate goal of these trade articles (outside of entertainment) is to give you an idea of what to prioritize when deciding whether to hit that “accept” button. 

If you’re looking for a second opinion on your own dynasty trades, check out our AccuTrader in The Dynasty Control Room. Sync your leagues and get a full trade breakdown based on DFF’s Expert Consensus ranks. 

DFF C2C Bragging Rights

This trade was made in a C2C league, which primarily consists of creators from Campus 2 Canton and our team at DFF. I made this trade with @DffFrankPanthro, sending him Alabama RB Ezavier Crowell for Jaylen Waddle. 

With this being Year 1 of the league, there’s plenty of parity from top to bottom. Nobody really sold a ton of Canton picks for Campus picks or vice versa, so it’s anyone’s game on both sides. My weakest position on the Canton side was wide receiver, with my top three WRs being Justin Jefferson, Marvin Harrison Jr., and Romeo Doubs before this trade was made. I wanted to bolster my WR room without sacrificing other areas of my NFL side, so I understood I needed to give up a premier asset on the college side to do so. 

I knew from talking ball with Frank virtually every day that Crowell is his RB1 of the freshman class and one of his favorite overall assets in C2C formats. I won’t deny that the long-term ceiling play in this deal is Crowell, especially in this particular league, where RB scoring is so favorable on the NFL side (0.25 PPC, 0.25 rushing 1st down). It was a lot to give up, but I’m incredibly bullish on Jaylen Waddle now that he’s in Denver. Despite being alpha’d by Tyreek Hill for much of his career, Waddle has always been hyper-efficient from a per-route basis, and now steps into a situation where he should be the WR1 on his team. I’m not too concerned with Courtland Sutton, who is entering his age-31 season and saw a big drop in efficiency in 2025. I feel pretty confident in saying Waddle has WR1 (top 12) upside in fantasy once again. 

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AJB

New Places, Familiar Faces – 2026 Wide Receivers

Dynasty / By /

A change of scenery can sometimes breathe new life into a player’s fantasy value. But is the grass greener on the other side? That’s what we’re hoping to find out with several wide receivers this season. 

Below, I highlight five familiar faces in new places and discuss how their new situations should impact fantasy football in 2026. 

A.J. Brown (New England Patriots)

The offseason’s worst-kept secret. A.J. Brown finally got his wish and was shipped out of Philadelphia, reuniting with head coach Mike Vrabel in New England. The hope is that Brown will be happier in a pass-first offense quarterbacked by Drake Maye. And with that happiness, perhaps more productivity from Brown. Receivers are simple creatures; they just want the ball.

The issue is that Brown was already plenty productive last season. Excluding Week 18, he finished as the WR8 in total fantasy points scored. He was even better down the stretch: from Week 10 through the fantasy championship, Brown averaged 16.7 fantasy points per game, good for WR7.

That said, Maye could unlock Brown’s true ceiling. Last year’s MVP runner-up ranked first in yards per attempt (8.9), true passer rating (116.3), and true completion percentage (77.3%), per PlayerProfiler data. He was also fourth in deep ball completion percentage (50.0%). Brown ranked 12th in deep targets (22) in 2025 and remains one of the league’s premier downfield threats.

I’m all in on Brown this season and have him as a top-eight receiver. In dynasty, I’d be trying to add him if I were looking to push my chips in as a contender. With Maye slinging it, Brown’s upside is colossal, and I don’t want to miss out on what could be a special season. 

Jaylen Waddle (Denver Broncos)

After a lot of trial and error with multiple players, Sean Payton finally has a dangerous weapon to deploy at flanker and in the slot: Jaylen Waddle. The Broncos were a Bo Nix ankle injury away from potentially reaching the Super Bowl and decided to go for broke by trading three picks, including their 2026 first-rounder, to land the former No. 6 overall pick this offseason. 

Despite only totaling 910 yards and six touchdowns last season, Waddle remained efficient and explosive. He ranked sixth in first downs per route run (0.127), 10th in yards per route run (2.41), 10th in EPA with a mark of +64.0, and 13th in PlayerProfiler’s Explosive Rating (115.3). 

Waddle now gets to catch passes from Bo Nix, who led the league in pass attempts a season ago. Nix was also third in deep ball attempts (71), which should mesh well with Waddle’s game. He produced his highest EPA per target on deep outs, digs, and post routes, per Dynatyze data. 

You don’t trade a first-round pick for a decoy, so expect Payton and new offensive coordinator Davis Webb to feature Waddle early and often. The setup is there for him to smash this season and top 1,000 yards for the first time since 2023. 

Waddle is a mid-WR2 for me in all seasonal formats and only a low-end WR2 in Dynasty because he’s already 27. 

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kelce

One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Kansas City Chiefs Edition

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to my One Question series. As always, thank you to everyone who read my “One Question” for the Los Angeles Chargers — are you buying into the Justin Herbert (QB – LAC) hype? We’re staying in the AFC West this week, and we’re headed to Kansas City! The Chiefs and Andy Reid have always been a team that has rewarded fantasy players. But can we say the same this season? Both Patrick Mahomes (QB – KC) and Xavier Worthy (WR – KC) are set to return fully healthy in 2026, Rashee Rice (WR – KC) resolved his legal issues and won’t face a suspension from the NFL, and the Chiefs signed Super Bowl winner Kenneth Walker (RB – KC) to a massive deal this offseason! There’s a lot to be excited about in #ChiefsKingdom. However, one player gets overlooked and underappreciated in fantasy drafts this season, and I don’t understand why. With an ADP of TE30?

My question for the Chiefs is: Is Travis Kelce (TE – KC) the biggest STEAL in fantasy football?

Travis Kelce (TE – KC) has become an acquired taste since he started dating mega pop star and phenom Taylor Swift. For a while, you couldn’t watch a Chiefs game without seeing her on the Jumbotron. I’ll admit, if I were dating Taylor Swift, I’d show her off too (no offense to my beautiful wife Hannah. If I were an NFL star, I’d show you off too, honey). But I’m not dating Taylor Swift, and it was annoying after a while seeing her face after EVERY big play the Chiefs made. That said, has the hate gone too far? Sure, he’s on the wrong side of 35, but tight ends age like fine wine, and we’ve seen tight ends who were past their prime have top-12 seasons.

Let’s take a stroll down memory lane:

Tony Gonzalez (TE – ATL): Posted top-five PPR finishes every year from age 34 to 37 (2010-2013), highlighted by a TE2 overall finish in 2012 (age 36) with 93 receptions, 930 yards, and eight touchdowns.

Antonio Gates (TE – LAC): Was the TE4 in PPR scoring in 2014 at age 34 (69 receptions, 821 yards, 12 touchdowns). In 2016, at age 36, he was the TE11 (53 receptions, 548 yards, seven touchdowns).

Greg Olsen (TE – CAR): Secured a TE6 finish in 2016 at age 31 (80 receptions, 1,073 yards, three touchdowns).

Jason Witten (TE – DAL): Had multiple TE1 seasons in his 30s. He recorded top-12 finishes at age 30 and 31, and later returned from a brief retirement to record a TE11 finish in 2019 at age 35 (63 receptions, 529 yards, four touchdowns).

Yes, Kelce is 36, but history shows that age doesn’t matter nearly as much for tight ends as it does for other positions.

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hurts

The Definitive Dynasty Rankings Guide: 11 to 20

Dynasty, Ranking / By /

Published July 2026 Welcome to players 11 to 20 in my Dynasty rankings series. Players 10 to 1 can be found here. Players 21 to 30 can be found here. Those who follow my work know I approach all of my rankings from an analytical foundation and then layer in additional context on top of that. This series is no different. The foundation of my Dynasty rankings is a proprietary model that utilizes a combination of predictive metrics with an emphasis on prior season fantasy points per game and then combines that with a position-specific age multiplier, flattening of TD luck, and position adjustment. This is the Dynasty 1 Score. From there, I layer on situational adjustments that pure statistics can not identify. I also prioritize consistency in my rankings. How likely are the players to be able to repeat their prior season performances based on their archetype? With that introduction, let me introduce you to my Dynasty rankings series. Note these are a snapshot in time vs. the always-evolving rankings you can find on our rankings site. But in this article series, you get the context and thinking behind the ranking that is not supplied by the pure ranking. Rankings are always fluid, and at DFF, we update them continuously here. These are a snapshot with the thought process behind each that you don’t see in simple rankings. These ranks are a snapshot as of January 2026. Superflex, Full PPR, TE Premium *Data sources: PFF, Pro Football Reference, Player Profiler, NFL+ Premium The rest of this rankings article series

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New Places, Familiar Faces: 2026 Dynasty Running Backs

All Access, Dynasty / By /

A change of scenery can sometimes breathe some life into a player’s fantasy value. But is the grass greener on the other side? That’s what we’re hoping to find out with several running backs this season. Below, I highlight five familiar faces in new places and discuss how their new situations should impact fantasy football and football betting odds in 2026. 

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Jonathon Brooks

Dynasty Price Check: Jonathon Brooks

Dynasty / By /

Jonathan Brooks, the former second-round pick (46th overall) in the 2024 NFL Draft out of Texas, has been a non-factor so far during his time as a professional. The future star is recovering from his second torn ACL, which occurred during his rookie season. He’s recently been cleared and has been participating in the offseason programs while reportedly feeling 100%. With this, buying low on talented, injured players is a cheat code and has often proven very profitable in Dynasty Fantasy Football. Brooks, with his potential, falls into this category, and he has also received positive comments from Head Coach Dave Canales. In addition, the Carolina Panthers didn’t draft or sign any running backs this offseason. They chose to let veteran Rico Dowdle leave as a free agent, which speaks volumes for what the team thinks of Brooks and leads me to believe he’s in line; if healthy, Brooks can be a potential league winner.

As we fast-forward to training camps about to open up, the Panthers enter the upcoming season with high internal expectations and expect to improve upon their eight-win season in 2025. Brooks has the talent to become a superstar in the NFL as he’s an all-around three-down running back with explosive playmaking ability. The third-year player is still only 23 years old and figures to be the future of the Panthers’ backfield at some point this season. Even though the Panthers have Chuba Hubbard as the RB1 to start the year, he’s entering year two of a four-year, 33.2 million deal. There’s no reason to believe that Brooks still can’t be a big factor in their offense. Running back is the one position in the NFL that can change quickly, and there is a potential out on Hubbard’s contract after 2026. I see no reason why Brooks can’t earn close to an even split with Hubbard and work next to him more as a 1B early in the season instead of as a true number two running back. Then, as things unfold throughout the 2025 NFL season, time will tell when Brooks can fully take over this backfield. But with the season quickly approaching, the question is: should you be buying, selling, or holding Brooks? Let’s dive in.

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Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III: Has the Hype Become Too Much of a Burden?

Dynasty / By /

Luther Burden III has one of the most inspiring backstories in the NFL. Rising from a tough childhood in East St. Louis to becoming a standout wide receiver for the Chicago Bears, his relentless work ethic and local pride are undeniable. However, heading into his second year, his skyrocketing fantasy football ADP has reached a point of “all gas, no brakes.” In high-stakes dynasty startups, investing heavily in the sophomore receiver is a risky proposition, and he is currently being drafted at overvalued levels.

The Hype vs. Reality

It is hard not to be a fan of Luther Burden III. After an electrifying rookie campaign in 2025, his value has soared.

I was thinking about writing an article comparing Justin Jefferson’s first-year rookie season to Burden’s. The rise, the hype, and the comparisons entering their second seasons. Given the hype in ADP over the past couple of months, the analytics show no comparison. While Burden is incredibly electric after the catch, his usage in Ben Johnson’s offense has been heavily concentrated around the line of scrimmage. His average target distance ranked near the bottom among starting wide receivers, making his weekly upside highly dependent on yards after the catch rather than high-value, downfield passing volume.

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Justin Herbert

One Question for EVERY NFL Team: Los Angeles Chargers Edition

All Access, Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to my weekly series, and as always, thank you to everyone who read last week’s Philadelphia Eagles edition — what are you doing with Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) in Dynasty leagues? The NFC East was a fun division to look at and is always fun for fantasy! Now we’re heading out West to take a look at the AFC West, one of the more FanDuel Sportsbook and fantasy-friendly divisions of years past.

Our first stop will be in sunny Los Angeles at SoFi Stadium. There’s a lot to be excited about if you’re a Chargers fan or a fantasy football enthusiast. The Chargers may have made the best offseason move with the hiring of Mike McDaniel as their new offensive coordinator. When you consider the success McDaniel had in Miami with Tyreek Hill (WR – MIA), Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN), De’Von Achane (RB – MIA), and Tua Tagovailoa (QB – ATL), pairing McDaniel with Omarion Hampton (RB – LAC), Ladd McConkey (WR – LAC), Quentin Johnston (WR – LAC), Oronde Gadsden (TE – LAC), and Justin Herbert (QB – LAC) feels unfair! The biggest beneficiary of the McDaniel hire is Justin Herbert.

However, despite all of that optimism, the fantasy market hasn’t fully caught up yet. When looking at Herbert’s 2026 Superflex ADP on Dynasty Football Factory, he’s the ninth quarterback taken off the board and the 60th overall player. I believe Herbert is being undervalued given everything I mentioned above.

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mims

Roster Cloggers Are Quietly Killing Your Dynasty League – Part 2

Dynasty, Strategy Content / By /

Welcome back for Part 2 of my “Roster Clogger” series! In this article, we’ll be discussing some hard-hitting questions that are worth asking to identify those roster cloggers on your dynasty roster. Then, we’ll finish things up with some warning signs by position. 

If you missed Part 1, you can check that article out here. Let’s dive back in. 

The Roster Clogger Test

The best way to identify roster cloggers is to stop asking whether a player has any possible value and start asking sharper questions.

Almost every player has some possible value. That standard is too low.

Instead, ask these questions.

Can I Start This Player Confidently?

This does not mean, “Could I technically put him in my lineup?”

You can start almost anyone in a deep enough league.

The real question is whether you would feel good about it. If injuries hit and you need points, can this player realistically help you? Does he have a stable role? Does he have a path to volume? Can he get you something more than a desperation floor?

If the answer is no, he may not be actual depth.

He may just be a name on your bench.

Can I Trade Him for Anything Meaningful?

This is where dynasty managers need to be honest.

If no one in your league wants the player, his value might only exist in your head.

That does not mean you should blindly let your league determine every player’s worth. Dynasty managers can be early on players. Sometimes your league is wrong. Sometimes you should hold a player before the value shows up publicly.

But if a player has no production, no market, no clear role, and no rising value, you need a good reason to keep holding.

“Someone might want him someday” is not enough.

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hurts

One Question For EVERY NFL Team: Philadelphia Eagles Edition

Dynasty / By /

Welcome back to my One Question series, and thank you to everyone who read last week’s Washington Commanders edition — which Commanders running back are you drafting this season? We’ve now asked the Dallas Cowboys, New York Giants, and Washington Commanders their questions. That only leaves one team — the one and only Philadelphia Eagles!

After a drama-filled 2025 season and early playoff exit, it’s been quite the offseason for the Eagles. It feels like so long ago when Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) and his teammates were celebrating their Super Bowl LIX victory. Fast forward to today, and the Eagles have traded away three-time All-Pro receiver A.J. Brown (WR – NE), and Hurts’ future with the team is in question. With a new offensive coordinator in Sean Mannion — who just so happens to be Hurts’ 11th offensive coordinator dating back to his time in college — trading up to draft Makai Lemon (WR – PHI), what looks to be a prove-it year, and this being the final year of guaranteed money on his contract, all of the off-field drama, questions about his leadership, and his ability as a passer, in addition to an uncertain future in Philadelphia, has led fantasy managers to unload him off of their rosters before the 2026 season.

My question for the Philadelphia Eagles is: Is now the time to BUY Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) in fantasy?

No Stranger to Adversity

Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) is no stranger to adversity. He was the first true freshman to start a game for the Alabama Crimson Tide, leading the team to consecutive National Championship game appearances in 2016 and 2017. In 2017, he would have his first real experience with adversity when he was benched in the second half in favor of Tua Tagovailoa (QB – MIA), and Alabama would go on to win the game without him.

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bateman

Roster Cloggers Are Quietly Killing Your Dynasty League – Part 1

Dynasty, Strategy Content / By /

very dynasty manager has that guy.

You won’t start him. You cannot trade him. You don’t really want to cut him. But every time you look at your roster, you convince yourself there is still something there.

Maybe he is young. Maybe he was a good prospect. Maybe he is one injury away from a major role. Maybe he had a few usable weeks two seasons ago (where you probably still regret sitting him). Maybe you remember liking him during rookie draft season and have not fully accepted that the bet is probably dead.

That’s not depth.

That’s what is called a roster clogger.

Roster cloggers are not always bad players. That is what makes them dangerous. The obvious bad players are easy to cut. The real problem is the player who gives you just enough hope to keep holding, but not enough production, trade value, or upside to help your dynasty team.

In dynasty, roster spots are assets. Every bench spot you use on a dead-end player is a bench spot you cannot use on a backup running back with real contingent upside, a young receiver gaining steam, a tight end earning routes, or a waiver player whose value could change quickly.

The question is not, “Can I make a case for this player?”

You can make a case for almost anyone in July.

The better question is this: is this player helping me win, helping me rebuild, or gaining value?

If the answer is no, he might be quietly killing your roster and therefore your season.

What Is a Roster Clogger?

A roster clogger is not simply a bad player. A bad player is easy to drop. A true roster clogger is a threat because he gives you reasons to keep holding.

He might have youth on his side.
He might have draft capital invested in him.
He might have flashed once.
He might be tied to a good offense.
He might be one injury away.
He might be a tight end who “just needs time.”

There is always a story.

That’s the trap.

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jayden

How NFL Personnel Tendencies Are Reshaping Fantasy Value

Dynasty, Strategy Content / By /

Over the past couple of years, you’ve probably heard NFL and fantasy analysts discussing a shift in the offensive meta, specifically the rise of 12 and 13-personnel packages. But what does it actually mean, and does it have any real impact on your dynasty teams?

The short answer is yes. In today’s article, I’ll break down the “why” behind it, but first, let’s make sure we’re all speaking the same language.

If you’re unfamiliar, here’s what it means when someone refers to “X-personnel”:

11 personnel — 1 RB, 1 TE, 3 WR
12 personnel — 1 RB, 2 TE, 2 WR
13 personnel — 1 RB, 3 TE, 1 WR
21 personnel — 2 RB, 1 TE, 2 WR
22 personnel — 2 RB, 2 TE, 1 WR

These five groupings make up the majority of NFL play-calling year over year, and the balance between them is shifting in ways that matter for how you build your roster and prioritize certain fantasy players.

For this article, I pulled NFL leaguewide data dating back to 2022 from sumersports.com, and have confirmed that TE-heavy packages are steadily increasing, while 11 personnel is decreasing across the league. 

Below, you’ll see a graph breaking down how the five most popular formations have trended from 2022 to 2025:

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